Adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet and risk of incident type 2 diabetes: the Danish Diet, Cancer and Health cohort

Objective: In 2019 the EAT-Lancet Commission proposed a dietary pattern, defined to be globally environmentally sustainable, but untested directly in population studies with regards to health. We investigated adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet and risk of incident type 2 diabetes in a Danish setting. Research design and methods: In total, 54,232 participants aged 50-64 years at inclusion (1993-1997) with no previous cancer or diabetes diagnoses were included. Dietary data were collected using a validated 192-item food frequency questionnaire, and scored 0 (non-adherence) or 1 (adherence) point for each of the 14 dietary components of the EAT-Lancet diet (range 0-14 points). Incident type 2 diabetes cases were identified using the Danish National Diabetes Register. Hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated using multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Results: During follow-up (median 15 years), 7130 participants developed type 2 diabetes. There was a 22% (95% CI: 14%; 29%) lower risk of type 2 diabetes among those with the greatest adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet (11-14 points) compared to those with the lowest adherence (0-7 points). After further adjusting for potential mediators, the corresponding risk was 17% (95% CI: 8%; 24%) lower. Conclusion: Adherence to the EAT-Lancet diet was associated with a lower risk of developing type 2 diabetes in a middle-aged Danish population.

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Association between living alone and incident type 2 diabetes among middle-aged individuals in Korea: a nationwide cohort study

Scientific Reports ◽

10.1038/s41598-021-82868-z ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 11 (1) ◽

Author(s):

Ga Eun Nam ◽

Wonsock Kim ◽

Kyungdo Han ◽

Jin-Hyung Jung ◽

Byoungduck Han ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Living Alone ◽

Older Individuals ◽

Middle Aged ◽

National Health Insurance System ◽

Incident Type ◽

Incident Type 2 Diabetes

AbstractWe studied the association between living alone and the risk of incident type 2 diabetes in middle-aged individuals using nationwide cohort data from the Korean population. 11,686, 677 middle-aged individuals aged 40–64 years who underwent health examinations by the Korean National Health Insurance System between 2009 and 2012 were followed up until December 31, 2015. The hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analysis. During the median follow-up duration of 5.6 years, 393,438 individuals developed type 2 diabetes. Living alone was significantly associated with incident type 2 diabetes in all adjusted models (HR 1.08; 95% CI 1.07–1.09 in model 4). Individuals who lived alone for < 1 year and 1–7 years were associated with increased HRs of 1.07 (1.04–1.09) and 1.08 (1.07–1.09). Living alone was associated with incident type 2 diabetes in all subgroups. The association was stronger in men than in women and younger individuals than in older individuals. Living alone, even for a short duration, may be an important factor in type 2 diabetes development. Better household conditions and appropriate support to one-person households may be needed to prevent type 2 diabetes.

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Predicting diabetes clinical outcomes using longitudinal risk factor trajectories

BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making ◽

10.1186/s12911-019-1009-3 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 20 (1) ◽

Cited By ~ 1

Author(s):

Gyorgy J. Simon ◽

Kevin A. Peterson ◽

M. Regina Castro ◽

Michael S. Steinbach ◽

Vipin Kumar ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Risk Factor ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cumulative Exposure ◽

Diabetic Patients ◽

Incident Type ◽

Incident Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Electronic Health

Abstract Background The ubiquity of electronic health records (EHR) offers an opportunity to observe trajectories of laboratory results and vital signs over long periods of time. This study assessed the value of risk factor trajectories available in the electronic health record to predict incident type 2 diabetes. Study design and methods Analysis was based on a large 13-year retrospective cohort of 71,545 adult, non-diabetic patients with baseline in 2005 and median follow-up time of 8 years. The trajectories of fasting plasma glucose, lipids, BMI and blood pressure were computed over three time frames (2000–2001, 2002–2003, 2004) before baseline. A novel method, Cumulative Exposure (CE), was developed and evaluated using Cox proportional hazards regression to assess risk of incident type 2 diabetes. We used the Framingham Diabetes Risk Scoring (FDRS) Model as control. Results The new model outperformed the FDRS Model (.802 vs .660; p-values <2e-16). Cumulative exposure measured over different periods showed that even short episodes of hyperglycemia increase the risk of developing diabetes. Returning to normoglycemia moderates the risk, but does not fully eliminate it. The longer an individual maintains glycemic control after a hyperglycemic episode, the lower the subsequent risk of diabetes. Conclusion Incorporating risk factor trajectories substantially increases the ability of clinical decision support risk models to predict onset of type 2 diabetes and provides information about how risk changes over time.

