scholarly journals Exchange Rate Movement and Foreign Direct Investment in Asean Economies

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaratin Lily ◽  
Mori Kogid ◽  
Dullah Mulok ◽  
Lim Thien Sang ◽  
Rozilee Asid
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
World Market ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Exchange Rate

The inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI) are important for a country's economic development, but the world market for FDI has become more competitive. This paper empirically analyses the exchange rate movements and foreign direct investment (FDI) relationship using annual data on ASEAN economies, that is, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand, and Singapore. By employing ARDL bounds test approach, the empirical results show the existence of significant long-run cointegration between exchange rate and FDI for the case of Singapore, Malaysia, and the Philippines with all countries recording negative coefficient implying that the appreciation of Singapore dollar, Malaysian ringgit, and the Philippine peso has a positive impact on FDI inflows. Using the ECM based ARDL approach for causality test, both Singapore and the Philippines show long-run bidirectional causality between exchange rate and FDI whereas long-run unidirectional causality running from the exchange rate to FDI in Malaysia. Furthermore, this study also found that short-run unidirectional causality running from the exchange rate to FDI exists in Singapore.

scholarly journals Relationship Economic Growth with Foreign Direct Investment

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (3) ◽  
pp. 49-68
Author(s):  
Prince Charles Heston Runtunuwu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Causality Relationship ◽  
The One

This study aims to determine the one-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth, a one-way causality relationship between economic growth and foreign investment, and a two-way causality relationship between foreign investment and economic growth in Indonesia. This was conducted in Indonesia, the data are secondary data taken using the method time series from 1971 to 2018 from the official websites, the Investment Coordinating Board, and literature sources, Foreign Investment and Gross Domestic Product. (1) in the long run the Economic Growth variable has a significant effect on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and (2) the Foreign Direct Investment variable has a significant effect on Economic Growth; (3) in the short term, the Economic Growth variable has an influence on Foreign Direct Investment, and vice versa; and the Foreign Direct Investment variable has an influence on Economic Growth. It is possible to have a better long-term relationship, bringing positive impact on economic growth in Indonesia when investment in Indonesia increases. Conversely, when economic growth decreases, it means that foreign investment is also low. Granger Causality test, shows a two-way causality relationship between Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment and vice versa. It is necessary to maintain growth to attract foreign direct investment, as well as foreign investment. Investment climate needs to be improved enabling to invest in Indonesia.

scholarly journals Causal Relationship between Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in Nigeria: 1970-2013

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Uwazie I. U. ◽  
Igwemma A. A. ◽  
Nnabu Bernard Eze
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Unit Root ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Policy Reforms ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run

Foreign direct investment is presumed to play immense role in economic growth in both developed and developing economies. This assumption has motivated the army of studies to actually determine the nexus between foreign direct investment and economic growth in Nigeria. But these studies were not unified on the direction of the causation, hence the need for the study. To effectively analyze the result, the study employs vector error correction model method of causality to analyze the annual data for the periods of 1970 to 2013. The Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) unit root test show presence of unit root at level but stationary after first difference. The Johansen cointegration test confirms that the variables are cointegrated while the granger causality test affirms that foreign direct investment and economic growth reinforce each other in the short run in Nigeria. Also, it is reported that foreign direct investment granger cause economic growth both in the short and long run in Nigeria. Based on these findings, the study advocates the adoption of aggressive policy reforms to boost investors’ confidence and promotion of qualitative human capital development to lure FDI into the country. It also suggests the introduction of selective openness to allow only the inflow of FDI that have the capacity to spillover to the economy. These will attract FDI and boost economic growth in Nigeria.

scholarly journals The Relationship between International Trade and Economic Growth

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (02) ◽  
pp. 112-123
Author(s):  
Putri Dewi Purnama ◽  
Ming Hung Yao
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
International Trade ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Asean Countries ◽  
The Relationship

