Dynamic prioritization of equipment and critical failure modes

Kybernetes ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (9) ◽  
pp. 1913-1941 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohamadreza Mahmoudi ◽  
Hannan Amoozad Mahdiraji ◽  
Ahmad Jafarnejad ◽  
Hossein Safari

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to identify critical equipment by dynamically ranking them in interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy (IVIF) circumstances. Accordingly, the main drawbacks of the conventional failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) are eliminated. To this end, the authors have presented the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy condition-based dynamic weighing method (IVIF-CBDW). Design/methodology/approach To realize the objective, the authors used the IVIF power weight Heronian aggregation operator to integrate the data extracted from the experts’ opinions. Moreover, the multi-attributive border approximation area comparison (MABAC) method is applied to rank the choices and the IVIF-CBDW method to create dynamic weights appropriate to the conditions of each equipment/failure mode. The authors proposed a robust FMEA model where the main drawbacks of the conventional risk prioritization number were eliminated. Findings To prove its applicability, this model was used in a case study to rank the equipment of a HL5000 crane barge. Finally, the results are compared with the traditional FMEA methods. It is indicated that the proposed model is much more flexible and provides more rational results. Originality/value In this paper, the authors have improved and used the IVIF power weight Heronian aggregation operator to integrate information. Furthermore, to dynamically weigh each equipment (failure mode), they presented the IVIF-CBDW method to determine the weight of each equipment (failure mode) based on its equipment conditions in the O, S and D criteria and provide the basis for the calculation. IVIF-CBDW method is presented in this study for the first time. Moreover, the MABAC method has been performed, to rank the equipment and failure mode. To analyze the information, the authors encoded the model presented in the robust MATLAB software and used it in a real sample of the HL5000 crane barge. Finally, to evaluate the reliability of the model presented in the risk ranking and its rationality, this model was compared with the conventional FMEA, fuzzy TOPSIS method, the method of Liu and the modified method of Liu.

Information ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 313 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lelin Lv ◽  
Huimin Li ◽  
Lunyan Wang ◽  
Qing Xia ◽  
Li Ji

Failure Mode and Effect Analysis (FMEA) is a useful risk assessment tool used to identify, evaluate, and eliminate potential failure modes in numerous fields to improve security and reliability. Risk evaluation is a crucial step in FMEA and the Risk Priority Number (RPN) is a classical method for risk evaluation. However, the traditional RPN method has deficiencies in evaluation information, risk factor weights, robustness of results, etc. To overcome these shortcomings, this paper aims to develop a new risk evaluation in FMEA method. First, this paper converts linguistic evaluation information into corresponding interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (IVIFNs) to effectively address the uncertainty and vagueness of the information. Next, different priorities are assigned to experts using the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy priority weight average (IVIFPWA) operator to solve the problem of expert weight. Then, the weights of risk factors are subjectively and objectively determined using the expert evaluation method and the deviation maximization model method. Finally, the paper innovatively introduces the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted averaging (IVIFWA) operator, Tchebycheff Metric distance, and the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy weighted geometric (IVIFWG) operator into the ratio system, the reference point method, and the full multiplication form of MULTIMOORA sub-methods to optimize the information aggregation process of FMEA. The extended IVIF-MULTIMOORA method is proposed to obtain the risk ranking order of failure modes, which will help in obtaining more reasonable and practical results and in improving the robustness of results. The case of the Middle Route of the South-to-North Water Diversion Project’s operation risk is used to demonstrate the application and effectiveness of the proposed FMEA framework.


Author(s):  
Kamal Kumar ◽  
Naveen Mani ◽  
Amit Sharma ◽  
Reeta Bhardwaj

The failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) is widely used an effective pre-accident risk assessment tool to identify, eliminate, and assess potential failure modes in different industries for enhancing the safety and reliability of systems, process, services, and products. Therefore, this chapter presents a new approach to rank the failure modes under the interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy set (IVIFS). For this, a novel measure to measure the fuzziness known as entropy measure is proposed. Some properties and axiom definition of the proposed entropy measure have been presented to show the validity of it. Afterwards, the proposed entropy measure is utilized to obtain the weight of risk factor and developed an approach under the IVIFS environment to determine the risk priority order of failure modes. Finally, a real-life case of FMEA has been discussed to manifest the developed approach, and obtained results are compared with the results obtained by the existing methods for showing the feasibility and validity of the proposed approach.


