scholarly journals Estimation of Generalized Gompertz Distribution Parameters under Ranked-Set Sampling

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Mohammed Obeidat ◽  
Amjad Al-Nasser ◽  
Amer I. Al-Omari
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Small Samples ◽  
Simple Random Sample ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Bayesian Approaches ◽  
Bayes Estimates ◽  
Gompertz Distribution ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Credible Intervals

This paper studies estimation of the parameters of the generalized Gompertz distribution based on ranked-set sample (RSS). Maximum likelihood (ML) and Bayesian approaches are considered. Approximate confidence intervals for the unknown parameters are constructed using both the normal approximation to the asymptotic distribution of the ML estimators and bootstrapping methods. Bayes estimates and credible intervals of the unknown parameters are obtained using differential evolution Markov chain Monte Carlo and Lindley’s methods. The proposed methods are compared via Monte Carlo simulations studies and an example employing real data. The performance of both ML and Bayes estimates is improved under RSS compared with simple random sample (SRS) regardless of the sample size. Bayes estimates outperform the ML estimates for small samples, while it is the other way around for moderate and large samples.

scholarly journals Inferences for Weibull parameters under progressively first-failure censored data with binomial random removals

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 47-60
Author(s):  
Samir K. Ashour ◽  
Ahmed A. El-Sheikh ◽  
Ahmed Elshahhat
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Censored Data ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Squared Error Loss Function ◽  
Bayes Estimates ◽  
Monte Carlo Techniques ◽  
Credible Intervals

In this paper, the Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation of a two-parameter Weibull lifetime model in presence of progressive first-failure censored data with binomial random removals are considered. Based on the s-normal approximation to the asymptotic distribution of maximum likelihood estimators, two-sided approximate confidence intervals for the unknown parameters are constructed. Using gamma conjugate priors, several Bayes estimates and associated credible intervals are obtained relative to the squared error loss function. Proposed estimators cannot be expressed in closed forms and can be evaluated numerically by some suitable iterative procedure. A Bayesian approach is developed using Markov chain Monte Carlo techniques to generate samples from the posterior distributions and in turn computing the Bayes estimates and associated credible intervals. To analyze the performance of the proposed estimators, a Monte Carlo simulation study is conducted. Finally, a real data set is discussed for illustration purposes.

scholarly journals Estimation Methods of Alpha Power Exponential Distribution with Applications to Engineering and Medical Data

2020 ◽  
pp. 149-166 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mazen Nassar ◽  
Ahmed Z. Afify ◽  
Mohammed Shakhatreh
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulations ◽  
Exponential Distribution ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Medical Data ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Alpha Power ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Distribution Parameters

This paper addresses the estimation of the unknown parameters of the alphapower exponential distribution (Mahdavi and Kundu, 2017) using nine frequentist estimation methods. We discuss the nite sample properties of the parameterestimates of the alpha power exponential distribution via Monte Carlo simulations. The potentiality of the distribution is analyzed by means of two real datasets from the elds of engineering and medicine. Finally, we use the maximumlikelihood method to derive the estimates of the distribution parameters undercompeting risks data and analyze one real data set.

scholarly journals Inference of stress-strength reliability for two-parameter of exponentiated Gumbel distribution based on lower record values

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. e0249028
Author(s):  
Ehsan Fayyazishishavan ◽  
Serpil Kılıç Depren
Keyword(s):  
Information Matrix ◽  
Gumbel Distribution ◽  
Sampling Technique ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Record Values ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Credible Intervals ◽  
Lower Records ◽  
Two Parameter

The two-parameter of exponentiated Gumbel distribution is an important lifetime distribution in survival analysis. This paper investigates the estimation of the parameters of this distribution by using lower records values. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) procedure of the parameters is considered, and the Fisher information matrix of the unknown parameters is used to construct asymptotic confidence intervals. Bayes estimator of the parameters and the corresponding credible intervals are obtained by using the Gibbs sampling technique. Two real data set is provided to illustrate the proposed methods.

scholarly journals Inverted Topp-Leone Distribution: Contribution to a Family of J-Shaped Frequency Functions in Presence of Random Censoring

