Erdogan risks second Istanbul election defeat

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Municipal Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Justice And Development Party ◽  
The Government

Significance President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has insisted on repeating municipal elections in Turkey’s largest city, where the mayoral candidate of his Justice and Development Party (AKP) was beaten very narrowly. However, unless he regains the initiative, the opposition may win again, spelling an even greater reverse for the ruling Islamist AKP. Impacts The lira will weaken further. Turkey’s international isolation will increase. The government is likely to step up pressure over Cyprus.

Coalition conflicts carry credibility costs in Chile

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Left Wing ◽  
Municipal Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Reform Programme ◽  
The Future ◽  
General Elections ◽  
The Government

Subject Outlook for the coalition and the government's reform programme. Significance Seventeen months into its four-year term, the centre-left government of President Michelle Bachelet is deeply divided on the future of its reform plans, with the conflicts aggravated by sluggish growth and the administration's mounting unpopularity. There are signs that, looking ahead to October 2016 municipal elections and November 2017 general elections, the centre Christian Democrat Party (PDC) is starting to mark a distance from the government in a bid to appeal to voters alienated by the coalition's left wing. Impacts Infighting within the coalition will persist to the detriment of the government's credibility. For the 2016 municipal elections, the two wings of the coalition will probably field separate candidates. Uncertainty about the government's reform plans will hamper any acceleration of economic growth.

Morocco's parliamentary poll will be tight contest

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Education System ◽  
House Of Representatives ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Coalition Government ◽  
Focus Attention ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Justice And Development Party ◽  
Lower House ◽  
The Government ◽  
First Time

Significance The election for the House of Representatives, the lower house of parliament, will be the second since the constitution was revised in 2011. This specified that the leader of the party winning the largest number of seats should be given the first opportunity to form a government. The revision led to the moderate Islamist party, the Justice and Development Party (PJD), leading the government for the first time after its victory in the November 2011 poll. Impacts The election will focus attention on contentious reforms to pensions, subsidies and the education system. The months ahead will be dominated by speculation about party alliances and the likely shape of a future coalition government. The palace seems ready to accept a second term for Prime Minister Abdelilah Benkirane, but is also keen to see PAM within government.

Mauritanian president’s ambitions may shape elections

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Public Services ◽  
Constitutional Change ◽  
Legislative Elections ◽  
Term Limit ◽  
Municipal Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
National Assembly ◽  
Street Protest ◽  
The Government ◽  
One Year

Subject Prospects for a presidential third term and the upcoming local and legislative elections. Significance Legislative and municipal elections due towards the end of this year will be a significant political test for both the government and President Mohamed Ould Abdelaziz, just one year before the crucial 2019 presidential contest. Despite his denials of any ambition to stand for a third term, there is a widespread expectation that Abdelaziz will seek to remain in office. However, that would mean scrapping the current two-term limit -- a constitutional change that would require a two-thirds majority in the national assembly. Change could provoke protests at home and criticism from Western allies. Impacts The main lines of policy on the economy, the extractives sector and public services would be unlikely to change under a new president. The IMF’s December 2017 decision to approve a new three-year programme provides a stable framework for investors. The regime will crack down hard on any large public street protest that appears likely to gather momentum.

Morocco royalist parties will easily form a government

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Electoral System ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Justice And Development Party ◽  
The Government

Significance Meanwhile, the moderate Islamist Justice and Development Party (PJD), which has headed the government since 2011, suffered a humiliating defeat. Changes in the electoral system had been widely expected to disadvantage the PJD, but not to this extent. Impacts King Mohammed’s already strong personal position will be further strengthened. As it moves into opposition, the PJD will face ongoing decline. The new government faces the immediate challenge of dealing with a crisis in relations with Algeria.

Mali peace process advances despite terrorism

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Far East ◽  
High Tech ◽  
Peace Agreement ◽  
Municipal Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
North East ◽  
The North ◽  
Un Peacekeeping ◽  
The Government ◽  
Financial Power

Subject Progress on the peace agreement. Significance The decentralisation of political and financial power to appointed interim councils for the five regions of northern Mali is a key element of the 2015 peace deal for northern Mali. The government finally took this key step in mid-October, awarding key posts to the Coordination of Azawad Movements (CMA), which had been fighting for autonomy. This may bind the group more strongly into implementation of the peace deal. Impacts The long delayed municipal elections will be a key test of opposition parties' political strength. Jihadist groups will continue their campaign of violence in the north-east, including raids into Niger. Community grievances and jihadism will fuel continuing local violence in Mopti region in central Mali. The UN peacekeeping force will try to strengthen manpower and equipment, but may find it hard to attract high-tech military contributors. The UN force will also open a base in Menaka, in the far east, to counter the resurgent jihadist threat in this area.

