scholarly journals Wind Speed Forecasting by Wavelet Neural Networks: A Comparative Study

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chuanan Yao ◽  
Xiankun Gao ◽  
Yongchang Yu

Due to the environmental degradation and depletion of conventional energy, much attention has been devoted to wind energy in many countries. The intermittent nature of wind power has had a great impact on power grid security. Accurate forecasting of wind speed plays a vital role in power system stability. This paper presents a comparison of three wavelet neural networks for short-term forecasting of wind speed. The first two combined models are two types of basic combinations of wavelet transform and neural network, namely, compact wavelet neural network (CWNN) and loose wavelet neural network (LWNN) in this study, and the third model is a new hybrid method based on the CWNN and LWNN models. The efficiency of the combined models has been evaluated by using actual wind speed from two test stations in North China. The results show that the forecasting performances of the CWNN and LWNN models are unstable and are affected by the test stations selected; the third model is far more accurate than the other forecasting models in spite of the drawback of lower computational efficiency.

Author(s):  
Xiaoqiang Wen ◽  
Shuguang Jian

In this paper, two wavelet neural network (WNN) frames which depend on Morlet wavelet function and Gaussian wavelet function were established. In order to improve the efficiency of model training, the momentum term was applied to modify the weights and thresholds, and the output of the network was summed up by function transformation of output layer nodes. When the Gaussian Wavelet Neural Networks (GWNN) and Morlet Wavelet Neural Networks (MWNN) were applied to coal consumption rate (CCR) estimation in a thermal power plant, the results confirmed their potency in function approximation. In addition, the influence of learning rate on the models was also discussed through the orthogonal experiment.


2011 ◽  
Vol 219-220 ◽  
pp. 1077-1080
Author(s):  
Dong Yan Cui ◽  
Zai Xing Xie

In this paper, the integration of wavelet neural network fault diagnosis system is established based on information fusion technology. the effective combination of fault characteristic information proves that integration of wavelet neural networks make better use of a variety of characteristic information than the list of wavelet neural networks to solve difficulties and problems which are difficult to resolve by a single network.


2012 ◽  
Vol 433-440 ◽  
pp. 840-845 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao Bing Xu ◽  
Jun He ◽  
Jian Ping Wang

Wind speed forecast is a non-linear and non-smooth problem. nonlinear and non-stationary are two kinds of mathematical problem, it is difficult to model with a single method, so that, a wavelet neural network model is set, the non-linear process of wind speed is forecast by neural networks and the non-stationary process of wind speed is decomposed into quasi-stationary at different frequency scales by multi-scale characteristics of wavelet transforms. wavelet combined with neural network model avoid the neural network model that can not handle non-stationary questions .while, the effect of indefinite inputs are removed by embedding dimension of phase space to determine neural networks inputs. The simulation results show that phase space reconstruction of wavelet neural network is more accuracy than the ordinary BP neural network. It could be well applied in wind speed forecasts.


DAT Journal ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-123
Author(s):  
João Fernando Marar ◽  
Aron Bordin

Wavelet functions have been used as the activation function in feed forward neural networks. An abundance of R&D has been produced on wavelet neural network area. Some successful algorithms and applications in wavelet neural network have been developed and reported in the literature. However, most of the aforementioned reports impose many restrictions in the classical back propagation algorithm, such as low dimensionality, tensor product of wavelets, parameters initialization, and, in general, the output is one dimensional, etc. In order to remove some of these restrictions, a family of polynomial wavelets generated from powers of sigmoid functions is presented. We described how a multidimensional wavelet neural networks based on these functions can be constructed, trained and applied in pattern recognition tasks. As examples of applications for the method proposed a framework for face verfication is presented.


2013 ◽  
Vol 339 ◽  
pp. 301-306 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xu Sheng Gan ◽  
Xue Qin Tang ◽  
Jian Guo Gao

Based on the study of adaptive wavelet neural networks, a hierarchy genetic algorithm is proposed to training network. Compared with standard genetic algorithm, the method can not only optimize network parameters such as scale factor, transform factor parameter and connection weights, but also solve structure problem of adaptive wavelet neural network. The result of simulation indicates that the algorithm can efficiently determinate the parameter and structure of adaptive wavelet neural network, and has better higher training efficiency and forecasting precision.


