Abstract 13463: Left Atrioventricular Coupling Index as a Prognostic Marker: The Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Theo Pezel ◽  
Bharath Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
Henrique D De Vasconcellos ◽  
Yoko Kato ◽  
Mahsima Shabani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Strong Predictor ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
End Diastolic Volume ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
History Of ◽  
Independent Association ◽  
Cv Disease ◽  
Mri Study

Introduction: The left atrium (LA) and left ventricle (LV) parameters have both prognostic value for cardiovascular (CV) events. We hypothesize the left atrioventricular coupling to be a strong predictor of CV events. Hypothesis: This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of a novel left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI) and to assess its predictive value for CV events in a population without a history of CV diseases at baseline. Methods: A total of 4,124 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) underwent a cardiac MRI study. The LACI was defined by the ratio of the LA end-diastolic volume divided by the LV end-diastolic volume by MRI. Cox proportional hazard models were built to predict the endpoints of atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), CV death and hard CV disease (CVD) defined by myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, fatal and non-fatal stroke or CV death. In univariable and multivariable Cox analyses, the association between LACI and time-to-event was analysed, adjusting for 14 covariables including traditional CV risk factors and biomarkers. Results: A total of 1151 CV events were observed during a median (IQR) follow-up period of 15.9 (12.9-16.6) years. LACI was associated with AF (HR 2.14, 95%CI [1.97-2.32]), HF (HR 1.70, 95%CI [1.56-1.86]), hard CVD (HR 1.34, 95%CI [1.22-1.48]), and CV death (HR 1.53, 95%CI [1.38-1.70]; for all p<0.0001). In multivariate analysis, LACI had a significant independent association for AF (HR 1.86, 95%CI [1.69-2.04]), HF (HR 1.47, 95%CI [1.33-1.60]), hard CVD (HR 1.25, 95%CI [1.12-1.40]), and CV death (HR 1.29, 95%CI [1.15-1.50; for all p<0.001). LACI showed better discrimination than the multivariate model for AF (C-statistic: 0.84 vs 0.79), HF (0.82 vs 0.80), hard CVD (0.77 vs 0.76), and CV death (0.84 vs 0.83). Conclusions: The LACI is a predictor of incident HF, AF, hard CV disease, and CV death in MESA.

scholarly journals Change in left atrioventricular coupling index to predict incident atrial fibrillation: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA)

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Pezel ◽  
B Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
T Quinaglia ◽  
S Heckbert ◽  
YOKO Kato ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Discrimination Performance ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Ethnic Population ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. BACKGROUND Left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) structural and functional parameters have independent prognostic values as predictors of atrial fibrillation (AF). PURPOSE Due to the intrinsic physiological relationship between LA and LV, we sought to investigate the prognostic value of a left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI) as well as change in LACI to predict incident AF in a multi-ethnic population. METHODS In the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), 1,911 study participants, free of clinically recognized AF and cardiovascular disease at baseline, had LACI assessed with CMR imaging at baseline (Exam 1, 2000–2002), and ten years later (Exam 5, 2010–2012). LACI was defined as the ratio of LA to LV end-diastolic volumes. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of LACI and average annualized change in LACI (ΔLACI) with incident AF. RESULTS Among the 1,911 participants (mean age 59 ± 9 years and 47.5% male participants), 87 incident AF events occurred over 3.9 ±0.9 years following the second imaging (Exam 5). After adjustment for traditional risk factors, greater LACI and ΔLACI were independently associated with AF (HR 1.69, 95% CI [1.46-1.96] and HR 1.71, 95% CI [1.50-1.94], respectively; both p &lt; 0.0001). Adjusted models for LACI and ΔLACI showed significant improvement in model discrimination compared to currently used AF risk score model for predicting AF incidence (C-statistic: 0.78 vs. 0.74, and C-statistic: 0.80 vs. 0.74, respectively). The LACI and ΔLACI also showed superior discrimination performance for AF compared to the multivariable model including CHARGE-AF score, and individual LA or LV parameters. CONCLUSIONS Atrioventricular coupling (LACI) and coupling change (ΔLACI) are strong predictors for AF incidence in a multi-ethnic population. Both have incremental prognostic value for predicting AF over traditional risk factors, and superior discrimination power compared to the CHARGE-AF score and to individual LA or LV parameters.

