The impact of surface heat fluxes on plankton population dynamics during the thermal bar in a freshwater lake

2016 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bair O. Tsydenov
2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (11) ◽  
pp. 3907-3927
Author(s):  
Chin-Hsuan Peng ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu

AbstractThe rapid intensification (RI) of Typhoon Soudelor (2015) is simulated using a full-physics model. To investigate how the outer-core surface heat fluxes affect tropical cyclone (TC) structure and RI processes, a series of numerical experiments are performed by suppressing surface heat fluxes between various radii. It is found that a TC would become quite weaker when the surface heat fluxes are suppressed outside the radius of 60 or 90 km [the radius of maximum surface wind in the control experiment (CTRL) at the onset of RI is roughly 60 km]. However, interestingly, the TC would experience stronger RI when the surface heat fluxes are suppressed outside the radius of 150 km. For those sensitivity experiments with capped surface heat fluxes, the members with greater intensification rate show stronger inner-core mid- to upper-level updrafts and higher heating efficiency prior to the RI periods. Although the outer-core surface heat fluxes in these members are suppressed, the inner-core winds become stronger, extracting more ocean energy from the inner core. Greater outer-core low-level stability in these members results in aggregation of deep convection and subsequent generation and concentration of potential vorticity inside the inner core, thus confining the strongest winds therein. The abovementioned findings are also supported by partial-correlation analyses, which reveal the positive correlation between the inner-core convection and subsequent 6-h intensity change, and the competition between the inner-core and outer-core convections (i.e., eyewall and outer rainbands).


2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (21) ◽  
pp. 8719-8744 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helen R. Pillar ◽  
Helen L. Johnson ◽  
David P. Marshall ◽  
Patrick Heimbach ◽  
So Takao

Atmospheric reanalyses are commonly used to force numerical ocean models, but despite large discrepancies reported between different products, the impact of reanalysis uncertainty on the simulated ocean state is rarely assessed. In this study, the impact of uncertainty in surface fluxes of buoyancy and momentum on the modeled Atlantic meridional overturning at 25°N is quantified for the period January 1994–December 2011. By using an ocean-only climate model and its adjoint, the space and time origins of overturning uncertainty resulting from air–sea flux uncertainty are fully explored. Uncertainty in overturning induced by prior air–sea flux uncertainty can exceed 4 Sv (where 1 Sv ≡ 106 m3 s−1) within 15 yr, at times exceeding the amplitude of the ensemble-mean overturning anomaly. A key result is that, on average, uncertainty in the overturning at 25°N is dominated by uncertainty in the zonal wind at lags of up to 6.5 yr and by uncertainty in surface heat fluxes thereafter, with winter heat flux uncertainty over the Labrador Sea appearing to play a critically important role.


Author(s):  
Tsung-Yung Lee ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu ◽  
Rosimar Rios-Berrios

AbstractThe impact of low-level flow (LLF) direction on the intensification of intense tropical cyclones under moderate deep-layer shear is investigated based on idealized numerical experiments. The background flow profiles are constructed by varying the LLF direction with the same moderate deep-layer shear. When the maximum surface wind speed of the simulation without background flow reaches 70 knots, the background flow profiles are imposed. After a weakening period in the first 12 h, the members with upshear-left-pointing LLF (fast-intensifying group) intensify faster between 12–24 h than those members (slow-intensifying group) with downshear-right-pointing LLF. The fast-intensifying group experiences earlier development of inner-core structures after 12 h, such as potential vorticity below the mid-troposphere, upper-level warm core, eyewall axisymmmetrization, and moist entropy gradient, while the inner-core features of the slow-intensifying group remain relatively weak and asymmetric. The FI group experiences smaller tilt increase and stronger mid-level PV ring development. The upshear-left convection during 6–12 h is responsible for the earlier development of the inner core by reducing ventilation, providing axisymmetric heating and benefiting the eyewall development. The LLF of the fast-intensifying group enhances surface heat fluxes in the downshear side, resulting in higher energy supply to the upshear-left convection from the boundary layer. In all, this study provides new insights on the impact of LLF direction on intense storms under moderate shear by modulating the surface heat fluxes and eyewall convection.


2014 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vladimir Santos da Costa ◽  
Afonso De Moraes Paiva

The impact of different formulations of surface heat fluxes (no fluxes, climatological fluxes, restoring of SST towards climatology, climatological fluxes plus SST restoring, and model-computed fluxes via bulk formulas) on the modeling of the Brazil Current off southeast Brazil is investigated in numerical simulations performed with the Regional Ocean Model (ROMS). While mechanical forcing may be dominant in this region, it is shown that correct upper ocean currents and thermal structure can only be obtained when heat fluxes are implemented, even in regions of strong horizontal advection, and that some kind of feedback of the ocean state upon the fluxes is also necessary. This results are of particular importance for ocean modeling developed having operational oceanography in view.


