Abstract 19565: SAMeTT2R2 Scores Predict Stroke Risk After Initiation of Vitamin K Antagonist Therapy for Atrial Fibrillation: a Real-world Practice Study

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Anja Katholing ◽  
Stephan Reitbrock ◽  
Gregory Y Lip ◽  
Ben Freedman
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Vitamin K ◽  
Real World ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Vitamin K Antagonist ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Rank Test ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Stroke Incidence ◽  
Anticoagulation Control

Introduction: Quality and duration of anticoagulation reflected by high proportion of Time in Therapeutic INR range (TTR) is associated with reduced thrombo-embolic and bleeding events in atrial fibrillation (AF). SAMeTT2R2, a novel score incorporating age, sex, ethnicity, smoking, co-morbidities, and interacting drugs, predicts inadequate anticoagulation control (TTR <0.6) after commencing Vitamin K Antagonist (VKA) for AF, with scores ≥2 suggested as a cut-off to predict inadequate control. Aims: To determine whether SAMeTT2R2 score ≥2 at VKA inception is associated with an increased stroke risk in real-world practice. Methods: A cohort of VKA-naïve patients with incident non-valvular AF between 2001 - 2010 was formed from a large UK primary care database (Clinical Practice Research Datalink, CPRD) with linkage to hospital discharges, and death registry. SAMeTT2R2 score was calculated in a subset of 4468 in whom VKA treatment was initiated within 90 days of AF diagnosis, and scores 0-1, ≥2 were related to 3-year stroke incidence. Competing risk analysis accounting for death was performed to compare the risk of stroke between the two groups in an intention-to-treat analysis. Results: Of 4468 patients with incident AF commenced on VKA (mean age 70.7, 41.2% female), 3422 (76.6%) had a SAMeTT2R2 score of 0-1, and 1046 (23.4%) a score of ≥2. During 3-years 138 patients had a stroke and 58 of these occurred in the year following AF. Cumulative risk estimates for stroke in patients with scores ≥2 compared to 0-1 were significantly increased at 1, 2 and 3 years (log rank test, p<0.01)(Figure). The proportion with TTR≥0.6 was 37.1% for scores ≥2 compared to 44.1% for scores 0-1 (p<0.01). Conclusions: SAMeTT2R2 scores ≥2 predict increased stroke risk in the 3 years following incident AF in patients commenced on VKA treatment. These findings suggest that patients with high SAMeTT2R2 scores may require intensified anticoagulation control or use of oral non-VKA anticoagulants.

scholarly journals Direct comparison of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulant versus warfarin for stroke prevention in non-valvular atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis of real-world evidences

2021 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoga Waranugraha ◽  
Ardian Rizal ◽  
Mokhamad Fahmi Rizki Syaban ◽  
Icha Farihah Deniyati Faratisha ◽  
Nabila Erina Erwan ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Systematic Review ◽  
Vitamin K ◽  
Real World ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Bleeding Risk ◽  
Vitamin K Antagonist ◽  
The Real ◽  
All Cause Mortality

Abstract Background To overcome the several drawbacks of warfarin, non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) were developed. Even though randomized controlled trials (RCTs) provided high-quality evidence, the real-world evidence is still needed. This systematic review and meta-analysis proposed to measure the safety and efficacy profile between warfarin and NOACs in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) patients in preventing stroke. Results We collected articles about the real-world studies comparing warfarin and NOACs for NVAF patients recorded in electronic scientific databases such as Embase, ProQuest, PubMed, and Cochrane. The pooled hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated using the generic inverse variance method. A total of 34 real-world studies, including 2287288 NVAF patients, were involved in this study. NOACs effectively reduced the stroke risk than warfarin (HR 0.77; 95% CI 0.69 to 0.87; p < 0.01). Moreover, NOACs effectively lowered all-cause mortality risk (HR 0.71; 95% CI 0.63 to 0.81; p < 0.01). From the safety aspect, compared to warfarin, NOACs significantly reduced major bleeding risk (HR 0.68; 95% CI 0.54 to 0.86; p < 0.01) and intracranial bleeding risk (HR 0.54; 95% CI 0.42 to 0.70; p < 0.01). However, NOACs administration failed to decrease gastrointestinal bleeding risk (HR 0.78; 95% CI 0.58 to 1.06; p = 0.12). Conclusions In NVAF patients, NOACs were found to be more effective than warfarin at reducing stroke risk. NOACSs also lowered the risk of all-cause mortality, cerebral hemorrhage, and severe bleeding in NVAF patients compared to warfarin.

Abstract 18371: Higher Treatment Persistence of Non-Vitamin K Antagonist Oral Anticoagulants than Vitamin K Antagonists at 1 Year in Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation in Real-World Practice

Circulation ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 130 (suppl_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Christopher Wallenhorst ◽  
Anja Katholing ◽  
Ben Freedman
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Clinical Practice ◽  
Vitamin K ◽  
Real World ◽  
Vitamin K Antagonists ◽  
Oral Anticoagulants ◽  
Ease Of Use ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
One Year

