USING TIME SERIES DATA TO EVALUATE BAROMETRIC EFFICIENCY AND THE ROLE OF EARTH TIDES IN SPRING WATER LEVELS: NACIMIENTO FAULT ZONE, NEW MEXICO

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chris McGibbon ◽  
◽  
Laura J. Crossey ◽  
Dylan Harp ◽  
Mark Person
Author(s):  
I Gede Dea Joendra Septyana Putra ◽  
Ni Luh Karmini ◽  
I Wayan Wenagama

This study aims to analyze the effect of the number of tourist visits and the average tourist expenditure on the local income of Bali Province, to analyze the effect of the number of tourist visits, average tourist expenditure, and local income on the economic growth of Bali Province, and to analyze the role of income. native areas in mediating the effect of the number of tourist visits and the average tourist expenditure on the economic growth of Bali Province. The data used in this research is secondary data, with the method of observation by observing documents or secondary data sources that are related. This study uses time series data with a total of 30 years of observations from 1990-2019, with the analysis technique used is Path Analysis. This study shows the results that the number of tourist visits and the average tourist expenditure have a positive and significant effect on local income in Bali Province. The number of tourist visits, the average tourist expenditure and local revenue have a positive and significant effect on economic growth in Bali Province. Own-source revenue mediates the effect of the number of tourist visits and the average tourist expenditure on economic growth in Bali Province.


2020 ◽  
Vol 52 ◽  
pp. 55-65
Author(s):  
Teresa Caputo ◽  
Paola Cusano ◽  
Simona Petrosino ◽  
Fabio Sansivero ◽  
Giuseppe Vilardo

Abstract. The Solfatara volcano in the Campi Flegrei caldera (Italy), is monitored by different, permanent ground networks handled by INGV (Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia), including thermal infrared cameras (TIRNet). The TIRNet network is composed by five stations equipped with FLIR A645SC or A655SC thermal cameras acquiring at nightime infrared scenes of portions of the Solfatara area characterized by significant thermal anomalies. The dataset processed in this work consists of daily maximum temperatures time-series from 25 April 2014 to 31 May 2019, acquired by three TIRNet stations (SF1 and SF2 inside Solfatara crater, and PIS near Pisciarelli boiling mud pool), and also consists of atmospheric pressure and air temperature time-series. Data pre-processing was carried out in order to remove the seasonal components and the influence of the Earth tides to the selected time-series. By using the STL algorithm (Seasonal Decomposition of Time Series by Loess), the time-series were decomposed into three components (seasonal, trend and remainder) to find seasonality and remove it. Then, a harmonic analysis was performed on the de-seasonalized signals in order to identify and remove the long-period tidal constituents (mainly fortnightly and monthly). Finally, Power Spectral Density was calculated by FFT Matlab algorithm, after applying an acausal Butterworth filter, focusing on the [15–120] d band, to check if characteristic periodicities exist for each site. The reliability and significance of the spectral peaks were proved by statistical and empirical methods. We found that most of the residual periodicities are ascribable to ambient factors, while 18.16 d for Pisciarelli site and 88.71 d for Solfatara have a possible endogenous origin.


Author(s):  
Sorush Niknamian

This study reassesses the resource–economic growth nexus by incorporating several channels. Advanced panel time series techniques are used to analyse panel time series data from 1980 to 2015 in 31 oil-rich countries. Results show that oil rent augments economic growth; thus, oil rent is conducive rather than impediment for economic growth. The role of governance in economic growth is significant in the selected countries. Oil rent exerts a positive significant impact on economic growth in countries with good governance compare to countries with poor governance. Financial development is an unimportant channel in the resource–growth nexus because FD is often unable to mobilise oil rent from the government to the private sector in oil-rich countries. Globalisation is advantageous for countries and promote economic growth. Moreover, war exerts a significant negative effect on growth in the long term.


1995 ◽  
Vol 47 (4) ◽  
pp. 495-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jonas Pontusson

Using a number of different quantitative measures, this article demonstrates that variations in the degree of social democratic decline in nine European countries can be viewed in large measure as a product of two structural economic changes: (1) the shift to smaller units of production; and (2) the growth of private nonindustrial employment. The article explores several causal arguments linking these variables to social democratic decline, and it marshals Swedish and British time-series data to show that the distribution of manufacturing employment by production unit helps explain both the rise and the decline of social democracy.


