scholarly journals Left atrioventricular coupling index to predict incident heart failure: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA)

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Pezel ◽  
B Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
Y Kato ◽  
H De Vasconcellos ◽  
S Heckbert ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Model Discrimination ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
Funding Sources ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
Score Model

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. BACKGROUND Although left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) structural and functional parameters have independent prognostic value as predictors of HF, the close physiological relationship between LA and LV suggest that the assessment of LA/LV coupling could better reflect left atrioventricular dysfunction and be a better predictor of heart failure (HF). PURPOSE We investigated the prognostic value of a left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI), measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), as well as change in LACI to predict incident HF in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). METHODS In the MESA, 2,250 study participants, free of clinically recognized HF and cardiovascular disease at baseline, had LACI assessed by CMR imaging at baseline (Exam 1, 2000–2002), and ten years later (Exam 5, 2010–2012). LACI was defined as the ratio of LA to LV end-diastolic volumes. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of LACI and average annualized change in LACI (ΔLACI) with incident HF after adjustment on traditional HF risk factors. The incremental risk prediction was calculated using C-statistic, categorical net reclassification index (NRI) and integrative discrimination index (IDI). RESULTS Among the 2,250 participants (mean age 59.3 ± 9.3 years and 47.6% male participants), 50 incident HF events occurred over 6.8 ± 1.3 years after the second CMR exam. After adjustment, greater LACI and ΔLACI were independently associated with HF (adjusted HR 1.44, 95% CI [1.25-1.66] and adjusted HR 1.55, 95% CI [1.30-1.85], respectively; both p < 0.0001). Adjusted models for LACI showed significant improvement in model discrimination and reclassification compared to currently used HF risk score model for predicting HF incidence (C-statistic: 0.81 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.411; IDI = 0.043). After adjustment, ΔLACI showed also significant improvement in model discrimination compared to the multivariable model with traditional HF risk factors for predicting incident HF (C-statistic: 0.82 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.491; IDI = 0.058). CONCLUSIONS In a multi-ethnic population, atrioventricular coupling (LACI) and coupling change (ΔLACI) are independently associated with incident HF. Both have incremental prognostic value for predicting HF over traditional HF risk factors.

scholarly journals Left Atrioventricular Coupling Index to Predict Incident Heart Failure: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theo Pezel ◽  
Bharath Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
Yoko Kato ◽  
Henrique Doria De Vasconcellos ◽  
Susan R. Heckbert ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Model Discrimination ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
Score Model ◽  
Incremental Prognostic Value

Background: Although left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) structural and functional parameters have independent prognostic value as predictors of heart failure (HF), the close physiological relationship between the LA and LV suggest that the assessment of LA/LV coupling could better reflect left atrioventricular dysfunction and be a better predictor of HF.Aim: We investigated the prognostic value of a left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI), measured by cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR), as well as change in LACI to predict incident HF in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).Materials and Methods: In the MESA, 2,250 study participants, free of clinically recognized HF and cardiovascular disease (CVD) at baseline, had LACI assessed by CMR imaging at baseline (Exam 1, 2000–2002), and 10 years later (Exam 5, 2010–2012). Left atrioventricular coupling index was defined as the ratio of LA to LV end-diastolic volumes. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of LACI and average annualized change in LACI (ΔLACI) with incident HF after adjustment for traditional MESA-HF risk factors. The incremental risk prediction was calculated using C-statistic, categorical net reclassification index (NRI) and integrative discrimination index (IDI).Results: Among the 2,250 participants (mean age 59.3 ± 9.3 years and 47.6% male participants), 50 incident HF events occurred over 6.8 ± 1.3 years after the second CMR exam. After adjustment, greater LACI and ΔLACI were independently associated with HF (adjusted HR 1.44, 95% CI [1.25–1.66] and adjusted HR 1.55, 95% CI [1.30–1.85], respectively; both p < 0.0001). Adjusted models for LACI showed significant improvement in model discrimination and reclassification compared to currently used HF risk score model for predicting HF incidence (C-statistic: 0.81 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.411; IDI = 0.043). After adjustment, ΔLACI showed also significant improvement in model discrimination compared to the multivariable model with traditional MESA-HF risk factors for predicting incident HF (C-statistic: 0.82 vs. 0.77; NRI = 0.491; IDI = 0.058).Conclusions: In a multi-ethnic population, atrioventricular coupling (LACI), and coupling change (ΔLACI) are independently associated with incident HF. Both have incremental prognostic value for predicting HF events over traditional HF risk factors.