Tunisia’s anti-corruption drive could be divisive

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Democratic Transition ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Public Support ◽  
Coalition Government ◽  
Municipal Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
High Profile ◽  
Emergency Powers ◽  
The Government

Subject Anti-corruption campaign. Significance Tunisian Prime Minister Youssef Chahed is pursuing a high-profile campaign against corruption, which has won him public support but also raised questions about his reliance on emergency powers. Anger over corruption has become widespread, and this campaign has improved Chahed’s standing at a time when his coalition government was criticised for ineffectiveness. Impacts Despite fractures within the ruling coalition, the alliance between Nidaa Tounes and Ennahda is in both parties’ interests and will endure. The democratic transition is making progress, but the government has only piecemeal remedies to counter widespread socio-economic protests. Coming municipal elections could restore some of the influence of Islamist party Ennahda.

Turkish opposition triumph will prove temporary

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Turning Point ◽  
Civil Servants ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Justice And Development Party ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Military

Significance He was greeted by a cheering crowd of many tens of thousands. Some Turks see this as a possible turning point in the struggle against the perceived authoritarianism of Justice and Development Party (AKP) rule. Whether that is true or not, it has helped restore the personal image of a leader who has not won an election in seven years. Impacts The government will continue to strike at perceived opponents with arrests -- especially of intellectuals, civil servants and the military. Kilicdaroglu and his party will face growing accusations of involvement in terrorism and further prosecutions of parliamentarians. The heightened climate of nationalism means the debacle in the Cyprus negotiations may be followed by new confrontations with Greece.

Moroccan king is elbowing out political Islamists

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Political Parties ◽  
Public Perception ◽  
Economic Situation ◽  
The Political ◽  
Political Protest ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Justice And Development Party ◽  
The Government

Significance His agenda undermines the government’s political initiative, and continues a process of weakening the political Islamist Justice and Development Party (PJD) that has led the government since 2016. Impacts A worsened economic situation might open a window for more political protest. Economic measures based on a general tax increase could be the trigger of social unrest. The king’s moves are likely to worsen an already negative public perception of political parties and institutions.

New Chilean constitution will be a lengthy process

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Business Leaders ◽  
Constitutional Reform ◽  
Public Consultation ◽  
Reform Process ◽  
Consultation Process ◽  
Municipal Elections ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government ◽  
Lengthy Process

Subject Constitutional reform concerns. Significance On April 13, the government launched a public consultation process as part of its plan to write a new political constitution that it expects to present to Congress in the second half of next year. That process is part of a strategy through which the government is seeking to wriggle out of the last of the main constraints imposed by the 1980 constitution -- the supermajorities in Congress it requires for its reform. Impacts Debate is focusing thus far on the mechanism for constitutional reform, rather than its content. Constitutional reform may emerge as a key issue in the October municipal elections. Business leaders argue that the drawn-out reform process will undermine confidence to the detriment of investment.

A benchmarking study of Indian seaports

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 88-102
Author(s):  
Sajeev Abraham George ◽  
Anurag C. Tumma
Keyword(s):  
Financial Performance ◽  
Future Research ◽  
Data Envelopment ◽  
Operational Parameters ◽  
Two Stage ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Public ◽  
Port Authorities ◽  
Financial Performance Measures ◽  
The Government

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to benchmark the operational and financial performances of the major Indian seaports to help derive useful insights to improve their performance. Design/methodology/approach A two-stage data envelopment analysis (DEA) methodology has been used with the help of data collected on the 13 major seaports of India. The first stage of the DEA captured the operational efficiencies, while the second stage the financial performance. Findings A window analysis over a period of three years revealed that no port was able to score an overall average efficiency of 100 per cent. The study identified the better performing units among their peers in both the stages. The contrasting results of the study with the traditional operational and financial performance measures used by the ports helped to derive useful insights. Research limitations/implications The data used in the study were majorly limited to the available sources in the public domain. Also, the study was limited to the major seaports which are under the Government of India and no comparisons were carried out with other local or international ports. Practical implications There is a need to prioritize investments and improvement efforts where they are most needed, instead of following a generalized approach. Once the benchmark ports are identified, the port authorities and other relevant stakeholders should work in detail on the factors causing inefficiencies, for possible improvements in performance. Originality/value This paper carried out a two-stage DEA that helped to derive useful insights on operational efficiency and financial performance of the India seaports. A combination of the financial and operational parameters, along with a comparison of the DEA results with the traditional measures, provided a different perspective on the Indian seaport performance. Considering the scarcity of research papers reported in the literature on DEA-based benchmarking studies of seaports in the Indian context, it has the potential to attract future research in this field.

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