Risk Assessment of Reservoir by Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method Based on Information Entropy

2013 ◽  
Vol 438-439 ◽  
pp. 1612-1618
Author(s):  
Yong Jia Song ◽  
Cong Cong Jin ◽  
Xian Cai Zhang ◽  
Jing Li
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Information Entropy ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Entropy Weight ◽  
Weighting Method

This paper proposes a new risk assessment model on account of the fuzziness and uncertainty of risk factors in the reservoir after earthquake. The paper adopts methods of information entropy and fuzzy mathematics to assess risk level of the model. After analyzing the statistical data of earthquake-damaged reservoirs, we present comprehensive weight composed of importance and improved entropy weight. Base on comprehensive weight, we can adopt membership function to establish single factor evaluation of the model. Moreover, we combine fuzzy weighting method to assess risk level of a reservoir after earthquake. The result shows that risk level of the reservoir is high-risk. The case study verifies the practicability and rationality of the risk assessment method. Therefore, the method could be applied in the emergency rescue and reinforcement for reservoir after earthquake.

Reliability Evaluation of Electromagnetic Flowmeter Based on Entropy Weight and Fuzzy Theory

2011 ◽  
Vol 383-390 ◽  
pp. 5321-5326
Author(s):  
Chun Yu Yu ◽  
Kai Li Zhang ◽  
De Zhong Ma ◽  
Zhen Zhou
Keyword(s):  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Electromagnetic Flowmeter ◽  
Qualitative Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Reliability Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Entropy Weight ◽  
Evaluation Indexes ◽  
Mean Time

With regard to the problem that only single index has been used in assessment of reliability, a suitable comprehensive assessment method about reliability index of electromagnetic flowmeter was established, and Mean Time To First Failure(MTTFF), Mean Time Between Failure(MTBF) and equivalent failure rate(D) were selected as the standards of reliability evaluation for the electromagnetic flowmeter in this paper. Because many evaluation elements involved and failure information and evaluation indexes are fuzzy, fuzzy comprehensive evaluation based on entropy weight was introduced to quantify the qualitative evaluation indexes, and indexes weight were determined scientifically by using comprehensive evaluation obtained from combining a subjective expert’s evaluation weight with objective entropy weight. Two kinds of the domestically produced electromagnetic flowmeter were studied, the censored data obtained from the process of consumers’s use were analyzed, and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method based on entropy weight was used to evaluate the indexes of reliability in two kinds of electromagnetic flowmeter comprehensively. The results show that the conclusion is consistent with the fact, the method can effectively solve the problem existed in current modeling, and evaluation of electromagnetic flowmeter reliability has great practical value in the application.

A Comprehensive Analysis Method Based on Fuzzy Hierarchy for the Safety Assessment of Overhead Traveling Crane

2010 ◽  
Vol 20-23 ◽  
pp. 196-201
Author(s):  
Ge Ning Xu ◽  
Fan Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Safety Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Analytic Hierarchy ◽  
Set Up ◽  
Hierarchy Process

By combined fuzzy comprehensive evaluation with AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) together, a safety assessment model for overhead traveling crane is set up in regard to deficiency of safety assessment method for crane at present, which can evaluate safety of overhead traveling crane in-service qualitatively and quantitatively. Through a safety analysis and assessment on general overhead traveling crane, the result of assessment is in accord with the practical situation of overhead traveling crane. It can reflect more fully the safety of the whole crane system and the influence and level of each factor to whole crane system safety, witch an effective synthetic evaluation method is put forward for the safety evaluation of crane.

scholarly journals Key Factors Identification and Risk Assessment for the Stability of Deep Surrounding Rock in Coal Roadway

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (15) ◽  
pp. 2802 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dongmei Huang ◽  
Weijun Li ◽  
Xikun Chang ◽  
Yunliang Tan
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Mining Area ◽  
Surrounding Rock ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Affecting Factors ◽  
Key Factors ◽  
The Stability

