Construction material supply risk management using Asian option contracts: the case of a pipeline project

2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (10) ◽  
pp. 3395-3414
Author(s):  
Mohammad Vahdatmanesh ◽  
Afshin Firouzi
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Scenario Analysis ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Asian Option ◽  
Steel Pipeline ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Price Fluctuations ◽  
Option Contracts ◽  
Pipeline Project ◽  
Total Price

PurposeSteel price uncertainty exposes pipeline projects that are inherently capital intensive to the risk of cost overruns. The current study proposes a hedging methodology for tackling steel pipeline price risk by deploying Asian option contracts that address the shortcomings of current risk mitigation strategies.Design/methodology/approachA stepwise methodology is introduced, which uses a closed-form formula as an Asian option valuation method for calculating this total expenditure. The scenario analysis of three price trends examines whether or not the approach is beneficial to users. The sensitivity analysis then has been conducted using the financial option Greeks to assess the effects of changes in volatility in the total price of the option contracts. The total price of the Asian options was then compared with those of the European and American options.FindingsThe results demonstrate that the Asian option expenditure was about 1.87% of the total cost of the case study project. The scenario analysis revealed that, except for when the price followed a continuous downward pattern, the use of this type of financial instrument is a practical approach for steel pipeline price risk management.Practical implicationsThis approach is founded on a well-established financial options theory and elucidates how pipeline project participants can deploy Asian option contracts to safeguard against steel price fluctuations in practice.Originality/valueAlthough the literature exists about the theory and application of financial derivative instruments for risk management in other sectors, their application to the construction industry is infrequent. In the proposed methodology, all participants involved in fixed price pipeline projects readily surmount the risk of exposure to material price fluctuations.

Market efficiency and price risk management of agricultural commodity prices in India

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Manogna R.L. ◽  
Aswini Kumar Mishra
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Price Discovery ◽  
The Other ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Futures Prices ◽  
Agricultural Commodities ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Price Risk Management ◽  
Guar Seed

Purpose Market efficiency leads to transparent and fair price discovery of commodity markets, thus enhancing the value chain for competitive benefit. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the market efficiency of Indian agricultural commodities at spot, futures and mandi markets apart from exploring price risk management in these markets. Design/methodology/approach This study uses Johansen co-integration, vector error correction model and granger causality for analyzing market efficiency of the nine most liquid agricultural commodities across three markets, namely, spot, futures and mandi. All these nine commodities are traded on National Commodity and Derivatives Exchange. Findings The statistical results indicate price discovery exists in the mandi market and spot market leading to futures prices. Mandi price returns are seen to negatively influence futures returns in the case of cotton seed, guar seed and spot returns in the case of jeera, coriander and chana. For castor seed, the three markets are seen to have no long run relationship. The results of Granger causality reveal short run relationship between all the three markets in the case of soybean seed and coriander. In these commodities, prices in all three markets are capable of predicting the prices in the other markets. For the case of cottonseed, Rape Mustard seed, jeera, guar seed, the results indicate unidirectional causality between the mandi markets and the other two markets. Research limitations/implications These results shall facilitate policymakers to explore intervention through integrated agri-platform (IAP) in price discovery and market efficiency. Practical implications The results of this study are useful in understanding the price discovery of mandi markets and its role in the spot and futures market. Agricultural commodities price discovery depends upon the integration of all these three markets. Introduction of IAP as described in the paper shall facilitate price risk management apart from improving the efficiency of price discovery. Originality/value To the best of the knowledge, this is the first study considering mandi, spot and futures prices in the price discovery process in India. In addition, this study found the role of mandi markets in serving the economic function of price discovery and price risk management. Hence, suggests for policy intervention for Indian agricultural commodities to manage price risk.

