acceptance probability
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2022 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 237-254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ömer Yılmaz ◽  
Adem Alpaslan Altun ◽  
Murat Köklü

Hybrid algorithms are widely used today to increase the performance of existing algorithms. In this paper, a new hybrid algorithm called IMVOSA that is based on multi-verse optimizer (MVO) and simulated annealing (SA) is used. In this model, a new method called the black hole selection (BHS) is proposed, in which exploration and exploitation can be increased. In the BHS method, the acceptance probability feature of the SA algorithm is used to increase exploitation by searching for the best regions found by the MVO algorithm. The proposed IMVOSA algorithm has been tested on 50 benchmark functions. The performance of IMVOSA has been compared with other latest and well-known metaheuristic algorithms. The consequences show that IMVOSA produces highly successful and competitive results.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Yodsadej Kanokmedhakul ◽  
Natee Panagant ◽  
Sujin Bureerat ◽  
Nantiwat Pholdee ◽  
Ali R. Yildiz

This work presents a metaheuristic (MH) termed, self-adaptive teaching-learning-based optimization, with an acceptance probability for aircraft parameter estimation. An inverse optimization problem is presented for aircraft longitudinal parameter estimation. The problem is posed to find longitudinal aerodynamic parameters by minimising errors between real flight data and those calculated from the dynamic equations. The HANSA-3 aircraft is used for numerical validation. Several established MHs along with the proposed algorithm are used to solve the proposed optimization problem, while their search performance is investigated compared to a conventional output error method (OEM). The results show that the proposed algorithm is the best performer in terms of search convergence and consistency. This work is said to be the baseline for purely applying MHs for aircraft parameter estimation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Yan Zeng

The existing social talent governance algorithms have a number of issues such as slow convergence rate, relatively low data accuracy, recall rate, and low anti-interference. To address these problems, this paper proposes a research on social talent governance algorithm based on genetic algorithm. We discuss the difference between the traditional and the genetic algorithms and determine the implementation process of genetic algorithm. On this basis, the excellent individuals are determined by independent computing fitness, and the initialization population is designed according to the individual similarity threshold. After the population is defined, the roulette and deterministic sampling selection method are integrated to clarify the selection calculation process. Based on the calculation results, we design the crossover operator by segmented single-point crossover between individuals. The mutation operator is designed by segmented mutation of different gene segments according to the calculation results. The results are incorporated into the simulated annealing acceptance probability to conduct simulated annealing for the individuals after the cross-mutation operation and set relevant conditions after the end of the algorithm. We seek the optimal solution of the data within the number of iterations and finally realize the whole process of social talent governance algorithm. The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm has fast convergence rate, high data precision and recall, and has certain feasibility.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-16
Author(s):  
Zhen Li ◽  
Shaowen Zhang ◽  
Qingfeng Meng

In recent years, the development of prefabricated building (PB) mode in China has gradually attracted the attention of stakeholders. It is of great significance to explore the adoption behavior of PB mode by Chinese construction enterprises. Using the method of combining evolutionary game theory with system dynamics and considering the multiagent interaction of the government, construction enterprises, and consumers, as well as the influence of multiple factors, this paper constructs a model of construction enterprises' adoption behavior of PB mode. The purpose is to clarify the mechanism of Chinese construction enterprises' adoption behavior of PB mode and the evolution law of market share. The research results show the following. Firstly, government subsidy plays an important role in promoting the maturity of PB market, but it plays a relatively small role in the more mature and stable market. Secondly, the higher the initial acceptance probability of the construction enterprise, the greater the peak of the PB market share and the greater the volatility, but it has no differential impact on the balance of the PB market in the later stage. Thirdly, price factors and quality factors, respectively, have an important impact on the increase of the PB market share in the early and late stages of the formation of the PB market, but the delivery waiting time factor has no significant impact on the PB market share.


Author(s):  
Kevin J Coakley

In experiments in a range of felds including fast neutron spectroscopy and astroparticle physics, one can discriminate events of interest from background events based on the shapes of electronic pulses produced by energy deposits in a detector. Here, I focus on a well-known pulse shape discrimination method based on the ratio of the temporal integral of the pulse over an early interval Xp and the temporal integral over the entire pulse Xt . For both event classes, for both a Gaussian noise model and a Poisson noise model, I present analytic expressions for the conditional distribution of Xp given knowledge of the observed value of Xt and a scaled energy deposit corresponding to the product of the full energy deposit and a relative yield factor. I assume that the energy-dependent theoretical prompt fraction for both classes are known exactly. With a Bayesian approach that accounts for imperfect knowledge of the scaled energy deposit, I determine the posterior mean background acceptance probability given the target signal acceptance probability as a function of the observed value of Xt . My method enables one to determine receiver-operating-characteristic curves by numerical integration rather than by Monte Carlo simulation for these two noise models.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jing Lu ◽  
Jiwei Zhang ◽  
Zhaoyuan Zhang ◽  
Bao Xu ◽  
Jian Tao

In this paper, a new two-parameter logistic testlet response theory model for dichotomous items is proposed by introducing testlet discrimination parameters to model the local dependence among items within a common testlet. In addition, a highly effective Bayesian sampling algorithm based on auxiliary variables is proposed to estimate the testlet effect models. The new algorithm not only avoids the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm boring adjustment the turning parameters to achieve an appropriate acceptance probability, but also overcomes the dependence of the Gibbs sampling algorithm on the conjugate prior distribution. Compared with the traditional Bayesian estimation methods, the advantages of the new algorithm are analyzed from the various types of prior distributions. Based on the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) output, two Bayesian model assessment methods are investigated concerning the goodness of fit between models. Finally, three simulation studies and an empirical example analysis are given to further illustrate the advantages of the new testlet effect model and Bayesian sampling algorithm.


