Prospects for Russian politics in 2022

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Communist Party ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Domestic Policy ◽  
Constitutional Change ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Stable Conditions ◽  
Russian Politics

Subject Prospects for Russian politics in 2022. Significance Now that the Kremlin has dealt with the immediate domestic policy priorities of constitutional change and parliamentary elections, 2022 will be a year of consolidation and continuity. The administration's focus will be on preparing what it regards as optimal, stable conditions for the presidential election in 2024. The Communist Party has a chance to build popularity among anti-government voters, but may not be bold enough given the Kremlin's limited tolerance for rebellious behaviour.

Chile primary results leave presidential contest open

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Communist Party ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Policy Space ◽  
Content Type

Significance In both votes, the frontrunners for the November presidential election were defeated by younger candidates from outside Chile’s traditional political establishment. By eliminating the more extreme candidates, the primaries have reduced uncertainty by narrowing the policy space in which the presidential election will be fought. Impacts The result of the primaries is a major blow for the Communist Party and its bid to capitalise on social discontent. Both Boric and Sichel will face the challenge of appealing to the centre, without losing core voters to more radical options. The COVID-19 pandemic, currently in abeyance, is likely to regain force as the Delta variant arrives and could affect November's election.

All factors point to left-right coalition in Portugal

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Parliamentary Election ◽  
Opinion Poll ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Electoral Cycle ◽  
Opinion Polls

Subject The outlook for the October 4 parliamentary election. Significance The October 4 parliamentary election will be the first since Portugal exited its euro-area/IMF bailout. The poll launches a Portuguese electoral cycle which includes the January 2016 presidential election, and a series of parliamentary elections in euro-area post-bailout states, with Spain and Ireland to follow. Opinion polls suggest a tight race between the governing two-party centre-right alliance and the main opposition Socialists (PS), but -- in contrast to other bailout states -- no breakthrough by any new or radical force. Impacts Given the closeness of parties' opinion poll standings, the campaign period could be decisive. Whatever its make-up, the next government is likely to be committed to fiscal consolidation and Portugal's post-bailout obligations. An election win for Portugal's governing centre-right would be a pre-election fillip for its counterpart in Spain.

Prospects for Russian politics in 2017

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Content Type ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Russian Politics ◽  
Vladimir Putin ◽  
At Home

Subject Prospects for Russian politics in 2017 Significance The authority of President Vladimir Putin was tested at home and abroad in 2016. While the economy continued to struggle, he enjoyed successes with the parliamentary elections and his robust interventionism in Syria, where Russia established itself as the key external player. His success abroad has bolstered his domestic popularity.

Electoral Systems, Campaign Strategies, and Vote Choice in the Ukrainian Parliamentary and Presidential Elections of 1994

1998 ◽  
Vol 46 (1) ◽  
pp. 96-114 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sarah Birch
Keyword(s):  
Communist Party ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Presidential Elections ◽  
Electoral Systems ◽  
Vote Choice ◽  
Campaign Strategies ◽  
Campaign Strategy ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Incentive Structures

In the Ukrainian parliamentary elections of 1994 the Communist party gained the greatest number of seats, yet the presidential election of the same year was won by a liberal reformer, Leonid Kuchma. The question arises as to how within a period of only a few months the Ukrainian electorate could have brought about such divergent results. This article addresses the question with reference to the workings of the Ukrainian electoral systems. It argues firstly, that the systems governing the two types of election created distinctive incentive structures for campaign strategy which interacted with the structure of preferences of the electorate in different ways, and secondly, that majoritarian aggregative formulae had different effects in the two sets of elections.

Uzbekistan parliament power heightens tensions risk

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
The West ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Domestic Security ◽  
Security Service ◽  
Democratic Change ◽  
Presidential Succession ◽  
Run Up

Significance Parliamentary elections in December once again highlighted the executive's firm grip on power and an overall lack of democratic change. On January 30, Karimov will turn 77, yet he is still standing as one of four candidates in the upcoming presidential election. Impacts Uzbekistan's relations with the West will not improve markedly because of lack of progress in democratisation and liberalisation. The security service will be a major force in the presidential succession and a potential power vacuum. A tighter domestic security clampdown is likely in the run-up to the March presidential election.

