Mapping the Mid-Atlantic Cold Pool evolution and variability with ocean gliders and numerical models

2012 Oceans ◽  
2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Brown ◽  
W. Boicourt ◽  
C. Flagg ◽  
A. Gangopadhyay ◽  
O. Schofield ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models ◽  
Cold Pool

scholarly journals Synoptic-Scale Flow and Valley Cold Pool Evolution in the Western United States

2009 ◽  
Vol 24 (6) ◽  
pp. 1625-1643 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heather Dawn Reeves ◽  
David J. Stensrud
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Western United States ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
Temperature Changes ◽  
Cold Pools ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
Forecast Problem

Abstract Valley cold pools (VCPs), which are trapped, cold layers of air at the bottoms of basins or valleys, pose a significant problem for forecasters because they can lead to several forms of difficult-to-forecast and hazardous weather such as fog, freezing rain, or poor air quality. Numerical models have historically failed to routinely provide accurate guidance on the formation and demise of VCPs, making the forecast problem more challenging. In some case studies of persistent wintertime VCPs, there is a connection between the movement of upper-level waves and the timing of VCP formation and decay. Herein, a 3-yr climatology of persistent wintertime VCPs for five valleys and basins in the western United States is performed to see how often VCP formation and decay coincides with synoptic-scale (∼200–2000 km) wave motions. Valley cold pools are found to form most frequently as an upper-level ridge approaches the western United States and in response to strong midlevel warming. The VCPs usually last as long as the ridge is over the area and usually only end when a trough, and its associated midlevel cooling, move over the western United States. In fact, VCP strength appears to be almost entirely dictated by midlevel temperature changes, which suggests large-scale forcing is dominant for this type of VCP most of the time.

scholarly journals Resolution Dependence of Initiation and Upscale Growth of Deep Convection in Convection-Allowing Forecasts of the 31 May–1 June 2013 Supercell and MCS

2015 ◽  
Vol 143 (11) ◽  
pp. 4331-4354 ◽  
Author(s):  
Russ S. Schumacher
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Squall Line ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Model Resolution ◽  
Grid Spacing ◽  
Boundary Layer Processes ◽  
High Impact Weather ◽  
Supercell Thunderstorm

Abstract On 31 May 2013, a supercell thunderstorm initiated in west-central Oklahoma and produced a deadly tornado. This convection then grew upscale, with a nearly stationary line developing early on 1 June that produced very heavy rainfall and caused deadly flash flooding in the Oklahoma City area. Real-time convection-allowing (Δx = 4 km) model forecasts used during the Mesoscale Predictability Experiment (MPEX) provided accurate guidance regarding the timing, location, and evolution of convection in this case. However, attempts to simulate this event at higher resolution degraded the forecast, with the primary supercell failing to initiate and the evolution of the overnight MCS not resembling the observed system. Experiments to test the dependence of forecasts of this event on model resolution show that with grid spacing smaller than 4 km, mixing along the dryline in northwest Texas was more vigorous, causing low-level dry air to move more quickly eastward into Oklahoma. This drying prevented the supercell from initiating near the triple point in the higher-resolution simulations. Then, the lack of supercellular convection and its associated cold pool altered the evolution of subsequent convection. Whereas in observations and the 4-km forecast, a nearly stationary MCS developed parallel to, but displaced from, the supercell’s cold pool, the higher-resolution simulations instead had a faster-moving squall line that produced less rainfall. Although the degradation of convective forecasts at higher resolution is probably unusual and appears sensitive to the choice of boundary layer parameterization, these findings demonstrate that how numerical models treat boundary layer processes at different grid spacings can, in some cases, have profound influences on predictions of high-impact weather.

A Multimodel Assessment of RKW Theory’s Relevance to Squall-Line Characteristics

2006 ◽  
Vol 134 (10) ◽  
pp. 2772-2792 ◽  
Author(s):  
George H. Bryan ◽  
Jason C. Knievel ◽  
Matthew D. Parker
Keyword(s):  
Wind Shear ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Vertical Wind ◽  
System Structure ◽  
Squall Line ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Density Currents ◽  
Optimal State ◽  
Squall Lines

Abstract The authors evaluate whether the structure and intensity of simulated squall lines can be explained by “RKW theory,” which most specifically addresses how density currents evolve in sheared environments. In contrast to earlier studies, this study compares output from four numerical models, rather than from just one. All of the authors’ simulations support the qualitative application of RKW theory, whereby squall-line structure is primarily governed by two effects: the intensity of the squall line’s surface-based cold pool, and the low- to midlevel environmental vertical wind shear. The simulations using newly developed models generally support the theory’s quantitative application, whereby an optimal state for system structure also optimizes system intensity. However, there are significant systematic differences between the newer numerical models and the older model that was originally used to develop RKW theory. Two systematic differences are analyzed in detail, and causes for these differences are proposed.

scholarly journals Micrometeorological fog experiments in Budapest and in Sió Valley near Lake Balaton (2018-2021) 

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tamás Weidinger ◽  
András Zénó Gyöngyösi ◽  
Gandhi Arun ◽  
Ágoston Tordai ◽  
Tamás Krámer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Eddy Covariance ◽  
Field Experiments ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Sonic Anemometer ◽  
Gradient Methods ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Cold Pool ◽  
Lake Balaton ◽  
Winter Half ◽  
Field Campaigns

