Analysis of the Impact of COVID-19 Pandemic on Global Economy Using Machine Learning Method

Abstract A cyber-physical system (CPS) is one of the key technologies of industry 4.0. It is an integrated system that merges computing, sensors, and actuators, controlled by computer-based algorithms that integrate people and cyberspace. However, CPS performance is limited by its computational complexity. Finding a way to implement CPS with reduced complexity while incorporating more efficient diagnostics, forecasting, and equipment health management in a real-time performance remains a challenge. Therefore, the study proposes an integrative machine-learning method to reduce the computational complexity and to improve the applicability as a virtual subsystem in the CPS environment. This study utilizes random forest (RF) and a time-series deep-learning model based on the long short-term memory (LSTM) networking to achieve real-time monitoring and to enable the faster corrective adjustment of machines. We propose a method in which a fault detection alarm is triggered well before a machine fails, enabling shop-floor engineers to adjust its parameters or perform maintenance to mitigate the impact of its shutdown. As demonstrated in two empirical studies, the proposed method outperforms other times-series techniques. Accuracy reaches 80% or higher 3 h prior to real-time shutdown in the first case, and a significant improvement in the life of the product (281%) during a particular process appears in the second case. The proposed method can be applied to other complex systems to boost the efficiency of machine utilization and productivity.

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Auto Sector Stock Price Trend Prediction using Decision Tree

International Journal of Recent Technology and Engineering - 2 ◽

10.35940/ijrte.f9882.059120 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 9 (1) ◽

pp. 1131-1134

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Decision Tree ◽

Stock Price ◽

Historical Data ◽

Research Work ◽

Machine Learning Method ◽

Learning Method ◽

Trend Prediction ◽

Price Trend ◽

The Impact

The auto sector stock price trend is based on many national and international uncertain factors. It is challenging to predict the impact of such a factor on the stock price trend as the impact of the same factor varies at different points of time. In this research work, we are predicting the auto sector stock price trend using patterns in the historical data using a machine learning method.

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A Review of Enhancement of Biohydrogen Productions by Chemical Addition Using a Supervised Machine Learning Method

Energies ◽

10.3390/en14185916 ◽

2021 ◽

Vol 14 (18) ◽

pp. 5916

Author(s):

Yiyang Liu ◽

Jinze Liu ◽

Hongzhen He ◽

Shanru Yang ◽

Yixiao Wang ◽

...

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Nano Particles ◽

Supervised Machine Learning ◽

Evolution Rate ◽

Hydrogen Yield ◽

Machine Learning Method ◽

Learning Method ◽

H2 Evolution ◽

Optimal Range ◽

The Impact

In this work, the impact of chemical additions, especially nano-particles (NPs), was quantitatively analyzed using our constructed artificial neural networks (ANNs)-response surface methodology (RSM) algorithm. Fe-based and Ni-based NPs and ions, including Mg2+, Cu2+, Na+, NH4+, and K+, behave differently towards the response of hydrogen yield (HY) and hydrogen evolution rate (HER). Manipulating the size and concentration of NPs was found to be effective in enhancing the HY for Fe-based NPs and ions, but not for Ni-based NPs and ions. An optimal range of particle size (86–120 nm) and Ni-ion/NP concentration (81–120 mg L−1) existed for HER. Meanwhile, the manipulation of the size and concentration of NPs was found to be ineffective for both iron and nickel for the improvement of HER. In fact, the variation in size of NPs for the enhancement of HY and HER demonstrated an appreciable difference. The smaller (less than 42 nm) NPs were found to definitely improve the HY, whereas for the HER, the relatively bigger size of NPs (40–50 nm) seemed to significantly increase the H2 evolution rate. It was also found that the variations in the concentration of the investigated ions only statistically influenced the HER, not the HY. The level of response (the enhanced HER) towards inputs was underpinned and the order of significance towards HER was identified as the following: Na+ > Mg2+ > Cu2+ > NH4+ > K+.

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Forecasting US movies box office performances in Turkey using machine learning algorithms

Journal of Intelligent & Fuzzy Systems ◽

10.3233/jifs-189120 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 39 (5) ◽

pp. 6579-6590

Author(s):

Sandy Çağlıyor ◽

Başar Öztayşi ◽

Selime Sezgin

Keyword(s):

Machine Learning ◽

Global Economy ◽

Learning Algorithms ◽

Forecast Model ◽

Machine Learning Algorithms ◽

Gradient Boosting ◽

High Stakes ◽

Box Office ◽

Industry Forecast ◽

The Impact

The motion picture industry is one of the largest industries worldwide and has significant importance in the global economy. Considering the high stakes and high risks in the industry, forecast models and decision support systems are gaining importance. Several attempts have been made to estimate the theatrical performance of a movie before or at the early stages of its release. Nevertheless, these models are mostly used for predicting domestic performances and the industry still struggles to predict box office performances in overseas markets. In this study, the aim is to design a forecast model using different machine learning algorithms to estimate the theatrical success of US movies in Turkey. From various sources, a dataset of 1559 movies is constructed. Firstly, independent variables are grouped as pre-release, distributor type, and international distribution based on their characteristic. The number of attendances is discretized into three classes. Four popular machine learning algorithms, artificial neural networks, decision tree regression and gradient boosting tree and random forest are employed, and the impact of each group is observed by compared by the performance models. Then the number of target classes is increased into five and eight and results are compared with the previously developed models in the literature.

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