scholarly journals Change in left atrioventricular coupling index to predict incident atrial fibrillation: the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA)

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Pezel ◽  
B Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
T Quinaglia ◽  
S Heckbert ◽  
YOKO Kato ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Atrial Fibrillation ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Discrimination Performance ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Ethnic Population ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
Traditional Risk Factors

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. BACKGROUND Left atrial (LA) and left ventricular (LV) structural and functional parameters have independent prognostic values as predictors of atrial fibrillation (AF). PURPOSE Due to the intrinsic physiological relationship between LA and LV, we sought to investigate the prognostic value of a left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI) as well as change in LACI to predict incident AF in a multi-ethnic population. METHODS In the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA), 1,911 study participants, free of clinically recognized AF and cardiovascular disease at baseline, had LACI assessed with CMR imaging at baseline (Exam 1, 2000–2002), and ten years later (Exam 5, 2010–2012). LACI was defined as the ratio of LA to LV end-diastolic volumes. Univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the associations of LACI and average annualized change in LACI (ΔLACI) with incident AF. RESULTS Among the 1,911 participants (mean age 59 ± 9 years and 47.5% male participants), 87 incident AF events occurred over 3.9 ±0.9 years following the second imaging (Exam 5). After adjustment for traditional risk factors, greater LACI and ΔLACI were independently associated with AF (HR 1.69, 95% CI [1.46-1.96] and HR 1.71, 95% CI [1.50-1.94], respectively; both p < 0.0001). Adjusted models for LACI and ΔLACI showed significant improvement in model discrimination compared to currently used AF risk score model for predicting AF incidence (C-statistic: 0.78 vs. 0.74, and C-statistic: 0.80 vs. 0.74, respectively). The LACI and ΔLACI also showed superior discrimination performance for AF compared to the multivariable model including CHARGE-AF score, and individual LA or LV parameters. CONCLUSIONS Atrioventricular coupling (LACI) and coupling change (ΔLACI) are strong predictors for AF incidence in a multi-ethnic population. Both have incremental prognostic value for predicting AF over traditional risk factors, and superior discrimination power compared to the CHARGE-AF score and to individual LA or LV parameters.

Abstract 13463: Left Atrioventricular Coupling Index as a Prognostic Marker: The Multi-ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Theo Pezel ◽  
Bharath Ambale Venkatesh ◽  
Henrique D De Vasconcellos ◽  
Yoko Kato ◽  
Mahsima Shabani ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Strong Predictor ◽  
Ethnic Study ◽  
End Diastolic Volume ◽  
C Statistic ◽  
Coupling Index ◽  
History Of ◽  
Independent Association ◽  
Cv Disease ◽  
Mri Study

Introduction: The left atrium (LA) and left ventricle (LV) parameters have both prognostic value for cardiovascular (CV) events. We hypothesize the left atrioventricular coupling to be a strong predictor of CV events. Hypothesis: This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of a novel left atrioventricular coupling index (LACI) and to assess its predictive value for CV events in a population without a history of CV diseases at baseline. Methods: A total of 4,124 participants in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) underwent a cardiac MRI study. The LACI was defined by the ratio of the LA end-diastolic volume divided by the LV end-diastolic volume by MRI. Cox proportional hazard models were built to predict the endpoints of atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), CV death and hard CV disease (CVD) defined by myocardial infarction, resuscitated cardiac arrest, fatal and non-fatal stroke or CV death. In univariable and multivariable Cox analyses, the association between LACI and time-to-event was analysed, adjusting for 14 covariables including traditional CV risk factors and biomarkers. Results: A total of 1151 CV events were observed during a median (IQR) follow-up period of 15.9 (12.9-16.6) years. LACI was associated with AF (HR 2.14, 95%CI [1.97-2.32]), HF (HR 1.70, 95%CI [1.56-1.86]), hard CVD (HR 1.34, 95%CI [1.22-1.48]), and CV death (HR 1.53, 95%CI [1.38-1.70]; for all p<0.0001). In multivariate analysis, LACI had a significant independent association for AF (HR 1.86, 95%CI [1.69-2.04]), HF (HR 1.47, 95%CI [1.33-1.60]), hard CVD (HR 1.25, 95%CI [1.12-1.40]), and CV death (HR 1.29, 95%CI [1.15-1.50; for all p<0.001). LACI showed better discrimination than the multivariate model for AF (C-statistic: 0.84 vs 0.79), HF (0.82 vs 0.80), hard CVD (0.77 vs 0.76), and CV death (0.84 vs 0.83). Conclusions: The LACI is a predictor of incident HF, AF, hard CV disease, and CV death in MESA.

