Prediction of Safe Sea-State for Pile Driving

Author(s):  
Hamid Bazargan ◽  
Hamid Bahai ◽  
Sirous F. Yasseri ◽  
Farzad Aryana

In this paper vertical piles have been studied with a view to identifying the range of sea-states suitable for the safe pile driving operation. Pile configuration, including the non-linear foundation and the gap between the pile and the pile sleeve shims have been modeled using the finite elements (FE) analysis facilities within ABAQUS. Dynamic analyses of the system for various sea-states characterized by significant wave heights and mean zero upcrossing periods and modeled as a combination of several wave components, have been performed. Repeating the above procedure can generate a table of safe and unsafe sea-states. If the prediction is repeated N times from which n times proved to be safe, then it can be said that the predicted sea-state is safe with a probability of 100(n/N)%. The significant wave height (Hs) and mean zero upcrossing period (Tz) of a future sea-state of a location in NE Pacific (near 46° N 131° W) were generated using the artificial neural networks (ANNs) already trained for this purpose — the location of US National Oceanographic Data Center (NODC) Buoy 46005 is used in this study. The Hs and Tz of some future sea-states were generated from their corresponding conditional 7-parameter probability density functions (pdf’s) given some information including a number of previously measured Hs’s and Tz’s. The parameters of the pdf’s have been estimated from the outputs of 2 different 7-network sets of trained ANNs. This gives a predicted sea-state for a specific time in future. The methodology explained in this paper can identify all control parameters and offer possible solution strategy. The finding reveals that how slight changes in the design configuration can be beneficially exploited to limit the pile response.

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Timothy Smith ◽  
Kevin Silva

Linear seakeeping predictions are attractive for design space exploration and preliminary or simple case motion estimates due to calculation speed and relatively simple input requirements. Linear seakeeping theory is an established prediction method with well-known assumptions. One of these assumptions is the assumption that the motions are small. The validity of this assumption is investigated by comparisons with a body exact nonlinear seakeeping code over a range of significant wave heights. A modern naval destroyer and a generic tumblehome ship are examined over a range of speeds, wave headings, and sea significant wave heights. A comparison between linear and nonlinear seakeeping results for the two hull forms show range of linear behavior for different geometries. A general metric based on relative motion is proposed to quantify the validity of the assumption and indicate up to what point linear seakeeping is appropriate including effect of hull form, speed, and relative wave heading.


Author(s):  
G. Govaere ◽  
R. Silva ◽  
E. Mendoza ◽  
E. Martinez

In this paper we present a methodology for the evaluation of significant wave heights, significant wave periods, maximum winds and minimum pressures using a modification of the original Hydromet-Rankin Vortex Model, Bretchneider (1990) and Holland (1980). The cyclone model is compared to the data series of 29 cyclones recorded by NOAA National Data Buoy Center bouys. Both models present very good results. For the analysis, the database uses 53 years of records, 541 hurricanes on the Atlantic Ocean. For the extreme analyses of wind and wave heights on the Mexican coasts, maps of the location and scale parameters used in the Gumbel cumulative distribution function and numerical results for 50 and 100 years return period are provided.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 195
Author(s):  
He Wang ◽  
Jingsong Yang ◽  
Jianhua Zhu ◽  
Lin Ren ◽  
Yahao Liu ◽  
...  

Sea state estimation from wide-swath and frequent-revisit scatterometers, which are providing ocean winds in the routine, is an attractive challenge. In this study, state-of-the-art deep learning technology is successfully adopted to develop an algorithm for deriving significant wave height from Advanced Scatterometer (ASCAT) aboard MetOp-A. By collocating three years (2016–2018) of ASCAT measurements and WaveWatch III sea state hindcasts at a global scale, huge amount data points (>8 million) were employed to train the multi-hidden-layer deep learning model, which has been established to map the inputs of thirteen sea state related ASCAT observables into the wave heights. The ASCAT significant wave height estimates were validated against hindcast dataset independent on training, showing good consistency in terms of root mean square error of 0.5 m under moderate sea condition (1.0–5.0 m). Additionally, reasonable agreement is also found between ASCAT derived wave heights and buoy observations from National Data Buoy Center for the proposed algorithm. Results are further discussed with respect to sea state maturity, radar incidence angle along with the limitations of the model. Our work demonstrates the capability of scatterometers for monitoring sea state, thus would advance the use of scatterometers, which were originally designed for winds, in studies of ocean waves.


