MO605INFLAMMATION-BASED MODIFIED GLASGOW PROGNOSTIC SCORE AND CHRONIC KIDNEY DISEASE PROGRESSION

2021 ◽  
Vol 36 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel Stefan ◽  
Simona Stancu ◽  
Adrian Dorin Zugravu ◽  
Cristina-Stela Capusa

Abstract Background and Aims The modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), based on combination between albumin (sAlb) and C-reactive protein (CRP), has been derived from oncology and validated in multiple diseases. Since chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is related to inflammation, we aimed to evaluate the relationship between the mGPS and CKD outcome. Method The present retrospective unicentric cohort study included 547 CKD patients (age 60.2 years, 53% male, eGFR 42.0 mL/min, mean change -2 mL/min/year) admitted between January 1, 2007 and December 31, 2012. The mGPS assessment: zero points if CRP ≤10 mg/L and sAlb ≥3.5 g/dL; one point if CRP >10 mg/L and sAlb ≥3.5 g/dL, two points if CRP >10 mg/L and sAlb <3.5 g/dL. Patients records were reviewed from the CKD diagnosis to one of the four outcomes: end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), death, loss to follow-up, or until July 31, 2017. Results The mGPS score was 0 for 420 (78%), 1 for 110 (19%), and 2 for 17 (3%) patients. Rapid progression defined as a sustained decline in eGFR of more than 5 mL/min/year was found in 17% of the studied patients. More patients with rapid CKD progression were found in the group with the highest mGPS (30% vs 17%, vs 16%, p=0.05). In the multivariate analysis, mGPS was associated with the eGFR slope (OR 1.42 (95%CI 0.29, 2.55), p 0.01). Moreover, mGPS was negatively correlated with baseline eGFR (OR -3.74 (95%CI 7.8, 0.33), p 0.05) and positively with albuminuria (0.87 (95%CI 0.51, 1.23), p 0.001). During the study period, 130 patients (24%) died and 109 (20%) reached ESKD. The mean kidney survival time was 8.1 (95%CI 7.9, 8.4) years. Kidney survivals at 12, 24, 36, 48, 60, and 72 months were 96, 95, 89, 86, 83 and 82%, respectively. In univariate time-dependent analysis, patients with zero mGPS had better kidney survival than those with the score of one and two (99.9 (95%CI 96.9, 102.9) vs 92.1 (95%CI 85.2, 99.0) vs 78.1 (95%CI 60.4, 95.4) months, log rank p=0.02). However, the kidney survival differences were not present after adjusting for CKD progression risk factors (HR 1.12 (95%CI 0.78, 1.62), p 0.5). Conclusion The inflammation-based mGPS score was associated with eGFR decline in CKD patients. Therefore, could prove useful in improving risk stratification of CKD patients.

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (5) ◽  
pp. 58-63
Author(s):  
A. M. Mambetova ◽  
M. H. Hutueva ◽  
I. K. Thabisimova ◽  
A. S. Kegaduyev

BACKGROUND. The role of inflammation and uremic intoxication in the development and progression of bone mineral dis­orders, including cardiovascular calcification, has been actively studied over the past decades. PATIENTS AND METHODS. A single-stage, cohort study of 85 patients with stage 5D CKD treated with programmatic hemodialysis was conducted. The blood concentrations of interleukin-3 (IL-3) and interleukin-6 (IL-6) were determined using the enzyme immunoassay, the level of fibrinogen - using the Rutberg method, and the level of p2-microglobulins - using the nephelometric method. The blood leu­kocyte shift index (ISLC) and the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) risk index for systemic inflammation were also calculated, taking into account the level of C-reactive protein (CRP) and blood albumin. The presence of valvular calcification, its severity, and calcification of the abdominal aortic wall was recorded. Statistical analysis was performed using the program STATISTICA 12.6 ("StatSoft", USA). THE AIM: to evaluate the relationship between factors of systemic inflammation and cardiovascular cal­cification in patients with stage 5D chronic kidney disease. RESULTS. The risk of detecting calcification of the aorta and heart valves was influenced by the pro-inflammatory cytokines IL-3 and IL-6, as well as ISLK and GPS. However, inflammatory fac­tors such as fibrinogen, p2-microglobulin, and CRP levels in the blood did not show a statistically significant effect. In the case when the predicted parameter was chosen not friendly calcification, but the presence of any of its components, the predictive significance of IL-3 decreased, but IL-6 remained. The 20% risk threshold was exceeded at IL-6 values of more than 33 pg/ml. The effect of ISLC on the probability of detection of calcification was shown both about friendly calcification and concerning isolated calcification of the aorta or valves. CONCLUSION. It was found that among the studied factors of inflammation, IL-6, ILK, and IL-3 demonstrate a relationship with the processes of cardiovascular calcification, GPS-only in relation to friendly calcification. Nomograms have been developed that allow predicting the detection of cardiovascular calcification in dialysis patients, depending on the state of the inflammatory circuit.


Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 129 (suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Casey M Rebholz ◽  
Kunihiro Matsushita ◽  
Elizabeth Selvin ◽  
Morgan E Grams ◽  
Josef Coresh

Introduction: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression assessed by estimated GFR from creatinine (eGFR-Cr) is a risk factor for cardiovascular disease and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) and has been proposed as a surrogate endpoint for clinical trials. It is unclear if CKD progression assessed by change in different filtration markers has similar risk associations with ESRD. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that percent change in novel kidney filtration markers (β 2 -microglobulin and cystatin C) over a 6-year period would be independently associated with increased risk of ESRD during 15 years of follow-up, similar to the risk seen with change in eGFR-Cr. Methods: We conducted prospective analyses of the ARIC study (N=9,703). β 2 -microglobulin, cystatin C, and creatinine were measured at study visits 1 (1990-92) and 2 (1996-98). Incident ESRD (kidney dialysis or transplant) was defined as entry into the U.S. Renal Data System registry between study visit 2 and September 30, 2011. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to estimate the association between percent change in filtration marker and incident ESRD, adjusting for demographics, kidney disease risk factors, and 1 st measurement of the filtration marker. Results: During a median follow-up of 13.1 years, there were 142 incident ESRD cases. Median eGFR-Cr was 97.3 mL/min/1.73 m 2 at 1 st measurement and 89.0 mL/min/1.73 m 2 at 2 nd measurement. Percent change in eGFR-Cr was moderately correlated with percent change in the inverse of β 2 -microglobulin (r = 0.34) and the inverse of cystatin C (r = 0.36). Progression of CKD (10-25% and >25% decline in filtration function) was associated with increased ESRD risk, with novel markers (β 2 -microglobulin, cystatin C) showing an association at least as strong as the creatinine and eGFR-Cr estimates (Table). Conclusions: CKD progression assessed using novel filtration markers is independently associated with ESRD risk, suggesting the potential utility of measuring change in β 2 -microglobulin and cystatin C in clinical trials.


Author(s):  
Sahir Kalim ◽  
Anders Berg ◽  
S Ananth Karumanchi ◽  
Ravi Thadhani ◽  
Andrew S Allegretti ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Protein carbamylation is a posttranslational protein modification caused, in part, by exposure to urea’s dissociation product cyanate. Carbamylation is linked to cardiovascular outcomes and mortality in dialysis dependent end stage kidney disease (ESKD), but its effects in earlier pre-dialysis stages of chronic kidney disease (CKD) are not established. Methods We conducted two nested case-control studies within the CRIC Study. First, we matched 75 cases demonstrating CKD progression (50% eGFR reduction or reaching ESKD) to 75 controls (matched on baseline eGFR, 24-hour proteinuria, age, sex, and race). In the second study, we similarly matched 75 subjects who died during follow up (cases) to 75 surviving controls. Baseline carbamylated albumin levels (C-Alb, a validated carbamylation assay) were compared between cases and controls in each study. Results At baseline, in the CKD progression study, other than blood urea nitrogen (BUN) and smoking status, there were no significant differences in any matched or other parameter. In the mortality group, the only baseline difference was smoking status. Adjusting for baseline differences, the top tertile of C-Alb was associated with an increased risk of CKD progression (odds ratio [OR], 7.9; 95% CI, 1.9-32.8; P = 0.004) and mortality (OR 3.4; 95% CI, 1.0-11.4; P = 0.05) when compared to the bottom tertile. C-Alb correlated with eGFR but was more strongly correlated with BUN. Conclusions Our data suggest protein carbamylation is a predictor of CKD progression, beyond traditional risks including eGFR and proteinuria. Carbamylation’s association with mortality was smaller in this limited sample size.


2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (6_suppl) ◽  
pp. 738-738
Author(s):  
Jacqueline T Brown ◽  
Yuan Liu ◽  
Dylan J. Martini ◽  
Julie M. Shabto ◽  
Elise Hitron ◽  
...  

