DOUBLE BOOTSTRAP CONTROL CHART FOR MONITORING SUKUK VOLATILITY AT BURSA MALAYSIA

2017 ◽  
Vol 79 (6) ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhamad Safiih Lola ◽  
Nurul Hila Zainuddin ◽  
Mohd Noor Afiq Ramlee ◽  
Hizir Sofyan
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Control Limit ◽  
Medium Size ◽  
Large Magnitude ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Bootstrap Approach ◽  
Sample Data ◽  
Double Bootstrap ◽  
Type Ii Error Rate

The bootstrap approach on control limit has provided a solution in solving uncertainty estimation problem in control chart performance. However, the limitation of this standard chart has shown to be less efficient and invalidation at certain magnitude shift, especially the monitored sample data is assumed from skewed family distribution. Thus, in this study, a double bootstrap base-model and its control limit is developed in order to improve the efficiency and decrease the invalidation chart performance. In order to test the performance of proposed model, a simulation study using Average Run Length (ARL) and Type II Error rate were implemented. The result has shown that the proposed chart is sensitive and effective in detecting the shift process for small and medium size of skewed sample data. Also, it has found that the proposed chart shown to has better performance on large magnitude shift. The performance of the proposed model was investigated further using sukuk volatility data at Bursa Malaysia. The result revealed that the double bootstrap control chart is sensitive to small shifts process when it can detect changes in the volatility faster. In other words, it is efficient in monitoring the shifts process. Thus, the proposed model could help the traders in making a new decision, for example, either save/hold for a certain period, sell or buy the sukuk certificate.  

scholarly journals PENERAPAN METODE PENGENDALIAN KUALITAS MEWMA BERDASARKAN ARL DENGAN PENDEKATAN RANTAI MARKOV (Studi Kasus: Batik Semarang 16, Meteseh)

2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 125-135
Author(s):  
Enggartya Andini ◽  
Sudarno Sudarno ◽  
Rita Rahmawati
Keyword(s):  
Markov Chain ◽  
Production Process ◽  
Control Chart ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Control Limit ◽  
Quality Characteristic ◽  
Markov Chain Approach ◽  
Mewma Control Chart ◽  
Weighted Moving Average

An industrial company requires quality control to maintain quality consistency from the production results so that it is able to compete with other companies in the world market. In the industrial sector, most processes are influenced by more than one quality characteristic. One tool that can be used to control more than one quality characteristic is the Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (MEWMA) control chart. The graph is used to determine whether the process has been controlled or not, if the process is not yet controlled, the next analysis that can be used is to use the Average Run Length (ARL) with the Markov Chain approach. The markov chain is the chance of today's event is only influenced by yesterday's incident, in this case the chance of the incident in question is the incident in getting a sampel of data on the production process of batik cloth to get a product that is in accordance with the company standards. ARL is the average number of sample points drawn before a point indicates an uncontrollable state. In this study, 60 sample data were used which consisted of three quality characteristics, namely the length of the cloth, the width of the cloth, and the time of the fabric for the production of written batik in Batik Semarang 16 Meteseh. Based on the results and discussion that has been done, the MEWMA controller chart uses the λ weighting which is determined using trial and error. MEWMA control chart can not be said to be stable and controlled with λ = 0.6, after calculating, the value is obtained Upper Control Limit (BKA) of 11.3864 and Lower Control Limit (BKB) of 0. It is known that from 60 data samples there is a Tj2 value that comes out from the upper control limit (BKA) where the amount of 15.70871, which indicates the production process is not controlled statistically. Improvements to the MEWMA controller chart can be done based on the ARL with the Markov Chain approach. In this final project, the ARL value used is 200, the magnitude of the process shift is 1.7 and the r value is 0.28, where the value of r is a constant obtained on the r parameter graph. The optimal MEWMA control chart based on ARL with the Markov Chain approach can be said to be stable and controlled if there is no Tj2 value that is outside the upper control limit (BKA). The results of the MEWMA control chart based on the ARL with the Markov Chain approach show that the process is not statistically capable because the MCpm value is 0.516797 and the MCpmk value is 0.437807, the value indicates a process capability index value of less than 1. Keywords: Handmade batik, Multivariate Exponentially Weighted Moving Average (MEWMA), Average Run Length (ARL), Capability process.

scholarly journals ARL Estimation of the Control Chart of Log Likelihood Ratios’ Sum for Markov Sequence

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Yi Guo ◽  
Lei Gao ◽  
Yan Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Positive Control ◽  
Negative Control ◽  
Control Limit ◽  
Likelihood Ratios ◽  
Statistical Process ◽  
Markov Sequence ◽  
Log Likelihood ◽  
Proof Procedure

To evaluate the surveillance performance of a control chart with the charting statistic of the sum of log likelihood ratios in the statistical process control (SPC), in this paper, we give the proof procedure based on Markov chains for the asymptotic estimation of the average run length (ARL) for this kind of chart. The out-of-control ARL 1 is approximately equal to 1 for any fixed in-control ARL 0 with a negative control limit. By the equivalence between limit distribution of a sum and that of a suprema sum of Markov chain, we derive the estimation of ARL 1 with a large enough positive control limit. Numerical experiments are conducted to confirm our results.