2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tzu-Yin Chang ◽  
Hongey Chen ◽  
Shih-Chun Hsiao ◽  
Han-Lun Wu ◽  
Wei-Bo Chen

The ocean surface waves during Super Typhoons Maria (2018), Lekima (2019), and Meranti (2016) were reproduced using hybrid typhoon winds and a fully coupled wave-tide-circulation modeling system (SCHISM-WWM-III). The hindcasted significant wave heights are in good agreement with the along-track significant wave heights measured by the altimeters aboard the SARAL (Satellite with ARgos and ALtiKa) and Jason-2 satellites. Two numerical experiments pairing Super Typhoons Maria (2018) and Meranti (2016) and Super Typhoons Lekima (2019) and Meranti (2016) were conducted to analyze the storm wave characteristics of binary and individual typhoons. Four points located near the tracks of the three super typhoons were selected to elucidate the effects of binary typhoons on ocean surface waves. The comparisons indicate that binary typhoons not only cause an increase in the significant wave height simulations at four selected pints but also result in increases in the one-dimensional wave energy and two-dimensional directional wave spectra. Our results also reveal that the effects of binary typhoons on ocean surface waves are more significant at the periphery of the typhoon than near the center of the typhoon. The interactions between waves generated by Super Typhoons Maria (2018) and Meranti (2016) or Super Typhoons Lekima (2019) and Meranti (2016) might be diminished by Taiwan Island even if the separation distance between two typhoons is <700 km.


2021 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Hanah Khoirunnisa ◽  
Mardi Wibowo ◽  
Wahyu Hendriyono ◽  
Khusnul Setia Wardani

The flight test of N219 Amphibious aircraft will be targeted in 2003/2024. For flight tests, these aircraft need a seaplane dock. One of the potential locations for the seaplane dock is Panjang Island at Seribu Islands. This study aims to know the characteristic of hydrodynamic and wave conditions and to determine whether Panjang Island is suitable for the seaplane dock. This study uses a modeling method with MIKE 21 FM HD-SW module and MIKE 21 Boussinesq Wave (BW)  module. The bathymetry data were obtained from the Indonesian Navy Hydrographic and Oceanographic Center (Pushidrosal), tide data is generated from Tide Model Driver (TMD), wave and wind data from ECMWF. The result of surface elevation validation between hydrodynamic modeling and TMD is 92%. During the west monsoon and spring conditions, the difference in the largest and lowest current velocity is quite large (0.018-0.199 m/s), on the other hand, when the tides are in neap conditions (0.008-0.144 m/s). Meanwhile, during the east monsoon and spring conditions, the difference in the largest and lowest current velocities is quite large (0.02-0.193 m/s), on the other hand, when the tides are in neap conditions (0.008-0.146 m/s). The maximum wave height resulting from the 50-year return period waveform modeling between 1.139 - 1.474 m. Meanwhile, the significant wave heights between 0.679 - 0.741 with a significant wave period of 13.45 seconds. In general, the current and wave conditions of the two locations are suitable for the construction of the seaplane dock, except that the dominant wave heights are still above the requirements.


Author(s):  
Min Han Oh ◽  
Ki Myung Lee ◽  
Young Sik Jang

A spectral fatigue analysis method is most popularly applied for the detailed design of FPSOs. As the environmental loads at the installation site are directly calculated in the spectral analysis, this method gives the most reliable results although it needs much time-consuming works to fully reflect the environmental loads. As the technology of wave measurements advances, the measured wave data increase. Also their spectral models are very complicated because these include many wave components such as swells and wind seas. Since much time and effort are needed to treat these enormous and complicated wave data for the spectral fatigue analysis, a rational idealization of wave data is definitely required. In this paper, wave scatter diagram at Offshore Nigeria was reviewed and their idealization method was proposed. The influence level of each sea state of the wave scatter diagram was identified considering the fatigue damage levels estimated from the significant wave heights and dominant fatigue load RAOs. The sea states giving small fatigue damages were lumped symmetrically by merging or disregarding while those giving large fatigue damages were kept as original. For the validation of this method, the comparisons of dominant fatigue loads and representative fatigue damages were presented for the idealized wave scatter diagram and the original one. From these comparison works, it was confirmed that the idealized wave scatter diagram gives reliable results with reduced amount of calculation work.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan-Victor Björkqvist ◽  
Jani Särkkä ◽  
Hedi Kanarik ◽  
Laura Tuomi

<p>Wave climate change in the Gulf of Bothnia in 2030–2059 was investigated using regional wave climate projections. For the simulations we used wave model WAM. As the atmospheric forcing for the wave model we had three global climate scenarios (HADGEM2-ES, MPI-ESM, EC-EARTH) downscaled with RCA4-NEMO regional model. The ice concentration for the wave model was obtained from NEMO ocean model simulations using the same atmospheric forcing. We used both RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 greenhouse gas scenarios. The spatial resolution of the simulation data was 1.8 km, enabling detailed analyses of the wave properties near the coast. From the simulation data we calculated statistics and return levels of significant wave heights using extreme value analysis, and assessed the projected changes in the wave climate in the Gulf of Bothnia. The projected increase in the significant wave heights is mainly due to the decreasing ice cover, especially in the Bothnian Bay. Projected changes in the most prevalent wind direction impacts the spatial pattern of the wave heights in the Bothnian Sea.</p>


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