Author(s):  
Thomas Lux

AbstractOver the last decade, agent-based models in economics have reached a state of maturity that brought the tasks of statistical inference and goodness-of-fit of such models on the agenda of the research community. While most available papers have pursued a frequentist approach adopting either likelihood-based algorithms or simulated moment estimators, here we explore Bayesian estimation using a Markov chain Monte Carlo approach (MCMC). One major problem in the design of MCMC estimators is finding a parametrization that leads to a reasonable acceptance probability for new draws from the proposal density. With agent-based models the appropriate choice of the proposal density and its parameters becomes even more complex since such models often require a numerical approximation of the likelihood. This brings in additional factors affecting the acceptance rate as it will also depend on the approximation error of the likelihood. In this paper, we take advantage of a number of recent innovations in MCMC: We combine Particle Filter Markov Chain Monte Carlo as proposed by Andrieu et al. (J R Stat Soc B 72(Part 3):269–342, 2010) with adaptive choice of the proposal distribution and delayed rejection in order to identify an appropriate design of the MCMC estimator. We illustrate the methodology using two well-known behavioral asset pricing models.


PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (6) ◽  
pp. e0253016
Author(s):  
Xianfeng Ding ◽  
Quan Qu ◽  
Xinyi Wang

In this paper, aiming at the unconstrained optimization problem, a new nonmonotone adaptive retrospective trust region line search method is presented, which takes advantages of multidimensional filter technique to increase the acceptance probability of the trial step. The new nonmonotone trust region ratio is presented, which based on the convex combination of nonmonotone trust region ratio and retrospective ratio. The global convergence and the superlinear convergence of the algorithm are shown in the right circumstances. Comparative numerical experiments show the better effective and robustness.


2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (11) ◽  
pp. 5085
Author(s):  
Emilio Garduno ◽  
Erik Rosado-Tamariz ◽  
Miguel A. Zuniga-Garcia ◽  
Rafael Batres

A steam generator serves as a power generation equipment that uses the expansive power of steam to generate electricity. The startup process of a steam generator plays an important process in a power plant to adjust its electricity generation in response to changes in load demand. As renewable generation plants increase, the levels of variability in electricity production increase. Fast startups become instrumental as they enable traditional power generation plants to provide the quantity of electricity missing when variable renewable energies cannot satisfy the load demand. The drum boiler is one of the main pieces of equipment involved in the startup process of a steam generator. However, if the startup process is carried out too fast, excessive thermal stresses may occur, thus provoking damage to the components of the drum boiler. This paper proposes a dynamic optimization methodology to synthesize operating procedures that minimize the startup time of the drum boiler while avoiding the excessive formation of thermal stresses. Since valve operations influence the time-varying behavior of the steam, dynamic simulation is needed in order to evaluate the operating procedure. The proposed algorithm is based on two important elements of two metaheuristic algorithms: the acceptance probability of the simulated annealing algorithm and the tabu search memory structures. A case study evaluates the proposed approach by comparing it against results previously published in the literature.


Author(s):  
Mahmoud Arafat ◽  
Mohammed Hadi ◽  
Thodsapon Hunsanon ◽  
Kamar Amine

Assessment of the safety and mobility impacts of connected vehicles (CVs) and cooperative automated vehicle applications is critical to the success of these applications. In many cases, there may be trade-offs in the mobility and safety impacts depending on the setting of the parameters of the applications. This study developed a method to evaluate the safety and mobility benefits of the Stop Sign Gap Assist (SSGA) system, a CV-based application at unsignalized intersections, which utilizes a calibrated microscopic simulation tool. The study results confirmed that it was critical to calibrate the drivers’ gap acceptance probability distributions in the utilized simulation model to reflect real-world driver behaviors when assessing SSGA impacts. The simulation models with the calibrated gap parameters were then used to assess the impacts of the SSGA. The results showed that SSGA can potentially improve overall minor approach capacity at unsignalized intersections by approximately 35.5% when SSGA utilization reaches 100%. However, this increase in capacity depended on the setting of the minimum gap time in the SSGA and there was a clear trade-off between capacity and safety. The analysis indicated that as the minimum gap time used in the SSGA increased, the safety of the intersection increased, showing for example that with the utilization of an 8-s gap at a 750 vph main street flow rate, the number of conflicts could decrease by 30% as the SSGA utilization rate increased from 0% to 100%.


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