The specialty coffee trading company (TSCT): future and option contracts

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 1-18
Author(s):  
Mauricio Jenkins ◽  
Francisco Barbosa
Keyword(s):  
Latin American ◽  
Fair Trade ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Production Chain ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Put Options ◽  
Fair Trade Coffee ◽  
Option Contracts ◽  
Academic Level ◽  
Specialty Coffee

Learning outcomes The main pedagogical objectives of the case are: illustrate how Latin American companies dedicated to the production and harvesting of commodities can be vertically integrated to gain a larger share of the value created throughout the production chain. Understand how futures and options contracts in commodities can be used to hedge price risk on long and short positions in the underlying products. Understand how option contracts add value by hedging risk in those contexts where the counterparty has optionality. Discuss the implications of Fair Trade for commodity traders and producers. Case overview/synopsis In the case, Hernan Arosamena, CFO of The Specialty Coffee Trading Co. (TSCT), faces the challenge of designing an effective strategy to hedge the price risk caused by the increasing demand of the so-called Fair Trade coffee. Hernan Arosamena decides to review how the company has typically managed the price risk in its business transactions using future contracts to then incorporate the additional elements that trading Fair Trade coffee may entail. The typical price risk hedging strategy involves the use of coffee future contracts in long and short positions to ensure that the company obtains the desired margin in its coffee trading negotiations. To hedge the exposure to the risk of fluctuations in the price of coffee when the company sells Fair Trade coffee requires the additional use of put options. Complexity academic level The case is appropriate for students enrolled in courses or specialization programs at both the undergraduate and graduate levels. Supplementary materials Teaching notes are available for educators only. Subject code CSS 5: International Business.

scholarly journals Price discovery and market efficiency of cardamom in India

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
A.N. Vijayakumar
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Price Discovery ◽  
Market Mechanism ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Futures Contract ◽  
Forward Market ◽  
Day Of The Week ◽  
Price Risk Management

Purpose Transparent and fair price discovery is essential to commodity market participants in the trade value chain for competitive benefit. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the price discovery of Indian cardamom at e-auction, spot and futures markets in addition to the existence of the day of the week effect at e-auction apart from exploring a novel price risk management framework. Design/methodology/approach This study used Johansen co-integration, vector error correction model, Granger causality and regression with dummy variables to understand a day of the week effect in high-value agri-commodity of cardamom e-auction prices. These price data were based on authenticated sources of Spices Board India and Multi Commodity Exchange of India Ltd. Findings The statistical results indicate price discovery exists in the e-auction market and it leads to spot and futures prices. cardamom e-auction prices are negatively related to cardamom futures and positively related to spot prices. It also finds the non-existence of the day of the week effect in the high-value cardamom e-auction system in India. The study revealed that a cardamom e-auction is more active in price discovery than a cardamom futures contract. Research limitations/implications These results shall facilitate policymakers to explore intervention of online forward market mechanism at the national level to ensure price discovery and market efficiency. However, the study did not explore reasons for the non-equilibrium of a cardamom futures contract with spot and e-auction market. Practical implications The results of this study are useful in understanding the price discovery of cardamom e-auction and its role in the spot and futures market. Cardamom price discovery depends upon the e-auction system; any change of auction policy shall be binding on Indian cardamom prices. The introduction of an online forward market mechanism as described in the paper shall facilitate price risk management apart from improving the efficiency of price discovery. Originality/value This is the first study considering cardamom e-auction, spot and futures prices in the price discovery process in India. Statistical results of a day of the week effect clearly show no significant volatility of cardamom prices during the week. Besides, this study did not find the role of cardamom futures contracts intended to serve the economic function of price discovery and price risk management. Hence, suggests policy intervention for implementing an online Forward Market mechanism for Indian cardamom to ensure market efficiency and manage price risk.