2020 ◽  
Vol 27 (9) ◽  
pp. 2661-2686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amirhossein Karamoozian ◽  
Desheng Wu

PurposeConstruction projects involve with various risks during all phases of project lifecycle. Failure mode and effective analysis (FMEA) is a useful tool for identifying and eliminating possible risk of failure modes (FMs) and improving the reliability and safety of systems in a broad range of industries. The traditional FMEA method applies risk priority number method (RPN) to calculate risk of FMs. RPN method cannot consider the direct and indirect interdependencies between the FMs and is not appropriate for complex system with numerous components. The purpose of this study is to propose an approach to consider interdependencies between FMs and also using fuzzy theory to consider uncertainties in experts' judgments.Design/methodology/approachThe proposed approach consist of three stages: the first stage of hybrid model used fuzzy FMEA method to identify the failure mode risks and derive the RPN values. The second stage applied Fuzzy Decision-Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (FDEMATEL) method to determine the interdependencies between the FMs which are defined through fuzzy FMEA. Then, analytic network process (ANP) is applied in the third stage to calculate the weights of FMs based on the interdependencies that are generated through FDEMATEL method. Finally, weight of FMs through fuzzy FMEA and FDEMATEL–ANP are multiplied to generate the final weights for prioritization. Afterward, a case study for a commercial building project is introduced to illustrate proficiency of model.FindingsThe results showed that the suggested approach could reveal the important FMs and specify the interdependencies between them successfully. Overall, the suggested model can be considered as an efficient hybrid FMEA approach for risk prioritization.Originality/valueThe originality of approach comes from its ability to consider interdependencies between FMs and uncertainties of experts' judgments.


2016 ◽  
Vol 33 (6) ◽  
pp. 830-851 ◽  
Author(s):  
Soumen Kumar Roy ◽  
A K Sarkar ◽  
Biswajit Mahanty

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to evolve a guideline for scientists and development engineers to the failure behavior of electro-optical target tracker system (EOTTS) using fuzzy methodology leading to success of short-range homing guided missile (SRHGM) in which this critical subsystems is exploited. Design/methodology/approach – Technology index (TI) and fuzzy failure mode effect analysis (FMEA) are used to build an integrated framework to facilitate the system technology assessment and failure modes. Failure mode analysis is carried out for the system using data gathered from technical experts involved in design and realization of the EOTTS. In order to circumvent the limitations of the traditional failure mode effects and criticality analysis (FMECA), fuzzy FMCEA is adopted for the prioritization of the risks. FMEA parameters – severity, occurrence and detection are fuzzifed with suitable membership functions. These membership functions are used to define failure modes. Open source linear programming solver is used to solve linear equations. Findings – It is found that EOTTS has the highest TI among the major technologies used in the SRHGM. Fuzzy risk priority numbers (FRPN) for all important failure modes of the EOTTS are calculated and the failure modes are ranked to arrive at important monitoring points during design and development of the weapon system. Originality/value – This paper integrates the use of TI, fuzzy logic and experts’ database with FMEA toward assisting the scientists and engineers while conducting failure mode and effect analysis to prioritize failures toward taking corrective measure during the design and development of EOTTS.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ammar Chakhrit ◽  
Mohammed Chennoufi

