scholarly journals On the Estimation of Parameter of Weighted Sums of Exponential Distribution

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-3
Author(s):  
N. Abbasi ◽  
A. Namju ◽  
N. Safari
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Moment Method ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Weighted Sums ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
The Mean

The random variable Zn,α=Y1+2αY2+⋯+nαYn, with α∈ℝ and Y1,Y2,…  being independent exponentially distributed random variables with mean one, is considered. Van Leeuwaarden and Temme (2011) attempted to determine good approximation of the distribution of Zn,α. The main problem is estimating the parameter α that has the main state in applicable research. In this paper we show that estimating the parameter α by using the relation between α and mode is available. The mean square error values are obtained for estimating α by mode, moment method, and maximum likelihood method.

scholarly journals Best estimation for the Reliability of 2-parameter Weibull Distribution

2009 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 705-710
Author(s):  
Baghdad Science Journal
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Statistical Criterion ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Simulation Process ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Two Parameter

This Research Tries To Investigate The Problem Of Estimating The Reliability Of Two Parameter Weibull Distribution,By Using Maximum Likelihood Method, And White Method. The Comparison Is done Through Simulation Process Depending On Three Choices Of Models (?=0.8 , ß=0.9) , (?=1.2 , ß=1.5) and (?=2.5 , ß=2). And Sample Size n=10 , 70, 150 We Use the Statistical Criterion Based On the Mean Square Error (MSE) For Comparison Amongst The Methods.

scholarly journals Data bank: nine numerical methods for determining the parameters of weibull for wind energy generation tested by five statistical tools

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (2) ◽  
pp. 1114
Author(s):  
Ahmed Samir Badawi ◽  
Siti Hajar Yusoff ◽  
Alhareth Mohammed Zyoud ◽  
Sheroz Khan ◽  
Aisha Hashim ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Numerical Methods ◽  
Root Mean Square Error ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Root Mean Square ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Modified Maximum Likelihood

This study aims to determine the potential of wind energy in the mediterranean coastal plain of Palestine. The parameters of the Weibull distribution were calculated on basis of wind speed data. Accordingly, two approaches were employed: analysis of a set of actual time series data and theoretical Weibull probability function. In this analysis, the parameters Weibull shape factor ‘<em>k</em>’ and the Weibull scale factor ‘<em>c</em>’ were adopted. These suitability values were calculated using the following popular methods: method of moments (MM), standard deviation method (STDM), empirical method (EM), maximum likelihood method (MLM), modified maximum likelihood method (MMLM), second modified maximum likelihood method (SMMLM), graphical method (GM), least mean square method (LSM) and energy pattern factor method (EPF). The performance of these numerical methods was tested by root mean square error (RMSE), index of agreement (IA), Chi-square test (X<sup>2</sup>), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and relative root mean square error (RRMSE) to estimate the percentage of error. Among the prediction techniques. The EPF exhibited the greatest accuracy performance followed by MM and MLM, whereas the SMMLM exhibited the worst performance. The RMSE achieved the best prediction accuracy, whereas the RRMSE attained the worst prediction accuracy.

scholarly journals Comparing Parameter Estimation of Random Coefficient Autoregressive Model by Frequentist Method

Mathematics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 62 ◽  
Author(s):  
Autcha Araveeporn
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Least Squares Method ◽  
Likelihood Function ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Average Mean Square Error ◽  
Frequentist Method

This paper compares the frequentist method that consisted of the least-squares method and the maximum likelihood method for estimating an unknown parameter on the Random Coefficient Autoregressive (RCA) model. The frequentist methods depend on the likelihood function that draws a conclusion from observed data by emphasizing the frequency or proportion of the data namely least squares and maximum likelihood methods. The method of least squares is often used to estimate the parameter of the frequentist method. The minimum of the sum of squared residuals is found by setting the gradient to zero. The maximum likelihood method carries out the observed data to estimate the parameter of a probability distribution by maximizing a likelihood function under the statistical model, while this estimator is obtained by a differential parameter of the likelihood function. The efficiency of two methods is considered by average mean square error for simulation data, and mean square error for actual data. For simulation data, the data are generated at only the first-order models of the RCA model. The results have shown that the least-squares method performs better than the maximum likelihood. The average mean square error of the least-squares method shows the minimum values in all cases that indicated their performance. Finally, these methods are applied to the actual data. The series of monthly averages of the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) index and daily volume of the exchange rate of Baht/Dollar are considered to estimate and forecast based on the RCA model. The result shows that the least-squares method outperforms the maximum likelihood method.

