ANN-PSO Optimization of PV Systems Under Different Weather Conditions

Author(s):  
Adedayo M. Farayola ◽  
Yanxia Sun ◽  
Ahmed Ali
2018 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
IJE Manager

In the past century, fossil fuels have dominated energy supply in Indonesia. However, concerns over emissions are likely to change the future energy supply. As people become more conscious of environmental issues, alternatives for energy are sought to reduce the environmental impacts. These include renewable energy (RE) sources such as solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. However, most RE sources like solar PV are not available continuously since they depend on weather conditions, in addition to geographical location. Bali has a stable and long sunny day with 12 hours of daylight throughout the year and an average insolation of 5.3 kWh/m2 per day. This study looks at the potential for on-grid solar PV to decarbonize energy in Bali. A site selection methodology using GIS is applied to measure solar PV potential. Firstly, the study investigates the boundaries related to environmental acceptability and economic objectives for land use in Bali. Secondly, the potential of solar energy is estimated by defining the suitable areas, given the technical assumptions of solar PV. Finally, the study extends the analysis to calculate the reduction in emissions when the calculated potential is installed. Some technical factors, such as tilting solar, and intermittency throughout the day, are outside the scope of this study. Based on this model, Bali has an annual electricity potential for 32-53 TWh from solar PV using amorphous thin-film silicon as the cheapest option. This potential amount to three times the electricity supply for the island in 2024 which is estimated at 10 TWh. Bali has an excessive potential to support its own electricity demand with renewables, however, some limitations exist with some trade-offs to realize the idea. These results aim to build a developmental vision of solar PV systems in Bali based on available land and the region’s irradiation.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ines Sansa ◽  
Najiba Mrabet Bellaaj

Solar radiation is characterized by its fluctuation because it depends to different factors such as the day hour, the speed wind, the cloud cover and some other weather conditions. Certainly, this fluctuation can affect the PV power production and then its integration on the electrical micro grid. An accurate forecasting of solar radiation is so important to avoid these problems. In this chapter, the solar radiation is treated as time series and it is predicted using the Auto Regressive and Moving Average (ARMA) model. Based on the solar radiation forecasting results, the photovoltaic (PV) power is then forecasted. The choice of ARMA model has been carried out in order to exploit its own strength. This model is characterized by its flexibility and its ability to extract the useful statistical properties, for time series predictions, it is among the most used models. In this work, ARMA model is used to forecast the solar radiation one year in advance considering the weekly radiation averages. Simulation results have proven the effectiveness of ARMA model to forecast the small solar radiation fluctuations.


Author(s):  
Eita Mizukami ◽  
Akihisa Kaneko ◽  
Yuji Takenobu ◽  
Satoru Akagi ◽  
Shinya Yoshizawa ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 856 ◽  
pp. 279-284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zahari Zarkov ◽  
Ludmil Stoyanov ◽  
Hristiyan Kanchev ◽  
Valentin Milenov ◽  
Vladimir Lazarov

The purpose of the work is to study and compare the performance of photovoltaic (PV) generators built with different types of panels and operating in real weather conditions. The paper reports the results from an experimental and theoretical study of systems with PV modules manufactured according to different technologies and using different materials. The experiment was carried out at a research platform for PV systems developed by the authors, built and located at an experimental site near the Technical University of Sofia. Based on the obtained results, comparisons are made between the different PV generators for the same operating conditions. The comparison between the theoretical and the experimental results demonstrates a good level of overlap.


2021 ◽  
Vol 3 (4) ◽  
pp. 946-965
Author(s):  
Sourav Malakar ◽  
Saptarsi Goswami ◽  
Bhaswati Ganguli ◽  
Amlan Chakrabarti ◽  
Sugata Sen Roy ◽  
...  

Complex weather conditions—in particular clouds—leads to uncertainty in photovoltaic (PV) systems, which makes solar energy prediction very difficult. Currently, in the renewable energy domain, deep-learning-based sequence models have reported better results compared to state-of-the-art machine-learning models. There are quite a few choices of deep-learning architectures, among which Bidirectional Gated Recurrent Unit (BGRU) has apparently not been used earlier in the solar energy domain. In this paper, BGRU was used with a new augmented and bidirectional feature representation. The used BGRU network is more generalized as it can handle unequal lengths of forward and backward context. The proposed model produced 59.21%, 37.47%, and 76.80% better prediction accuracy compared to traditional sequence-based, bidirectional models, and some of the established states-of-the-art models. The testbed considered for evaluation of the model is far more comprehensive and reliable considering the variability in the climatic zones and seasons, as compared to some of the recent studies in India.


Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 225 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pedro Branco ◽  
Francisco Gonçalves ◽  
Ana Cristina Costa

The fastest-growing renewable source of energy is solar photovoltaic (PV) energy, which is likely to become the largest electricity source in the world by 2050. In order to be a viable alternative energy source, PV systems should maximise their efficiency and operate flawlessly. However, in practice, many PV systems do not operate at their full capacity due to several types of anomalies. We propose tailored algorithms for the detection of different PV system anomalies, including suboptimal orientation, daytime and sunrise/sunset shading, brief and sustained daytime zero-production, and low maximum production. Furthermore, we establish simple metrics to assess the severity of suboptimal orientation and daytime shading. The proposed detection algorithms were applied to a set of time-series of electricity production in Portugal, which are based on two periods with distinct weather conditions. Under favourable weather conditions, the algorithms successfully detected most of the time-series labelled with either daytime or sunrise/sunset shading, and with either sustained or brief daytime zero-production. There was a relatively low percentage of false positives, such that most of the anomaly detections were correct. As expected, the algorithms tend to be more robust under favourable rather than under adverse weather conditions. The proposed algorithms may prove to be useful not only to research specialists, but also to energy utilities and owners of small- and medium-sized PV systems, who may thereby effortlessly monitor their operation and performance.


2013 ◽  
Vol 853 ◽  
pp. 312-316
Author(s):  
Carlo Pisigan ◽  
Fan Jiang

This paper studies the performance of bifacial Heterojunction with Intrinsic Thin-layer (HIT) PV modules through a one-year experiment in Singapore. Two 1.2kWp (front side)/0.84kWp (rear side) PV systems were installed vertically, facing the N-S and E-W directions respectively. The operational data of two systems were monitored and collected to analyze their performance under different weather conditions. This paper will presentthe change of irradiation, energy yield and the AC energy output of the bifacial PV systems. The results help to understand the impacts of system installation on the energy yield of vertically-installedbifacial HIT PV systems, to find out its advantages in applications over monofacial PV modules and to explore the potential of bifacial PV modules in tropical regions, especially in urban areas like Singapore.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 3117 ◽  
Author(s):  
Federica Cucchiella ◽  
Idiano D’Adamo ◽  
Massimo Gastaldi ◽  
Vincenzo Stornelli

Renewable energy is a wide topic in environmental engineering and management science. Photovoltaic (PV) power has had great interest and growth in recent years. The energy produced by the PV system is intermittent and it depends on the weather conditions, presenting lower levels of production than other renewable resources (RESs). The economic feasibility of PV systems is linked typically to the share of self-consumption in a developed market and consequently, energy storage system (ESS) can be a solution to increase this share. This paper proposes an economic feasibility of residential lead-acid ESS combined with PV panels and the assumptions at which these systems become economically viable. The profitability analysis is conducted on the base of the Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method and the index used is Net Present Value (NPV). The analysis evaluates several scenarios concerning a 3-kW plant located in a residential building in a PV developed market (Italy). It is determined by combinations of the following critical variables: levels of insolation, electricity purchase prices, electricity sales prices, investment costs of PV systems, specific tax deduction of PV systems, size of batteries, investment costs of ESS, lifetime of a battery, increases of self-consumption following the adoption of an ESS, and subsidies of ESS. Results show that the increase of the share of self-consumption is the main critical variable and consequently, the break-even point (BEP) analysis defines the case-studies in which the profitability is verified.


2012 ◽  
Vol 197 ◽  
pp. 768-777 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Candela ◽  
Eleonora Riva Sanseverino ◽  
Pietro Romano ◽  
Marzia Cardinale ◽  
Domenico Musso

This paper presents a strategy for the maximization of the output power of photovoltaic (PV) systems under non homogeneous solar irradiation by means of automatic reconfiguration of the PV arrays layout. The innovation of the proposed approach is the employment of a simple Dynamic Electrical Scheme (DES), allowing a large number of possible modules interconnection, to be installed between the PV generator and the inverter. The models of the PV generator and of the DES have been realized and simulated with Simulink (Dynamic System Simulation for MATLAB). The attained experimental results appear to be quite interesting in terms of the attainable benefit in power and thus energy terms. The limited calculation times of the reconfiguration algorithm allows the application of the DES for the real time adaptation of the configuration to the changing weather conditions or other causes of non-uniform solar irradiation. Moreover, the results confirm that, in case of non uniform solar irradiation, this approach allows to attain considerably much better results than those attainable with a static configuration.


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