scholarly journals Impact of Different Repetitive Sampling Schemes on the Performance of X-bar Control Chart

2020 ◽  
pp. 191-201
Author(s):  
Muhammad Anwar Mughal ◽  
Muhammad Azam ◽  
Muhammad Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Selection Process ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Control Limit ◽  
Sample Sizes ◽  
Sampling Schemes ◽  
Additional Control ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Control Limits

Repetitive sampling has been found very popular in improving the control chart techniques for last couple of years. In repetitive sampling based control charts, there are two additional control limits inside the usual upper control limit (UCL) and lower control limit (LCL). If any subgroup crosses these limits but remain inside outer limits, it is deferred and replaced with another selection. Process is said to be out of control if any subgroup falls outside UCL/LCL. In this article, the technique has been modified by introducing a relation between outer and inner control limits in terms of a ratio and need of this modification has also been justified by highlighting a gap in the existing technique. By using Monte Carlo simulation, several results have been generated relevant to different sample sizes and introduced ratios. The results have been described with the help of average run length (ARL) tables that how the efficiency of control chart is effected by using different ratios. The modification in the technique also provides variety of alternatives within the scope of repetitive based control charts. All the discussed options have summarized to one table to see that how the control limits under this technique behave and impact on detecting shifts in the process average. The schemes have been interpreted in the light of above ratio and their comparison has been described under different sample sizes that facilitate the user to select most appropriate scheme for a desired process control. An example has been included by choosing one of the proposed schemes to show the application and performance of the proposed control chart in a manufacturing process. 

scholarly journals Water Particles Monitoring in the Atacama Desert: SPC Approach Based on Proportional Data

Axioms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 154
Author(s):  
Anderson Fonseca ◽  
Paulo Henrique Ferreira ◽  
Diego Carvalho do Nascimento ◽  
Rosemeire Fiaccone ◽  
Christopher Ulloa-Correa ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Atacama Desert ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Interval Data ◽  
Total Quality ◽  
Statistical Process ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Run Length ◽  
Study Results

Statistical monitoring tools are well established in the literature, creating organizational cultures such as Six Sigma or Total Quality Management. Nevertheless, most of this literature is based on the normality assumption, e.g., based on the law of large numbers, and brings limitations towards truncated processes as open questions in this field. This work was motivated by the register of elements related to the water particles monitoring (relative humidity), an important source of moisture for the Copiapó watershed, and the Atacama region of Chile (the Atacama Desert), and presenting high asymmetry for rates and proportions data. This paper proposes a new control chart for interval data about rates and proportions (symbolic interval data) when they are not results of a Bernoulli process. The unit-Lindley distribution has many interesting properties, such as having only one parameter, from which we develop the unit-Lindley chart for both classical and symbolic data. The performance of the proposed control chart is analyzed using the average run length (ARL), median run length (MRL), and standard deviation of the run length (SDRL) metrics calculated through an extensive Monte Carlo simulation study. Results from the real data applications reveal the tool’s potential to be adopted to estimate the control limits in a Statistical Process Control (SPC) framework.

scholarly journals On Performance of Two-Parameter Gompertz-Based X¯ Control Charts

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Johnson A. Adewara ◽  
Kayode S. Adekeye ◽  
Olubisi L. Aako
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Coverage Probability ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Correction Method ◽  
Gompertz Distribution ◽  
Real Life Data ◽  
Control Limits ◽  
Two Parameter

In this paper, two methods of control chart were proposed to monitor the process based on the two-parameter Gompertz distribution. The proposed methods are the Gompertz Shewhart approach and Gompertz skewness correction method. A simulation study was conducted to compare the performance of the proposed chart with that of the skewness correction approach for various sample sizes. Furthermore, real-life data on thickness of paint on refrigerators which are nonnormal data that have attributes of a Gompertz distribution were used to illustrate the proposed control chart. The coverage probability (CP), control limit interval (CLI), and average run length (ARL) were used to measure the performance of the two methods. It was found that the Gompertz exact method where the control limits are calculated through the percentiles of the underline distribution has the highest coverage probability, while the Gompertz Shewhart approach and Gompertz skewness correction method have the least CLI and ARL. Hence, the two-parameter Gompertz-based methods would detect out-of-control faster for Gompertz-based X¯ charts.

scholarly journals Monitoring process mean with a new EWMA control chart

Production ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 217-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yang Su-Fen ◽  
Tsai Wen-Chi ◽  
Huang Tzee-Ming ◽  
Yang Chi-Chin ◽  
Cheng Smiley
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Population Distribution ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Process Data ◽  
Ewma Chart ◽  
Ewma Control Chart ◽  
Simple Statistic ◽  
Run Lengths ◽  
Proper Values