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Association of Oily and Nonoily Fish Consumption and Fish Oil Supplements With Incident Type 2 Diabetes: A Large Population-Based Prospective Study

10.2337/figshare.13342232.v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Guo-Chong Chen ◽

Rhonda Arthur ◽

Li-Qiang Qin ◽

Li-Hua Chen ◽

Zhendong Mei ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Fish Oil ◽

Fish Consumption ◽

Lower Risk ◽

Large Population ◽

Incident Type ◽

Incident Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Oily Fish ◽

Incident Cases

OBJECTIVE To evaluate associations of oily and non-oily fish consumption and fish oil supplements with incident type 2 diabetes (T2D). RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS We included<a> 392,287 middle-aged and older participants </a>(55.0% women) in the UK Biobank who were free of diabetes, major cardiovascular disease, and cancer, and had information on habitual intake of major food groups and use of fish oil supplements at baseline (<a>2006-2010</a>). Of these, <a>163,706</a> participated in 1-5 rounds of 24-h dietary recalls during 2009-2012. RESULTS During a median 10.1 years of follow-up, <a>7,262</a> incident cases of T2D were identified. As compared with participants who reported never consumption of oily fish, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) of T2D were 0.84 (0.78-0.91), 0.78 (0.72-0.85), and 0.78 (0.71-0.86) for those who reported <1 serving/week, weekly, and ≥2 servings/week of oily fish consumption, respectively (P-trend <0.001). Consumption of non-oily fish was not associated with risk of T2D (P-trend = 0.45). Participants who reported regular fish oil use at baseline had a 9% (95% CI: 4%-14%) lower risk of T2D as compared with non-users. Baseline regular users of fish oil who also reported fish oil use during at least one of the 24-h dietary recalls had an 18% (95% CI: 8%-27%) lower risk of T2D when compared with constant non-users. CONCLUSIONS Our findings suggest that consumption of oily fish, but not non-oily fish, was associated with a lower risk of T2D. Use of fish oil supplements, especially constant use over time, was also associated with a lower risk of T2D.

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Abstract MP05: Leisure-Time Running and Incident Type 2 Diabetes

Circulation ◽

10.1161/circ.131.suppl_1.mp05 ◽

2015 ◽

Vol 131 (suppl_1) ◽

Author(s):