738 Background: The current risk models for mRCC were developed for patients treated with targeted therapy. The mGPS incorporates albumin and C-reactive protein and may serve as a composite prognostic biomarker in mRCC in the era of CPI. Methods: We conducted a retrospective analysis of patients with mRCC treated with CPI (anti-PD1 or PD-L1 agents) at Winship Cancer Institute between 2015-2018. Overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS) were defined as months from CPI initiation to death or clinical/radiographic progression, respectively. mGPS was defined as a summary score with one point given for CRP > 10 mg/L and/or albumin < 3.5 g/dL. Univariate (UVA) and multivariate (MVA) analyses were carried out for OS and PFS using Cox proportional hazard model. Results: A total of 78 eligible patients were included with a median follow up of 30.7 months. Median age was 66 years (range = 38-82), 64% were male, 78% had clear cell histology, and 76% received anti-PD-1 monotherapy. Higher mGPS at baseline was significantly associated with worse OS while at week 6 was associated with worse OS and PFS (Table). Conclusions: A higher mGPS score in the early course of CPI treatment was associated with worse survival in patients with mRCC. These results should be validated in a larger, prospective study.[Table: see text]


2021 ◽  
pp. jim-2020-001702
Author(s):  
Paul J Der Mesropian ◽  
Gulvahid Shaikh ◽  
Kelly H Beers ◽  
Swati Mehta ◽  
Mauricio R Monrroy Prado ◽  
...  

The ideal blood pressure (BP) target for renoprotection is uncertain in patients with non-diabetic chronic kidney disease (CKD), especially considering the influence exerted by pre-existing proteinuria. In this pooled analysis of landmark trials, we coalesced individual data from 5001 such subjects randomized to intensive versus standard BP targets. We employed multivariable regression to evaluate the relationship between follow-up systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) on CKD progression (defined as glomerular filtration rate decline by 50% or end-stage renal disease), focusing on the potential for effect modification by baseline proteinuria or albuminuria. The median follow-up was 3.2 years. We found that SBP rather than DBP was the primary predictor of renal outcomes. The optimal SBP target was 110–129 mm Hg. We observed a strong interaction between SBP and proteinuria such that lower SBP ranges were significantly linked with progressively lower CKD risk in grade A3 albuminuria or ≥0.5–1 g/day proteinuria (relative to SBP 110–119 mm Hg, the adjusted HR for SBP 120–129 mm Hg, 130–139 mm Hg, and 140–149 mm Hg was 1.5, 2.3, and 3.3, respectively; all p<0.05). In grade A2 microalbuminuria or proteinuria near 0.5 g/day, a non-significant but possible connection was seen between tighter BP and decreased CKD (aforementioned HRs all <2; all p>0.05), while in grade A1 albuminuria or proteinuria <0.2 g/day no significant association was apparent (HRs all <1.5; all p>0.1). We conclude that in non-diabetic CKD, stricter BP targets <130 mm Hg may help limit CKD progression as proteinuria rises.


2018 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 303-312 ◽  
Author(s):  
Farsad Afshinnia ◽  
Lixia Zeng ◽  
Jaeman Byun ◽  
Stefanie Wernisch ◽  
Rajat Deo ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The clinical relevance of arachidonic acid (AA) metabolites in chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is poorly understood. We aimed to compare the concentrations of 85 enzymatic pathway products of AA metabolism in patients with CKD who progressed to end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) versus patients who did not in a subcohort of Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) and to estimate the risk of CKD progression and major cardiovascular events by levels of AA metabolites and their link to enzymatic metabolic pathways. Methods A total 123 patients in the CRIC study who progressed to ESKD were frequency matched with 177 nonprogressors and serum eicosanoids were quantified by mass spectrometry. We applied serum collected at patients’ Year 1 visit and outcome of progression to ESKD was ascertained over the next 10 years. We used logistic regression models for risk estimation. Results Baseline 15-hydroxyeicosatetraenoate (HETE) and 20-HETE levels were significantly elevated in progressors (false discovery rate Q ≤ 0.026). The median 20-HETE level was 7.6 pmol/mL [interquartile range (IQR) 4.2–14.5] in progressors and 5.4 pmol/mL (IQR 2.8–9.4) in nonprogressors (P &lt; 0.001). In an adjusted model, only 20-HETE independently predicted CKD progression. Each 1 standard deviation increase in 20-HETE was independently associated with 1.45-fold higher odds of progression (95% confidence interval 1.07–1.95; P = 0.017). Principal components of lipoxygenase (LOX) and cytochrome P450 (CYP450) pathways were independently associated with CKD progression. Conclusions We found higher odds of CKD progression associated with higher 20-HETE, LOX and CYP450 metabolic pathways. These alterations precede CKD progression and may serve as targets for interventions aimed at halting progression.


