scholarly journals Combinatorial approach for complex disorder prediction: Case study of neurodevelopmental disorders

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Linh Huynh ◽  
Fereydoun Hormozdiari
Keyword(s):  
Neurodevelopmental Disorders ◽  
False Positive ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Early Prediction ◽  
Complex Disorders ◽  
Complex Disorder ◽  
Genetic Heritability ◽  
Positive Rate

AbstractEarly prediction of complex disorders (e.g., autism and other neurodevelopmental disorders) is one of the fundamental goals of precision medicine and personalized genomics. An early prediction of complex disorders can have a significant impact on increasing the effectiveness of interventions and treatments in improving the prognosis and, in many cases, enhancing the quality of life in the affected patients. Considering the genetic heritability of neurodevelopmental disorders, we are proposing a novel framework for utilizing rare coding variation for early prediction of these disorders in subset of affected samples. We provide a novel formulation for the Ultra-Accurate Disorder Prediction (UADP) problem and develop a combinatorial framework for solving this problem. The primary goal of this framework, denoted as Odin (Oracle for DIsorder predictioN), is to make prediction for a subset of affected cases while having very low false positive rate prediction for unaffected samples. Note that in the Odin framework we will take advantage of the available functional information (e.g., pairwise coexpression of genes during brain development) to increase the prediction power beyond genes with recurrent variants. Application of our method accurately recovers an additional 8% of autism cases without a sever variant in a known recurrent mutated genes with a less than 1% false positive rate. Furthermore, Odin predicted a set of 391 genes that severe variants in these genes can cause autism or other developmental delay disorders. Odin is publicly available at https://github.com/HormozdiariLab/Odin†

The Effects of Payoff on the Visual Processing of Dental Radiographs

1978 ◽  
Vol 20 (4) ◽  
pp. 385-390 ◽  
Author(s):  
William H. Mobley ◽  
Irwin L. Goldstein
Keyword(s):  
Visual Processing ◽  
False Positive ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Dental Students ◽  
Technical Quality ◽  
Observer Error ◽  
Positive Rate ◽  
Dental Radiographs ◽  
Payoff Condition

The objective of the present study was to reassess the magnitude of observer error by dental students observing dental radiographs. Additionally, the effects of different payoff conditions on observer responses were examined. These data indicated high false positive rates as well as an inability to judge which radiographs were most difficult to assess. Further analyses indicated that false positive rates remained high even when payoff conditions penalized such responses. A payoff condition specifically designed to lower the false positive rate instead resulted in subjects lowering their hit rate and thus raising the miss rate. It is apparent that control of observer error must not only consider the technical quality of the radiograph but also the decision processes of the observer.

scholarly journals Brain metastasis detection using machine learning: a systematic review and meta-analysis

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Se Jin Cho ◽  
Leonard Sunwoo ◽  
Sung Hyun Baik ◽  
Yun Jung Bae ◽  
Byung Se Choi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Brain Metastasis ◽  
False Positive ◽  
Data Augmentation ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Relevant Literature ◽  
Inverse Variance ◽  
Positive Rate

Abstract Background Accurate detection of brain metastasis (BM) is important for cancer patients. We aimed to systematically review the performance and quality of machine-learning-based BM detection on MRI in the relevant literature. Methods A systematic literature search was performed for relevant studies reported before April 27, 2020. We assessed the quality of the studies using modified tailored questionnaires of the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 (QUADAS-2) criteria and the Checklist for Artificial Intelligence in Medical Imaging (CLAIM). Pooled detectability was calculated using an inverse-variance weighting model. Results A total of 12 studies were included, which showed a clear transition from classical machine learning (cML) to deep learning (DL) after 2018. The studies on DL used a larger sample size than those on cML. The cML and DL groups also differed in the composition of the dataset, and technical details such as data augmentation. The pooled proportions of detectability of BM were 88.7% (95% CI, 84–93%) and 90.1% (95% CI, 84–95%) in the cML and DL groups, respectively. The false-positive rate per person was lower in the DL group than the cML group (10 vs 135, P < 0.001). In the patient selection domain of QUADAS-2, three studies (25%) were designated as high risk due to non-consecutive enrollment and arbitrary exclusion of nodules. Conclusion A comparable detectability of BM with a low false-positive rate per person was found in the DL group compared with the cML group. Improvements are required in terms of quality and study design.

scholarly journals BioPEPR: a system for the automatic prescreening of cervical smears.

