Are Shocks Asymmetric to Volatility of Chinese Stock Markets?

2004 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 379-395 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei-Chiao Huang ◽  
Yuanlei Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Leverage Effect ◽  
Arch Models ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Chinese Markets ◽  
Chinese Stock Markets ◽  
Better Than ◽  
A Share

This paper uses ARCH models to examine if there is a leverage effect and also to test if A- and B-share holdings have different risks in Chinese stock markets before and after B-share markets open to domestic investors in February 2001. The empirical results suggest that leverage effect was not present and shocks have symmetric impact on the volatility of Chinese B-share stock returns in both periods and A-share returns in Period I. Thus GARCH model would be a better model to fit the Chinese B-share stock returns than EGARCH or GJR-GARCH model. But EGARCH or GJR-GARCH model fits recent (Period II) A-share markets data better than GARCH model. Another finding of this paper is that holding A- or B-share bears different risk in returns in the two Chinese markets. Furthermore, news or shocks have a larger impact on volatility of B-share returns in Period I than in Period II.

Integrating A- and B-Share Markets in China: The Effects of Regulatory Policy Changes on Market Efficiency

2007 ◽  
Vol 10 (03) ◽  
pp. 309-328 ◽  
Author(s):  
Changjiang Lu ◽  
Kemin Wang ◽  
Haiwei Chen ◽  
James Chong
Keyword(s):  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Detrimental Effect ◽  
Regulatory Policy ◽  
International Markets ◽  
Policy Changes ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Price Differential ◽  
Chinese Stock Markets ◽  
A Share

We investigate the effectiveness of two recent regulatory policy changes on market efficiency in the Chinese A- and B-share markets. Overall, the opening of the B-share market to domestic Chinese investors and the limited opening of the A-share market to foreign investors increase market efficiency. The opening of the B-share market significantly reduces the price differential between A- and B-shares. Furthermore, there is no longer feedback in returns between the two markets in recent years. Our results provide evidence that there is no detrimental effect to market efficiency by integrating Chinese investors to international markets and foreign investors to the Chinese stock markets.

Stock Market Linkages Before and After the Asian Financial Crisis: Evidence from Three Greater China Economic Area Stock Markets and the US

2006 ◽  
Vol 09 (02) ◽  
pp. 297-315 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hwahsin Cheng ◽  
John L. Glascock
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
The United States ◽  
Asian Financial Crisis ◽  
Greater China ◽  
Market Linkages ◽  
Economic Area ◽  
Before And After

We investigate the stock market linkages between the United States and three Greater China Economic Area stock markets — China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan, before and after the 1997 Asian financial crisis. Daily stock market indices from January 1995 to December 2000 are used for the analysis. Results from Granger causality test indicate increased feedback relationships between the markets in the post-crisis period. We also find, from the principal component analysis, fewer common factors affecting stock returns after the crisis, suggesting more harmonious market co-movements after the financial crisis. Additionally, results from a variance decomposition analysis suggest that stock markets are more responsive to foreign shocks after the crisis. This further strengthens the evidence that stock markets become more interrelated after the 1997 Asian financial crisis.

scholarly journals The Economic Policy Uncertainty in China, the United States, and Europe: The Empirical Impact on Chinese Stock Markets

2019 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. 131
Author(s):  
Wannakomol Supachart
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
Economic Policy ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
The United States ◽  
Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Cross Sectional ◽  
Economic Policy Uncertainty ◽  
Chinese Markets ◽  
Chinese Stock Markets ◽  
The Impact

The objective of this paper is to analyze the impact of economic policy uncertainty (EPU) in China, the United States, and Europe, which are influent to the Chinese stock markets. We employed Vector Autoregression (VAR) model with relative variables including the EPU indices and three Chinese stock markers indices to display the impulse responses of the markets to the EPUs. Our results indicate that the Chinese stock markets negatively respond to their domestic economic policy uncertainty in the first, second, and third month after the EPU shocks. Moreover, we also found the negative responses of the Chinese markets to the EPU from the United States that require five months to rebalance the markets. However, the Chinese markets seem positively respond to the shocks of the economic policy uncertainty in Europe and also took five months to archive market rebalancing. The significant correlation of the economic policy uncertainty between China and the United States resulted in cross-sectional correlation estimates among the EPU indices. Furthermore, there is the reasonable interesting result to claim that the economic policy uncertainty in China is statistically influenced by their own trade and fiscal policy uncertainty that may be considered to be related with China-US trade war in our conclusion.

scholarly journals Leverage Effect and Switching of Market Efficiency Post Goods and Services Tax (GST) Imposition

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (3) ◽  
pp. 162
Author(s):  
Yok-Yong Lee ◽  
M. H. Yahya ◽  
A. M. Bany-Ariffin ◽  
S. Aslam
Keyword(s):  
Market Efficiency ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Financial Services ◽  
Leverage Effect ◽  
Informational Efficiency ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Thin Markets ◽  
Before And After ◽  
Thin Market ◽  
One Year