scholarly journals Ceruloplasmin, NT-proBNP, and Clinical Data as Risk Factors of Death or Heart Transplantation in a 1-Year Follow-Up of Heart Failure Patients

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 137
Author(s):  
Ewa Romuk ◽  
Wojciech Jacheć ◽  
Ewa Zbrojkiewicz ◽  
Alina Mroczek ◽  
Jacek Niedziela ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Heart Transplantation ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Cox Regression ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Left Ventricular Ejection ◽  
Ventricular Ejection Fraction ◽  
Cox Regression Analysis

We investigated whether the additional determination of ceruloplasmin (Cp) levels could improve the prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) in heart failure (HF) patients in a 1-year follow-up. Cp and NT-proBNP levels and clinical and laboratory parameters were assessed simultaneously at baseline in 741 HF patients considered as possible heart transplant recipients. The primary endpoint (EP) was a composite of all-cause death (non-transplant patients) or heart transplantation during one year of follow-up. Using a cut-off value of 35.9 mg/dL for Cp and 3155 pg/mL for NT-proBNP (top interquartile range), a univariate Cox regression analysis showed that Cp (hazard ratio (HR) = 2.086; 95% confidence interval (95% CI, 1.462–2.975)), NT-proBNP (HR = 3.221; 95% CI (2.277–4.556)), and the top quartile of both Cp and NT-proBNP (HR = 4.253; 95% CI (2.795–6.471)) were all risk factors of the primary EP. The prognostic value of these biomarkers was demonstrated in a multivariate Cox regression model using the top Cp and NT-proBNP concentration quartiles combined (HR = 2.120; 95% CI (1.233–3.646)). Lower left ventricular ejection fraction, VO2max, lack of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor or angiotensin receptor blocker therapy, and nonimplantation of an implantable cardioverter-defibrillator were also independent risk factors of a poor outcome. The combined evaluation of Cp and NT-proBNP had advantages over separate NT-proBNP and Cp assessment in selecting a group with a high 1-year risk. Thus multi-biomarker assessment can improve risk stratification in HF patients.

Prognostic value of global longitudinal layer specific strain for patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction

2020 ◽  
Vol 41 (Supplement_2) ◽  
Author(s):  
C Johnsen ◽  
M Sengeloev ◽  
P Joergensen ◽  
N Bruun ◽  
D Modin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Volume Index ◽  
Funding Source ◽  
Reduced Ejection Fraction ◽  
Patients With Heart Failure ◽  
All Cause Mortality ◽  
Echocardiographic Parameters

