South Sudan deal needs more buy-in from warring sides

Significance On paper, the agreement -- mediated by the East African Inter-Governmental Authority for Development (IGAD) -- ends the conflict that has beset South Sudan since December 2013 when the ruling party, the Sudan People's Liberation Movement (SPLM) split violently and fighting spread across the country. However, the eleventh hour pressure that forced Kiir to sign underlines the deep mistrust between the warring parties, pointing towards an imperilled implementation period. Impacts The continued risk of violence will prevent the 1.5 million internally displaced civilians from returning to their homes. The 730,000 people that have fled to neighbouring countries will also stay put for the foreseeable future. The tens of thousands of civilian deaths, including targeted massacres by government and rebel forces, will impede reconciliation.

Subject East African oil prospects. Significance Statements by South Sudan’s oil minister that French major Total is poised to sign a new oil exploration agreement have shone a spotlight on the French company’s wider East African strategy and potential key role in regional infrastructure development. Should Total’s mooted interest in South Sudan come to fruition, it would have significant implications for regional energy prospects. Impacts The deal would be a major boost for South Sudan, which seeks new partners to deliver new oil revenues and shore up its collapsing economy. Development of South Lokichar could help revive Kenya’s wider infrastructural aspirations, which had begun to look over-ambitious. Total could catalyse flagging regional cooperation, though it will have to manage expectations of governments and local populations.


Significance CCM presidential candidate John Magufuli easily defeated his rival Edward Lowassa, who was running under the UKAWA opposition banner. However, the controversial annulment of Zanzibar's polls mars the perceived legitimacy of CCM's otherwise comfortable win, setting the new president up for some unwelcome first-term distractions. Impacts The end of the Kitwete era bodes well for improving soured relations with Rwandan President Paul Kagame. Tanzania's new leadership will set the pace for its involvement in East African Community initiatives. However, post-election issues may quell Rwandan hopes that a new Tanzanian leadership could take on a regional peace role vis. Burundi.


Headline SOUTH SUDAN: Ruling party unity faces perils


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Dylan Yanano Mangani ◽  
Richard Rachidi Molapo

The crisis in South Sudan that broke out on the 15th of December 2013 has been the gravest political debacle in the five years of the country’s independence. This crisis typifies the general political and social patterns of post-independence politics of nation-states that are borne out of armed struggles in Africa. Not only does the crisis expose a reluctance by the nationalist leaders to continue with nation-building initiatives, the situation suggests the struggle for political control at the echelons of power within the Sudanese Peoples Liberation Movement.  This struggle has been marred by the manufacturing of political identity and political demonization that seem to illuminate the current political landscape in South Sudan. Be that as it may, the Inter-Governmental Authority on Development (IGAD) hurriedly intervened to find a lasting solution however supportive of the government of President Salva Kirr and this has suggested interest based motives on the part of the regional body and has since exacerbated an already fragile situation. As such, this article uses the Fanonian discourse of post-independence politics in Africa to expose the fact that the SPLM has degenerated into lethargy and this is at the heart of the crisis.


Significance He is Beijing's preferred candidate and appears to have a cordial relationship with President Xi Jinping. He takes the helm at a moment when relations with China are the tensest they have been in more than a decade. Impacts Chu will stick to the '1992 Consensus' that there is only one China. Chu will take a more cautious approach to cross-Strait cooperation than Taiwan's last Kuomintang president, Ma Ying-jeou (2008-16). The task of making the Kuomintang a ruling party again will probably require a more charismatic leader than Chu.


Significance However, criticisms of the government’s attitude towards the deal are mounting, among the peace agreement’s signatories as well as international actors. Impacts Non-signatory groups are unlikely to join the deal, but some individuals or sub-groups may be co-opted with offers of money or positions. A UN arms embargo and US and European targeted sanctions will be maintained. Assessed humanitarian aid needs will remain high.


Keyword(s):  

Headline SOUTH SUDAN: Government will seek to suppress protests


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
David Mutua Mathuva ◽  
Moses Nyangu Nzuki