scholarly journals Left atrioventricular coupling index to predict incident heart failure: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA)

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Pezel ◽  
B Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
Y Kato ◽  
H De Vasconcellos ◽  
S Heckbert ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Model Discrimination ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
Funding Sources ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
Score Model

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. BACKGROUND Although left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) structural and functional parameters have independent prognostic value as predictors of HF, the close physiological relationship between LA and LV suggest that the assessment of LA/LV coupling could better reflect left atrioventricular dysfunction and be a better predictor of heart failure (HF). PURPOSE We investigated the prognostic value of a left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI), measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), as well as change in LACI to predict incident HF in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). METHODS In the MESA, 2,250 study participants, free of clinically recognized HF and cardiovascular disease at baseline, had LACI assessed by CMR imaging at baseline (Exam 1, 2000–2002), and ten years later (Exam 5, 2010–2012). LACI was defined as the ratio of LA to LV end-diastolic volumes. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of LACI and average annualized change in LACI (ΔLACI) with incident HF after adjustment on traditional HF risk factors. The incremental risk prediction was calculated using C-statistic, categorical net reclassification index (NRI) and integrative discrimination index (IDI). RESULTS Among the 2,250 participants (mean age 59.3 ± 9.3 years and 47.6% male participants), 50 incident HF events occurred over 6.8 ± 1.3 years after the second CMR exam. After adjustment, greater LACI and ΔLACI were independently associated with HF (adjusted HR 1.44, 95% CI [1.25-1.66] and adjusted HR 1.55, 95% CI [1.30-1.85], respectively; both p &lt; 0.0001). Adjusted models for LACI showed significant improvement in model discrimination and reclassification compared to currently used HF risk score model for predicting HF incidence (C-statistic: 0.81 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.411; IDI = 0.043). After adjustment, ΔLACI showed also significant improvement in model discrimination compared to the multivariable model with traditional HF risk factors for predicting incident HF (C-statistic: 0.82 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.491; IDI = 0.058). CONCLUSIONS In a multi-ethnic population, atrioventricular coupling (LACI) and coupling change (ΔLACI) are independently associated with incident HF. Both have incremental prognostic value for predicting HF over traditional HF risk factors.

scholarly journals Left Atrioventricular Coupling Index to Predict Incident Heart Failure: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theo Pezel ◽  
Bharath Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
Yoko Kato ◽  
Henrique Doria De Vasconcellos ◽  
Susan R. Heckbert ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Model Discrimination ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
Score Model ◽  
Incremental Prognostic Value

Background: Although left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) structural and functional parameters have independent prognostic value as predictors of heart failure (HF), the close physiological relationship between the LA and LV suggest that the assessment of LA/LV coupling could better reflect left atrioventricular dysfunction and be a better predictor of HF.Aim: We investigated the prognostic value of a left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI), measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), as well as change in LACI to predict incident HF in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).Materials and Methods: In the MESA, 2,250 study participants, free of clinically recognized HF and cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline, had LACI assessed by CMR imaging at baseline (Exam 1, 2000–2002), and 10 years later (Exam 5, 2010–2012). Left atrioventricular coupling index was defined as the ratio of LA to LV end-diastolic volumes. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of LACI and average annualized change in LACI (ΔLACI) with incident HF after adjustment for traditional MESA-HF risk factors. The incremental risk prediction was calculated using C-statistic, categorical net reclassification index (NRI) and integrative discrimination index (IDI).Results: Among the 2,250 participants (mean age 59.3 ± 9.3 years and 47.6% male participants), 50 incident HF events occurred over 6.8 ± 1.3 years after the second CMR exam. After adjustment, greater LACI and ΔLACI were independently associated with HF (adjusted HR 1.44, 95% CI [1.25–1.66] and adjusted HR 1.55, 95% CI [1.30–1.85], respectively; both p &lt; 0.0001). Adjusted models for LACI showed significant improvement in model discrimination and reclassification compared to currently used HF risk score model for predicting HF incidence (C-statistic: 0.81 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.411; IDI = 0.043). After adjustment, ΔLACI showed also significant improvement in model discrimination compared to the multivariable model with traditional MESA-HF risk factors for predicting incident HF (C-statistic: 0.82 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.491; IDI = 0.058).Conclusions: In a multi-ethnic population, atrioventricular coupling (LACI), and coupling change (ΔLACI) are independently associated with incident HF. Both have incremental prognostic value for predicting HF events over traditional HF risk factors.