Abstract Background Novel echocardiographic software allows for layer-specific evaluation of myocardial deformation by 2-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography. Endocardial, epicardial- and whole wall global longitudinal strain (GLS) may be superior to conventional echocardiographic parameters in predicting all-cause mortality in patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF). Purpose The purpose of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of endocardial-, epicardial- and whole wall GLS in patients with HFrEF in relation to all-cause mortality. Methods We included and analyzed transthoracic echocardiographic examinations from 1,015 patients with HFrEF. The echocardiographic images were analyzed, and conventional and novel echocardiographic parameters were obtained. A p value in a 2-sided test &lt;0.05 was considered statistically significant. Cox proportional hazards regression models were constructed, and both univariable and multivariable hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated. Results During a median follow-up time of 40 months, 171 patients (16.8%) died. A lower endocardial (HR 1.17; 95% CI (1.11–1.23), per 1% decrease, p&lt;0.001), epicardial (HR 1.20; 95% CI (1.13–1.27), per 1% decrease, p&lt;0.001), and whole wall (HR 1.20; 95% CI (1.14–1.27), per 1% decrease, p&lt;0.001) GLS were all associated with higher risk of death (Figure 1). Both endocardial (HR 1.12; 95% CI (1.01–1.23), p=0.027), epicardial (HR 1.13; 95% CI (1.01–1.26), p=0.040) and whole wall (HR 1.13; 95% CI (1.01–1.27), p=0.030) GLS remained independent predictors of mortality in the multivariable models after adjusting for significant clinical parameters (age, sex, total cholesterol, mean arterial pressure, heart rate, ischemic cardiomyopathy, percutaneous transluminal coronary angioplasty and diabetes) and conventional echocardiographic parameters (left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction, LV mass index, left atrial volume index, deceleration time, E/e', E-velocity, E/A ratio and tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion). No other echocardiographic parameters remained an independent predictors after adjusting. Furthermore, endocardial, epicardial and whole wall GLS had the highest C-statistics of all the echocardiographic parameters. Conclusion Endocardial, epicardial and whole wall GLS are independent predictors of all-cause mortality in patients with HFrEF. Furthermore, endocardial, epicardial and whole wall GLS were superior prognosticators of all-cause mortality compared with all other echocardiographic parameters. Funding Acknowledgement Type of funding source: Public hospital(s). Main funding source(s): Herlev and Gentofte Hospital

Prognostic value of diastolic function assessment in patients undergoing cardiac resynchronization therapy

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
E Galli ◽  
OA Smiseth ◽  
JM Aalen ◽  
CK Larsen ◽  
E Sade ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Diastolic Function ◽  
Primary Endpoint ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Cardiac Resynchronization ◽  
Systolic Volume ◽  
Funding Sources ◽  
American Society ◽  
Sensitivity Specificity ◽  
Crt Response

Abstract Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Objective The best modality to assess diastolic function in CRT-candidates is an object of debate and the relationship between diastolic function, CRT-response and survival are not clearly understood. Purpose of the study: to assess diastolic patterns in patients undergoing CRT according to the 2016 recommendations of the American Society of Echocardiography/European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging and to evaluate the prognostic value of diastolic dysfunction (DD) in CRT candidates. Methods 193 patients (age: 67 ± 11 years, QRS width: 167 ± 21 ms) were included in this multicentre prospective study. Patients were stratified according to DD grades (grade I to III). CRT-response was defined as a reduction of left ventricular (LV) end-systolic volume &gt;15% at 6-month follow-up (FU). The primary endpoint was defined as a composite of heart transplantation, LV assisted device implantation or all-cause death during FU. Results During FU, 132 (68%) patients were CRT-responders. CRT delivery was associated with diastolic function degradation in non-responders. Grade I DD was able to predict CRT-response with a sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of 70%, 65%, and 63%, respectively. After a median period of 35 months, the primary endpoint occurred in 29 (15%) patients. Grade I DD was associated with a better outcome [HR 0.26 95% CI: (0.10-0.66)], independently from ischemic cardiomyopathy, LV dyssynchrony and CRT-response (Table 1). Non-responders with grade II or grade III DD had the worse prognosis (HR 4.36, 95%CI: 2.10-9.06) Figure 1. Conclusions Grade I DD is associated with LV remodelling after CRT and is an independent predictor of prognosis in CRT candidates. Abstract Figure.

scholarly journals Diastolic dysfunction in individuals with and without heart failure with preserved ejection fraction

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan-Per Wenzel ◽  
Ramona Bei der Kellen ◽  
Christina Magnussen ◽  
Stefan Blankenberg ◽  
Benedikt Schrage ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Risk Factors ◽  
Heart Failure ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk ◽  
General Population ◽  
Diastolic Dysfunction ◽  
Cardiovascular Risk Factors ◽  
Population Based ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Health Study ◽  
Common Finding