1979 ◽  
Vol 27 (1) ◽  
pp. 635-641 ◽  
Author(s):  
D J Zahniser ◽  
P S Oud ◽  
M C Raaijmakers ◽  
G P Vooys ◽  
R T Van de Walle
Keyword(s):  
False Positive ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
False Negative ◽  
Intermediate Step ◽  
Decision Strategy ◽  
Cervical Smears ◽  
Cathode Ray Tube ◽  
Hierarchical Decision ◽  
Positive Rate

A feasibility study has indicated that a Prescion Encoding and Pattern Recognition (PEPR) cathode ray tube prescreening system for cervical smears can be both accurate and fast. Smears are prepared using a syringing technique and are stained with a Feulgen-type nuclear stain and a protein counter-stain. The use of film as an intermediate step between the cells and Bio PEPR allows the scanning of fields as large as 8 x 8 mm. The morphological features of the cells are measured as directed by a hierarchical decision strategy. Additional programs detect artifacts, overlaps, and leukocytes. For clean samples, false positive and false negative rates on the cell level have been obtained that will allow acceptable smear level rates (10% false positive, 1% false negative). These rates have been reached without compromising the required speed goals of 120 to 180 smears per hr. The efficiency of the system is dependent on the quality of the smears. Measurements on a set of 192 routinely prepared smears indicate acceptable false negative rates and a false positive rate of about 18%. A reduction of this rate is expected with small improvements in cell preparation and measuring software, leading to the overall system efficiency required for commercial feasibility.

Improving diagnosis of acute appendicitis with atypical findings by Tc-99m HMPAO leukocyte scan

2002 ◽  
Vol 41 (01) ◽  
pp. 37-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Shung-Shung ◽  
S. Yu-Chien ◽  
Y. Mei-Due ◽  
W. Hwei-Chung ◽  
A. Kao
Keyword(s):  
Acute Appendicitis ◽  
False Positive ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Accurate Method ◽  
Clinical Findings ◽  
Pathological Findings ◽  
Lower Quadrant ◽  
Predictive Values ◽  
Positive Rate

Summary Aim: Even with careful observation, the overall false-positive rate of laparotomy remains 10-15% when acute appendicitis was suspected. Therefore, the clinical efficacy of Tc-99m HMPAO labeled leukocyte (TC-WBC) scan for the diagnosis of acute appendicitis in patients presenting with atypical clinical findings is assessed. Patients and Methods: Eighty patients presenting with acute abdominal pain and possible acute appendicitis but atypical findings were included in this study. After intravenous injection of TC-WBC, serial anterior abdominal/pelvic images at 30, 60, 120 and 240 min with 800k counts were obtained with a gamma camera. Any abnormal localization of radioactivity in the right lower quadrant of the abdomen, equal to or greater than bone marrow activity, was considered as a positive scan. Results: 36 out of 49 patients showing positive TC-WBC scans received appendectomy. They all proved to have positive pathological findings. Five positive TC-WBC were not related to acute appendicitis, because of other pathological lesions. Eight patients were not operated and clinical follow-up after one month revealed no acute abdominal condition. Three of 31 patients with negative TC-WBC scans received appendectomy. They also presented positive pathological findings. The remaining 28 patients did not receive operations and revealed no evidence of appendicitis after at least one month of follow-up. The overall sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, positive and negative predictive values for TC-WBC scan to diagnose acute appendicitis were 92, 78, 86, 82, and 90%, respectively. Conclusion: TC-WBC scan provides a rapid and highly accurate method for the diagnosis of acute appendicitis in patients with equivocal clinical examination. It proved useful in reducing the false-positive rate of laparotomy and shortens the time necessary for clinical observation.

