Rental rate as an alternative pricing for Islamic home financing

2016 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 601-626 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosylin Mohd Yusof ◽  
Mejda Bahlous ◽  
Roszaini Haniffa
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Islamic Law ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Alternative Measure ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Rental Rate ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to contribute to the banking and housing market literature by proposing an alternative measure of rate of return for Islamic banks that is based on the rental rate of the property. This alternative Islamic mortgage pricing mechanism could be adopted by Islamic banks as a replacement for mortgage rates if it is found to be independent from any form of interest rates as required by Islamic law. Design/methodology/approach By investigating the short run and long run dynamics between rental price index (RPI) and the proposed Islamic Rental Rate (RR-I) and, three selected macroeconomic indicators in the UK via autoregressive distributed lag model, the authors examine the link between RPI, RR-I and the real economy. Findings The findings provide evidence that while RPI in the UK is significantly related to three leading macroeconomic variables, namely, gross domestic product (GDP), real effective exchange rate and interest rates measures, while RR-I is only impacted by changes in GDP. More importantly, the authors show that there is no short or long run dynamics between the rental rate and any form of interest rates. Research limitations/implications This paper did not attempt to investigate the impact of the physical attributes of the rental property to formalize the model describing the relationship between RPI and RR-I. Also, other macroeconomic factors like household income growth, risk, house value growth rate and taxation could be included in future models. Practical implications As Rental Rate is not linked to the macroeconomic determinants, it is therefore more stable, resilient and sustainable and, at the same time, making the financing less risky for both parties, as they are less susceptible to economic vulnerabilities. Social implications Some calculations incorporating the proposed RR-I can also be extended to the pricing of products based on other contracts such as Tawarruq, Bai Bithaman Ajil or even Murabahah for a fairer and just pricing to both the banks and customers. Originality/value The results suggest that Islamic banks should consider incorporating the proposed rental rate (RR-I) when pricing their home financing products, as this will lead to less dependence on interest rates for benchmarking. In addition, using the proposed rental rate (RR-I) reduces the exposure to the subjective evaluation by property valuators and speculative macroeconomic elements.

Macroeconomic shocks, fragility and home financing in Malaysia: can rental index be the answer?

2018 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-44 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rosylin Mohd Yusof ◽  
Farrell Hazsan Usman ◽  
Akhmad Affandi Mahfudz ◽  
Ahmad Suki Arif
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Macroeconomic Shocks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Rental Rate ◽  
Conventional Banks ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Conventional And Islamic Banks

Purpose This study aims to investigate the interactions among macroeconomic variable shocks, banking fragility and home financing provided by conventional and Islamic banks in Malaysia. Identifying the causes of financial instability and the effects of macroeconomic shocks can help to foil the onset of future financial turbulence. Design/methodology/approach The autoregressive distributed lag bound-testing cointegration approach, impulse response functions (IRFs) and forecast error variance decomposition are used in this study to unravel the long-run and short-run dynamics among the selected macroeconomic variables and amount of home financing offered by both conventional and Islamic banks. In addition, the study uses Granger causality tests to investigate the short-run causalities among the selected variables to further understand the impact of one macroeconomic shock to Islamic and conventional home financing. Findings This study provides evidence that macroeconomic shocks have different long-run and short-run effects on amount of home financing offered by conventional and Islamic banks. Both in the long run and short run, home financing provided by Islamic banks is more linked to real sector economy and thus is more stable as compared to home financing provided by conventional banks. The Granger causality test reveals that only gross domestic product (GDP), Kuala Lumpur Syariah Index (KLSI)/Kuala Lumpur Composite Index (KLCI) and house price index (HPI) are found to have a statistically significant causal relationship with home financing offered by both conventional and Islamic banks. Unlike the case of Islamic banks, conventional home financing is found to have a unidirectional causality with interest rates. Research limitations/implications This study has focused on analyzing the macroeconomic shocks on home financing. However, this study does not assess the impact of financial deregulation and enhanced information technology on amount of financing offered by both conventional and Islamic banks. In addition, it is not within the ambit of this present study to examine the effects of agency costs and information asymmetry. Practical implications The analysis of cointegration and IRFs exhibits that in the long run and short run, home financing provided by Islamic banks are more linked to real sector economy like GDP and House Prices (HPI) and therefore more resilient to economic vulnerabilities as compared to home financing provided by conventional banks. However, in the long run, both conventional and Islamic banks are more susceptible to fluctuations in interest rates. The results of the study suggest that monetary policy ramifications to improve banking fragility should focus on stabilizing interest rates or finding an alternative that is free from interest. Social implications Because interest plays a significant role in pricing of home loans, the potential of an alternative such as rental rate is therefore timely and worth the effort to investigate further. Therefore, Islamic banks can explore the possibility of pricing home financing based on rental rate as proposed in this study. Originality/value This paper examines the unresolved issues in Islamic home financing where Islamic banks still benchmark their products especially home financing, to interest rates in dual banking system such as in the case of Malaysia. To the best of the authors’ knowledge, studies conducted in this area are meager and therefore is imperative to be examined.