Gamma Knife surgery for the treatment of melanoma metastases: the effect of intratumoral hemorrhage on survival

2008 ◽  
Vol 109 (Supplement) ◽  
pp. 99-105 ◽  
Author(s):  
Andy J. Redmond ◽  
Michael L. DiLuna ◽  
Ryan Hebert ◽  
Jennifer A. Moliterno ◽  
Rani Desai ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Gamma Knife ◽  
Survival Data ◽  
Tumor Burden ◽  
Gamma Knife Surgery ◽  
Survival Sex ◽  
Whole Brain Radiation ◽  
Melanoma Metastases ◽  
History Of ◽  
Independent Association ◽  
Intratumoral Bleeding

Object Gamma Knife surgery (GKS) improves overall survival in patients with malignant melanoma metastatic to the brain. In this study the authors investigated which patient- or treatment-specific factors influence survival of patients with melanoma brain metastases; they pay particular interest to pre- and post-GKS hemorrhage. Methods Demographic, treatment, and survival data on 59 patients with a total of 208 intracranial metastases who underwent GKS between 1998 and 2007 were abstracted from treatment records and from the Connecticut Tumor Registry. Multivariate analysis was used to identify factors that independently affected survival. Results Survival was significantly better in patients with solitary metastasis (p = 0.04), lesions without evidence of pre-GKS hemorrhage (p = 0.004), and in patients with total tumor volume treated < 4 cm3 (p = 0.02). Intratumoral bleeding occurred in 23.7% of patients pre-GKS. Intratumoral bleeding occurred at a mean of 1.8 months post-GKS at a rate of 15.2%. Unlike the marked effect of pretreatment bleeding, posttreatment bleeding did not independently affect survival. Sex, systemic control, race, metastases location, whole-brain radiation therapy, chemotherapy, history of antithrombotic medications, and cranial surgery had no independent association with survival. Conclusions These data corroborate previous findings that tumor burden (either as increased number or total volume of lesions) at the time of GKS is associated with diminished patient survival in those with intracerebral melanoma metastases. Patients who were noted to have hemorrhagic melanoma metastases prior to GKS appear to have a worse prognosis following GKS compared with patients with nonhemorrhagic metastases, despite similar rates of bleeding pre- and post-GKS treatment. Gamma Knife surgery itself does not appear to increase the rate of hemorrhage.

scholarly journals Polygenic risk score and risk of monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis in caucasians and risk of chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) in African Americans

Leukemia ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Geffen Kleinstern ◽  
J. Brice Weinberg ◽  
Sameer A. Parikh ◽  
Esteban Braggio ◽  
Sara J. Achenbach ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Environmental Factors ◽  
B Cell ◽  
Risk Score ◽  
Genetic Factors ◽  
Strong Predictor ◽  
Lymphocytic Leukemia ◽  
European Ancestry ◽  
Polygenic Risk Score ◽  
Polygenic Risk ◽  
C Statistic

AbstractMonoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL) is a precursor to CLL. Other than age, sex, and CLL family-history, little is known about factors associated with MBL risk. A polygenic-risk-score (PRS) of 41 CLL-susceptibility variants has been found to be associated with CLL risk among individuals of European-ancestry(EA). Here, we evaluate these variants, the PRS, and environmental factors for MBL risk. We also evaluate these variants and the CLL-PRS among African-American (AA) and EA-CLL cases and controls. Our study included 560 EA MBLs, 869 CLLs (696 EA/173 AA), and 2866 controls (2631 EA/235 AA). We used logistic regression, adjusting for age and sex, to estimate odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals within each race. We found significant associations with MBL risk among 21 of 41 variants and with the CLL-PRS (OR = 1.86, P = 1.9 × 10−29, c-statistic = 0.72). Little evidence of any association between MBL risk and environmental factors was observed. We observed significant associations of the CLL-PRS with EA-CLL risk (OR = 2.53, P = 4.0 × 10−63, c-statistic = 0.77) and AA-CLL risk (OR = 1.76, P = 5.1 × 10−5, c-statistic = 0.62). Inherited genetic factors and not environmental are associated with MBL risk. In particular, the CLL-PRS is a strong predictor for both risk of MBL and EA-CLL, but less so for AA-CLL supporting the need for further work in this population.

scholarly journals Prognostic value of NT-proBNP for myocardial recovery in peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM)

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Hoevelmann ◽  
E. Muller ◽  
F. Azibani ◽  
S. Kraus ◽  
J. Cirota ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Systolic Function ◽  
Point Of Care ◽  
Diagnostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Peripartum Cardiomyopathy ◽  
Lv Function ◽  
Myocardial Recovery ◽  
End Diastolic Volume

Abstract Introduction Peripartum cardiomyopathy (PPCM) is an important cause of pregnancy-associated heart failure worldwide. Although a significant number of women recover their left ventricular (LV) function within 12 months, some remain with persistently reduced systolic function. Methods Knowledge gaps exist on predictors of myocardial recovery in PPCM. N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) is the only clinically established biomarker with diagnostic value in PPCM. We aimed to establish whether NT-proBNP could serve as a predictor of LV recovery in PPCM, as measured by LV end-diastolic volume (LVEDD) and LV ejection fraction (LVEF). Results This study of 35 women with PPCM (mean age 30.0 ± 5.9 years) had a median NT-proBNP of 834.7 pg/ml (IQR 571.2–1840.5) at baseline. Within the first year of follow-up, 51.4% of the cohort recovered their LV dimensions (LVEDD < 55 mm) and systolic function (LVEF > 50%). Women without LV recovery presented with higher NT-proBNP at baseline. Multivariable regression analyses demonstrated that NT-proBNP of ≥ 900 pg/ml at the time of diagnosis was predictive of failure to recover LVEDD (OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.05–0.95, P = 0.043) or LVEF (OR 0.20 [95% CI 0.04–0.89], p = 0.035) at follow-up. Conclusions We have demonstrated that NT-proBNP has a prognostic value in predicting LV recovery of patients with PPCM. Patients with NT-proBNP of ≥ 900 pg/ml were less likely to show any improvement in LVEF or LVEDD. Our findings have implications for clinical practice as patients with higher NT-proBNP might require more aggressive therapy and more intensive follow-up. Point-of-care NT-proBNP for diagnosis and risk stratification warrants further investigation.

Les facteurs cliniques qui influencent le pronostic post-infarctus à un an

1993 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-79
Author(s):  
Sylvie Robichaud-Ekstrand
Keyword(s):  
Ventricular Arrhythmias ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Cardiac Events ◽  
Mortality And Morbidity ◽  
St Segment Elevation ◽  
St Segment ◽  
Prognostic Stratification ◽  
History Of ◽  
Exercise Induced

Many clinical factors influence the 1-year prognosis in myocardial infarction (MI) patients. The most important clinical determinants are the left ventricular dysfunction, myocardial ischemia, and complex ventricular arrhythmias. Some authors have found an independent prognostic value of complex ventricular arrhythmias, while others consider that ventricular arrhythmias predict future cardiac events only if associated with low ejection fractions. Other factors that have 1-year prognostic value are the following: a previous MI, a history of angina at least 3 months preceding the infarct, postmyocardial angina, and the criteria that indicate to the practitioner whether MI patients are medically ineligible for stress testing. There still remain controversies in regard to the predictive value of certain variables such as the site, type, and extension of the MI, the presence of complex ventricular arrhythmias, exercise-induced hypotension, ST segment elevation, and the electrical provocation of dangerous arrhythmias. Key words: cardiac rehabilitation, postinfarct mortality and morbidity, cardiac events predictors, postinfarct prognostic stratification

