Cloudburst events observed over Uttarakhand during monsoon season 2017 and their analysis

Cloudburst is an extreme weather event characterised by the occurrence of a large amount of rainfall over a small area within a short span of time with a rainfall of 100 mm or more in one hour. It is responsible for flash flood, inundation of low lying areas and landslides in hills causing extensive damages to life and property. During monsoon season 2017 five number of cloudburst events are observed over Uttarakhand and analysed. Self Recording Rain Gauge (SRRG) and 15 minutes interval data from the newly installed General Packet Radio Service (GPRS) based Automatic Weather Station (AWS) are able to capture the cloudburst events over some areas in Uttarakhand. In this paper, an attempt has been made to find out the significant synoptic and thermodynamic conditions associated with the occurrence of the cloudburst events in Uttarakhand. These 5 cases of cloudburst events that are captured during the month of June, July and August 2017 in Uttarakhand are studied in detail. Synoptically, it is observed that the existence of trough at mean sea level from Punjab to head Bay of Bengal running close to Uttarakhand, the movement of Western Disturbance over north Pakistan and adjoining Jammu & Kashmir and existence of cyclonic circulation over north Rajasthan and neighbourhood are favourable conditions. Also, the presence of strong south-westerly wind flow from the Arabian Sea across West Rajasthan and Haryana on upper air charts are found during these events. Thermodynamically, the Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) is found to be high (more than 1100 J/Kg) during most of the cases and vertically integrated precipitable water content (PWC) is more than 55mm. The GPRS based AWS system can help in prediction of the cloud burst event over the specified location with a lead time upto half to one hour in association with radar products.

Solving interval-valued transportation problem using a new ranking function for octagonal fuzzy numbers

In this paper, we introduce a new method to solve Interval-Valued Transportation Problem (IVTP) to deal with those problems of transportation wherein the information available is imprecise. First, a newly proposed fuzzification method is used to convert the IVTP to octagonal fuzzy transportation problem and then with the help of ranking function proposed in this paper, the fuzzy transportation problem is converted into crisp transportation problem. Lastly, Initial Basic Feasible Solution (IBFS) of this problem is obtained using Vogel’s Approximation Method and the solution is improved using Modified Distribution (MODI) method. A numerical example with interval data is solved using the proposed algorithm to make comparison of the solution with some other methods. Also, a numerical example with parameters in the form of octagonal fuzzy numbers is illustrated to compare the effectiveness of the proposed ranking technique. The proposed fuzzification and ranking technique can be used in the other fields of decision making dealing with the data in the same form as considered in this paper.

Assessing and assuring interoperability of a genomics file format

Background: Bioinformatics software tools operate largely through the use of specialized genomics file formats. Often these formats lack formal specification, and only rarely do the creators of these tools robustly test them for correct handling of input and output. This causes problems in interoperability between different tools that, at best, wastes time and frustrates users. At worst, interoperability issues could lead to undetected errors in scientific results. Methods: We sought (1) to assess the interoperability of a wide range of bioinformatics software using a shared genomics file format and (2) to provide a simple, reproducible method for enhancing interoperability. As a focus, we selected the popular BED file format for genomic interval data. Based on the file format's original documentation, we created a formal specification. We developed a new verification system, Acidbio (https://github.com/hoffmangroup/acidbio), which tests for correct behavior in bioinformatics software packages. We crafted tests to unify correct behavior when tools encounter various edge cases—potentially unexpected inputs that exemplify the limits of the format. To analyze the performance of existing software, we tested the input validation of 80 Bioconda packages that parsed the BED format. We also used a fuzzing approach to automatically perform additional testing. Results: Of 80 software packages examined, 75 achieved less than 70% correctness on our test suite. We categorized multiple root causes for the poor performance of different types of software. Fuzzing detected other errors that the manually designed test suite could not. We also created a badge system that developers can use to indicate more precisely which BED variants their software accepts and to advertise the software's performance on the test suite. Discussion: Acidbio makes it easy to assess interoperability of software using the BED format, and therefore to identify areas for improvement in individual software packages. Applying our approach to other file formats would increase the reliability of bioinformatics software and data.

