scholarly journals Improving Wheat Yield Estimates by Integrating a Remotely Sensed Drought Monitoring Index into the Simple Algorithm for Yield Estimate Model

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Dong Han ◽  
Pengxin Wang ◽  
Kevin Tansey ◽  
Shuyu Zhang ◽  
Huiren Tian ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Simple Algorithm ◽  
Remotely Sensed ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
Monitoring Index

Comparing the Hedging Effectiveness of Weather Derivatives Based on Remotely Sensed Vegetation Health Indices and Meteorological Indices

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 33-48 ◽  
Author(s):  
Johannes Möllmann ◽  
Matthias Buchholz ◽  
Oliver Musshoff
Keyword(s):  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Condition Index ◽  
Remotely Sensed ◽  
Weather Derivatives ◽  
Basis Risk ◽  
Hedging Effectiveness ◽  
Winter Wheat Yield ◽  
Vegetation Health ◽  
Northeastern Germany

Abstract Weather derivatives are considered a promising agricultural risk management tool. Station-based meteorological indices typically provide the data underlying these instruments. However, the main shortcoming of these weather derivatives is an imperfect correlation between the weather index and the yield of the insured crop, called basis risk. This paper considers three available remotely sensed vegetation health (VH) indices, namely, the vegetation condition index (VCI), the temperature condition index (TCI), and the vegetation health index (VHI), as indices for weather derivatives in a German case study. We investigated the correlation and period of highest correlation with winter wheat yield. Moreover, we analyzed whether the use of remotely sensed VH indices for weather derivatives can reduce basis risk and thus improve the performance of weather derivatives. The two commonly used meteorological indices, precipitation and temperature sums, were employed as benchmarks. Quantile regression and index value simulation were used for the design and pricing of the weather derivatives. The analysis for the selected farms and corresponding counties in northeastern Germany revealed that, on average, the VHI resulted in the highest correlation with winter wheat yield, and VHI-based weather derivatives were also superior in terms of the hedging effectiveness. The total periods of the highest correlations ranged from the beginning of April to the end of July. VHI- and VCI-based weather derivatives led to statistically significant reductions of basis risk, compared to the benchmarks. Our results indicate that the VHI-based weather derivatives can be useful alternatives to meteorological indices, especially in regions with sparser weather station networks.

scholarly journals Field-scale soil moisture bridges the spatial-scale gap between drought monitoring and agricultural yields

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noemi Vergopolan ◽  
Sitian Xiong ◽  
Lyndon Estes ◽  
Niko Wanders ◽  
Nathaniel W. Chaney ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Spatial Scale ◽  
Root Zone ◽  
Maize Yield ◽  
Remotely Sensed ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
Surface Model ◽  
Field Scale ◽  
Yield Data ◽  
Scale Modeling

Abstract. Soil moisture is highly variable in space, and its deficits (i.e. droughts) plays an important role in modulating crop yields and its variability across landscapes. Limited hydroclimate and yield data, however, hampers drought impact monitoring and assessment at the farmer field-scale. This study demonstrates the potential of field-scale soil moisture simulations to advance high-resolution agricultural yield prediction and drought monitoring at the smallholder farm field-scale. We present a multi-scale modeling approach that combines HydroBlocks, a physically-based hyper-resolution Land Surface Model (LSM), and machine learning. We applied HydroBlocks to simulate root zone soil moisture and soil temperature in Zambia at 3-hourly 30-m resolution. These simulations along with remotely sensed vegetation indices, meteorological conditions, and data describing the physical properties of the landscape (topography, land cover, soil properties) were combined with district-level maize data to train a random forest model (RF) to predict maize yields at the district- and field-scale (250-m) levels. Our model predicted yields with a coefficient of variation (R2) of 0.61, Mean Absolute Error (MAE) of 349 kg ha−1, and mean normalized error of 22 %. We captured maize losses due to the 2015/2016 El Niño drought at similar levels to losses reported by the Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO). Our results revealed that soil moisture is the strongest and most reliable predictor of maize yield, driving its spatial and temporal variability. Consequently, soil moisture was also the most effective indicator of drought impacts in crops when compared with precipitation, soil and air temperatures, and remotely-sensed NDVI-based drought indices. By combining field-scale root zone soil moisture estimates with observed maize yield data, this research demonstrates how field-scale modeling can help bridge the spatial scale discontinuity gap between drought monitoring and agricultural impacts.

Recent Trends of Drought Using Remotely Sensed and In-Situ Indices: Towards an Integrated Drought Monitoring System for South Africa

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahlatse Kganvago ◽  
Mxolisi B. Mukhawana ◽  
Morwapula Mashalane ◽  
Aphelele Mgabisa ◽  
Simon Moloele
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Monitoring System ◽  
Remotely Sensed ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
Recent Trends

Wheat Yield Prediction Using Remotely Sensed Agromet Trend-Based Models for Hoshiarpur District of Punjab, India

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 510-515 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Bazgeer ◽  
R.K. Mahey ◽  
S.S. Sidhu ◽  
P.K. Sharma ◽  
A. Sood ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Wheat Yield ◽  
Remotely Sensed ◽  
Yield Prediction

scholarly journals Improved Drought Monitoring Index Using GNSS-Derived Precipitable Water Vapor over the Loess Plateau Area

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (24) ◽  
pp. 5566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qingzhi Zhao ◽  
Xiongwei Ma ◽  
Wanqiang Yao ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
Zheng Du ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Water Vapor ◽  
Loess Plateau ◽  
Meteorological Data ◽  
Precipitable Water ◽  
Satellite System ◽  
Reanalysis Data ◽  
Precipitable Water Vapor ◽  
Drought Monitoring ◽  
The Loess Plateau ◽  
Monitoring Index

Standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) is an acknowledged drought monitoring index, and the evapotranspiration (ET) used to calculated SPEI is obtained based on the Thornthwaite (TH) model. However, the SPEI calculated based on the TH model is overestimated globally, whereas the more accurate ET derived from the Penman–Monteith (PM) model recommended by the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations is unavailable due to the lack of a large amount of meteorological data at most places. Therefore, how to improve the accuracy of ET calculated by the TH model becomes the focus of this study. Here, a revised TH (RTH) model is proposed using the temperature (T) and precipitable water vapor (PWV) data. The T and PWV data are derived from the reanalysis data and the global navigation satellite system (GNSS) observation, respectively. The initial value of ET for the RTH model is calculated based on the TH model, and the time series of ET residual between the TH and PM models is then obtained. Analyzed results reveal that ET residual is highly correlated with PWV and T, and the correlate coefficient between PWV and ET is −0.66, while that between T and ET for cases of T larger or less than 0 °C are −0.54 and 0.59, respectively. Therefore, a linear model between ET residual and PWV/T is established, and the ET value of the RTH model can be obtained by combining the TH-derived ET and estimated ET residual. Finally, the SPEI calculated based on the RTH model can be obtained and compared with that derived using PM and TH models. Result in the Loess Plateau (LP) region reveals the good performance of the RTH-based SPEI when compared with the TH-based SPEI over the period of 1979–2016. A case analysis in April 2013 over the LP region also indicates the superiority of the RTH-based SPEI at 88 meteorological and 31 GNSS stations when the PM-based SPEI is considered as the reference.

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