The dynamics and geographic disjunction of the kelp Eisenia arborea along the west coast of Canada

Eisenia arborea has a disjunct distribution along the west coast of North America. We detail the current distribution of E. arborea and use long-term records to examine how present-day shifts in E. arborea prevalence and abundance in British Columbia (BC), relative to the dominant stipitate kelp Pterygophora californica, may be driven by interactions between changing grazing pressure and warming water. We further speculate on how the disjunction of E. arborea arose. The ancestor of E. arborea likely dispersed from Japan to North America where glaciation disrupted its distribution and speciation occurred. As glaciers retreated E. arborea likely dispersed into BC from warmer waters in the south and/or expanded from refugia off Vancouver Island and Haida Gwaii. While E. arborea is uncommon, our records extend its range into Alaska and Washington State. Along western Vancouver Island, BC, under warming conditions, E. arborea prevalence and abundance increased where once-extirpated sea otters (Enhydra lutris) removed urchins. Where otters were absent, however, reduced summer wave heights, associated with warming, apparently allowed urchins to graze shallow-water kelps, which declined. We suggest that under warming conditions, sea otters may increase kelp resilience, with E. arborea becoming more prevalent in NE Pacific kelp forests.

Albedo susceptibility of Northeastern Pacific stratocumulus: the role of covarying meteorological conditions

Quantification of the radiative adjustment of marine low-clouds to aerosol perturbations, regionally and globally, remains the largest source of uncertainty in assessing current and future climate. An important step towards quantifying the role of aerosol in modifying cloud radiative properties is to quantify the susceptibility of cloud albedo and liquid water path (LWP) to perturbations in cloud droplet number concentration (Nd). We use 10 years of space-borne observations from the polar-orbiting Aqua satellite, to quantify the albedo susceptibility of marine low-clouds over the northeast (NE) Pacific stratocumulus region to Nd perturbations. Overall, we find a low-cloud brightening potential of 20.8 ± 0.96 W m−2 ln(Nd)−1, despite an overall negative LWP adjustment for non-precipitating marine stratocumulus, owing to the high occurrence (37% of the time) of thin non-precipitating clouds (LWP < 55 g m−2) that exhibit brightening. In addition, we identify two more susceptibility regimes, the entrainment-darkening regime (36% of the time), corresponding to negative LWP adjustment, and the precipitating-brightening regime (22% of the time), corresponding to precipitation suppression. The influence of large-scale meteorological conditions, obtained from the ERA5 reanalysis, on the albedo susceptibility is also examined. Over the NE Pacific, clear seasonal covariabilities among meteorological factors related to the large-scale circulation are found to play an important role in grouping favorable conditions for each susceptibility regime. Our results indicate that, for the NE Pacific stratocumulus deck, the strongest positively susceptible cloud states occur most frequently for low cloud top height (CTH), the highest lower-tropospheric stability (LTS), low sea-surface temperature (SST), and the lowest free-tropospheric relative humidity (RHft) conditions, whereas cloud states that exhibit negative LWP adjustment occur most frequently under high CTH and intermediate LTS, SST, and RHft conditions. The warm rain suppression driven cloud brightening is found to preferably occur either under unstable atmospheric conditions (low LTS) or high RHft conditions that co-occur with warm SST. Mutual information analyses reveal a dominating control of LWP, Nd and CTH (cloud state indicators) on low-cloud albedo susceptibility, rather than of the meteorological factors that drive these cloud states.

Demographic Differences in the Quantity, Mass, and Anatomical Location of Ingested Plastic in Northern Fulmars (Fulmarus glacialis): A Review and Reconsideration of NE Pacific Ocean Samples

On the Washington and Oregon coast of the NE Pacific Ocean from 2008-2015, we found that juveniles represented 83% of Northern Fulmars that were beached. In comparison to older birds, juveniles averaged more mass and pieces of plastic in stomachs. This reflected relatively larger plastic loads in the cranial stomach section, the proventriculus, which we found was associated with relatively large accumulations in the caudal stomach section, the ventriculus. We estimate that the proventriculus could retain almost 10 times as much plastic as the ventriculus and that retention of proventricular plastic largely accounted for the difference in juveniles versus older birds. Our findings contrast with published Atlantic Ocean reports where the proportion of immatures was lower and plastic was retained mostly in ventriculi. The differences in demography and gastric distribution between NE Pacific and Atlantic fulmars may reflect the different sizes of plastic particles that were available. The preponderance of juveniles in NE Pacific Ocean samples and associated relatively large plastic loads overestimate the load for the species. Without accounting for age and gastric distribution, comparison to other regions is ill-advised. An unrecognized complication in stomach-based sampling is that differences in size of plastic at spatiotemporal scales could affect the utility of stomach samples as bioindicators of oceanic plastic pollution.

Future behavior of wind wave extremes due to climate change

Extreme waves will undergo changes in the future when exposed to different climate change scenarios. These changes are evaluated through the analysis of significant wave height (Hs) return values and are also compared with annual mean Hs projections. Hourly time series are analyzed through a seven-member ensemble of wave climate simulations and changes are estimated in Hs for return periods from 5 to 100 years by the end of the century under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios. Despite the underlying uncertainty that characterizes extremes, we obtain robust changes in extreme Hs over more than approximately 25% of the ocean surface. The results obtained conclude that increases cover wider areas and are larger in magnitude than decreases for higher return periods. The Southern Ocean is the region where the most robust increase in extreme Hs is projected, showing local increases of over 2 m regardless the analyzed return period under RCP8.5 scenario. On the contrary, the tropical north Pacific shows the most robust decrease in extreme Hs, with local decreases of over 1.5 m. Relevant divergences are found in several ocean regions between the projected behavior of mean and extreme wave conditions. For example, an increase in Hs return values and a decrease in annual mean Hs is found in the SE Indian, NW Atlantic and NE Pacific. Therefore, an extrapolation of the expected change in mean wave conditions to extremes in regions presenting such divergences should be adopted with caution, since it may lead to misinterpretation when used for the design of marine structures or in the evaluation of coastal flooding and erosion.

