scholarly journals Efficacy of prehospital National Early Warning Score to predict outpatient disposition at an emergency department of a Japanese tertiary hospital: a retrospective study

BMJ Open ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (6) ◽  
pp. e034602
Author(s):  
Takuro Endo ◽  
Toru Yoshida ◽  
Tomohiro Shinozaki ◽  
Takako Motohashi ◽  
Hsiang-Chin Hsu ◽  
...  

ObjectivesThe National Early Warning Score (NEWS) was originally developed to assess hospitalised patients in the UK. We examined whether the NEWS could be applied to patients transported by ambulance in Japan.DesignThis retrospective study assessed patients and calculated the NEWS from paramedic records. Emergency department (ED) disposition data were categorised into the following groups: discharged from the ED, admitted to the ward, admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) or died in the ED. The predictive performance of NEWS for patient disposition was assessed using receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Patient dispositions were compared among NEWS-based categories after adjusting for age, sex and presence of traumatic injury.SettingA tertiary hospital in Japan.ParticipantsOverall, 2847 patients transported by ambulance between April 2017 and March 2018 were included.ResultsThe mean (±SD) NEWS differed significantly among patients discharged from the ED (n=1330, 3.7±2.9), admitted to the ward (n=1263, 60.3±3.8), admitted to the ICU (n=232, 9.4±4.0) and died in the ED (n=22, 110.7±2.9) (p<0.001). The prehospital NEWS C-statistics (95% CI) for admission to the ward, admission to the ICU or death in the ED; admission to the ICU or death in the ED; and death in the ED were 0.73 (0.72–0.75), 0.81 (0.78–0.83) and 0.90 (0.87–0.93), respectively. After adjusting for age, sex and trauma, the OR (95% CI) of admission to the ICU or death in the ED for the high-risk (NEWS ≥7) and medium-risk (NEWS 5–6) categories was 13.8 (8.9–21.6) and 4.2 (2.5–7.1), respectively.ConclusionThe findings from this Japanese tertiary hospital setting showed that prehospital NEWS could be used to identify patients at a risk of adverse outcomes. NEWS stratification was strongly correlated with patient disposition.

PLoS ONE ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. e0211133 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anniek Brink ◽  
Jelmer Alsma ◽  
Rob Johannes Carel Gerardus Verdonschot ◽  
Pleunie Petronella Marie Rood ◽  
Robert Zietse ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirsi Kemp ◽  
Janne Alakare ◽  
Veli-Pekka Harjola ◽  
Timo Strandberg ◽  
Jukka Tolonen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The aim of the emergency department (ED) triage is to recognize critically ill patients and to allocate resources. No strong evidence for accuracy of the current triage instruments, especially for the older adults, exists. We evaluated the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and a 3-level triage assessment as risk predictors for frail older adults visiting the ED. Methods This prospective, observational study was performed in a Finnish ED. The data were collected in a six-month period and included were ≥ 75-year-old residents with Clinical Frailty Scale score of at least four. We analyzed the predictive values of NEWS2 and the three-level triage scale for 30-day mortality, hospital admission, high dependency unit (HDU) and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, a count of 72-h and 30-day revisits, and ED length-of-stay (LOS). Results A total of 1711 ED visits were included. Median for age, CFS, LOS and NEWS2 were 85 years, 6 points, 6.2 h and 1 point, respectively. 30-day mortality was 96/1711. At triage, 69, 356 and 1278 of patients were assessed as red, yellow and green, respectively. There were 1103 admissions, of them 31 to an HDU facility, none to ICU. With NEWS2 and triage score, AUCs for 30-day mortality prediction were 0.70 (0.64–0.76) and 0.62 (0.56–0.68); for hospital admission prediction 0.62 (0.60–0.65) and 0.55 (0.52–0.56), and for HDU admission 0.72 (0.61–0.83) and 0.80 (0.70–0.90), respectively. The NEWS2 divided into risk groups of low, medium and high did not predict the ED LOS (p = 0.095). There was a difference in ED LOS between the red/yellow and as red/green patient groups (p < 0.001) but not between the yellow/green groups (p = 0.59). There were 48 and 351 revisits within 72 h and 30 days, respectively. With NEWS2 AUCs for 72-h and 30-day revisit prediction were 0.48 (95% CI 0.40–0.56) and 0.47 (0.44–0.51), respectively; with triage score 0.48 (0.40–0.56) and 0.49 (0.46–0.52), respectively. Conclusions The NEWS2 and a local 3-level triage scale are statistically significant, but poor in accuracy, in predicting 30-day mortality, and HDU admission but not ED LOS or revisit rates for frail older adults. NEWS2 also seems to predict hospital admission.


Medicine ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 100 (40) ◽  
pp. e27325
Author(s):  
Peter Vergara ◽  
Daniela Forero ◽  
Alirio Bastidas ◽  
Julio-Cesar Garcia ◽  
Jhosep Blanco ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kirsi Kemp ◽  
Janne Alakare ◽  
Veli-Pekka Harjola ◽  
Timo Strandberg ◽  
Jukka Tolonen ◽  
...  

Abstract Background The aim of the emergency department (ED) triage is to recognize critically ill patients and to allocate resources. No strong evidence for accuracy of the current triage instruments, especially for the older adults, exists. We evaluated the National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2) and a 3-level triage assessment as risk predictors for frail older adults visiting the ED.Methods This prospective, observational study was performed in a Finnish ED. The data were collected in a six-month period and included were ≥75-year-old residents with Clinical Frailty Scale score of at least four. We analyzed the predictive values of NEWS2 and the three-level triage scale for 30-day mortality, hospital admission, high dependency unit (HDU) and intensive care unit (ICU) admissions, a count of 72-hour and 30-day revisits, and ED length-of-stay (LOS). Results A total of 1711 ED visits were included. Median for age, CFS, LOS and NEWS2 were 85 years, 6 points, 6.2 hours and 1 point, respectively. 30-day mortality was 96/1711. At triage, 69, 356 and 1278 of patients were assessed as red, yellow and green, respectively. There were 1103 admissions, of them 31 to an HDU facility, none to ICU.With NEWS2 and triage score, AUCs for 30-day mortality prediction were 0.70 (0.64-0.76) and 0.62 (0.56-0.68); for hospital admission prediction 0.62 (0.60-0.65) and 0.55 (0.52-0.56), and for HDU admission 0.72 (0.61-0.83) and 0.80 (0.70-0.90), respectively.The NEWS2 divided into risk groups of low, medium and high did not predict the ED LOS (p=0.095). There was a difference in ED LOS between the red/yellow and as red/green patient groups (p<0.001) but not between the yellow/green groups (p=0.59).There were 48 and 351 revisits within 72 hours and 30 days, respectively. With NEWS2 AUCs for 72-hour and 30-day revisit prediction were 0.48 (95% CI 0.40-0.56) and 0.47 (0.44-0.51), respectively; with triage score 0.48 (0.40-0.56) and 0.49 (0.46-0.52), respectively.Conclusions The NEWS2 and a local 3-level triage scale are statistically significant, but poor in accuracy, in predicting 30-day mortality, and HDU admission but not ED LOS or revisit rates for frail older adults. NEWS2 also seems to predict hospital admission


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document