Duck-chul Lee ◽

Carl J. Lavie ◽

Timothy S. Church ◽

Xuemei Sui ◽

Steven N. Blair

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Lower Risk ◽

Leisure Time ◽

Cox Regression ◽

Smoking Status ◽

Physical Activities ◽

Incident Type ◽

Incident Type 2 Diabetes

Introduction: There is still little evidence on the dose-response relation between leisure-time running and incident type 2 diabetes (T2D). Hypothesis: We examined the hypothesis that running reduces the risk of developing T2D. Methods: Participants were 19,347 adults aged 18 to 100 years (mean age, 44) who received an extensive preventive medical examination during 1974-2006 in the Aerobics Center Longitudinal Study. Participants were free of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and T2D at baseline. Running and other physical activities were assessed on the medical history questionnaire by self-reported leisure-time activities during the past 3 months. We defined T2D as fasting glucose ≥126 mg/dl, insulin use, or physician-diagnosis during follow-up medical examinations. Cox regression was used to quantify the association between running and T2D after adjusting for baseline age, sex, examination year, body mass index, smoking status, heavy alcohol drinking, abnormal electrocardiogram, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and levels of other physical activities. Results: During an average follow-up of 6.5 years, 1,015 adults developed T2D. Approximately 30% of adults participated in leisure-time running. Runners had a 29% lower risk of developing T2D compared with non-runners. The hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) of T2D were 0.97 (0.74-1.27), 0.66 (0.49-0.89), 0.62 (0.45-0.85), 0.78 (0.58-1.03), and 0.57 (0.42-0.79) across quintiles (Q) of running time (minutes/week); 0.99 (0.76-1.30), 0.60 (0.44-0.82), 0.72 (0.55-0.94), 0.65 (0.47-0.90), and 0.63 (0.47-0.86) across Q of running distance (miles/week); 1.08 (0.83-1.40), 0.67 (0.50-0.90), 0.70 (0.53-0.93), 0.61 (0.45-0.83), and 0.53 (0.36-0.76) across Q of running frequency (times/week); 0.95 (0.73-1.24), 0.70 (0.52-0.94), 0.62 (0.45-0.84), 0.73 (0.55-0.97), and 0.58 (0.42-0.80) across Q of total amount of running (MET-minutes/week); and 0.95 (0.71-1.28), 0.76 (0.59-0.99), 0.59 (0.42-0.83), 0.66 (0.51-0.85), and 0.62 (0.43-0.90) across Q of running speed (mph), respectively, compared with no running after adjusting for confounders including levels of other physical activities. Conclusions: Participating in leisure-time running is associated with markedly lower risk of developing T2D in adults. Except for those in the very lowest Q for running doses, even relatively low running doses (starting with Q 2) were associated with marked reductions in T2D risk over time, supporting the prescription of running to reduce T2D.

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Metformin vs sulfonylurea use and risk of dementia in US veterans aged ≥65 years with diabetes

Neurology ◽

10.1212/wnl.0000000000004586 ◽

2017 ◽

Vol 89 (18) ◽

pp. 1877-1885 ◽

Cited By ~ 41

Author(s):

Ariela R. Orkaby ◽

Kelly Cho ◽

Jean Cormack ◽

David R. Gagnon ◽

Jane A. Driver

Keyword(s):

Lower Risk ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Hazard Ratio ◽

Confounding By Indication ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Incident Dementia ◽

Us Veterans

Objective:To determine whether metformin is associated with a lower incidence of dementia than sulfonylureas.Methods:This was a retrospective cohort study of US veterans ≥65 years of age with type 2 diabetes who were new users of metformin or a sulfonylurea and had no dementia. Follow-up began after 2 years of therapy. To account for confounding by indication, we developed a propensity score (PS) and used inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) methods. Cox proportional hazards models estimated the hazard ratio (HR) of incident dementia.Results:We identified 17,200 new users of metformin and 11,440 new users of sulfonylureas. Mean age was 73.5 years and mean HbA1c was 6.8%. Over an average follow-up of 5 years, 4,906 cases of dementia were diagnosed. Due to effect modification by age, all analyses were conducted using a piecewise model for age. Crude hazard ratio [HR] for any dementia in metformin vs sulfonylurea users was 0.67 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.61–0.73) and 0.78 (95% CI 0.72–0.83) for those <75 years of age and ≥75 years of age, respectively. After PS IPTW adjustment, results remained significant in veterans <75 years of age (HR 0.89; 95% CI 0.79–0.99), but not for those ≥75 years of age (HR 0.96; 95% CI 0.87–1.05). A lower risk of dementia was also seen in the subset of younger veterans who had HbA1C values ≥7% (HR 0.76; 95% CI 0.63–0.91), had good renal function (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.76–0.97), and were white (HR 0.87; 95% CI 0.77–0.99).Conclusions:After accounting for confounding by indication, metformin was associated with a lower risk of subsequent dementia than sulfonylurea use in veterans <75 years of age. Further work is needed to identify which patients may benefit from metformin for the prevention of dementia.

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Association of triglyceride to HDL cholesterol ratio with cardiometabolic outcomes

Journal of Investigative Medicine ◽

10.1136/jim-2018-000869 ◽

2018 ◽

Vol 67 (3) ◽

pp. 663-668

Author(s):

May Yang ◽

Joseph Rigdon ◽

Sandra A Tsai

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Density Lipoprotein ◽

Hdl Cholesterol ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Cholesterol Ratio ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards Models ◽