PurposeIn this paper, the authors investigate whether the systemic local banking crises (LBCs) and global financial crisis (GFC) impact the association between bank profit efficiency and earnings quality in developing economies.Design/methodology/approachUsing panel data spanning 29 years over the period 1991–2019 for 169 banks drawn from five East African countries, the authors perform difference-in-difference multivariate analyses using the generalised method of moments (GMM) system estimator on a sample consisting of 2,261 bank-year observations.FindingsThe results, which are robust for endogeneity and other checks, show that banks with higher profit efficiency consistently report higher quality earnings. The authors further establish that whereas systemic LBCs contribute negatively to bank earnings quality, the GFC tends to have a positive impact. These results are upheld when the joint impacts of both systemic LBCs, GFC and profit efficiency on earnings quality are considered. The positive influence of profit efficiency and GFC on earnings quality is pronounced under income-decreasing earnings management. The impacts of profit efficiency, LBCs and GFC on earnings quality appear to be non-monotonic and vary across the sampled countries.Research limitations/implicationsThe study's findings are based on banks in five developing countries within a regional economic bloc. Additional studies could focus on other economic blocs for enhanced generalisability of the findings. In addition, some of the variables examined are studied at bank-level, while other variables are at country-level. Finally, the study establishes an association between the variables of interest, and this does not necessarily imply causation.Practical implicationsThe results provide useful insights to bank regulatory and supervisory agencies on the need to exercise increased risk-based scrutiny over bank loan loss provisioning and minimum loan loss reserve requirements. From an audit perspective, auditors need to be cautious and apply an enhanced risk-based audit especially when auditing banks during and after a financial, banking or systemic crisis. Credit rating agencies need to pay closer attention to the LLPs of distressed banks. Finally, bank investors and customers should be cautious when using bank financial statements, since bank managers of poorly performing banks might engage in aggressive earnings management.Originality/valueThe study is perhaps the first to examine the joint effects of systemic LBCs on the association between bank profit efficiency and the quality of earnings in a larger dataset of banks in a developing regional economic bloc. The authors also employ the GMM system estimator in the modelling, which helps address some weaknesses in prior studies.


Author(s):  
Richard Oloruntoba ◽  
Ruth Banomyong

PurposeThis “thought paper” is written by the special issue editors as a part of the five papers accepted and published in response to the special issue call for papers on logistics and SCM in the context of relief for refugees and internally displaced persons (IDPs) in theJournal of Humanitarian Logistics and Supply Chain Management. The purpose of this paper is to introduce the special issue on “refugee logistics” and analyse the nature and challenges of displacement from a displaced person’s perspective. The paper also argues for a more critical appreciation of the role and value that research in logistics, operations and supply chain management (LOSCM) can play in the delivery of services and care for refugees and IDPs from the perspective of preparedness and logistics planning of humanitarian organisations. The paper further outlines basic challenges to undertaking innovative, boundary pushing valuable and impactful research on “refugee logistics” given the difficult ideological, political and policy context in which “refugee logistics research” will be undertaken. The paper also advocates for more critical research in humanitarian logistics (HL), that explicitly acknowledges its ontological, epistemological and methodological limitations even when ethically sound. The paper concludes by suggesting a future research agenda for this new sub-field of humanitarian logistics research.Design/methodology/approachConceptual paper utilising viewpoints, literature reviews as well as original ideas and thoughts of the authors.FindingsThe new field of “refugee logistics research” is important. It has been neglected in humanitarian logistics research for too long. Hence, there needs to be more research in this sub-field of humanitarian logistics.Research limitations/implicationsThis is a “thought paper”. It is the basic conceptual ideas of the authors. While it is not based on empirical work or data collection, it is based on a comprehensive literature research and analysis.Social implicationsThis paper advocates for the universal human rights of IDPs and refugees and their dignity, and how LOSCM can contribute to upholding such dignity.Originality/valueIt contributes indirectly to logistics policy and refugee policy as well as logistics service quality and advocacy for human rights and human dignity.


2011 ◽  
Vol 55 (12) ◽  
pp. 5654-5659 ◽  
Author(s):  
Asho Ali ◽  
Rumina Hasan ◽  
Kauser Jabeen ◽  
Nusrat Jabeen ◽  
Ejaz Qadeer ◽  
...  

ABSTRACTThe increasing incidence of extensively drug-resistant (XDR)Mycobacterium tuberculosisin high-tuberculosis-burden countries further highlights the need for improved rapid diagnostic assays. An increasing incidence of XDRM. tuberculosisstrains in Pakistan has been reported, but drug resistance-associated mutations in these strains have not been evaluated previously. We sequenced the “hot-spot” regions ofrpoB,katG,inhA,ahpC,gyrA,gyrB, andrrsgenes in 50 XDRM. tuberculosisstrains. It was observed that 2% of rifampin, 6% of isoniazid, 24% of fluoroquinolone, and 32% of aminoglycoside/capreomycin resistance in XDRM. tuberculosisstrains would be undetected if only these common hot-spot regions were tested. The frequencies of resistance-conferring mutations were found to be comparable among all XDRM. tuberculosisstrain families present, including the Central Asian Strain, Beijing, and East African Indian genogroups and the Unique isolates. Additional genetic loci need to be tested for detection of mutations conferring fluoroquinolone, aminoglycoside, and capreomycin resistance in order to improve molecular diagnosis of regional XDRM. tuberculosisstrains.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document