The impact of macroeconomic variables on the budget deficit in Bangladesh: an econometric analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Md. Mahbub Alam ◽  
Md. Nazmus Sadekin ◽  
Sanjoy Kumar Saha
Keyword(s):  
Granger Causality ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Budget Deficit ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
The Impact

PurposeThis paper aims to investigate the impact of selected macro-economic variables like real effective exchange rate (REER), GDP, inflation (INF), the volume of trade (TR) and money supply (M2) on-budget deficit (BD) in Bangladesh over the period of 1980–2018.Design/methodology/approachBy using secondary data, the paper uses the Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) and Granger Causality test. Johansen’s cointegration test is used to examine the long-run relationship among the variables under study.FindingsJohansen’s cointegration test result shows that there exists a positive long-run relationship of selected macroeconomic variables (real effective exchange rate, inflation, the volume of trade and money supply) with the budget deficit, whereas GDP has a negative one. The short-run results from the VECM show that GDP, inflation and money supply have a negative relationship with the budget deficit. The Granger Causality test results reveal unidirectional causal relationships running from BD to REER; TR to BD; M2 to BD; GDP to REER; M2 to REER; INF to GDP; GDP to TR; M2 to GDP and bidirectional causal relationship between GDP and BD; TR and REER; M2 and TR.Originality/valueBangladesh has been experiencing a budget deficit since 1972 due to a decline in sources of revenue. This study contributes to the empirical debate on the causal nexus between macroeconomic variables and budget deficits by employing VECM and Granger Causality approaches.

Profit- and loss-sharing impact on Islamic bank liquidity in GCC countries

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (9) ◽  
pp. 1791-1806
Author(s):  
Khoutem Ben Jedidia
Keyword(s):  
Liquidity Risk ◽  
Profit Sharing ◽  
Capital Adequacy ◽  
Empirical Literature ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Islamic Bank ◽  
Gcc Countries ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically assess the impact of the principle of profit- and loss-sharing (PLS) on the exposure to liquidity risk of Islamic banks in Gulf Corporation Council (GCC) countries. The Islamic bank activity is distinguished by a PLS principle, which is likely to involve specificities in the bank liquidity issue. Design/methodology/approach This paper investigates the determinants of Islamic bank liquidity over the period 2005–2016 using a panel of 23 Islamic banks in GCC. The system of generalized method of moment estimators is applied. Findings The findings reveal that while profit-sharing investment accounts (PSIAs) are inversely proportional to Islamic bank liquidity, the PLS investment does not seem to act as a determinant of the bank liquidity. The fact that PSIAs are globally short-run accounts, but finance long-run projects leads to a substantial maturity mismatches, which limits the availability of liquidity buffer and exacerbates the bank’s exposure to liquidity risk. Moreover, capital adequacy ratio has significant and positive association with bank liquidity, as a strong capital ratio helps to strengthen the liquidity control. However, return on assets has a negative significant impact on bank liquidity. For instance, if the bank holds more cash, it deprives itself from placing funds and earning returns, which causes its profitability to decline. Practical implications This paper gives further insights to better improve the liquidity risk management in a context of scarcity of Shariah-compliant instruments. Islamic bank needs to determine the PLS purpose and goals to be consistent with the “bank’s financing policy” and convince its depositors to use their deposits for medium and long-run investments. Originality/value Unlike previous empirical research, this investigation tries to better grasp the Islamic bank liquidity issue by focusing on the PLS impact on liquidity risk. It aims to fill in the gap in the empirical literature on this topic.