Author(s):  
Nuttaradee Lojanapiwat ◽  
Md Rafiqul Islam ◽  
Martin Ridout ◽  
Sivakumar Subramaniam

Background: Accurate prognostication is essential in caring for palliative patients. Various prognostication tools have been validated in many settings in the past few years. Biomarkers of inflammation (albumin and C-reactive protein) are combined to calculate the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS), which has been found to be a simple prognostic tool in this population. Objective: This retrospective cohort study was to evaluate mGPS as a prognostication tool for cancer patients admitted to an acute hospital in regional Australia. Methods: Adult cancer patients admitted to an acute Australian regional hospital during 2017 who had albumin and C-reactive protein (CRP) tested were included. The mGPS was calculated based on their admission values and discharge values. Based on their score (0-2), groups were compared using univariate and multivariate Cox regression analysis for prognostication. Kaplan-Meier survival plots and median survival time from admission and discharge were constructed. Results: A total of 170 patient records were reviewed of which 95 had admission and discharge mGPS scores available for analysis. Of those, 86 had died at the time of data analysis. The median survival for admission mGPS 0, 1, 2 was 168,156 and 74 days. For discharge mGPS 0, 1, 2 medians were 168,119 and 70 days. On multi variate analysis admission mGPS 2 showed Hazard ratio of 2.29 (95% CI 1.16-4.56, p -0.02) and discharge mGPS 2 of 2.07 (95% CI 0.95-4.50, p value 0.07). Conclusions: In this study, mGPS was able to differentiate cancer patients into various prognostic groups. Further studies in regional acute hospitals could validate this prospectively with a multi-center larger sample size.


Diagnostics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 859
Author(s):  
Woosung Son ◽  
Su-Jin Shin ◽  
Su Hyeong Park ◽  
Soo Kyung Lee ◽  
Eun Jung Park ◽  
...  

The prognostic impact of the combination of the modified Glasgow prognostic score (mGPS) and C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR) in colorectal cancer (CRC) is unclear. We aimed to investigate the clinical usefulness of this combination as a predictor of survival in CRC patients. We retrospectively evaluated 769 CRC patients who had undergone surgery between January 2006 and March 2014. The CAR and mGPS within 1 month postoperation were examined. The integrated area under the curve (iAUC) was compared among mGPS, CAR, and the combined classification (CC). The optimal CAR cut-off for discriminating overall survival was 0.14. Based on this cut-off, the mGPS 0 group was divided into the mGPS 0 with low CAR and the mGPS 0 with high CAR groups, whereas all mGPS 1 and 2 patients were classified into the high CAR group. CC was an independent prognostic factor, and its iAUC value (0.587, 95% CI 0.553–0.624) was superior to those of the mGPS (0.544, 95% CI 0.516–0.576) (bootstrap iAUC mean difference = 0.043; 95% CI = 0.015–0.072) and CAR (0.578, 95% CI 0.545–0.613) (bootstrap iAUC mean difference = 0.009; 95% CI = 0.002–0.017), respectively. In conclusion, the combination of mGPS and CAR has a synergistic effect and has a higher prognostic accuracy than mGPS or CAR alone in patients with CRC.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Jasmin I. Vesga ◽  
Edilberto Cepeda ◽  
Campo E. Pardo ◽  
Sergio Paez ◽  
Ricardo Sanchez ◽  
...  

Background. Variability in chronic kidney disease (CKD) progression is a well-known phenomenon that underlines the importance of characterizing the said outcome in specific populations. Our objectives were to evaluate changes in the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) over time and determine the frequency of dialysis admission and factors associated with this outcome, to estimate the rate of program’s loss-to-follow-up and the probability of transition between CKD stages over time. Methods. The study type was an observational analytic retrospective cohort in patients treated in a CKD prevention program in Bogota, Colombia, between January 1, 2009, and December 31, 2013, with follow-up until December 31, 2018. Adult participants of 18 years of age or older with diagnosed CKD stages G3 or G4 were enrolled into a prevention program. For each patient, the rate of progression of CKD in ml/min/1.73 m2/year was estimated using the ordinary least-squares method. Dialysis initiation and program’s loss-to-follow-up rates were calculated. Heat maps were used to present probabilities of transitioning between various CKD stages over time. Survival model with competing risks was used to evaluate factors associated with dialysis initiation. Results. A total of 2752 patients met inclusion criteria and contributed with 14133 patient-years of follow-up and 200 dialysis initiation events, which represents a rate of 1.4 events per 100 patient-years (95% CI 1.2 to 1.6). The median change of the eGFR for the entire cohort was −0.47 ml/min/1.73 m2 per year, and in the diabetic population, it was −1.55 ml/min/1.73 m2 per year. The program’s loss-to-follow-up rate was 2.6 events per 100 patient-years (95% CI 2.3 to 2.9). Probabilities of CKD stage transitions are presented in heat maps. Female sex, older age, baseline eGFR, and serum albumin were associated with lower risk of dialysis initiation while CKD etiology diabetes, cardiovascular disease history, systolic blood pressure, blood urea nitrogen, and LDL cholesterol were associated with a higher likelihood of dialysis initiation. Conclusions. A CKD secondary prevention program’s key indicator is reported here, such as dialysis initiation, progression rate, and program drop-out; CKD progression appears to be correlated with diabetic status and timing of referral into the preventive program.


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