The aim of this study is to find the relationship between international trade and economic growth in ASEAN countries. Three independent variables used to measure the economic growth include international trade, the exchange rate, and foreign direct investment. This study employs a pedroni panel cointegration test to examine the data from 2004 to 2015. The results show that there is a long term cointegrated relationship between international trade and economic growth in the ASEAN countries. International trade and foreign direct investment also have a long term, positive impact on economic growth. Meanwhile, the exchange rate also has a long term, negative influence on the economic growth. In addition, there is an indirect relationship and bidirectional causalities between the GDP and international trade, as well as between the GDP and the exchange rate. On the other hand, there is a direct relationship and a bidirectional causality between international trade and the exchange rate. The FDI leads GDP, international trade, and exchange rates. Our results suggest that international trade must be supported by government policies that aim to enhance the financing of new investment for economic growth.

scholarly journals Influence of Exchange Rate on Foreign Direct Investment Inflows: An Empirical Analysis Based on Co-Integration and Granger Causality Test

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Lan Tan ◽  
Yifan Xu ◽  
Alemayehu Gashaw
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Close Association ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
The Exchange Rate

Although it is widely recognized that Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows have a dominant effect on economic growth of host countries, the determinants of FDI inflows are still unclear. Especially, about the effect of exchange rate on FDI inflow, the results reached by scholars vary across countries or regions. It is of great practical and theoretical significance to explore the influencing effects of exchange rate on FDI inflow and identify the mechanisms that underlie them in close association with regional economic characters so as to help local government implement targeted government policies to achieve sustainable FDI inflow and sustainable economic growth. For this purpose, the influencing effects and the influencing mechanisms of the exchange rate on FDI inflows are investigated for Zhejiang province, China, over 1985–2019 by employing the co-integration tests, vector error correction models, Granger causality tests, and impulse response tests. Empirical results indicate that there are long-term stable and unidirectional causal relationship between the exchange rate and FDI inflow. Continuous appreciation of RMB against USD discourages FDI inflow. The mechanism which underlies the long-term relationship is the wealth effect, rather than the cost effect or the demand effect. By contrast, in the short run, neither the exchange rate nor the three influencing mechanism has a significant impact on FDI inflow. These results suggest policy recommendations for improving FDI by accumulating human capital and improving infrastructure. These findings are also applicable for other countries or regions with similar economic characters.

scholarly journals Asymmetric effect of real exchange rate risk on foreign direct investment: Empirical evidence in ASEAN-4

2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 91-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaratin Lily ◽  
Mori Kogid ◽  
Dullah Mulok ◽  
Rozilee Asid
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Exchange Rate Risk ◽  
Asymmetric Effect ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Rate Risk ◽  
Long Run

This study investigates the asymmetric effect of exchange rate risk (volatility) on the real foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand (ASEAN-4) using the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag (NARDL) model. The results revealed the occurrence of a long-run asymmetric cointegration between real FDI inflows and real exchange rate risk in the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand, but not in Malaysia. For the Philippines and Singapore, there is evidence of long-run asymmetry whereas short-run asymmetry exists for the case of Thailand. These findings imply that the asymmetric effects prove to be useful in providing essential information to the related parties on how FDI inflows react to exchange rate risks differently. Therefore, policymakers in ASEAN countries should be concerned about the asymmetric effect of the exchange rate volatility to mitigate the stylized effects of exchange rate movements on FDI inflows.

scholarly journals An Assessment of the Impact of Foreign Direct Investment on Employment: The Case of Ghana’s Economy

2019 ◽  
pp. 143-158
Author(s):  
Addo Eric Osei
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Granger Causality ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Employment Growth ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Multiple Linear Regression Model ◽  
Wage Structure ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
The Impact

The literature is in respect of the fact that foreign direct investment has been a key aspect of the development strategy of most developing countries. The main objective of the study is to examine the extent FDI influence employment creation in the non-mining sector of Ghana for the period 2000 – 2016 using time series (annual) data conducted with the aid of OLS (Multiple Linear Regression) model, Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL-ECM) Bounds Testing Approach and Granger-Causality test in the estimation of level relationship / cointegration and causality (respectively) between the study variables (for robustness checks). The result of this study shows that FDI has a statistically significant and a positive impact on employment growth via jobs creation in Ghana. Again, evidence shows that the study variables are cointegrated and have a long run relationship. Further robust test from Granger-causality shows no causal relationship from FDI to employment growth or from employment growth to FDI (at significance level of 5%). In addition, the study identifies factors such as wage structure, investment freedom and subsectors as important indicators influencing employment in the country. Finally, the study recommends policies to help create enabling political and socio-economic environment for FDI thereby creating more sustainable jobs and tackling the current high rates of unemployment in Ghana.