LIBOR, base rate spreads and the UK housing market

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 118-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Hinch ◽  
Jim Berry ◽  
William McGreal ◽  
Terry Grissom
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
House Prices ◽  
House Price ◽  
Base Rate ◽  
Percentage Change ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Change Models ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to analyse how London Interbank Offered Rate Index (LIBOR) and the spread between LIBOR and the base rate of interest as set by the Bank of England (BoE) influences the variation in house prices in the UK. Design/methodology/approach – This paper uses monthly data over a long time series, since 1986, to investigate the relationships between house price and LIBOR. Data are drawn from several different sources to include housing, financial and macro-economic variables. The time series is sub-divided into a series of splines based on stages in the economic and property market cycle. Both value-based and percentage change models are developed. Findings – The results show that BoE base/LIBOR margin variable has a strong positive and significant effect on house price; however, the percentage change model infers a weaker and inverse relationship. The spline analysis re-emphasised the significance of the BoE base/LIBOR margin variable. Where variation between base rates and LIBOR is reduced, a significant positive effect can be observed in the average house price; however, where significant variation exists, the BoE base/LIBOR margin has little effect and LIBOR itself becomes a significant driver. Research limitations/implications – The results highlight that the predictive qualities of the BoE base/LIBOR margin, as the contribution of this margin to the explanation of house price, exceeds both the base rate and LIBOR variables individually. Also highlighted is the contribution of unemployment to the explanation of house price. In both the value and percentage change models, unemployment is shown as a negative and highly significant contributor. Originality/value – Previous papers have demonstrated the important linkage between house price and interest rates, the originality in this paper lies in examining the impact of LIBOR and the spreads between LIBOR and base rate as key variables influencing variation in UK house prices.

scholarly journals Medium-Run Implications of Changing Demographic Structures for the Macro-Economy

2017 ◽  
Vol 241 ◽  
pp. R58-R64 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yunus Aksoy ◽  
Henrique S. Basso ◽  
Ron P. Smith
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Poor Performance ◽  
Theoretical Work ◽  
Output Growth ◽  
Annual Growth Rate ◽  
Demographic Structure ◽  
Real Interest Rates ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Uk ◽  
The Impact

While there may be an important, but transitory, cyclical component in the poor performance of the past decade, we will emphasise the secular forces: the impact of demographic structure and innovation. We draw on the empirical and theoretical work reported in Aksoy, Basso, Smith and Grasl (2015), ABSG, about the impact of changes in demographic structure on macroeconomic outcomes. This suggests that changes in age profile not only have significant implications for savings, investment, real interest rates and growth but also for innovation. The size of the effects seems plausible. For instance, if in 2015 the UK had the 1970 age structure, it would have added 0.68 percentage points to the long-run annual growth rate. The model suggests that the population ageing predicted for the next decades will tend to reduce output growth and real interest rates across OECD countries.

scholarly journals Long-run drivers and short-term dynamics of Swedish real house prices

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 45-72 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maher Asal
Keyword(s):  
House Prices ◽  
Housing Prices ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Mortgage Interest ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Impact

Purpose This paper aims to assess the long-run drivers and short-term dynamics of real house prices in Sweden for 1986Q1 to 2016Q4. More specifically, the author examines the extent to which real house prices are determined by affordability, demographics and asset price factors. Design/methodology/approach The author conducts a cointegration analysis and applies a vector autoregression model to examine the long- and short-run responsiveness of Swedish real house prices to a number of key categories of fundamental variables. Findings The empirical results indicate that house prices will increase in the long run by 1.04 per cent in response to a 1 per cent increase in household real disposable income, whereas real after-tax mortgage interest and real effective exchange rates show average long-term effects of approximately – 8 and – 0.7 per cent, respectively. In addition, the results show that the growth of real house prices is affected by growth in mortgage credit, real after-tax mortgage interest rates and disposable incomes in the short run, whereas the real effective exchange rate is the most significant determinant of Swedish real house appreciation. Originality/value The impact of the two lending restrictions been implemented after the financial crisis – the mortgage cap in October 2010 and the amortization requirement in June 2016 – are ineffective to stabilize the housing market. This suggests that macroprudential measures designed to ease pressure on housing prices and reduce risks to financial stability need to focus on these fundamentals and address the issues of tax deductibility on mortgage rates and the gradual implementation of debt-to-income limits to contain mortgage demand and improve households’ resilience to shocks.

Rising prices are not a long-run UK economy risk

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Relative Price ◽  
Real Interest Rates ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Past ◽  
Price Adjustments ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Future ◽  
High Inflation ◽  
The Uk

Significance There is little risk that inflation will return to heights seen in the 1980s as the authorities have the tools to control high inflation. However, their effective deployment depends on cooperation between the BoE and Her Majesty's Treasury (HM Treasury -- the finance ministry). Impacts The long-run demographic forces that kept real interest rates low in the past will continue to keep them low in the future. Low real rates and little risk of high inflation mean nominal rates will also remain low. Moderate inflation in the range 0-5% can be expected over the next decade. A dose of moderate inflation will be useful for the UK economy as it will ease the relative price adjustments needed during the recovery.

