scholarly journals Considering Quarantine in the SIRA Malware Propagation Model

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Roberto C. Piqueira ◽  
Cristiane M. Batistela

As the beginning of the 21st century was marked by a strong development in data science and, consequently, in computer networks, models for designing preventive actions against intruding, data stealing, and destruction became mandatory. Following this line, several types of epidemiological models have been developed and improved, considering different operational approaches. The development of the research line using traditional SIR(Susceptible, Infected, Removed) model for data networks started in the 1990s. In 2005, an epidemiological compartmental model containing antidotal nodes, SIRA (Susceptible, Infected, Removed, Antidotal), was introduced to study how the antivirus policies affect the network reliability. The idea here is to study the consequence of quarantine actions in a network by modifying the SIRA model, introducing quarantine nodes generating the SIQRA (Susceptible, Infected, Quarantine, Removed, Antidotal) model. Analytical and numerical approaches result in parameter conditions for the existence and stability of disease-free and endemic equilibrium points for two different cases: saturation and nonsaturation of the quarantine population block. Based on these results, operational actions can be planned to improve the network reliability.

2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (4) ◽  
pp. 568-582 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bo Du ◽  
Haiyan Wang ◽  
Maoxing Liu

With the wide applications of the communication networks, the topic of information networks security is getting more and more attention from governments and individuals. This paper is devoted to investigating a malware propagation model with carrier compartment and delay to describe the process of malware propagation in mobile wireless sensor networks. Based on matrix theory for characteristic values, the local stability criterion of equilibrium points is established. Applying the linear approximation method of nonlinear systems, we study the existence of Hopf bifurcation at the equilibrium points. At the same time, we identify some sensitive parameters in the process of malware propagation. Finally, numerical simulations are performed to illustrate the theoretical results.


2004 ◽  
Vol 12 (04) ◽  
pp. 399-417 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. KGOSIMORE ◽  
E. M. LUNGU

This study investigates the effects of vaccination and treatment on the spread of HIV/AIDS. The objectives are (i) to derive conditions for the success of vaccination and treatment programs and (ii) to derive threshold conditions for the existence and stability of equilibria in terms of the effective reproduction number R. It is found, firstly, that the success of a vaccination and treatment program is achieved when R0t<R0, R0t<R0v and γeRVT(σ)<RUT(α), where R0t and R0v are respectively the reproduction numbers for populations consisting entirely of treated and vaccinated individuals, R0 is the basic reproduction number in the absence of any intervention, RUT(α) and RVT(σ) are respectively the reproduction numbers in the presence of a treatment (α) and a combination of vaccination and treatment (σ) strategies. Secondly, that if R<1, there exists a unique disease free equilibrium point which is locally asymptotically stable, while if R>1 there exists a unique locally asymptotically stable endemic equilibrium point, and that the two equilibrium points coalesce at R=1. Lastly, it is concluded heuristically that the stable disease free equilibrium point exists when the conditions R0t<R0, R0t<R0v and γeRVT(σ)<RUT(α) are satisfied.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianguo Ren ◽  
Yonghong Xu

A new computer virus propagation model with delay and incomplete antivirus ability is formulated and its global dynamics is analyzed. The existence and stability of the equilibria are investigated by resorting to the threshold valueR0. By analysis, it is found that the model may undergo a Hopf bifurcation induced by the delay. Correspondingly, the critical value of the Hopf bifurcation is obtained. Using Lyapunov functional approach, it is proved that, under suitable conditions, the unique virus-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable ifR0<1, whereas the virus equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable ifR0>1. Numerical examples are presented to illustrate possible behavioral scenarios of the mode.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ibrahim M. ELmojtaba ◽  
Fatma Al-Musalhi ◽  
Asma Al-Ghassani ◽  
Nasser Al-Salti

Abstract A mathematical model with environmental transmission has been proposed and analyzed to investigate its role in the transmission dynamics of the ongoing COVID-19 outbreak. Two expressions for the basic reproduction number R0 have been analytically derived using the next generation matrix method. The two expressions composed of a combination of two terms related to human to human and environment to human transmissions. The value of R0 has been calculated using estimated parameters corresponding to two datasets. Sensitivity analysis of the reproduction number to the corresponding model parameters has been carried out. Existence and stability analysis of disease free and endemic equilibrium points have been presented in relation with the obtained expressions of R0. Numerical simulations to demonstrate the effect of some model parameters related to environmental transmission on the disease transmission dynamics have been carried out and the results have been demonstrated graphically.


2017 ◽  
Vol 6 (3) ◽  
pp. 132-140
Author(s):  
Resmawan Resmawan ◽  
Paian Sianturi ◽  
Endar Hasafah Nugrahani

This article discusses SEIRS-SEI epidemic models on malaria with regard to human recovery rate. SEIRS-SEI in this model is an abbreviation of the population class used in the model, ie Susceptible, Exposed, Infected, and Recovered populations in humans and Susceptible, Exposed, and Infected populations in mosquito. These epidemic models belong to mathematical models which clarify a phenomenon of epidemic transmission of malaria by observing the human recovery rate after being infected and susceptible. Human population falls into four classes, namely susceptible humans, exposed humans, infected humans, and recovered humans. Meanwhile, mosquito population serving as vectors of the disease is divided into three classes, including susceptible mosquitoes, exposed mosquitoes, and infected mosquitoes. Such models are termed SEIRS-SEI epidemic models. Analytical discussion covers model formation, existence and stability of equilibrium points, as well as numerical simulation to find out the influence of human recovery rate on population dynamics of both species. The results show that the fixed point without disease ( ) is stable in condition  and unstable in condition . The simulation results show that the given treatment has an influence on the dynamics of the human population and mosquitoes. If the human recovery rate from the infected state becomes susceptible to increased, then the number of infected populations of both species will decrease. As a result, the disease will not spread and within a certain time will disappear from the population.


Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 36
Author(s):  
Santiago Alonso-Quesada ◽  
Manuel De la Sen ◽  
Raúl Nistal

This paper analyses an SIRS epidemic model with the vaccination of susceptible individuals and treatment of infectious ones. Both actions are governed by a designed control system whose inputs are the subpopulations of the epidemic model. In addition, the vaccination of a proportion of newborns is considered. The control reproduction number Rc of the controlled epidemic model is calculated, and its influence in the existence and stability of equilibrium points is studied. If such a number is smaller than a threshold value Rc, then the model has a unique equilibrium point: the so-called disease-free equilibrium point at which there are not infectious individuals. Furthermore, such an equilibrium point is locally and globally asymptotically stable. On the contrary, if Rc>Rc, then the model has two equilibrium points: the referred disease-free one, which is unstable, and an endemic one at which there are infectious individuals. The proposed control strategy provides several free-design parameters that influence both values Rc and Rc. Then, such parameters can be appropriately adjusted for guaranteeing the non-existence of the endemic equilibrium point and, in this way, eradicating the persistence of the infectious disease.


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