In order to evaluate the stability of deep surrounding rock, all of the affecting factors should be theoretically identified. However, some factors have slight impacts on the stability of deep surrounding rock compared with others. To conduct an effective risk assessment, key factors should be first extracted. The analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and grey relation analysis (GRA) methods are integrated to determine the key factors. First, the AHP method is applied to sort the factors by calculating the weights of them. Seven out of fifteen factors are extracted as the key factors, which account for 80% of the weights. Further, the GCA method is used to validate the effects of these key factors by analyzing the correlation between the performance of each factor and that of the reference. Considering the influence of these key factors and experts’ judgements, the multilevel fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method is adopted to obtain the risk level of the deep surrounding rock stability. Finally, the risk assessment of the deep surrounding rock in the E-Zhuang coal mine of Chinese Xinwen Mining Area illustrates the operability of the proposed method.

Snow Disaster Risk Assessment in China with the Multi-Layer Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method

2013 ◽  
Vol 726-731 ◽  
pp. 913-916
Author(s):  
Chao Lv ◽  
Hui Li Gong
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Disaster Risk ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Historical Case ◽  
Assessment Index ◽  
Disaster Risk Assessment ◽  
Assessment Index System

The snow disaster is one of the main disasters in prairie pastoral areas of China. Once the snow disaster occurs, it will cause the death of a large amount of livestock due to the starvation and freezing weather. Therefore, it is especially important to forecast the risk of the snow disaster scientifically and reasonably. This paper established the snow disaster risk assessment index system firstly, and then established the snow disaster risk assessment model based on multi-layer fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Finally, the massive experiment monitors and the contrast confirmation with the historical case data, showed that this model is practical and feasible, which conducted a useful attempt to further improve snow disaster risk assessment ability in pastoral areas.

Entropy Weight-Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method of the Safety Evaluation of Water Inrush

2013 ◽  
Vol 868 ◽  
pp. 300-305 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tian Jun Zhang ◽  
Jin Hu Ren ◽  
Sheng Hong Yu ◽  
Wei Cui
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Water Inrush ◽  
Safety Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Actual Situation ◽  
Entropy Weight ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation Method

For the accuracy of the inrush risk assessment of the problem, put forward in the mine inrush risk assessment using the entropy weight fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method to determine the index weight, through the membership function in fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to quantify the qualitative description of these factors, evaluated the henan jiaozuo mine inrush risk. The results show that the mine water inrush risk grade is "great", the actual mine water inrush accidents have occurred, prediction results conform to the actual situation, and safety evaluation value based on the principle of maximum membership degree is more than analytic hierarchy - fuzzy comprehensive evaluation to get , 0.0696. Thus, the method in the mine inrush prediction can objectively and accurately reflect the actual situation of mine inrush.

scholarly journals HSE Risk Assessment of Major Sewage Transport Tunnel Projects at the Construction Stage Based on the StructuralEntropy Weight Method and the Cloud Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Han Wu ◽  
Sen Liu ◽  
Denghui Liu ◽  
Junwu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Risk Indicators ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Construction Stage ◽  
Correlation Degree ◽  
Weight Method

The health, safety, and environment (HSE) risk assessment of major sewage transport tunnel projects (MSTTPs) is of great significance to guarantee sewage treatment, ecological environment protection, and sustainable development. To accurately evaluate the HSE risk of MSTTPs at the construction stage and effectively deal with their randomness and ambiguity, a risk assessment model based on the structural entropy weight method (SEWM) and the cloud model is put forward in this paper. First, an index system for MSTTPs was constructed via a literature review and expert interviews, and the rough sets method was used to filter the indicators. Then, weights were calculated by the SEWM, which is able to consider both subjective and objective factors of the weight calculation. Finally, to clarify the randomness and ambiguity in the evaluation, the HSE risk level was determined by the cloud similarity. The model was applied to the Donghu Deep Tunnel Project in Wuhan, China, and the results demonstrated that its HSE risk level was medium, which was acceptable. The index related to construction safety had the largest weight. A humid environment, improper power utilization, and sludge and mud pollution were found to be the most influential risk indicators. The risk level could be intuitively and qualitatively judged by the figure evaluation cloud, providing a vivid and rapid evaluation tool for the emergency decision-making of project managers, and the risk level could be quantitatively judged by the calculation of cloud similarity. Moreover, through the comparison with gray correlation degree, set pair analysis, and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method evaluation results, we prove the scientificity and effectiveness of the proposed model. The research results provide a valuable reference for the project management of MSTTPs at the construction stage.