scholarly journals FDI, GDP, and CO2 Emission: ARDL Bound Cointegration Relationship Examination

2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (2S10) ◽  
pp. 132-138
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Error Correction ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Co2 Emission ◽  
Correction Term ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Bound Test

The study tries to evaluate empirically, the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and environmental impact with GDP in India using annual data over the period 1980-1981 to 2017-18. The genuine effect on the earth, in any case, might be bigger because CO2 emission is one of the numerous contaminations produced by financial exercises. In any case, CO2 is a worldwide air toxin, our finding has some broad ramifications for the worldwide condition too, with India has risen as the fourth most noteworthy in the worldwide positioning of CO2 emissions by the turn of this century. The Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bound Test after which the cointegration and causality tests were analyzed. The error correction models were also predictable to scrutinize the short-run dynamics. The Granger causality test finally deep-rooted the presence of unidirectional causality which long runs from GDP and CO2 to foreign direct investment. The error correction estimates confirmed that the Error-Correction Term is statistically significant and has a negative sign, which confirms that there isn't any problem in the long-run equilibrium relationship between the independent (GDP & CO2 ) and dependent variables (FDI). The study concluded that FDI had a long-run relationship with GDP and CO2 emission

scholarly journals An empirical study of the real effective exchange rate and foreign direct investment in Vietnam

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 1-13
Author(s):  
Tram Thi Xuan Huong ◽  
My-Linh Thi Nguyen ◽  
Nguyen Thi Kim Lien
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Real ◽  
Effective Exchange ◽  
The Exchange Rate ◽  
Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
The Relationship

Foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows to Vietnam have increased significantly in recent years. Theoretically, capital inflows will put pressure on the overvaluation of local currencies in countries, despite different exchange rate mechanisms. So, the problem facing the Vietnamese government is the need to examine the relationship between the exchange rate and FDI in order to develop effective policies. This study examined the relationship between the exchange rate and FDI in Vietnam in the period of 2005–2019 using the VAR (vector autoregression) model based on quarterly frequency data. The new points of this study are: (i) using the real effective exchange rate (REER) of the Vietnamese currency with 143 major trading partners of Vietnam; and (ii) adding two control variables into the VAR model to examine the relationship between the exchange rate and FDI in Vietnam – a case study for developing countries. The findings show that, firstly, there is a positive causal relationship between FDI and Vietnam’s real effective exchange rate. Secondly, trade openness has a positive impact on FDI and REER in Vietnam. Thirdly, economic growth has an impact on REER, but no statistically significant impact on FDI was found. The findings can provide useful information to help policymakers plan and make decisions on future policies and support further research studies.

scholarly journals The impact of Chinese Foreign Direct Investment on economic growth of Peru

2020 ◽  
Vol 3 (6) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
María Osterloh Mejía ◽  
Nadia Urriola Canchari ◽  
Xiangzheng Deng
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Local Economy ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Integration Test ◽  
The Impact

Since 2000, the Peruvian economic policy presented a positive impact on the economic growth thanks to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) increase and the inclusion of foreign markets in the local economy. This study analyzes and quantifies the short and long-run impact of FDI and Foreign Direct Investment from China (FDICH) on economic growth in Peru, using annual time series data from 2001 to 2018 obtained from the Central Bank of Peru and the World Bank. Vector Autoregression (VAR) Model, Augmented Dickey-Fuller test, Johansen Co-integration test, and Granger Causality test were employed for data analysis through the production function. The findings revealed the impact and significance of FDI and FDICH in the short and long-run, which were positive and significant. Moreover, the Co-integration test (for long-run relationship) was positive, and the causality test in the relationship between all variables and the economic growth revealed the directionality of these links.

scholarly journals Causal Links between Trade Openness and Foreign Direct Investment in Romania

2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Trade Openness ◽  
Test Procedure ◽  
Real Effective Exchange Rate ◽  
Foreign Direct Investments ◽  
Causality Test ◽  
Fdi Inflows ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.

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