Purpose This paper aims to enable the analysts of reliability and safety system to assess the criticality and prioritize failure modes perfectly to prefer actions for controlling the risks of undesirable scenarios. Design/methodology/approach To resolve the challenge of uncertainty and ambiguous related to the parameters, frequency, non-detection and severity considered in the traditional approach failure mode effect and criticality analysis (FMECA) for risk evaluation, the authors used fuzzy logic where these parameters are shown as members of a fuzzy set, which fuzzified by using appropriate membership functions. The adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system process is suggested as a dynamic, intelligently chosen model to ameliorate and validate the results obtained by the fuzzy inference system and effectively predict the criticality evaluation of failure modes. A new hybrid model is proposed that combines the grey relational approach and fuzzy analytic hierarchy process to improve the exploitation of the FMECA conventional method. Findings This research project aims to reflect the real case study of the gas turbine system. Using this analysis allows evaluating the criticality effectively and provides an alternate prioritizing to that obtained by the conventional method. The obtained results show that the integration of two multi-criteria decision methods and incorporating their results enable to instill confidence in decision-makers regarding the criticality prioritizations of failure modes and the shortcoming concerning the lack of established rules of inference system which necessitate a lot of experience and shows the weightage or importance to the three parameters severity, detection and frequency, which are considered to have equal importance in the traditional method. Originality/value This paper is providing encouraging results regarding the risk evaluation and prioritizing failures mode and decision-makers guidance to refine the relevance of decision-making to reduce the probability of occurrence and the severity of the undesirable scenarios with handling different forms of ambiguity, uncertainty and divergent judgments of experts.


2018 ◽  
Vol 25 (8) ◽  
pp. 2660-2687 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sachin Kumar Mangla ◽  
Sunil Luthra ◽  
Suresh Jakhar

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to facilitate green supply chain (GSC) managers and planners to model and access GSC risks and probable failures. This paper proposes to use the fuzzy failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) approach for assessing the risks associated with GSC for benchmarking the performance in terms of effective GSC management adoption and sustainable production.Design/methodology/approachInitially, different failure modes are defined using FMEA analysis, and in order to decide the risk priority, the risk priority number (RPN) is determined. Such priority numbers are typically acquired from the judgment decisions of experts that could contain the element of vagueness and imperfection due to human biases, and it may lead to inaccuracy in the process of risk assessment in GSC. In this study, fuzzy logic is applied to conventional FMEA to overcome the issues in assigning RPNs. A plastic manufacturer GSC case exemplar of the proposed model is illustrated to present the authenticity of this method of risk assessment.FindingsResults indicate that the failure modes, given as improper green operating procedure, i.e. process, operations, etc. (R6), and green issues while closing the loop of GSC (R14) hold the highest RPN and FRPN scores in classical as well as fuzzy FMEA analysis.Originality/valueThe present research work attempts to propose an evaluation framework for risk assessment in GSC. This paper explores both sustainable developments and risks related to efficient management of GSC initiatives in a plastic industry supply chain context. From a managerial perspective, suggestions are also provided with respect to each failure mode.


Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (12) ◽  
pp. 1418
Author(s):  
Yong Fu ◽  
Yong Qin ◽  
Weizhong Wang ◽  
Xinwang Liu ◽  
Limin Jia

This paper aims toward the improvement of the limitations of traditional failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) and examines the crucial failure modes and components for railway train operation. In order to overcome the drawbacks of current FMEA, this paper proposes a novel risk prioritization method based on cumulative prospect theory and type-2 intuitionistic fuzzy VIKOR approach. Type-2 intuitionistic VIKOR handles the combination of the risk factors with their entropy weight. Triangular fuzzy number intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (TFNIFNs) applied as type-2 intuitionistic fuzzy numbers (Type-2 IFNs) are adopted to depict the uncertainty in the risk analysis. Then, cumulative prospect theory is employed to deal with the FMEA team member’s risk sensitiveness and decision-making psychological behavior. Finally, a numerical example of the railway train bogie system is selected to illustrate the application and feasibility of the proposed extended FMEA model in this paper, and a comparison study is also performed to validate the practicability and effectiveness of the novel FMEA model. On this basis, this study can provide guidance for the risk prioritization of railway trains and indicate a direction for further research of risk management of rail traffic.


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