Power-law autocorrelated stochastic processes with long-range cross-correlations

2007 ◽  
Vol 56 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. Podobnik ◽  
D. F. Fu ◽  
H. E. Stanley ◽  
P. Ch. Ivanov
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lenin Del Rio Amador ◽  
Shaun Lovejoy

<p>Over time scales between 10 days and 10-20 years – the macroweather regime – atmospheric fields, including the temperature, respect statistical scale symmetries, such as power-law correlations, that imply the existence of a huge memory in the system that can be exploited for long-term forecasts. The Stochastic Seasonal to Interannual Prediction System (StocSIPS) is a stochastic model that exploits these symmetries to perform long-term forecasts. It models the temperature as the high-frequency limit of the (fractional) energy balance equation (fractional Gaussian noise) which governs radiative equilibrium processes when the relevant equilibrium relaxation processes are power law, rather than exponential. They are obtained when the order of the relaxation equation is fractional rather than integer and they are solved as past value problems rather than initial value problems.</p><p>Long-range weather prediction is conventionally an initial value problem that uses the current state of the atmosphere to produce ensemble forecasts. In contrast, StocSIPS predictions for long-memory processes are “past value” problems that use historical data to provide conditional forecasts. Cross-correlations can be used to define teleconnection patterns, and for identifying possible dynamical interactions, but they do not necessarily imply any causation. Using the precise notion of Granger causality, we show that for long-range stochastic temperature forecasts, the cross-correlations are only relevant at the level of the innovations – not temperatures. Extended here to the multivariate case, (m-StocSIPS) produces realistic space-time temperature simulations. Although it has no Granger causality, we are able to reproduce emergent properties including realistic teleconnection networks and El Niño events and indices.</p>


Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 352
Author(s):  
Janusz Miśkiewicz

Within the paper, the problem of globalisation during financial crises is analysed. The research is based on the Forex exchange rates. In the analysis, the power law classification scheme (PLCS) is used. The study shows that during crises cross-correlations increase resulting in significant growth of cliques, and also the ranks of nodes on the converging time series network are growing. This suggests that the crises expose the globalisation processes, which can be verified by the proposed analysis.


Author(s):  
Tom Hutchcroft

AbstractWe study long-range Bernoulli percolation on $${\mathbb {Z}}^d$$ Z d in which each two vertices x and y are connected by an edge with probability $$1-\exp (-\beta \Vert x-y\Vert ^{-d-\alpha })$$ 1 - exp ( - β ‖ x - y ‖ - d - α ) . It is a theorem of Noam Berger (Commun. Math. Phys., 2002) that if $$0<\alpha <d$$ 0 < α < d then there is no infinite cluster at the critical parameter $$\beta _c$$ β c . We give a new, quantitative proof of this theorem establishing the power-law upper bound $$\begin{aligned} {\mathbf {P}}_{\beta _c}\bigl (|K|\ge n\bigr ) \le C n^{-(d-\alpha )/(2d+\alpha )} \end{aligned}$$ P β c ( | K | ≥ n ) ≤ C n - ( d - α ) / ( 2 d + α ) for every $$n\ge 1$$ n ≥ 1 , where K is the cluster of the origin. We believe that this is the first rigorous power-law upper bound for a Bernoulli percolation model that is neither planar nor expected to exhibit mean-field critical behaviour. As part of the proof, we establish a universal inequality implying that the maximum size of a cluster in percolation on any finite graph is of the same order as its mean with high probability. We apply this inequality to derive a new rigorous hyperscaling inequality $$(2-\eta )(\delta +1)\le d(\delta -1)$$ ( 2 - η ) ( δ + 1 ) ≤ d ( δ - 1 ) relating the cluster-volume exponent $$\delta $$ δ and two-point function exponent $$\eta $$ η .


2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 27-34
Author(s):  
Sz. Kelemen ◽  
◽  
L. Varga ◽  
Z. Néda ◽  
◽  
...  

"The two-body cross-correlation for the diffusive motion of colloidal nano-spheres is experimentally investigated. Polystyrene nano-spheres were used in a very low concentration suspension in order to minimize the three- or more body collective effects. Beside the generally used longitudinal and transverse component correlations we investigate also the Pearson correlation in the magnitude of the displacements. In agreement with previous studies we find that the longitudinal and transverse component correlations decay as a function of the inter-particle distance following a power-law trend with an exponent around -2. The Pearson correlation in the magnitude of the displacements decay also as a power-law with an exponent around -1. Keywords: colloidal particles, Brownian motion, cross-correlation. "


2000 ◽  
Vol 37 (04) ◽  
pp. 1104-1109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tilmann Gneiting

Martin and Walker ((1997) J. Appl. Prob. 34, 657–670) proposed the power-law ρ(v) = c|v|-β, |v| ≥ 1, as a correlation model for stationary time series with long-memory dependence. A straightforward proof of their conjecture on the permissible range of c is given, and various other models for long-range dependence are discussed. In particular, the Cauchy family ρ(v) = (1 + |v/c|α)-β/α allows for the simultaneous fitting of both the long-term and short-term correlation structure within a simple analytical model. The note closes with hints at the fast and exact simulation of fractional Gaussian noise and related processes.


2012 ◽  
Vol 22 (04) ◽  
pp. 1250074 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. TENREIRO MACHADO ◽  
ANTÓNIO C. COSTA ◽  
MARIA DULCE QUELHAS

This paper studies the DNA code of eleven mammals from the perspective of fractional dynamics. The application of Fourier transform and power law trendlines leads to a categorical representation of species and chromosomes. The DNA information reveals long range memory characteristics.


2019 ◽  
Vol 99 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Luca Faes ◽  
Margarida Almeida Pereira ◽  
Maria Eduarda Silva ◽  
Riccardo Pernice ◽  
Alessandro Busacca ◽  
...  

1994 ◽  
Vol 09 (29) ◽  
pp. 2671-2680 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. BORDAG ◽  
V. M. MOSTEPANENKO ◽  
I. YU. SOKOLOV

A realistic null experiment is suggested in which the Casimir force between a plane plate and a spherical lens is compensated by the force of gravitational attraction. This configuration is shown to be very sensitive to the existence of additional hypothetical forces of Yukawa-type or power laws. From the suggested null experiment the restrictions on the Yukawa constant α can be strengthened by a factor up to 1000 in a wide range 10−8 m < λ < 10−4 m and by a factor of 10 for λ from several centimeters to several meters. For power law interactions the strengthening of restrictions by a factor of 20 is possible for the force decreasing as r−5.


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