2013 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 722-743 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexis Berg ◽  
Kirsten Findell ◽  
Benjamin R. Lintner ◽  
Pierre Gentine ◽  
Christopher Kerr

Abstract A new methodology for assessing the impact of surface heat fluxes on precipitation is applied to data from the North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) and to output from the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory’s Atmospheric Model 2.1 (AM2.1). The method assesses the sensitivity of afternoon convective rainfall frequency and intensity to the late-morning partitioning of latent and sensible heating, quantified in terms of evaporative fraction (EF). Over North America, both NARR and AM2.1 indicate sensitivity of convective rainfall triggering to EF but no appreciable influence of EF on convective rainfall amounts. Functional relationships between the triggering feedback strength (TFS) metric and mean EF demonstrate the occurrence of stronger coupling for mean EF in the range of 0.6 to 0.8. To leading order, AM2.1 exhibits spatial distributions and seasonality of the EF impact on triggering resembling those seen in NARR: rainfall probability increases with higher EF over the eastern United States and Mexico and peaks in Northern Hemisphere summer. Over those regions, the impact of EF variability on afternoon rainfall triggering in summer can explain up to 50% of seasonal rainfall variability. However, the AM2.1 metrics also exhibit some features not present in NARR, for example, strong coupling extending northwestward from the central Great Plains into Canada. Sources of disagreement may include model hydroclimatic biases that affect the mean patterns and variability of surface flux partitioning, with EF variability typically much lower in NARR. Finally, the authors also discuss the consistency of their results with other assessments of land–precipitation coupling obtained from different methodologies.


2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 621-637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip Sura ◽  
Matthew Newman

Abstract The basic effect of extratropical atmosphere–ocean thermal coupling is to enhance the variance of both anomalous sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and air temperatures (AIRT) due to a decreased energy flux between the atmosphere and ocean, called reduced thermal damping. In this paper it is shown that rapidly varying surface winds, through their influence upon the turbulent surface heat fluxes that drive this coupling, act to effectively weaken the coupling and thus partially counteract the reduced thermal damping. In effect, rapid fluctuations in wind speed somewhat insulate the atmosphere and ocean from each other. The nonlinear relationship between the rapidly varying wind speed anomalies and SST and AIRT anomalies results in a rapidly varying component of the surface heat fluxes. The clear separation between the dynamical time scales of the ocean and atmosphere allows this rapidly varying flux to be simply approximated by a stochastic process in which rapidly varying wind speed is represented as Gaussian white noise whose amplitude is modulated by the more slowly evolving thermal anomalies. Such state-dependent (multiplicative) noise can alter the dynamics of atmosphere–ocean coupling because it induces an additional heat flux term, the noise-induced drift, that effectively acts to weaken both coupling and dissipation. Another key implication of the outlined theory is that air–sea coupling includes both deterministic and stochastic components. The theory is tested by examining daily observations during extended winter (November–April) at several ocean weather stations (OWSs). Two important results are found. First, multiplicative noise at OWS P effectively decreases the coupling by about one-third, with about a 10% (20%) decrease in the damping of SST (AIRT). This suggests that multiplicative noise may be responsible for roughly half of the AIRT variability at OWS P on subseasonal time scales. Second, OWS observations reveal that joint probability distribution functions of daily averaged SST and AIRT anomalies are significantly non-Gaussian. It is shown that treating the rapidly varying boundary layer heat fluxes as state-dependent noise can reproduce this observed non-Gaussianity. It is concluded that the effect of state-dependent noise is crucial to understand and model atmosphere–ocean coupling.


2013 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 307
Author(s):  
Vladimir Santos da Costa ◽  
Afonso De Moraes Paiva

ABSTRACT. The impact of different formulations of surface heat fluxes (no fluxes, climatological fluxes, restoring of SST towards climatology, climatological fluxes plus SST restoring, and model-computed fluxes via bulk formulas) on the modeling of the Brazil Current is investigated in numerical simulations performed with the Regional Ocean Model (ROMS). While mechanical forcing may be dominant, it is shown that correct upper ocean currents and thermal structure can only be obtained when heat fluxes are implemented, even in regions of strong horizontal advection, and that some form of feedback of the ocean state upon the fluxes is also a necessary condition. This results are of particular importance for ocean modeling developed having operational oceanography in view.   Keywords: Brazil Current, surface heat flux, numerical modeling.  RESUMO. O impacto de diferentes formulações dos fluxos de calor em superfície (sem fluxos, fluxos climatológicos, relaxamento de TSM para climatologia, fluxos climatológicos mais relaxamento de TSM e fluxos calculados pelo modelo com “bulk formulas”) sobre a modelagem da Corrente do Brasil é investigado em simulações numéricas com o Regional Ocean Model (ROMS). Apesar da forçante mecânica ser dominante, mostra-se que uma correta representação de correntes e da estrutura térmica nas camadas superiores do oceano somente são possíveis quando fluxos de calor são implementados e que algum tipo de retroalimentação da TSM sobre os fluxos é também necessária. Estes resultados são particularmente importantes na modelagem voltada para a oceanografia operacional.   Palavras-chave: Corrente do Brasil, fluxos superficial de calor, modelagem numérica.


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