Predicting Fetal Chromosome Anomalies in the First Trimester Using Pregnancy Associated Plasma Protein-A: A Comparison of Statistical Methods

1993 ◽  
Vol 32 (02) ◽  
pp. 175-179 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Brambati ◽  
T. Chard ◽  
J. G. Grudzinskas ◽  
M. C. M. Macintosh
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
General Population ◽  
Likelihood Ratio ◽  
False Positive ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Ratio Method ◽  
Detection Rates ◽  
Gaussian Distributions ◽  
Positive Rate ◽  
Likelihood Ratio Method

Abstract:The analysis of the clinical efficiency of a biochemical parameter in the prediction of chromosome anomalies is described, using a database of 475 cases including 30 abnormalities. A comparison was made of two different approaches to the statistical analysis: the use of Gaussian frequency distributions and likelihood ratios, and logistic regression. Both methods computed that for a 5% false-positive rate approximately 60% of anomalies are detected on the basis of maternal age and serum PAPP-A. The logistic regression analysis is appropriate where the outcome variable (chromosome anomaly) is binary and the detection rates refer to the original data only. The likelihood ratio method is used to predict the outcome in the general population. The latter method depends on the data or some transformation of the data fitting a known frequency distribution (Gaussian in this case). The precision of the predicted detection rates is limited by the small sample of abnormals (30 cases). Varying the means and standard deviations (to the limits of their 95% confidence intervals) of the fitted log Gaussian distributions resulted in a detection rate varying between 42% and 79% for a 5% false-positive rate. Thus, although the likelihood ratio method is potentially the better method in determining the usefulness of a test in the general population, larger numbers of abnormal cases are required to stabilise the means and standard deviations of the fitted log Gaussian distributions.

Identification of and Correction for Publication Bias: Comment

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amanda Kvarven ◽  
Eirik Strømland ◽  
Magnus Johannesson
Keyword(s):  
Publication Bias ◽  
False Positive ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Effect Sizes ◽  
Replication Studies ◽  
Moderate Reduction ◽  
Positive Rate ◽  
Meta Analyses

Andrews & Kasy (2019) propose an approach for adjusting effect sizes in meta-analysis for publication bias. We use the Andrews-Kasy estimator to adjust the result of 15 meta-analyses and compare the adjusted results to 15 large-scale multiple labs replication studies estimating the same effects. The pre-registered replications provide precisely estimated effect sizes, which do not suffer from publication bias. The Andrews-Kasy approach leads to a moderate reduction of the inflated effect sizes in the meta-analyses. However, the approach still overestimates effect sizes by a factor of about two or more and has an estimated false positive rate of between 57% and 100%.

scholarly journals PRATD: A Phased Remote Access Trojan Detection Method with Double-Sided Features

Electronics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1894
Author(s):  
Chun Guo ◽  
Zihua Song ◽  
Yuan Ping ◽  
Guowei Shen ◽  
Yuhei Cui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
False Positive ◽  
Detection Method ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
True Positive Rate ◽  
Remote Access ◽  
Detection Methods ◽  
Security Threats ◽  
True Positive ◽  
Trojan Detection ◽  
Positive Rate

Remote Access Trojan (RAT) is one of the most terrible security threats that organizations face today. At present, two major RAT detection methods are host-based and network-based detection methods. To complement one another’s strengths, this article proposes a phased RATs detection method by combining double-side features (PRATD). In PRATD, both host-side and network-side features are combined to build detection models, which is conducive to distinguishing the RATs from benign programs because that the RATs not only generate traffic on the network but also leave traces on the host at run time. Besides, PRATD trains two different detection models for the two runtime states of RATs for improving the True Positive Rate (TPR). The experiments on the network and host records collected from five kinds of benign programs and 20 famous RATs show that PRATD can effectively detect RATs, it can achieve a TPR as high as 93.609% with a False Positive Rate (FPR) as low as 0.407% for the known RATs, a TPR 81.928% and FPR 0.185% for the unknown RATs, which suggests it is a competitive candidate for RAT detection.