Assessments on Fire and Explosion of Petrochemical Wharf Storage Tank Area Using DOW Method and Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation Model

2014 ◽  
Vol 638-640 ◽  
pp. 1986-1992 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shi Tao Peng ◽  
Yi Sun ◽  
Ran Zhou ◽  
Xiao Li Wang ◽  
Wen Ling Guan
Keyword(s):  
Storage Tank ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Weighted Average ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Weight Vector ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Entropy Weight ◽  
Fire And Explosion

Based on the features of fire and explosion accidents in petrochemical wharf storage tank area, the DOW method and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method were applied to evaluate risk of fire and explosion. First of all, DOW method was employed to evaluate the hazard of fire and explosion of petrochemical wharf storage tank area preliminarily and risk indexes of various tanks were obtained. Then, 5 first-level and 24 second-level indexes were identified by the fuzzy mathematics, in which the entropy weight method was introduced to determine weight vector of arrangement analysis, and applied to an actual risk evaluation for a petrochemical wharf storage tank area to determine fuzzy sets. On the basis of the weighted average method, the risk level is medium. Arranges the second-level indexes, and the main factors affecting the accident were concluded,including the violation rate of labor discipline, characteristics of hazardous materials, fire facilities, safety checks, operation of the security emergency response system and so on.

A novel method of risk assessment based on improved AHP-Cloud model for freezing pipe fracture

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Fuwei Liu ◽  
Yansen Wang
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Evaluation Method ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Cloud Model ◽  
Evaluation Model ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Evaluation Index System ◽  
Risk Level ◽  
Depth Analysis ◽  
New Research

The freezing pipe fracture can cause freezing wall to thaw and even lead to major accidents such as mine flooding easily, which seriously threatens the safety in construction. Therefore, scientific and effective comprehensive risk assessment for freezing pipe fracture is of great significance. In this work, a risk assessment method is put forward based on improved AHP-Cloud model with 19 evaluation indicators. First, the multi-dimension evaluation index system and evaluation model are established, on the basis of in-depth analysis of the risk factors that may lead to accidents. Second, synthesizing the normalization process and the improved analytic hierarchy process (AHP), the evaluation grade cloud and comprehensive evaluation cloud of freezing pipe fracture can be acquired by using the forward cloud generator. Finally, According to the max-subjection principle and the comprehensive evaluation method, we obtain the risk level of freezing pipe fracture. The model is applied to Yangcun Coal Mine. It has been verified that the risk assessment problem of freezing pipe fracture in freezing sinking can be successfully solved by the model we proposed. Above all, the study offers a new research idea for the risk management of freezing pipe fracture in freeze sinking.

A Reliability Risk Assessment Method Based on Fuzzy FMEA

2011 ◽  
Vol 148-149 ◽  
pp. 336-339
Author(s):  
Ying Kui Gu ◽  
Yao Gang Xiong ◽  
Xin Chong Luo
Keyword(s):  
Risk Assessment ◽  
Influence Factor ◽  
Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Fuzzy Comprehensive Evaluation ◽  
Assessment Method ◽  
Assessment Model ◽  
Risk Assessment Method ◽  
Fuzzy Fmea ◽  
Hierarchy Analysis ◽  
And Control

A reliability risk assessment model based on fuzzy FMEA was presented by using fuzzy comprehensive evaluation. Fuzzy matrixes were constructed according to the investigation data, in which occurrence probability ranking, effect severity ranking and detection difficulty ranking are all weighted analyzed. A fuzzy hierarchy analysis method was used to obtain the weight of each influence factor. In the model, the potential fault modes and the reasons can be analyzed and the preventive measures can be taken in prevention stage to avoid finding the problems after the products are put into production and market. It will provide new ideas and new methods to improve the operation security of the engine, to prevent and forecast failure, and to estimate and control the risk.

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