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hiba Zeyada Muhammed ◽  
Essam Abd Elsalam Muhammed
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Posterior Density ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Bayes Estimates ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
Distribution Shape ◽  
Highest Posterior Density Intervals ◽  
Metropolis Hasting Algorithm ◽  
Highest Posterior Density

In this paper, Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation of the inverted Topp-Leone distribution shape parameter are studied when the sample is complete and random censored. The maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and Bayes estimator of the unknown parameter are proposed. The Bayes estimates (BEs) have been computed based on the squared error loss (SEL) function and using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. The asymptotic, bootstrap (p,t), and highest posterior density intervals are computed. The Metropolis Hasting algorithm is proposed for Bayes estimates. Monte Carlo simulation is performed to compare the performances of the proposed methods and one real data set has been analyzed for illustrative purposes.

scholarly journals Estimation of the Inverse Weibull Distribution Parameters under Type-I Hybrid Censoring

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (5) ◽  
pp. 38-51
Author(s):  
Mohammad Kazemi ◽  
Mina Azizpoor
Keyword(s):  
Maximum Likelihood ◽  
Weibull Distribution ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Type I ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Bayes Estimates ◽  
Hybrid Censoring ◽  
Inverse Weibull Distribution ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Highest Posterior Density

The hybrid censoring is a mixture of type-I and type-II censoring schemes. This paper presents the statistical inferences of the inverse Weibull distribution parameters when the data are type-I hybrid censored. First, we consider the maximum likelihood estimates of the unknown parameters. It is observed that the maximum likelihood estimates can not be obtained in closed form. We further obtain the Bayes estimates and the corresponding highest posterior density credible intervals of the unknown parameters under the assumption of independent gamma priors using the importance sampling procedure. We also compute the approximate Bayes estimates using Lindley's approximation technique. The performance of the Bayes estimates have been compared with maximum likelihood estimates through the Monte Carlo Markov chain techniques. Finally, a real data set have been analysed for illustration purpose.

scholarly journals On Bayesian estimation of step stress accelerated life testing for exponentiated Lomax distribution based on censored samples

2020 ◽  
pp. 239-248
Author(s):  
Refah Mohamed Alotaibi ◽  
Hoda Ragab Rezk
Keyword(s):  
Numerical Study ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Operating Conditions ◽  
Stress Factors ◽  
Cumulative Exposure ◽  
Exposure Model ◽  
Life Testing ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Accelerated Life ◽  
Credible Intervals

In reliability analysis and life-testing experiments, the researcher is often interested in the effects of changing stress factors such as “temperature”, “voltage” and “load” on the lifetimes of the units. Step-stress (SS) test, which is a special class from the well-known accelerated life-tests, allows the experimenter to increase the stress levels at some constant times to obtain information on the unknown parameters of the life models more speedily than under usual operating conditions. In this paper, a simple SS model from the exponentiated Lomax (ExpLx) distribution when there is time limitation on the duration of the experiment is considered. Bayesian estimates of the parameters assuming a cumulative exposure model with lifetimes being ExpLx distribution are resultant using Markov chain Monte Carlo (M.C.M.C) procedures. Also, the credible intervals and predicted values of the scale parameter, reliability and hazard are derived. Finally, the numerical study and real data are presented to illustrate the proposed study

scholarly journals A comparison of approximate versus exact techniques for Bayesian parameter inference in nonlinear ordinary differential equation models

2020 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 191315
Author(s):  
Amani A. Alahmadi ◽  
Jennifer A. Flegg ◽  
Davis G. Cochrane ◽  
Christopher C. Drovandi ◽  
Jonathan M. Keith
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Markov Chain Monte Carlo ◽  
Bayesian Inference ◽  
Sequential Monte Carlo ◽  
Simulated Data ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Nonlinear Ordinary Differential Equation ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Acceptance Probability