scholarly journals MACROECONOMICS INDICATORS AND BANK STABILITY: A CASE OF BANKING IN INDONESIA

2016 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 431-448
Author(s):  
Norzitah Abdul Karim ◽  
Syed Musa Syed Jaafar Al-Habshi ◽  
Muhamad Abduh
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Commercial Banks ◽  
Banking Industry ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Bank Stability ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Stability ◽  
The Impact

This paper provides new empirical evidence of the bank stability in relation to the macroeconomic indicator of Indonesia. The bank stability is first calculated using Z-score, and then regressed using Autoregressive distributive lag (ARDL) model on the macroeconomic variables i.e. Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in US dollar, Interest rates (IR) in percentage and Consumer Price Index (CPI). To analyse further the long run relationship and the impact of bank stability, Cholesky standard deviation shock to the model, ARDL and Impulse Response Function (IRF) are used. These ARDL and IRF are carried out independently and repeated over data for three different models: (i) the commercial banks model, (ii) Islamic banks model, and (iii) the overall banking industry model. The empirical findings suggest long run relationship between the stability of commercial banks and macroeconomic factors. The findings also suggest the long run relationship between the stability of overall banking industry and macroeconomic factors. However, there is no evidence of long run relationship between the stability of Islamic banks and macroeconomics factors. Nevertheless, this finding is subject to the limitation of data, on the number of Islamic banks included in the test. The sample of Islamic banks was 5 banks from a total of 10 Islamic banks, due to insufficient data, as compared to the larger number of commercial banks taken into, as the sample.

Conventional and Islamic banks deposit rates as inflation hedges: the case of Malaysia

2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 128-139
Author(s):  
Siew Peng Lee ◽  
Mansor Isa
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Data Series ◽  
Islamic Banks ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Islamic Bank ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Inflation Hedging ◽  
Conventional And Islamic Banks

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to examine the extent to which conventional and Islamic bank fixed deposit rates can protect depositors against inflation in the Malaysia context. Design/methodology/approach Nominal interest rates are represented by commercial bank fixed deposit and investment bank fixed deposit rates. The authors use monthly data over the period 2000–2016. The authors apply the autoregressive distributed lag bounds testing methodology to test the existence of long-run relationship between nominal rates and inflation, and the error-correction model to test for the short-run dynamics. Findings The results show that the nominal interest rate and inflation are cointegrated for all the data series. The evidence indicates that all the fixed deposit rates, for both conventional and Islamic banks are effective inflation hedges in the long-run thereby supporting the Fisher hypothesis. There is no difference in the inflation hedging ability between conventional bank rates and Islamic bank rates. However, the authors find no evidence of the short-run relationship between interest rates and inflation for either bank. Practical implications Bank regulators should be concerned on the similarities in behaviour towards inflation between conventional and Islamic rates, given that the deposit rates for both banks are supposedly set based on different premises. Bank customers, they should deposit their money for the long horizon in order to protect themselves against inflation. Depositors worrying about inflation should be indifferent between conventional or Islamic as both banks provide similar inflation hedging characteristics. Originality/value The novelty of this study is in using the bank fixed deposit rates to study the Fisher effect in an emerging market and in comparing the conventional and Islamic bank rates in terms of their inflation hedging ability.

The determinants of ASEAN-5 real effective exchange rate vis-á-vis the UK pound

2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 98-118 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdalrahman AbuDalu ◽  
Elsadig Musa Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
Short Run ◽  
The Uk ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to present an empirical analysis of long-run and short-run forcing variables of purchasing power parity (PPP) for ASEAN-5 currencies vis-à-vis the UK pound, i.e. their real effective exchange rate (REER). Design/methodology/approach – This study uses a recently developed autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) approach to co-integration (Pesaran et al., 2001) over the period 1991:Q1-2006:Q2. Our empirical results suggest that the foreign interest rate (R*) and domestic money supply (M1) are the significant long-run forcing variables of PPP for ASEAN-5 REERs for the three periods. Findings – In the short-run, the variables have different impacts during the sub-periods and full period for ASEAN-5 countries. The results suggest that the domestic money supply (M1) for Malaysia, domestic interest rate and foreign interest rate (R*) for Indonesia, domestic money supply (M1) and term of trades (TOT) for Philippines, foreign interest rate (R*) for Thailand, and foreign interest rate (R*) and net foreign assets (NFA) for Singapore, respectively, have the highest significant short-run forcing variable of PPP for countries REERs. Originality/value – In this respect, the outcomes can derive policy implication for the monetary authorities in these ASEAN-5 countries.

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