This paper investigates the leverage effect and switching of market efficiency after the GST imposition on fee-based financial services in Bursa Malaysia and Australian Securities Exchange (ASX). The sample in this paper comprises of public listed companies for the period of one year before and after the GST imposition. GJR-GARCH is employed to evaluate the asymmetry response that is associated with the negative news shocks. To assess the effect of transactional efficiency on the informational efficiency and the structural change of time-varying volatility, SGARCH is adopted. This research reveals the presence of leverage effect in developing and developed market. The GST imposition on fee-based financial services significantly reduces the informational efficiency in Bursa Malaysia, but not in ASX. To boost the tax revenues generated from the financial sector, the policymakers in the developed markets (similar to ASX) should contemplate imposing GST on the fee-based financial services without affecting the stability of the stock market. The investors in thin markets (such as Bursa Malaysia) could forecast the stock returns of the thin market upon GST imposition on fee-based financial services.

scholarly journals Changes in co-movement and risk transmission between South Asian stock markets amidst the development of regional co-operation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Niaz Khan ◽  
Suzanne G. M. Fifield ◽  
Nongnuch Tantisantiwong ◽  
David M. Power
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Cointegration Analysis ◽  
Volatility Spillovers ◽  
Regional Market ◽  
Before And After

AbstractThis paper documents evidence of changes in the co-movement of stock returns and risk transmission among four South Asian stock markets over periods of regional market reform and global market instability. The sample period (1993–2015) is disaggregated into three sub-periods: before and after the establishment of the South Asian Federation of Exchanges (SAFE) and after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. The principal components investigation and cointegration analysis conclude that the co-movement among stock returns in this region altered amidst a change in the institutional context and global economic uncertainty. Using a tetra-variate GARCH-BEKK model, we find that, after the establishment of SAFE, the interactions among the markets increased through volatility spillovers, but decreased through shock spillovers. In addition, there were more shock and volatility spillovers in the last sub-period as compared to the first two sub-periods, indicating that risk transmission across countries increased during the period of uncertainty. In particular, the Indian stock market was a risk spreader in South Asia after the setup of SAFE and its influence on the regional stock markets increased even further after the 2008 Global Financial Crisis.

scholarly journals Comparing the Leverage Effect of Different Frequencies of Stock Returns in an Emerging Market: A Case Study of Pakistan

2011 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 283-288
Author(s):  
Amir Rafique
Keyword(s):  
Stock Returns ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Leverage Effect ◽  
Low Frequencies ◽  
High Frequencies ◽  
Asymmetric Shocks ◽  
Egarch Model ◽  
Variance Structure

This study compares the volatility behavior and variance structure of high (daily) and low (weekly, monthly) frequencies of data. The study used seventeen years data from 1991 to 2008 of KSE-100 index. By employing Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model (asymmetric type GARCH model), the study finds evidence that there are significant asymmetric shocks (leverage effect) to volatility in the three series but the intensity of the shocks are not equal for all the series. The results show that the variance structure of high frequencies data is dissimilar from the low frequencies data.

scholarly journals An Empirical Study of Investors’ Disposition Effect in China Based on Open Data from the Chinese Stock Markets

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 165
Author(s):  
Huan Cai ◽  
Meining Wang ◽  
Chaonan Bai
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Study ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Open Data ◽  
Disposition Effect ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Behavioral Biases ◽  
Growth Enterprise Market ◽  
Specific Preference ◽  
A Share

This paper focuses on investors’ different behavioral biases in China’s segmented stock markets and investigates the correlation between average holding periods, stock returns and investors’ disposition effect between 2010 and 2014. The results show that the disposition effect is prevalent in A-share market but is very weak in Growth Enterprise market and there is a lack of evidence to support the existence of disposition effect in B-share market. The study supports the view that investors’ experience and sophistication can partly help reduce investors’ behavioral biases in stock markets. It also indicates that investors in A-shares market prefer to hold stocks with larger market capitalization for longer periods, while investors of B-shares markets and Growth Enterprise market do not reveal a specific preference for market capitalization.

scholarly journals TESTING THE GARCH MODEL IN THE VIETNAMESE STOCK MARKET

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 5-14
Author(s):  
Hien Thu Nguyen ◽  
Nghi Dinh Le
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Stock Markets ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Garch Model ◽  
Conditional Variance ◽  
Investment Risk ◽  
The Garch Model

An important factor of interest of investors on stock markets is investment risk. Risk can undergo a quantitative process through volatility, be measured by conditional variance of stock returns. GARCH is an effective and popularly used model for volatility effect on stock returns. This study tests the GARCH model and analyzes other aspects of volatility on stock returns on the two stock markets of Vietnam. In addition, the study provides evidence of the existence of GARCH effect on Vietnamese stock markets. Besides, the study also assesses price margin policy, trading volume and leverage effects on volatility of stock returns.

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