2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 46
Author(s):  
Mostafa Abotaleb ◽  
Tatiana Makarovskikh

COVID-19 is one of the biggest challenges that countries face at the present time, as infections and deaths change daily and because this pandemic has a dynamic spread. Our paper considers two tasks. The first one is to develop a system for modeling COVID-19 based on time-series models due to their accuracy in forecasting COVID-19 cases. We developed an “Epidemic. TA” system using R programming for modeling and forecasting COVID-19 cases. This system contains linear (ARIMA and Holt’s model) and non-linear (BATS, TBATS, and SIR) time-series models and neural network auto-regressive models (NNAR), which allows us to obtain the most accurate forecasts of infections, deaths, and vaccination cases. The second task is the implementation of our system to forecast the risk of the third wave of infections in the Russian Federation.


IEEE Access ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 6 ◽  
pp. 63352-63365 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhichao Shi ◽  
Hao Liang ◽  
Venkata Dinavahi

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingwei Liu ◽  
Peixuan Li ◽  
Xuehan Tang ◽  
Jiaxin Li ◽  
Jiaming Chen

AbstractArtificial neural networks (ANN) which include deep learning neural networks (DNN) have problems such as the local minimal problem of Back propagation neural network (BPNN), the unstable problem of Radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) and the limited maximum precision problem of Convolutional neural network (CNN). Performance (training speed, precision, etc.) of BPNN, RBFNN and CNN are expected to be improved. Main works are as follows: Firstly, based on existing BPNN and RBFNN, Wavelet neural network (WNN) is implemented in order to get better performance for further improving CNN. WNN adopts the network structure of BPNN in order to get faster training speed. WNN adopts the wavelet function as an activation function, whose form is similar to the radial basis function of RBFNN, in order to solve the local minimum problem. Secondly, WNN-based Convolutional wavelet neural network (CWNN) method is proposed, in which the fully connected layers (FCL) of CNN is replaced by WNN. Thirdly, comparative simulations based on MNIST and CIFAR-10 datasets among the discussed methods of BPNN, RBFNN, CNN and CWNN are implemented and analyzed. Fourthly, the wavelet-based Convolutional Neural Network (WCNN) is proposed, where the wavelet transformation is adopted as the activation function in Convolutional Pool Neural Network (CPNN) of CNN. Fifthly, simulations based on CWNN are implemented and analyzed on the MNIST dataset. Effects are as follows: Firstly, WNN can solve the problems of BPNN and RBFNN and have better performance. Secondly, the proposed CWNN can reduce the mean square error and the error rate of CNN, which means CWNN has better maximum precision than CNN. Thirdly, the proposed WCNN can reduce the mean square error and the error rate of CWNN, which means WCNN has better maximum precision than CWNN.


2014 ◽  
Vol 140 ◽  
pp. 26-36 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yashar Falamarzi ◽  
Narges Palizdan ◽  
Yuk Feng Huang ◽  
Teang Shui Lee

2012 ◽  
Vol 463-464 ◽  
pp. 1663-1667
Author(s):  
Hai Na Hu ◽  
Wu Wang

Automatic Voltage Regulator (AVR) was applied to hold terminal voltage magnitude of a synchronous generator at a specified level and its stability seriously affects the security of power system. PID control was applied for AVR system control, but the parameters of PID controller were hard to determine, to overcome this problem, some intelligent techniques should be taken. Wavelet Neural Network (WNN) was constrictive and fluctuant of wavelet transform and has self-study, self adjustment and nonlinear mapping functions of neural networks, so the structure of WNN and PID tuning with WNN was proposed, the tuning algorithm was applied into AVR control system, the simulation was taken with normal BP neural network and WNN, the efficiency and advantages of this control strategy was successfully demonstrated which can applied into AVR system for power system stability.


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