Initial development of precipitation and onset of cloud electrification in thunderstorms at Pune

Using one-minute interval data of electric field and the records of rainfall measured at the ground surface, time sequence in the initial registration of precipitation and the onset of cloud electrification was examined for a series of 14 thunderstorms of the year 1973 at Pune to study the relationship between the initial development of precipitation and intensification of cloud electrification. The combined result of the 14 storms studied, each of which yielded precipitation, indicated in-cloud development of precipitation at least 3-7 minutes in advance of onset of cloud electrification. It is inferred from the other supplementing studies published by other workers and from the above result that in most cases the precipitation development in thunderstorms is initiated well before the electric field begins to intensify. This result is in close agreement with the result of previous studies.

Logit Truncated-Exponential Skew-Logistic Distribution with Properties and Applications

In recent years, bounded distributions have attracted extensive attention. At the same time, various areas involve bounded interval data, such as proportion and ratio. In this paper, we propose a new bounded model, named logistic Truncated exponential skew logistic distribution. Some basic statistical properties of the proposed distribution are studied, including moments, mean residual life function, Renyi entropy, mean deviation, order statistics, exponential family, and quantile function. The maximum likelihood method is used to estimate the unknown parameters of the proposed distribution. More importantly, the applications to three real data sets mainly from the field of engineering science prove that the logistic Truncated exponential skew logistic distribution fits better than other bounded distributions.

Information transmission between bitcoin derivatives and spot markets: high-frequency causality analysis with Fourier approximation

This paper examines information transmission between Bitcoin derivatives and spot exchanges using 15-minutes interval data over May 2016 - September 2020. We employ a novel econometric framework with Fourier approximation, taking structural shifts in causal linkages, on the prices, returns, and volatilities of BitMEX, the derivatives market, and five other major spot exchanges, Coinbase, Bitstamp, Kraken, CEX.io, and Poloniex. Overall, the results provide robust evidence of information flow between the derivatives and spot exchanges, implying the markets react to new information simultaneously. The results are of importance for investors conducting portfolio allocation exercises and risk management strategies.

Enhancing precision of the 16-item Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE-16) using Rasch methodology

Objective: This study aimed to investigate psychometric properties and enhance precision of the 16-item Informant Questionnaire on Cognitive Decline in the Elderly (IQCODE-16) up to interval-level scale using Rasch methodology. Design: Partial Credit Rasch model was applied to the IQCODE-16 scores using longitudinal data spanning 10 years of biennial follow-up. Setting: Community-dwelling older adults aged 70–90 years and their informants, living in Sydney, Australia, participated in the longitudinal Sydney Memory and Ageing Study (MAS). Participants: The sample included 400 participants of the MAS aged 70 years and older, 109 out of those were diagnosed with dementia 10 years after the baseline assessment. Measurements: The IQCODE-16. Results: Initial analysis indicated excellent reliability of the IQCODE-16, Person Separation Index (PSI) = 0.92, but there were four misfitting items and local dependency issues. Combining locally dependent items into four super-items resulted in the best Rasch model fit with no misfitting or locally dependent items, strict unidimensionality, strong reliability, and invariance across person factors such as participants’ diagnosis and relationship to their informants, as well as informants’ age and sex. This permitted the generation of conversion algorithms to transform ordinal scores into interval data to enhance precision of measurement. Conclusions: The IQCODE-16 demonstrated strong reliability and satisfied expectations of the unidimensional Rasch model after minor modifications. Ordinal-to-interval transformation tables published here can be used to increase accuracy of the IQCODE-16 without altering its current format. These findings could contribute to enhancement of precision in assessing clinical conditions such as cognitive decline in older people.