Introduction: Oral anticoagulants (OAC) are under-utilised in atrial fibrillation (AF). Even patients prescribed an OAC may stop taking the drug soon after treatment initiation, particularly with Vitamin K Antagonists (VKA). The Non-VKA OAC (NOAC) drugs offer greater ease of use, and persistence is likely to be higher. Aim: To determine persistence on treatment in the first year after inception of NOACs and VKA in incident AF in real-world clinical practice. Methods: We studied 24,467 OAC-naïve patients with incident non-valvular AF diagnosed between Jan 2011-Feb 2014, mean age 73.9 ± 12.5, 45.6% female, in a very large UK primary care database (Clinical Practice Research Datalink, CRPD), with full linkage to medication use. Follow up was for a mean of 1.2 ± 0.9 years. The proportion of OAC initiation in the 90 days after first-time AF and of those remaining on OAC one year after initiation were estimated using competing risk survival analyses censoring for use of alternative OAC. Results: NOAC drugs prescribed included Rivaroxaban, Dabigatran and Apixaban. Overall, 12,579 (51.4%) were commenced on an OAC: 11,888 on VKA and 691 on NOAC, within 90 days after incident AF. Amongst all OAC users, the proportion taking NOAC increased from 0.3% in 2011 to 12.3% in 2014. Persistence, defined as the proportion still taking the OAC after one year, declined over the 12 months to 54.3% for VKA and 80.7% for NOAC (Table). Persistence was significantly greater for NOAC than VKA at all time points. Conclusions: There is a progressive fall in VKA use amongst OAC naïve patients with AF in real-world practice to only 54% at 1 year. This contributes to under-utilisation of anticoagulation in AF and would result in an increased rate of stroke. Persistence was significantly improved with NOACs compared to VKA, and this factor alone could lead to reduced stroke burden with increasing uptake of the NOACs.

scholarly journals Adverse prognosis of incidentally detected ambulatory atrial fibrillation

2014 ◽  
Vol 112 (08) ◽  
pp. 276-286 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Anja Katholing ◽  
Saul Freedman
Keyword(s):  
Myocardial Infarction ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Major Bleeding ◽  
Antithrombotic Therapy ◽  
Oral Anticoagulant ◽  
Incidence Rates ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Antiplatelet Treatment ◽  
Stroke Incidence

SummaryIt was the aim of this study to determine prognosis of incidentally detected ambulatory atrial fibrillation (IA-AF) and its response to antithrombotic therapy. We performed a cohort study of 5,555 patients with IA-AF (mean age 70.9 ± 10.1, 38.4% female) and 24,705 age- and gender-matched controls without AF followed three years using UK Clinical Practice Research Datalink. We measured incidence rates of stroke, all-cause mortality, myocardial infarction, major bleeding, and effect of antithrombotic therapy. Patients with IA-AF had mean CHA2DS2VASc score 2.5 ± 1.5, 73% with score ≥2. The stroke incidence rate (IR) was 19.4 (95% confidence interval 17.1 – 21.9)/1,000 person-years vs 8.4 (7.7 – 9.1) in controls (p<0.001), mortality 40.1 (36.8 – 43.6)/1,000 person-years vs 20.9 (19.8 – 22.0) in controls (p<0.001), and myocardial infarction 9.0 (7.5 – 10.8)/1,000 person-years vs 6.5 (5.9 – 7.2) in controls (p<0.001). IRs of all endpoints increased with age. Oral anticoagulant ± antiplatelet therapy received by 51.0% in year following IA-AF was associated with adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 0.35 (0.17 – 0.71) for stroke, and 0.56 (0.36 – 0.85) for death compared to no therapy, while antiplatelet treatment was associated with a non-significant reduction of HR: 0.81 (0.51 – 1.29) for stroke, and 0.80 (0.55 – 1.15) for death, though both carried a similar small non-significant adjusted excess IR of major bleeding. In conclusion, asymptomatic AF detected incidentally is associated with a significant adverse effect on stroke and death, with reduction in both associated with oral anticoagulant but not antiplatelet treatment. This provides justification to assess cost-effectiveness of community screening to detect unknown AF.

Risk of ischemic stroke in asymptomatic atrial fibrillation incidentally-detected in primary care compared with other clinical presentations

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher Wallenhorst ◽  
Carlos Martinez ◽  
Ben FREEDMAN
Keyword(s):  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Primary Care ◽  
Ischemic Stroke ◽  
Stroke Risk ◽  
Practice Research ◽  
Mortality Data ◽  
Clinical Practice Research Datalink ◽  
Primary Hospital ◽  
Ischemic Stroke Risk ◽  
The Uk

Background: It is uncertain whether stroke risk of asymptomatic ambulatory atrial fibrillation (AA-AF) incidentally-detected in primary care is comparable with other clinical AF presentations in primary care or hospital. Methods: The stoke risk of 22,035 patients with incident non-valvular AF from the UK primary care Clinical Practice Research Datalink with linkage to hospitalization and mortality data, was compared to 23,605 controls without AF (age and sex-matched 5:1 to 5,409 AA-AF patients). Incident AF included 5,913 with symptomatic ambulatory AF (SA-AF); 4,989 with Primary and 5,724 with non-Primary Hospital AF discharge diagnosis (PH-AF and Non-PH-AF); and 5,409 with AA-AF. Ischemic stroke adjusted subhazard ratios (aSHR) within 3 years of AA-AF were compared with SA-AF, PH-AF, Non-PH-AF and controls, accounting for mortality as competing risk and adjusted for ischemic stroke risk factors. Results: There were 1026 ischemic strokes in 49,544 person-years in patients with incident AF (crude incidence rate 2.1 ischemic strokes/100 person-years). Ischemic stroke aSHR over 3 years showed no differences between AA-AF, and SA-AF, PH-AF and nonPH-AF groups (aSHR 0.87-1.01 vs AA-AF). All AF groups showed a significantly higher aSHR compared to controls. (subhazard rate ratio 0.40 [0.34 - 0.47]. Conclusion: Ischemic stroke risk in patients with AA-AF incidentally-detected in primary care is far from benign, and not less than incident AF presenting clinically in general practice or hospital. This provides justification for identification of previously undetected AF, e.g. by opportunistic screening, and subsequent stroke prevention with thromboprophylaxis, to reduce the approximately 10% of ischemic strokes related to unrecognized AF.

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