In practice, sometimes the process data did not come from a known population distribution. So the commonly used Shewhart variables control charts are not suitable since their performance could not be properly evaluated. In this paper, we propose a new EWMA Control Chart based on a simple statistic to monitor the small mean shifts in the process with non-normal or unknown distributions. The sampling properties of the new monitoring statistic are explored and the average run lengths of the proposed chart are examined. Furthermore, an Arcsine EWMA Chart is proposed since the average run lengths of the Arcsine EWMA Chart are more reasonable than those of the new EWMA Chart. The Arcsine EWMA Chart is recommended if we are concerned with the proper values of the average run length.

scholarly journals Sustainability and Business Outcomes in the Context of SMEs: Comparing Family Firms vs. Non-Family Firms

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 4080 ◽  
Author(s):  
María López-Pérez ◽  
Iguácel Melero-Polo ◽  
Rosario Vázquez-Carrasco ◽  
Jesús Cambra-Fierro
Keyword(s):  
Business Models ◽  
Family Firms ◽  
Medium Size ◽  
Stewardship Theory ◽  
Business Practices ◽  
Socially Responsible ◽  
Business Outcomes ◽  
Proposed Model ◽  
Moderator Role

Society is demanding more sustainable and socially responsible business models. Therefore, the concept of sustainability has become a cornerstone to help understand the success of many firms in the current competitive context. However, the context of SMEs has received little attention thus far. In order to solve this gap this article analyses the links between sustainability practices and business outcomes—both financial and non-financial (i.e., image and reputation)—for small and medium-size enterprises (SMEs). In addition, the study strives to analyze the potential differences between family firms and non-family firms. To this end, a quantitative study is carried out using PLS techniques to analyze a sample of SME owners and managers with a view to testing the proposed model based on the Stewardship Theory and Socioemotional Wealth Theory. In this sense, our study is pioneering in that it aims to assess—from a quantitative viewpoint—the moderator role of family firms on a series of relevant sustainability-driven outcomes. The data suggest that, in SME contexts, sustainability influences the corporate reputation, brand image, and financial value of the company. Importantly, we find that the profile (family vs. non-family) of the firm moderates the links between sustainability and business outcomes. Hence, our findings have important implications for sustainability implementation in SME contexts. Finally, we provide a series of guidelines aimed at maximizing the effectiveness of sustainability-based business practices.

scholarly journals Monitoring multinomial processes based on a weighted chi-square control chart

2021 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Achouri Ali ◽  
Emira Khedhiri ◽  
Ramzi Talmoudi ◽  
Hassen Taleb
Keyword(s):  
Quality Improvement ◽  
Control Chart ◽  
Process Improvement ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
The Other ◽  
Statistical Control ◽  
Chi Square ◽  
Crucial Step ◽  
Run Length ◽  
Control Situation

Abstract: Interpreting an out-of-control signal is a crucial step in monitoring categorical processes. For the Chi-Square Control Chart (CSCC), an out-of control situation does not specify if it was a process deterioration or a process improvement. For this reason, a weighted chi-square statistical control chart WSCC is proposed with different weighting categories in order to enable an accelerated disclosure of a control situation after a shift due to a deterioration of quality and on the other hand, decelerate an out of control situation after a shift due to a quality improvement. Furthermore, in comparison with Marcucci’s method, the new procedure provides an accurate and easier way to interpret several signals. In other words, the WSCC allows a faster detection of an out-of control situation in the case of a quality deterioration, however, an out-of control situation is not quickly detected in the case of a quality improvement. Indeed, comparative studies have been performed to find the best control chart for each combination. Concluding remarks with comments and recommendations are given based on Average Run Length (ARL) and standard deviation run length (SDRL).

scholarly journals X̅ and R control charts based on marshall-olkin inverse log-logistic distribution for positive skewed data

2020 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. 9-16
Author(s):  
O. L. Aako ◽  
J. A. Adewara ◽  
K. S Adekeye ◽  
E. B. Nkemnole
Keyword(s):  
Control Chart ◽  
Control Charts ◽  
Average Run Length ◽  
Logistic Distribution ◽  
Skewed Data ◽  
Process Data ◽  
And Performance ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Control Limits ◽  
Normally Distributed

The fundamental assumption of variable control charts is that the data are normally distributed and spread randomly about the mean. Process data are not always normally distributed, hence there is need to set up appropriate control charts that gives accurate control limits to monitor processes that are skewed. In this study Shewhart-type control charts for monitoring positively skewed data that are assumed to be from Marshall-Olkin Inverse Loglogistic Distribution (MOILLD) was developed. Average Run Length (ARL) and Control Limits Interval (CLI) were adopted to assess the stability and performance of the MOILLD control chart. The results obtained were compared with Classical Shewhart (CS) and Skewness Correction (SC) control charts using the ARL and CLI. It was discovered that the control charts based on MOILLD performed better and are more stable compare to CS and SC control charts. It is therefore recommended that for positively skewed data, a Marshall-Olkin Inverse Loglogistic Distribution based control chart will be more appropriate.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document