Logistics service mode selection based on decision-tree model and grey multi-criteria risk decision-making method

Author(s):  
Jing Hou ◽  
Lindu Zhao
2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 106
Author(s):  
Mirza Suljic ◽  
Edin Osmanbegovic ◽  
Željko Dobrović

The subject of this paper is metamodeling and its application in the field of scientific research. The main goal is to explore the possibilities of integration of two methods: questionnaires and decision trees. The questionnaire method was established as one of the methods for data collecting, while the decision tree method represents an alternative way of presenting and analyzing decision making situations. These two methods are not completely independent, but on the contrary, there is a strong natural bond between them. Therefore, the result reveals a common meta-model that over common concepts and with the use of metamodeling connects the methods: questionnaires and decision trees. The obtained results can be used to create a CASE tool or create repository that can be suitable for exchange between different systems. The proposed meta-model is not necessarily the final product. It could be further developed by adding more entities that will keep some other data.


All the bank marketing campaigns mostly deals with large amount of data. when they need to deal with huge electronic data of customers, then it is very difficult to analyze the data manually or by human analyst. Here comes the picture of data mining techniques to deal with the large amount of data and to come up with useful data which helps in decision making process. All the data mining techniques helps in analyzing the data. some of the techniques that can be used for this bank marketing campaigns are naive bayes, logistics regression technique and Decision tree model technique etc. among all these techniques decision Tree model gives the best solution in analyzing the human decisions. Artificial neural networks is a learning algorithm which learns from multiple individual decisions and their judgements, thus aggregates and generalizes the customers decision making knowledge.


e-Finanse ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 34-43
Author(s):  
Pavla Pokorná ◽  
Jarmila Šebestová

AbstractReinvestment decisions are based on basic the economic literacy of entrepreneurs because they do not want to affect future liquidity or development activities. The main goal of the article is to suggest a simple decision tree model to describe profit reinvestments in a general way based on results of a primary pilot study (128 interviews), where reinvestment behaviour is affected by specific factors like risk taking, competitive advantage or business experience. After that a decision-making tree is suggested to explain the process of reinvestment as determined by the manager.


Author(s):  
Avijit Kumar Chaudhuri ◽  
Deepankar Sinha ◽  
Dilip K. Banerjee ◽  
Anirban Das

Diagnostics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (6) ◽  
pp. 1094
Author(s):  
Michael Wong ◽  
Nikolaos Thanatsis ◽  
Federica Nardelli ◽  
Tejal Amin ◽  
Davor Jurkovic

Background and aims: Postmenopausal endometrial polyps are commonly managed by surgical resection; however, expectant management may be considered for some women due to the presence of medical co-morbidities, failed hysteroscopies or patient’s preference. This study aimed to identify patient characteristics and ultrasound morphological features of polyps that could aid in the prediction of underlying pre-malignancy or malignancy in postmenopausal polyps. Methods: Women with consecutive postmenopausal polyps diagnosed on ultrasound and removed surgically were recruited between October 2015 to October 2018 prospectively. Polyps were defined on ultrasound as focal lesions with a regular outline, surrounded by normal endometrium. On Doppler examination, there was either a single feeder vessel or no detectable vascularity. Polyps were classified histologically as benign (including hyperplasia without atypia), pre-malignant (atypical hyperplasia), or malignant. A Chi-squared automatic interaction detection (CHAID) decision tree analysis was performed with a range of demographic, clinical, and ultrasound variables as independent, and the presence of pre-malignancy or malignancy in polyps as dependent variables. A 10-fold cross-validation method was used to estimate the model’s misclassification risk. Results: There were 240 women included, 181 of whom presented with postmenopausal bleeding. Their median age was 60 (range of 45–94); 18/240 (7.5%) women were diagnosed with pre-malignant or malignant polyps. In our decision tree model, the polyp mean diameter (≤13 mm or >13 mm) on ultrasound was the most important predictor of pre-malignancy or malignancy. If the tree was allowed to grow, the patient’s body mass index (BMI) and cystic/solid appearance of the polyp classified women further into low-risk (≤5%), intermediate-risk (>5%–≤20%), or high-risk (>20%) groups. Conclusions: Our decision tree model may serve as a guide to counsel women on the benefits and risks of surgery for postmenopausal endometrial polyps. It may also assist clinicians in prioritizing women for surgery according to their risk of malignancy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhong Xin ◽  
Lin Hua ◽  
Xu-Hong Wang ◽  
Dong Zhao ◽  
Cai-Guo Yu ◽  
...  

We reanalyzed previous data to develop a more simplified decision tree model as a screening tool for unrecognized diabetes, using basic information in Beijing community health records. Then, the model was validated in another rural town. Only three non-laboratory-based risk factors (age, BMI, and presence of hypertension) with fewer branches were used in the new model. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and area under the curve (AUC) for detecting diabetes were calculated. The AUC values in internal and external validation groups were 0.708 and 0.629, respectively. Subjects with high risk of diabetes had significantly higher HOMA-IR, but no significant difference in HOMA-B was observed. This simple tool will help general practitioners and residents assess the risk of diabetes quickly and easily. This study also validates the strong associations of insulin resistance and early stage of diabetes, suggesting that more attention should be paid to the current model in rural Chinese adult populations.


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