Potential Opportunity

Electronic medical records (EMRs) offer a potential opportunity to identify patients at high risk for cardiometabolic disease, which encompasses type 2 diabetes and cardiovascular disease (CVD). The objective of this retrospective cohort study is to use information gathered from EMR to investigate the association between triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-C) and cardiometabolic outcomes in a general population of subjects over 50 years of age during a follow-up period of 8–9 years. TG/HDL-C was recorded for each of 1428 subjects in 2008, and diagnoses of type 2 diabetes and CVD were recorded through chart review until 2017. Cox proportional hazards models controlling for demographic characteristics and other risk factors demonstrated that high TG/HDL-C (>2.5 in women or >3.5 in men) was significantly associated with increased incidence of type 2 diabetes (HR 1.66; 95% CI 1.07 to 2.57; p=0.0230). There was also a suggested association between high TG/HDL-C and incidence of CVD (HR 1.51; 95% CI 0.98 to 2.35; p=0.0628). These findings suggest that using TG/HDL-C, which can be easily calculated from data in an EMR, should be another tool used in identifying patients at high cardiometabolic risk.

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Greater Adherence to the Portfolio Diet Is Associated with Lower Incidence of Type 2 Diabetes in the Women's Health Initiative

Current Developments in Nutrition ◽

10.1093/cdn/nzab053_027 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 5 (Supplement_2) ◽

pp. 1034-1034

Author(s):

Andrea Glenn ◽

Kenneth Lo ◽

David Jenkins ◽

Beatrice Boucher ◽

Anthony Hanley ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Women's Health ◽

Postmenopausal Women ◽

Lower Risk ◽

Incident Type ◽

Health Initiative ◽

Incident Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Diet Score ◽

The Women’S Health Initiative

Abstract Objectives To assess the association of the plant-based cholesterol-lowering diet, the Portfolio Diet, with incident type 2 diabetes in women. Methods We followed 147,732 postmenopausal women initially free of diabetes in the Women's Health Initiative (WHI) Clinical Trials and Observational Study from 1993 through 2017. Adherence to the Portfolio Diet was assessed using an a priori diet index based on six food categories (high in plant protein [soy & pulses], nuts, viscous fiber, plant sterols and monounsaturated fat, and low in saturated fat) that were previously found to lower cardiovascular risk factors in the Portfolio Diet trials. We used Cox proportional-hazard models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) of the association of adherence to a Portfolio Diet score with incident type 2 diabetes, adjusting for potential confounders (demographics, lifestyle behaviors, and medical history). The Portfolio Diet score was cumulatively assessed at baseline and year three using a validated food frequency questionnaire. Type 2 diabetes diagnosis was ascertained by self-reported medication use. Results There were 14,096 cases of incident type 2 diabetes over a mean follow-up of 14.3 years. In the fully adjusted models, adherence to the Portfolio Diet score was associated with a lower risk of incident type 2 diabetes (HR, 0.88, CIs, 0.83, 0.93; P for trend < 0.001), comparing the highest to lowest quartiles of adherence. Results remained similar across subgroup analyses (age, body mass index, family history of diabetes, and ethnicity) and several sensitivity analyses. Conclusions Among postmenopausal women, higher adherence to the Portfolio Diet was associated with lower incident type 2 diabetes. These findings are the first to show that the Portfolio Diet may be associated with a lower risk of type 2 diabetes and warrants further investigation. Funding Sources The WHI was funded by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, National Institutes of Health, and the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services. AJG was supported by the Banting & Best Diabetes Centre Tamarack Graduate Award in Diabetes Research, the Peterborough K.M. Hunter Charitable Foundation Graduate Award, and an Ontario Graduate Scholarship. JLS was funded by a Diabetes Canada Clinician Scientist Award.

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Association of Oily and Nonoily Fish Consumption and Fish Oil Supplements With Incident Type 2 Diabetes: A Large Population-Based Prospective Study

10.2337/figshare.13342232 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Guo-Chong Chen ◽

Rhonda Arthur ◽

Li-Qiang Qin ◽

Li-Hua Chen ◽

Zhendong Mei ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Fish Oil ◽

Fish Consumption ◽

Lower Risk ◽

Large Population ◽

Incident Type ◽

Incident Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Oily Fish ◽

Incident Cases

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Opposing associations of NT-proBNP with risks of diabetes and diabetes-related complications

10.2337/figshare.12735440 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Anna Birukov ◽