Axial Seamount: A Wired Submarine Volcano Observatory in the NE Pacific

&lt;p&gt;Axial Seamount is the most active submarine volcano in the NE Pacific Ocean, and is monitored by instruments connected to a cabled observatory (the US Ocean Observatories Initiative Cabled Array), supplemented by autonomous battery-powered instruments on the seafloor at ~1500 m depth.&amp;#160; Axial Seamount is a basaltic hot spot volcano superimposed on the Juan de Fuca spreading ridge, giving it a robust and apparently continuous magma supply.&amp;#160; It has had three effusive eruptions in the last 23 years in 1998, 2011, and 2015.&amp;#160; Deformation measurements have been conducted at Axial Seamount since the late 1980&amp;#8217;s with bottom pressure recorders (BPRs) that can detect vertical movements of the seafloor with a resolution of ~1 cm.&amp;#160; This monitoring has produced a long-term time-series including co-eruption rapid deflation events of 2.5-3.2 meters, separated by continuous gradual inter-eruption inflation at rates that have varied between 15-80 cm/yr.&amp;#160; The overall pattern appears to be inflation-predictable, with eruptions repeatedly triggered at or near a critical level of inflation.&amp;#160; Using this pattern, the 2015 eruption was successfully forecast within a one-year time window, 7 months in advance.&amp;#160; As of January 2021, Axial Seamount has re-inflated ~2.1 m (~83%) of the 2.54 m it deflated during the 2015 eruption, but the rate of inflation has been decreasing since then.&amp;#160; Our current eruption forecast window is between 2022-2026, based on the latest rate of inflation.&amp;#160; Modeling of the seafloor deformation data along with other recent results from ocean bottom seismometers and multichannel seismic surveys inform our interpretation of the subsurface structure of the volcano and the geometry and depth of the shallow magma storage system.&lt;/p&gt;

Protistan grazing impacts microbial communities and carbon cycling at deep-sea hydrothermal vents

Microbial eukaryotes (or protists) in marine ecosystems are a link between microbial primary producers and all higher trophic levels. The rate at which heterotrophic protistan grazers consume microbial prey and recycle organic matter is an important factor that influences marine microbial food webs and carbon cycling. At deep-sea hydrothermal vents, chemosynthetic bacteria and archaea form the base of a food web that functions in the absence of sunlight, but the role of protistan grazers in these highly productive ecosystems is largely unexplored. Here, we pair grazing experiments with a molecular survey to quantify protistan grazing and to characterize the composition of vent-associated protists in low-temperature venting fluids from Gorda Ridge in the North East (NE) Pacific Ocean. Results reveal protists exert higher predation pressure at vents compared to the surrounding deep seawater environment and may account for consuming 28-62% of the daily stock of prokaryotic biomass within the hydrothermal vent food web. The vent-associated protistan community was more species rich relative to the background deep sea, and patterns in the distribution and co-occurrence of vent microbes provide additional insights into potential predator-prey interactions. Ciliates, followed by dinoflagellates, Syndiniales, rhizaria, and stramenopiles dominated the vent protist community and included bacterivorous species, species known to host symbionts, and parasites. Our findings provide an estimate of protistan grazing pressure within hydrothermal vent food webs, highlighting the role that diverse deep-sea protistan communities have in carbon cycling.SignificanceHeterotrophic protists are ubiquitous in all aquatic ecosystems and represent an important ecological link because they transfer organic carbon from primary producers to higher trophic levels. Here, we quantify the predator-prey trophic interaction among protistan grazers and microbial prey at multiple sites of hydrothermal venting near the Gorda Ridge spreading center in the NE Pacific Ocean. Grazing pressure was higher at the site of active diffuse flow and was carried out by a highly diverse assemblage of protistan species; elevated grazing rates are attributed to higher concentrations of chemosynthetic microorganisms and biological diversity localized to hydrothermal vent environments.

The potential of video imagery from worldwide cabled observatory networks to provide information supporting fish-stock and biodiversity assessment

Seafloor multiparametric fibre-optic-cabled video observatories are emerging tools for standardized monitoring programmes, dedicated to the production of real-time fishery-independent stock assessment data. Here, we propose that a network of cabled cameras can be set up and optimized to ensure representative long-term monitoring of target commercial species and their surrounding habitats. We highlight the importance of adding the spatial dimension to fixed-point-cabled monitoring networks, and the need for close integration with Artificial Intelligence pipelines, that are necessary for fast and reliable biological data processing. We then describe two pilot studies, exemplary of using video imagery and environmental monitoring to derive robust data as a foundation for future ecosystem-based fish-stock and biodiversity management. The first example is from the NE Pacific Ocean where the deep-water sablefish (Anoplopoma fimbria) has been monitored since 2010 by the NEPTUNE cabled observatory operated by Ocean Networks Canada. The second example is from the NE Atlantic Ocean where the Norway lobster (Nephrops norvegicus) is being monitored using the SmartBay observatory developed for the European Multidisciplinary Seafloor and water column Observatories. Drawing from these two examples, we provide insights into the technological challenges and future steps required to develop full-scale fishery-independent stock assessments.