Evidence for Age-Adjusted D-Dimer to Rule out Pulmonary Embolism: An Institutional Study

2020 ◽  
Vol 154 (Supplement_1) ◽  
pp. S5-S5
Author(s):  
Ridin Balakrishnan ◽  
Daniel Casa ◽  
Morayma Reyes Gil
Keyword(s):  
Pulmonary Embolism ◽  
False Positive ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Moderate Risk ◽  
Older Population ◽  
Statistical Measures ◽  
Positive Rate ◽  
Risk Patients ◽  
D Dimer ◽  
Rule Out

Abstract The diagnostic approach for ruling out suspected acute pulmonary embolism (PE) in the ED setting includes several tests: ultrasound, plasma d-dimer assays, ventilation-perfusion scans and computed tomography pulmonary angiography (CTPA). Importantly, a pretest probability scoring algorithm is highly recommended to triage high risk cases while also preventing unnecessary testing and harm to low/moderate risk patients. The d-dimer assay (both ELISA and immunoturbidometric) has been shown to be extremely sensitive to rule out PE in conjunction with clinical probability. In particularly, d-dimer testing is recommended for low/moderate risk patients, in whom a negative d-dimer essentially rules out PE sparing these patients from CTPA radiation exposure, longer hospital stay and anticoagulation. However, an unspecific increase in fibrin-degradation related products has been seen with increase in age, resulting in higher false positive rate in the older population. This study analyzed patient visits to the ED of a large academic institution for five years and looked at the relationship between d-dimer values, age and CTPA results to better understand the value of age-adjusted d-dimer cut-offs in ruling out PE in the older population. A total of 7660 ED visits had a CTPA done to rule out PE; out of which 1875 cases had a d-dimer done in conjunction with the CT and 5875 had only CTPA done. Out of the 1875 cases, 1591 had positive d-dimer results (>0.50 µg/ml (FEU)), of which 910 (57%) were from patients older than or equal to fifty years of age. In these older patients, 779 (86%) had a negative CT result. The following were the statistical measures of the d-dimer test before adjusting for age: sensitivity (98%), specificity (12%); negative predictive value (98%) and false positive rate (88%). After adjusting for age in people older than 50 years (d-dimer cut off = age/100), 138 patients eventually turned out to be d-dimer negative and every case but four had a CT result that was also negative for a PE. The four cases included two non-diagnostic results and two with subacute/chronic/subsegmental PE on imaging. None of these four patients were prescribed anticoagulation. The statistical measures of the d-dimer test after adjusting for age showed: sensitivity (96%), specificity (20%); negative predictive value (98%) and a decrease in the false positive rate (80%). Therefore, imaging could have been potentially avoided in 138/779 (18%) of the patients who were part of this older population and had eventual negative or not clinically significant findings on CTPA if age-adjusted d-dimers were used. This data very strongly advocates for the clinical usefulness of an age-adjusted cut-off of d-dimer to rule out PE.

scholarly journals Mitigation of biases in estimating hazard ratios under non-sensitive and non-specific observation of outcomes–applications to influenza vaccine effectiveness

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ulrike Baum ◽  
Sangita Kulathinal ◽  
Kari Auranen
Keyword(s):  
False Positive ◽  
False Positive Rate ◽  
Vaccine Effectiveness ◽  
Partial Likelihood ◽  
Event Data ◽  
Time To Event ◽  
Positive Events ◽  
Time To Event Data ◽  
Hazard Ratios ◽  
Positive Rate

Abstract Background Non-sensitive and non-specific observation of outcomes in time-to-event data affects event counts as well as the risk sets, thus, biasing the estimation of hazard ratios. We investigate how imperfect observation of incident events affects the estimation of vaccine effectiveness based on hazard ratios. Methods Imperfect time-to-event data contain two classes of events: a portion of the true events of interest; and false-positive events mistakenly recorded as events of interest. We develop an estimation method utilising a weighted partial likelihood and probabilistic deletion of false-positive events and assuming the sensitivity and the false-positive rate are known. The performance of the method is evaluated using simulated and Finnish register data. Results The novel method enables unbiased semiparametric estimation of hazard ratios from imperfect time-to-event data. False-positive rates that are small can be approximated to be zero without inducing bias. The method is robust to misspecification of the sensitivity as long as the ratio of the sensitivity in the vaccinated and the unvaccinated is specified correctly and the cumulative risk of the true event is small. Conclusions The weighted partial likelihood can be used to adjust for outcome measurement errors in the estimation of hazard ratios and effectiveness but requires specifying the sensitivity and the false-positive rate. In absence of exact information about these parameters, the method works as a tool for assessing the potential magnitude of bias given a range of likely parameter values.

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