Price risk management in BOT railroad construction projects using financial derivatives

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 349-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohammad Vahdatmanesh ◽  
Afshin Firouzi
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Construction Projects ◽  
Financial Derivatives ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
European Options ◽  
Financial Industry ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Construction Company ◽  
Construction Companies ◽  
Valuation Model

Purpose Railroad transit infrastructures are amongst major capital-intensive projects worldwide, which impose significant risks to the contractors of build-operate-transfer projects because of the fluctuations in steel price fluctuation. The purpose of this paper is to introduce a methodology for hedging steel price risk using financial derivatives. Design/methodology/approach Cox–Ross valuation lattice has been used as an option valuation model for determining option’s price for the construction companies involved in fixed-price railroad projects. A sensitivity analysis has been conducted using the financial option Greeks to evaluate the impacts of option’s pricing factors in the total price of option. Findings The result of valuation shows that European options cost to safeguard against the effects of price risk is only a fraction in contrast to the total cost of steel procurement for a typical railroad construction company. This confirms that using this kind of financial derivative is a beneficial yet effective approach for hedging steel price risk for railroad construction companies. Practical implications The applicability of the financial derivatives, both exchange-traded and over-the-counter instruments, is evident in broad financial industry. This paper shows how European options can be readily used for risk management of a typical railroad project, and explains the methodology in a step-by-step procedure. Originality/value Although the financial engineering literature is rife of theory and application of derivatives in various contexts, to the best knowledge of authors there is only few papers on the application of these well-developed financial instruments for risk management in construction industry. This study intends to illustrate how financial derivatives can add value to risky construction projects and shed new light in this important application area.

Aditya Birla Money: developing options of investment strategy

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 1-27
Author(s):  
Sangram Keshari Jena ◽  
Ashutosh Dash
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Financial Risk ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Investment Strategy ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Market Conditions ◽  
Financial Risk Management ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Portfolio Manager ◽  
Option Strategies

Subject area Financial derivative and risk management. Study level/applicability The case is intended to be used for MBA and BBA programs in the elective courses such as derivatives and risk management, financial engineering, financial risk management and portfolio management, and for executives aspiring for the fund manager position in industry. The case could also be used in management development programs on financial risk management. Case overview The case was based on the real life experience of a portfolio manager who was entrusted with the responsibility of maximizing return of the portfolio. With the backdrop of dismal performance of the portfolio, the portfolio manager is looking for opportunity in the context of declaration of result by Infosys Ltd, one of the constituents of the portfolio. So the team headed by Nirakar Chaulia was thinking of development and application of option strategies to exploit the result day (i.e. January 14, 2016) opportunity to improve the performance of the portfolio and also reduce the potential of stock price risk. Moreover, the case was designed to help the students develop and assess different option strategies based on their market intuitions. Also, students would be able to apply the option contracts for managing price risk associated with the underlying asset. Expected learning outcomes The case would prepare students to develop different strategies to be exploited in different market conditions and assess their performance. Especially, this case was designed to enable the students to understand options as a special kind of derivative in terms of trading and its payoff, how to initiate directional and volatility trading with options, how to apply options to generate income to enhance the portfolio performance and how to develop option strategies for different market conditions and assess their performance. Supplementary materials Teaching note is available for instructors only. Subject code CSS 1: Accounting and Finance.

Understanding the intention to use commodity futures contracts

2019 ◽  
Vol 79 (5) ◽  
pp. 582-597
Author(s):  
Marius Michels ◽  
Johannes Möllmann ◽  
Oliver Musshoff
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Technology Acceptance ◽  
Risk Reduction ◽  
Political Support ◽  
Commodity Futures ◽  
Futures Contracts ◽  
Equation Modeling ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Intention To Use ◽  
Content Type

Purpose Adoption rates of commodity futures contracts among farmers are rather low in Europe despite their political support. The purpose of this paper is to examine whether the Technology Acceptance Model (TAM) can contribute to the understanding of farmers’ intention to use commodity futures contracts. Here, the authors explicitly distinguish between usage motives for price risk reduction and speculation. Design/methodology/approach The study is based on an online survey with 134 German farmers using partial least squares structural equation modeling to estimate the TAM. Findings The intention to use commodity futures contracts is mostly driven by farmers’ motivation for speculation rather than price risk reduction. Assuming risk averse farmers, this result could explain low adoption rates. Furthermore, perceived ease of use has a positive effect on the intention to use commodity futures contracts. Practical implications Handling of price hedging instruments should be facilitated to increase farmers’ adoption. Effective marketing trainings, which can demonstrate the ability of commodity futures contracts to reduce price risk, could increase farmers’ motivation to use them for their risk management instead of speculation. Originality/value This study analyzes path relationships between constructs expected to influence the intention to use commodity futures contracts which are allowed to be estimated by the TAM in one model. Here, the authors explicitly distinguish between usage motives for price risk reduction and speculation. This is the first study applying the TAM to price risk management tools.