scholarly journals Slashed Exponentiated Rayleigh Distribution

2015 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 453-466 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hugo S. Salinas ◽  
Yuri A. Iriarte ◽  
Heleno Bolfarine
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Rayleigh Distribution ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Independent Random Variables ◽  
Parameter Estimates ◽  
Positive Data ◽  
New Distribution

<p>In this paper we introduce a new distribution for modeling positive data with high kurtosis. This distribution can be seen as an extension of the exponentiated Rayleigh distribution. This extension builds on the quotient of two independent random variables, one exponentiated Rayleigh in the numerator and Beta(q,1) in the denominator with q&gt;0. It is called the slashed exponentiated Rayleigh random variable. There is evidence that the distribution of this new variable can be more flexible in terms of modeling the kurtosis regarding the exponentiated Rayleigh distribution. The properties of this distribution are studied and the parameter estimates are calculated using the maximum likelihood method. An application with real data reveals good performance of this new distribution.</p>

scholarly journals A new family of polyno-expo-trigonometric distributions with applications

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (04) ◽  
pp. 1950027
Author(s):  
Farrukh Jamal ◽  
Christophe Chesneau
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Lifetime Data ◽  
New Family ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Special Case

In this paper, a new family of polyno-expo-trigonometric distributions is presented and investigated. A special case using the Weibull distribution, with three parameters, is considered as statistical model for lifetime data. The estimation of the parameters is performed with the maximum likelihood method. A numerical simulation study verifies that the bias and the mean squared error of the maximum likelihood estimators tend to zero as the sample size is increased. Three real life datasets are then analyzed. We show that our model has a good fit in comparison to the other well-known powerful models in the literature.

scholarly journals Impact of Algorithm Selection on Modeling Ozone Pollution: A Perspective on Box and Tiao (1975)

Forests ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 1311
Author(s):  
Mihaela Paun ◽  
Nevine Gunaime ◽  
Bogdan M. Strimbu
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Los Angeles ◽  
Mean Square Error ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Autoregressive Process ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Ozone Pollution ◽  
Complex Models ◽  
The Mean

Estimation using a suboptimal method can lead to imprecise models, with cascading effects in complex models, such as climate change or pollution. The goal of this study is to compare the solutions supplied by different algorithms used to model ozone pollution. Using Box and Tiao (1975) study, we have predicted ozone concentration in Los Angeles with an ARIMA and an autoregressive process. We have solved the ARIMA process with three algorithms (i.e., maximum likelihood, like Box and Tiao, conditional least square and unconditional least square) and the autoregressive process with four algorithms (i.e., Yule–Walker, iterative Yule–Walker, maximum likelihood, and unconditional least square). Our study shows that Box and Tiao chose the appropriate algorithm according to the AIC but not according to the mean square error. Furthermore, Yule–Walker, which is the default algorithm in many software, has the least reliable results, suggesting that the method of solving complex models could alter the findings. Finally, the model selection depends on the technical details and on the applicability of the model, as the ARIMA model is suitable from the AIC perspective but an autoregressive model could be preferred from the mean square error viewpoint. Our study shows that time series analysis should consider not only the model shape but also the model estimation, to ensure valid results.

scholarly journals New Regression Models Based on the Unit-Sinh-Normal Distribution: Properties, Inference, and Applications

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 1231
Author(s):  
Guillermo Martínez-Flórez ◽  
Roger Tovar-Falón
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Regression Models ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Modeling Data ◽  
Positive Support

In this paper, two new distributions were introduced to model unimodal and/or bimodal data. The first distribution, which was obtained by applying a simple transformation to a unit-Birnbaum–Saunders random variable, is useful for modeling data with positive support, while the second is appropriate for fitting data on the (0,1) interval. Extensions to regression models were also studied in this work, and statistical inference was performed from a classical perspective by using the maximum likelihood method. A small simulation study is presented to evaluate the benefits of the maximum likelihood estimates of the parameters. Finally, two applications to real data sets are reported to illustrate the developed methodology.

Fracture spacing and its relation to bed thickness

1989 ◽  
Vol 126 (4) ◽  
pp. 355-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qin Huang ◽  
J. Angelier
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Method ◽  
Likelihood Method ◽  
Gulf Of Suez ◽  
Joint Spacing ◽  
Fracture Spacing ◽  
Negative Exponential Distribution ◽  
Bed Thickness ◽  
Negative Exponential

AbstractUsing examples from the Gulf of Suez and southeastern France, the distribution of tension tectonic joints as well as shear tectonic joints in continuous profiles is shown to fit a Gamma distribution. The parameters of this distribution are determined using the maximum likelihood method. Apparent fit with negative exponential distribution in photointerpretation analysis results from lack of resolution. The average joint spacing is directly proportional to bed thickness; it decreases when the degree of rock consolidation increases.

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