The behaviour of many processes in science and engineering can be accurately described by dynamical system models consisting of a set of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). Often these models have several unknown parameters that are difficult to estimate from experimental data, in which case Bayesian inference can be a useful tool. In principle, exact Bayesian inference using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques is possible; however, in practice, such methods may suffer from slow convergence and poor mixing. To address this problem, several approaches based on approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) have been introduced, including Markov chain Monte Carlo ABC (MCMC ABC) and sequential Monte Carlo ABC (SMC ABC). While the system of ODEs describes the underlying process that generates the data, the observed measurements invariably include errors. In this paper, we argue that several popular ABC approaches fail to adequately model these errors because the acceptance probability depends on the choice of the discrepancy function and the tolerance without any consideration of the error term. We observe that the so-called posterior distributions derived from such methods do not accurately reflect the epistemic uncertainties in parameter values. Moreover, we demonstrate that these methods provide minimal computational advantages over exact Bayesian methods when applied to two ODE epidemiological models with simulated data and one with real data concerning malaria transmission in Afghanistan.

scholarly journals Simple, scalable and accurate posterior interval estimation

Biometrika ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 104 (3) ◽  
pp. 665-680 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cheng Li ◽  
Sanvesh Srivastava ◽  
David B. Dunson
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Markov Chain Monte Carlo ◽  
Interval Estimation ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Estimation Algorithm ◽  
Massive Datasets ◽  
Posterior Sampling ◽  
Credible Intervals ◽  
Sampling Algorithms

Summary Standard posterior sampling algorithms, such as Markov chain Monte Carlo procedures, face major challenges in scaling up to massive datasets. We propose a simple and general posterior interval estimation algorithm to rapidly and accurately estimate quantiles of the posterior distributions for one-dimensional functionals. Our algorithm runs Markov chain Monte Carlo in parallel for subsets of the data, and then averages quantiles estimated from each subset. We provide strong theoretical guarantees and show that the credible intervals from our algorithm asymptotically approximate those from the full posterior in the leading parametric order. Our algorithm has a better balance of accuracy and efficiency than its competitors across a variety of simulations and a real-data example.

scholarly journals Comparisons of six different estimation methods for log-Kumaraswamy distribution

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (Suppl. 6) ◽  
pp. 1839-1847
Author(s):  
Caner Tanis ◽  
Bugra Saracoglu
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Weighted Least Squares ◽  
Real Data ◽  
Estimation Methods ◽  
Unknown Parameters ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Kumaraswamy Distribution ◽  
Bayesian Least Squares ◽  
Von Mises

In this paper, it is considered the problem of estimation of unknown parameters of log-Kumaraswamy distribution via Monte-Carlo simulations. Firstly, it is described six different estimation methods such as maximum likelihood, approximate bayesian, least-squares, weighted least-squares, percentile, and Cramer-von-Mises. Then, it is performed a Monte-Carlo simulation study to evaluate the performances of these methods according to the biases and mean-squared errors of the estimators. Furthermore, two real data applications based on carbon fibers and the gauge lengths are presented to compare the fits of log-Kumaraswamy and other fitted statistical distributions.

scholarly journals Inference for Inverse Power Lomax Distribution with Progressive First-Failure Censoring

Entropy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (9) ◽  
pp. 1099
Author(s):  
Xiaolin Shi ◽  
Yimin Shi
Keyword(s):  
Real Data ◽  
Sampling Procedure ◽  
Maximum Likelihood Estimates ◽  
Inverse Power ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Study ◽  
Lomax Distribution ◽  
Censored Samples ◽  
Distribution Parameters ◽  
Credible Intervals

This paper investigates the statistical inference of inverse power Lomax distribution parameters under progressive first-failure censored samples. The maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and the asymptotic confidence intervals are derived based on the iterative procedure and asymptotic normality theory of MLEs, respectively. Bayesian estimates of the parameters under squared error loss and generalized entropy loss function are obtained using independent gamma priors. For Bayesian computation, Tierney–Kadane’s approximation method is used. In addition, the highest posterior credible intervals of the parameters are constructed based on the importance sampling procedure. A Monte Carlo simulation study is carried out to compare the behavior of various estimates developed in this paper. Finally, a real data set is analyzed for illustration purposes.

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