Abstract Aim Left ventricular diastolic dysfunction (DD), a common finding in the general population, is considered to be associated with heart failure with preserved ejection faction (HFpEF). Here we evaluate the prevalence and correlates of DD in subjects with and without HFpEF in a middle-aged sample of the general population. Methods and results From the first 10,000 participants of the population-based Hamburg City Health Study (HCHS), 5913 subjects (mean age 64.4 ± 8.3 years, 51.3% females), qualified for the current analysis. Diastolic dysfunction (DD) was identified in 753 (12.7%) participants. Of those, 11.2% showed DD without HFpEF (ALVDD) while 1.3% suffered from DD with HFpEF (DDwHFpEF). In multivariable regression analysis adjusted for major cardiovascular risk factors, ALVDD was associated with arterial hypertension (OR 2.0, p < 0.001) and HbA1c (OR 1.2, p = 0.007). Associations of both ALVDD and DDwHFpEF were: age (OR 1.7, p < 0.001; OR 2.7, p < 0.001), BMI (OR 1.2, p < 0.001; OR 1.6, p = 0.001), and left ventricular mass index (LVMI). In contrast, female sex (OR 2.5, p = 0.006), atrial fibrillation (OR 2.6, p = 0.024), CAD (OR 7.2, p < 0.001) COPD (OR 3.9, p < 0.001), and QRS duration (OR 1.4, p = 0.005) were strongly associated with DDwHFpEF but not with ALVDD. Conclusion The prevalence of DD in a sample from the first 10,000 participants of the population-based HCHS was 12.7% of whom 1.3% suffered from HFpEF. DD with and without HFpEF showed significant associations with different major cardiovascular risk factors and comorbidities warranting further research for their possible role in the formation of both ALVDD and DDwHFpEF.

Abstract 13497: Prognostic Value of the Combination of the Echocardiographic Derived Pulmonary Artery Wedge Pressure and Body Mass Index in Patients With Heart Failure With Preserved Ejection Fraction: Insights From PURSUIT-HFpEF Registry

Circulation ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (Suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumpei Ueda ◽  
Shungo Hikoso ◽  
Daisaku D Nakatani ◽  
Shunsuke Tamaki ◽  
Masamichi Yano ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heart Failure ◽  
Body Mass Index ◽  
Ejection Fraction ◽  
Prognostic Value ◽  
Left Ventricular ◽  
Preserved Ejection Fraction ◽  
Pulmonary Artery Wedge Pressure ◽  
Patients With Heart Failure ◽  
Wedge Pressure

Background: An elevated pulmonary artery wedge pressure (PAWP), a surrogate of left ventricular filling pressure, is associated with poor outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF). In addition, obesity paradox is well recognized in HF patients and body mass index (BMI) also provides a prognostic information. However, there is little information available on the prognostic value of the combination of the echocardiographic derived PAWP and BMI in patients with HF with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). Methods and Results: Patients data were extracted from The Prospective mUlticenteR obServational stUdy of patIenTs with Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction (PURSUIT HFpEF) study, which is a prospective multicenter observational registry for acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) patients with HFpEF. We analyzed 548 patients after exclusion of patients undergoing hemodialysis, patients with in-hospital death, missing follow-up data, or missing data to calculate PAWP or BMI. Body weight measurement and echocardiography were performed just before discharge. PAWP was calculated using the Nagueh formula [PAWP = 1.24* (E/e’) + 1.9] with e’ = [(e’ septal + e’ lateral ) /2]. During a mean follow up period of 1.5±0.8 years, 86 patients had all-cause death (ACD). Multivariate Cox analysis showed that both PAWP (p=0.020) and BMI (p=0.0001) were significantly associated with ACD, independently of age and previous history of HF hospitalization, after the adjustment with gender, left ventricular ejection fraction, NT-proBNP and estimated glomerular filtration rate. Kaplan-Meier curve analysis revealed that there was a significant difference in the risk of ACD when patients were stratified into 3 groups based on the median values of PAWP (17.3) and BMI (21.4). Conclusions: The combination of the echocardiographic derived PAWP and BMI might be useful for stratifying ADHF patients with HFpEF at risk for the total mortality.

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