2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sorush Niknamian

This study reassesses the resource–economic growth nexus by incorporating several channels. Advanced panel time series techniques are used to analyse panel time series data from 1980 to 2015 in 31 oil-rich countries. Results show that oil rent augments economic growth; thus, oil rent is conducive rather than impediment for economic growth. The role of governance in economic growth is significant in the selected countries. Oil rent exerts a positive significant impact on economic growth in countries with good governance compare to countries with poor governance. Financial development is an unimportant channel in the resource–growth nexus because FD is often unable to mobilise oil rent from the government to the private sector in oil-rich countries. Globalisation is advantageous for countries and promote economic growth. Moreover, war exerts a significant negative effect on growth in the long term.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2 (7) ◽  
pp. e12051 ◽  
Author(s):  
Luo Lu ◽  
John C. Mu ◽  
Sheldon Sloan ◽  
Philip B. Miner ◽  
Jerry D. Gardner

JEJAK ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 318-326
Author(s):  
Rohadin Rohadin ◽  
Yanah Yanah

The purpose of this study to determine whether SMEs have a role to economic growth and how big the role of SMEs to economic growth in Indonesia. Types of data used are time series data i.e SMEs data and Economic growth data from year 2003 until 2018 in Indonesia.Tool of analyze data used in this research is multiple linear regression. The result of analysis shows that the influence between of SMEs on economic growth in Indonesia is only 12,5%, it means that Small Micro Entreprises do not have a significant influence on economic growth in Indonesia, government to accelerate the development of SMEs in Indonesia in order to contribute to economic growth as in the economic crisis that occurred in 1998 SMEs are able to survive when many large companies are bankrupt. This may be caused by SMEs owners and workers in SMEs do not pay taxes to the government so that not much contribute to the economic growth of the Indonesia. In order for SMEs to contribute to economic growth, must export their products to other countries and support from the government is needed to facilitate SMEs in obtaining capital access from financial institutions.


Author(s):  
Daryono Soebagiyo

This is well illustrated by recent research into inter-regional development growth disparities. Some researchers have followed the Neoclassical route, emphasizing the role of the Williamson Index, and then can be expressed relationship in general form that in regression and correlation coefficient analysis involving time series data. The objectives of this research was to preview the classification development of disparities and influence factors in the late five years during 1992-1996, case study in SUMBAGSEL. The Analysis can be calculated to measure the government revenue, income regional and contributed tax sectors.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pablo Duchen ◽  
Sophie Hautphenne ◽  
Laurent Lehmann ◽  
Nicolas Salamin

The process of speciation is of key importance in evolutionary biology because it shapes macroevolutionary patterns. This process starts at the microevolutionary level, for instance, when two subpopulations evolve towards different phenotypic optima. The speed at which these optima are reached is controlled by the degree of stabilising selection, which pushes a mean trait towards an optimum within subpopulations, and ongoing migration that pulls the mean phenotype away from that optimum. Traditionally, macro phenotypic evolution with selection has been modelled by Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) processes, but these models have ignored the role of migration within species. Here, our goal is to reconcile the processes of micro and macroevolution by modelling migration during speciation. More precisely, we introduce an OU model where migration happens between two subpopulations within a branch of a phylogeny and this migration decreases over time as it happens during speciation. We then use this model to study the evolution of trait means along a phylogeny, as well as the way phenotypic disparity between species changes with successive epochs. We show that ignoring the effect of migration in sampled time-series data leads to a significant underestimation of the selective forces acting upon it. We also show that migration decreases the expected phenotypic disparity between species and we show the effect of migration in the particular case of niche filling. We further introduce a method to jointly estimate selection and migration from time-series data. Our model extends standard results of interactions selection-migration in a microevolutionary time frame across multiple speciation events at a macroevolutionary scale. Our results further proof that not accounting for gene flow has important consequences in inferences at both the micro and macroevolutionary scale.


2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 176 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mario Curcija

Economists often emphasize the role of institutions in order to explain the difference in wealth and development among different countries and in their researches they mark correlation between institution and economic development. This paper tests the validity of these models referring to Albania using time-series data from 1993 to 2015. There is evidence of significant positive effect of property rights on economic growth and credit to private sector, while there is evidenced insignificant impact of contracting institutions on economic outputs. A plausible explanation of these differences may be the different flexibility towards changes on property right institution rather than contracting institutions.


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