scholarly journals Basics on Commodities Risk Management for Grains Trading

2016 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 7-19
Author(s):  
Piotr Giruć
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Risk Groups ◽  
The State ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Financial Instruments ◽  
State Institutions ◽  
Option Contracts

The purpose of the article is to determine the kinds of risk groups existed on cereal market and presenting possibilities of limiting the undesirable phenomena. An issue appears: what way the subjects of cereal market, producers in particular, should alone neutralize the appearing risk, and when should expect support from the state institutions. More often financial instruments find the solution for agricultural hedgers. Derivatives, such as: forward, future and option contracts are transferring the price risk from producers to intermediaries of the market and are improving the flow of contracts on the cereal market.

Hedging as a Method of Price Risk Management

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lilia Mirgaziyanovna Yusupova ◽  
Irina Arkadevna Kodolova ◽  
Tatyana Viktorovna Nikonova ◽  
Bulat Talgatovich Yakupov
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Price Risk ◽  
Price Risk Management

Risk Management Optimization for Sovereign Debt Restructuring

2015 ◽  
Vol 6 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Andrea Consiglio ◽  
Stavros A. Zenios
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Scenario Analysis ◽  
Sovereign Debt ◽  
Risk Measure ◽  
Policy Tools ◽  
Debt Restructuring ◽  
Tail Risk ◽  
Debt Sustainability ◽  
Scenario Optimization ◽  
Management Optimization

AbstractDebt restructuring is one of the policy tools available for resolving sovereign debt crises and, while unorthodox, it is not uncommon. We propose a scenario analysis for debt sustainability and integrate it with scenario optimization for risk management in restructuring sovereign debt. The scenario dynamics of debt-to-GDP ratio are used to define a tail risk measure, termed

Information security in the South Australian real estate industry

2014 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 24-41 ◽  
Author(s):  
Deepa Mani ◽  
Kim-Kwang Raymond Choo ◽  
Sameera Mubarak
Keyword(s):  
Risk Management ◽  
Information Security ◽  
Real Estate ◽  
South Australia ◽  
Security Threats ◽  
The South ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Real Estate ◽  
Real Estate Sector

Purpose – Opportunities for malicious cyber activities have expanded with the globalisation and advancements in information and communication technology. Such activities will increasingly affect the security of businesses with online presence and/or connected to the internet. Although the real estate sector is a potential attack vector for and target of malicious cyber activities, it is an understudied industry. This paper aims to contribute to a better understanding of the information security threats, awareness, and risk management standards currently employed by the real estate sector in South Australia. Design/methodology/approach – The current study comprises both quantitative and qualitative methodologies, which include 20 survey questionnaires and 20 face-to-face interviews conducted in South Australia. Findings – There is a lack of understanding about the true magnitude of malicious cyber activities and its impact on the real estate sector, as illustrated in the findings of 40 real estate organisations in South Australia. The findings and the escalating complexities of the online environment underscore the need for regular ongoing training programs for basic online security (including new cybercrime trends) and the promotion of a culture of information security (e.g. when using smart mobile devices to store and access sensitive data) among staff. Such initiatives will enable staff employed in the (South Australian) real estate sector to maintain the current knowledge of the latest cybercrime activities and the best cyber security protection measures available. Originality/value – This is the first academic study focusing on the real estate organisations in South Australia. The findings will contribute to the evidence on the information security threats faced by the sector as well as in develop sector-specific information security risk management guidelines.

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