Russian church will become more politicised

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Civil Liberties ◽  
Orthodox Church ◽  
Russian Government ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
Family Attitudes ◽  
Russian Politics ◽  
Materialistic Values ◽  
Vladimir Putin ◽  
The Church

Subject The Orthodox Church and Russian politics. Significance As the Russian government prepares for September parliamentary elections, it can count on staunch support from the Orthodox Church. The clerical leadership is vocally supportive of President Vladimir Putin, and shares his vision of a separate, conservative Russia. In turn, the church benefits from state beneficence and welcomes Putin's attacks on 'Western' civil liberties. Impacts The church's influence may dilute the appeal of the Communist Party, with overlapping demographics. Church establishment ties to Putin will undermine its credibility among liberal-minded Russians, and some clerics too. Amid economic hardship, church leaders will preach such non-materialistic values as patriotism and traditional family attitudes.

Russian Duma polls pave way for Putin's re-election

2016 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Communist Party ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Democratic Party ◽  
Prime Minister ◽  
Liberal Democratic Party ◽  
Constitutional Amendments ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Liberal Democratic ◽  
Vladimir Putin

Significance Turnout was low, but President Vladimir Putin and other officials have dismissed the significance of this. The new parliament will contain the same parties as its predecessor: United Russia, the Communist Party, the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) and Just Russia. The liberal opposition failed to increase its low level of support. United Russia's success is a victory for Dmitry Medvedev, whose position as prime minister seems more secure than before. Impacts United Russia's three-quarters Duma majority will simplify the passage of constitutional amendments. This power may be used after the 2018 presidential election to remove limits on Putin's terms in office. The 50% of new Duma members who represent constituencies are liable to lobby for local interests. The low turnout suggests opposition-minded voters are demoralised or apathetic.

Prospects for Russian politics in 2018

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Significant Challenge ◽  
Russian Politics ◽  
Vladimir Putin

Subject Prospects for Russian politics in 2018. Significance With no significant challenge emerging ahead of the March 2018 presidential election, Vladimir Putin is set to win one more term. He will probably run as an independent rather than seek the backing of the United Russia party. A handful of other candidates will be allowed to compete: the heads of three parliamentary parties plus media personality Xenia Sobchak.

Solih’s government could fragment in the Maldives

2019 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Military Cooperation ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Parliamentary Elections ◽  
The Government

Subject The new Maldivian government. Significance Ibrahim Mohamed Solih, inaugurated in November after winning the presidential election in September, last month visited Delhi as part of efforts to re-establish the Maldives’s traditional ‘India First’ policy. Solih’s government, an alliance of parties that coalesced to oppose authoritarian, pro-China former President Abdulla Yameen, is implementing domestic reforms at pace. Parliamentary elections are scheduled for April. Impacts The re-entry into politics of formerly jailed politicians and officials will increase factionalism in the government. Indian influence in the Maldives will grow while Chinese influence will diminish, with Delhi likely to increase military cooperation. The Maldives will formally rejoin the Commonwealth.

Prospects for China to end-2017

2017 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Economic Policy ◽  
Communist Party ◽  
Financial Sector ◽  
Domestic Policy ◽  
Security Measures ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Party Congress ◽  
At Home

Subject Prospects for China in the second half of 2017. Significance The second half of 2017 will be overshadowed by the five-yearly Communist Party Congress that will be held in October or November. The emphasis of both foreign and domestic policy until then will be on maintaining stability and preventing crises both at home and abroad. Impacts Debt resolution and cleaning up the financial sector will be the focus of economic policy. Additional security measures that always precede a Party Congress may this time not be relaxed again afterwards. Foreign businesses may be caught up in a politicised crackdown on the financial sector.

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