Israeli coalition prospects may hinge on Likud loyalty
Significance Blue and White received the most seats in the September 17 election -- the second in less than six months -- which ended without a clear victory for either the religious-right bloc or the centre-left bloc. The results turn Avigdor Lieberman, head of the small Yisrael Beiteinu party, into the decisive player in the formation of the next government. Lieberman has said he wants a ‘national unity’ coalition of the two big parties, but major obstacles stand in the way. Impacts The stalemate is likely to lead to prolonged coalition talks. If Netanyahu is indicted on corruption charges following a hearing next month, it may provide impetus for Likud to oust him. The prime minister’s plan to secure parliamentary immunity from impending indictments will not be realised. Netanyahu’s image within the party will also be damaged if Gantz is offered first opportunity to lead coalition talks. If Netanyahu remains Likud leader, he may push for a third election if he cannot get his way.