Abstract P104: Higher Leptin Levels Are Associated With Increased Odds Of Coronary Artery Calcium Progression: The Multi-ethnic Study Of Atherosclerosis

Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Bhavya Varma ◽  
Oluseye Ogunmoroti ◽  
Chiadi Ndumele ◽  
Di Zhao ◽  
Moyses Szklo ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Coronary Artery ◽  
Coronary Artery Calcium ◽  
Cardiac Ct ◽  
Subclinical Atherosclerosis ◽  
Community Dwelling ◽  
Ct Scans ◽  
Agatston Score ◽  
Cvd Risk ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
History Of

Background: Adipokines are secreted by adipose tissue, play a role in cardiometabolic pathways, and have differing associations with cardiovascular disease (CVD). Coronary artery calcium (CAC) and its progression indicate subclinical atherosclerosis and prognosticate CVD risk. However the association of adipokines with CAC progression is not well established. We examined the association of adipokines with the odds of a history of CAC progression in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). Methods: We performed an analysis of 1,904 community dwelling adults free of clinical CVD in MESA. Participants underwent measurement of serum adipokines [leptin, resistin and adiponectin] at visits 2 or 3 (randomly assigned) and a contemporaneous cardiac CT scan at same visit. Participants also had a prior cardiac CT at visit 1, at a median of 2.4 years earlier. On both CTs, CAC was quantified by Agatston score. We defined a history of CAC progression between the CT scans at visit 1 and at visit 2 or 3 as those with >0 Agatston units of change per year (and compared to those with ≤0 units of change per year). We used logistic regression to examine the odds of having a history of CAC progression by adipokine tertiles using progressively adjusted models. Results: The mean participant age was 65 (10) years; 50% were women, 40% White, 13% Chinese, 21% Black and 26% Hispanic. The prevalences of CAC at visits 1 and 2/3 were 49% and 58%, respectively. There were 1,001 (53%) who had CAC progression between the 2 CT scans. In demographic-adjusted models (model 1, Table), higher leptin and lower adiponectin were associated with increased odds of prior CAC progression. In models fully adjusted for BMI and other CVD risk factors (model 3), only the highest tertile of leptin remained associated with a greater odds of prior CAC progression [OR 1.55 (95% CI 1.04, 2.30)]. Conclusions: Higher leptin levels were independently associated with a history of CAC progression. Atherosclerosis progression may be one mechanism through which leptin confers increased CVD risk

scholarly journals Is there a link between glucose levels and heart failure? An update

2010 ◽  
Vol 54 (5) ◽  
pp. 488-497 ◽  
Author(s):  
Arnaldo Schainberg ◽  
Antônio Ribeiro-Oliveira Jr. ◽  
José Marcio Ribeiro
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Epidemiological Studies ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Glucose Levels ◽  
Factors Analysis ◽  
History Of ◽  
Cv Disease ◽  
The Relationship

It has been well documented that there is an increased prevalence of standard cardiovascular (CV) risk factors in association with diabetes and with diabetes-related abnormalities. Hyperglycemia, in particular, also plays an important role. Heart failure (HF) has become a frequent manifestation of cardiovascular disease (CVD) among individuals with diabetes mellitus. Epidemiological studies suggest that the effect of hyperglycemia on HF risk is independent of other known risk factors. Analysis of datasets from populations including individuals with dysglycemia suggests the pathogenic role of hyperglycemia on left ventricular function and on the natural history of HF. Despite substantial epidemiological evidence of the relationship between diabetes and HF, data from available interventional trials assessing the effect of a glucose-lowering strategy on CV outcomes are limited. To provide some insight into these issues, we describe in this review the recent important data to understand the natural course of CV disease in diabetic individuals and the role of hyperglycemia at different times in the progression of HF.

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