Fabian Eichelmann ◽

Olga Kuxhaus ◽

Elli Polemiti ◽

Andreas Fritsche ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Vascular Complications ◽

Diabetes Risk ◽

Macrovascular Complications ◽

Incident Type ◽

Incident Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Design And Methods ◽

Incident Cases ◽

Healthy Participants

Objective: Circulating N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is a classic diagnostic and prognostic marker for heart failure. However, it is inversely associated with diabetes risk. We aimed to investigate relationships of NT-proBNP with risk of diabetes-related complications in initially healthy individuals. Research Design and Methods: <a>We performed a case-cohort study within the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition (EPIC)-Potsdam cohort including a random subcohort (n=1294) and incident cases of type 2 diabetes (n=649) and cardiovascular diseases (CVD, n=478). Incident cases of type 2 diabetes (n=545) were followed up for micro- (n=133) and macrovascular (n=50) complications. Plasma NT-proBNP was measured at baseline in initially healthy participants.</a> Results: <a></a><a>In multivariable models, NT-proBNP was linearly inversely associated with incident type 2 diabetes, HR (95% CI) per doubling in NT-proBNP: 0.91 (0.86; 0.98). The association was only observable in women, HR (95%CI): 0.80 (0.72; 0.90), compared to 0.98 (0.91; 1.07) in men. Among persons with incident diabetes, NT-proBNP was positively associated with diabetes complications, HR (95% CI): 1.31 (1.13; 1.53) for overall, 1.20 (1.01; 1.43) for micro- and 1.37 (1.03; 1.83) for macrovascular complications. </a> Conclusions: <a>Although higher NT-proBNP levels are associated with lower diabetes risk, in persons who develop diabetes NT-proBNP is a biomarker for vascular complications independent of potential confounders. </a><a>Thus, NT-proBNP might be informative to monitor risk for diabetes-related micro- and macrovascular complications, which should be further explored in future prospective studies.</a>

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Restricted AccessChanges in Plant-Based Diet Indices and Subsequent Risk of Type 2 Diabetes in Women and Men: Three U.S. Prospective Cohorts

10.2337/figshare.13312577.v1 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Zhangling Chen ◽

Jean-Philippe Drouin-Chartier ◽

Yanping Li ◽

Megu Y. Baden ◽

JoAnn E. Manson ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Type 2 Diabetes ◽

Lower Risk ◽

Proportional Hazards ◽

Cox Proportional Hazards ◽

Diabetes Risk ◽

Health Study ◽

Weight Changes ◽

Subsequent Risk

Objective We evaluated the associations between changes in plant-based diets and subsequent risk of type 2 diabetes. Methods We prospectively followed 76,530 women in the Nurses’ Health Study (NHS, 1986-2012), 81,569 women in NHS II (1991-2017), and 34,468 men in the Health Professionals’ Follow-up Study (1986-2016). Adherence to plant-based diets was assessed every 4 years using the overall plant-based diet index (PDI), healthful PDI (hPDI), and unhealthful PDI (uPDI). We used multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs). Results of the three cohorts were pooled using meta-analysis. Results We documented 12,627 cases of type 2 diabetes during 2,955,350 person-years of follow-up. <a>After adjustment for initial BMI, initial and 4-year changes in alcohol intake, smoking, physical activity, and other factors, </a><a>compared with participants whose indices remained relatively stable (±3%), </a><a>participants with the largest decrease (>10%) in PDI and hPDI over 4 years had a 12%-23% higher diabetes risk in the subsequent 4 years (pooled HR: PDI, 1.12 (95% CI 1.05, 1.20), hPDI, 1.23 (1.16, 1.31)). </a>Each 10% increment in PDI and hPDI over 4 years was associated with a 7%-9% lower risk (PDI, 0.93 (0.91, 0.95), hPDI, 0.91 (0.87, 0.95)). Changes in uPDI were not associated with diabetes risk. Weight changes accounted for 6.0%-35.6% of the associations between changes in PDI and hPDI and diabetes risk. Conclusions Improving adherence to overall and healthful plant-based diets was associated with a lower risk of type 2 diabetes, whereas decreased adherence to such diets was associated with a higher risk.

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