<p>Characteristic phenomena in the Pannonian basin during the winter half year are the mist (500-1000 hours/year), the fog (150-300 hours/year) and the cold air pool with high air pollution concentrations. Formation, development and dissipation of fog events are complex processes that are impacted by short- and longwave radiation, condensation and evaporation, turbulent exchange, furthermore fog chemistry. The research presented here aims at exploring the interaction of these processes using field observations. To this end, complex field campaigns were conducted in Budapest (WMO code: 12843) and in the Sió Valley, 6 km away from Siófok (12935) during 1 to 3-month periods in the last three winter half years.</p><p>Besides air chemistry and standard meteorological variables, the leaf wetness, surface and soil temperature, soil moisture, soil heat flux (Huskeflux), radiation budget components (CNR1) and turbulent fluxes based on eddy covariance (CSAT3, EC150) and gradient methods were measured above the grassland. Time resolutions of measurements for slow sensors were 10 sec or rather 1 minute and for eddy covariance system 10 Hz. The mist and fog periods were detected using a cloud camera (in Sió Valley) and by synoptic observations in Budapest and Siófok.</p><p>Additional measurements in Budapest were i) the wind speed (<em>U</em>), air temperature (<em>T</em>) and relative humidity (<em>RH</em>) profiles together with Gill sonic anemometer at the top of a 30 m high tower, ii) LUFT CHM 15k ceilometer. SODAR and aviation meteorological measurements were also available from the<em> </em>Budapest Ferenc Liszt International Airport<em> (</em>LHBP<em>) </em>at 8 km distance.<em> </em>Other<em> </em>field experiments were done in the wet leeward Sió Valley in 2018-19 and 2019-20. Vaisala WXT530 sensor, LUFT CHM 15k ceilometer, tethered balloon measurements with GRAW radiosondes and METEK SODAR measurements were also provided as additional information behind the energy budget measurements.</p><p>Our results confirmed that according to the expectations, we have recorded more foggy situations in the Sió Valley than in Budapest (12843) and Siófok (12935). Radiation and advection type fog events were formed in most cases. The measured <em>RH</em> was above 95 and gradually increased during the onset period of fog. RH was around 100%, fluctuations could be measured less accurately.  Dissipation of the fog is usually characterized by wind intensification and rise in the incoming solar radiation. The data of two field campaigns will be analyzed i) a cold pool situation in Sió Valley in January 2020 and ii) the foggy season 2020-21 in Budapest. The developed complex (micrometeorological, furthermore air and liquid chemistry) database gives opportunity to validate numerical model results (WRF, CHIMERE and detailed box model) and to improve parameterizations of the numerical models.</p>

Stochastic simulation of the spatio-temporal field of the average daily heat index in Southern Russia

2020 ◽  
Vol 82 ◽  
pp. 149-160
Author(s):  
N Kargapolova
Keyword(s):  
Heat Waves ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Heat Index ◽  
Real Field ◽  
Gaussian Field ◽  
The Real ◽  
Southern Russia ◽  
Weather Stations ◽  
Spatio Temporal ◽  
Temporal Field

Numerical models of the heat index time series and spatio-temporal fields can be used for a variety of purposes, from the study of the dynamics of heat waves to projections of the influence of future climate on humans. To conduct these studies one must have efficient numerical models that successfully reproduce key features of the real weather processes. In this study, 2 numerical stochastic models of the spatio-temporal non-Gaussian field of the average daily heat index (ADHI) are considered. The field is simulated on an irregular grid determined by the location of weather stations. The first model is based on the method of the inverse distribution function. The second model is constructed using the normalization method. Real data collected at weather stations located in southern Russia are used to both determine the input parameters and to verify the proposed models. It is shown that the first model reproduces the properties of the real field of the ADHI more precisely compared to the second one, but the numerical implementation of the first model is significantly more time consuming. In the future, it is intended to transform the models presented to a numerical model of the conditional spatio-temporal field of the ADHI defined on a dense spatio-temporal grid and to use the model constructed for the stochastic forecasting of the heat index.

Extending "the Shorted Port Method" for Calculation of S-Matrices, Using Reduced Numerical Models

2003 ◽  
Vol 59 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 10
Author(s):  
D. Yu. Kulik ◽  
S. L. Senkevich ◽  
Victor Ivanovich Tkachenko
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Models

Validation of Numerical Models Used for Designing the Composite Blade for ILX-27 Rotorcraft

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 (4) ◽  
pp. 23-31
Author(s):  
Jakub Wilk ◽  
Radosław Guzikowski
Keyword(s):  
Epoxy Composite ◽  
Numerical Models ◽  
Experimental Studies ◽  
Strength Analysis ◽  
Laminate Glass ◽  
Composite Blade ◽  
Real Objects ◽  
Validation Procedure ◽  
Research Objects ◽  
Comparison Of The Results

Abstract The paper presents the validation procedure of the model used in the analysis of the composite blade for the rotor of the ILX-27 rotorcraft, designed and manufactured in the Institute of Aviation, by means of numerical analyses and tests of composite elements. Numerical analysis using finite element method and experimental studies of three research objects made of basic materials comprising the blade structure – carbon-epoxy laminate, glass-epoxy composite made of roving and foam filler – were carried out. The elements were in the form of four-point bent beams, and for comparison of the results the deflection arrow values in the middle of the beam and axial deformations on the upper and lower surfaces were selected. The procedure allowed to adjust the discrete model to real objects and to verify and correct the material data used in the strength analysis of the designed blade.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document