scholarly journals Validation of the Essen Stroke Risk Score and the Stroke Prognosis Instrument II in Chinese Patients

Stroke ◽  
2011 ◽  
Vol 42 (12) ◽  
pp. 3619-3620 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xia Meng ◽  
Yilong Wang ◽  
Xingquan Zhao ◽  
Chunxue Wang ◽  
Hao Li ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose— Little was known about the predictive accuracy of the Essen Stroke Risk Score and the Stroke Prognostic Instrument II in Chinese patients with stroke. Methods— We evaluated the predictive accuracy of both Essen Stroke Risk Score and Stroke Prognostic Instrument II scores for both recurrent stroke and combined vascular events using data from a prospective cohort of 11 384 patients with acute ischemic stroke and transient ischemic attack admitted to 132 urban hospitals throughout China. Results— The cumulative 1-year event rates were 16% (95% CI, 15%–16%) for recurrent stroke and 18% (95% CI, 18%–19%) for combined vascular events. Both event rates were significantly higher in patients with transient ischemic attack and increased significantly from lower to higher Essen Stroke Risk Score and Stroke Prognostic Instrument II categories. Essen Stroke Risk Score and Stroke Prognostic Instrument II had similar predictive accuracies for each study outcome. Conclusions— In Chinese patients with ischemic stroke or transient ischemic attack, both Essen Stroke Risk Score and Stroke Prognostic Instrument II scores are equally able to stratify the risk of recurrent stroke and combined vascular events.

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Joon-Tae Kim ◽  
Beom Joon Kim ◽  
Jong-Moo Park ◽  
Soo Joo Lee ◽  
Jae-Kwan Cha ◽  
...  

Abstract Uncertainty regarding an optimal antiplatelet regimen still exists in patients with breakthrough acute ischemic stroke (AIS) while on aspirin. This study provides an analysis of a prospective multicenter registry between April 2008 and April 2014. Eligible patients were on aspirin at the time of AIS and treated with antiplatelet regimens (aspirin, clopidogrel, or clopidogrel-aspirin). Potential factors associated with the choice of each antiplatelet regimen were explored and included a predictive risk score for future vascular events, the Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS). A total of 2348 patients (age, 69 ± 11 years; male, 57.7%) were analyzed, and 55.3%, 25.3% and 19.4% were treated with clopidogrel-aspirin, aspirin and clopidogrel, respectively. While the likelihood of choosing clopidogrel-aspirin increased as the ESRS increased, the likelihood of choosing aspirin decreased as the ESRS increased (Ptrend < 0.001). The ESRS category (0–1/2–3/ ≥ 4) modified the effect of antiplatelet regimens for 1-year vascular events (Pinteraction < 0.01). Among patients with ESRS ≥ 4, clopidogrel-aspirin (HR 0.47 [0.30–0.74]) and clopidogrel (HR 0.30 [0.15–0.60]) significantly reduced the risk of outcome events. Our study showed that more than half of the patients with aspirin failure were treated with clopidogrel-aspirin. In particular, a higher ESRS, which indicates an increased risk of recurrent stroke, was associated with the choice of clopidogrel-aspirin rather than aspirin.


2011 ◽  
Vol 37 (2) ◽  
pp. 83-87 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernadette Boden-Albala ◽  
Heather Carman ◽  
Megan Moran ◽  
Margaret Doyle ◽  
Myunghee C. Paik

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanting Ping Ping ◽  
Qianqian Yang Yang ◽  
Yuwen Huang Huang ◽  
Huimin Xu Xu ◽  
Haibin Dai

Abstract Background: Identifying risk factors of cardiovascular events is crucial for stroke prevention and they can be used as predictive factors of stroke outcomes.In this study, it is to evaluate the risk factors that predict outcomes of acute non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke in patients stratified by Essen Stroke Risk Score (ESRS). Methods: A retrospective study was carried out in acute non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke patients in a Chinese tertiary-care teaching hospital. ESRS stratification and factors that might influence the outcomes of stroke, as indicated by fatal or non-fatal combined vascular events of recurrent stroke, myocardial infarction, or primary intracranial hemorrhage, were documented. Univariate analysis and multivariable regression analysis was used to identify independent predictors of stroke outcomes. Results: A total of 878 patients with acute non-cardioembolic ischemic stroke who completed a mean follow-up of 5.2 years were enrolled, and 163 patients experienced at least one component of the combined vascular event. In patients with an ESRS ≤ 3, age ≥ 65 years (OR , 2.935; 95% CI 1.625-5.301, P < 0.001) and clopidogrel treatment (OR , 1.685 ; 95% CI , 1.026-2.768; P = 0.041) were significantly associated with stroke outcomes. In patients with an ESRS > 3, age ≥ 65 years (OR , 2.107, 95% CI , 1.208-3.673 ; P = 0.008) and history of diabetes (OR , 1.465 ; 95% CI , 1.041–2.062 ; P = 0.027) were risk factors for stroke outcomes , whereas clopidogrel treatment (OR , 0.542; 95% CI , 0.356–0.824; P = 0.003) was a protective factor for stroke outcomes. Conclusions: According to this study, clopidogrel treatment, blood pressure control, and glycemic control are protective factors for stroke outcomes in high-risk patients (ESRS>3).


2019 ◽  
Vol 14 (9) ◽  
pp. 871-877 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tomoyuki Ohara ◽  
Toshiyuki Uehara ◽  
Shoichiro Sato ◽  
Mikito Hayakawa ◽  
Kazumi Kimura ◽  
...  

Background Recent prospective registration studies of transient ischemic attack in Western countries demonstrated that large artery atherosclerosis is the highest risk etiology for early stroke recurrence under urgent evaluation and treatment. On the other hand, some limited transient ischemic attack studies from East Asian countries showed transient ischemic attack patients due to small vessel occlusion were at a higher early stroke risk. Aims We aimed to assess the risk for early stroke in small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack patients in a Japanese large transient ischemic attack registry. Methods We analyzed the data of a prospective Japanese transient ischemic attack registry including 1320 transient ischemic attack patients within seven days after onset. Small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack was defined as the presence of lacunar transient ischemic attack syndrome, without other etiologies. The outcome measure was recurrent stroke within 30 days after transient ischemic attack. The predictors of 30-day recurrent stroke were estimated using the Cox proportional hazards model. Results The study population had a mean age of 69 ± 12 years and 470 were women. Recurrent stroke was observed in 61 patients (4.6%), and the highest rate was observed with small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack (7.8%), followed by large artery atherosclerosis (5.4%). In multivariate analysis, recurrent stroke was independently associated with small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack (hazard ratio (HR): 2.01, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19–3.35), higher systolic blood pressure (HR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.08–1.28), and presentation within 3 h after onset (HR: 2.21, 95% CI: 1.27–4.04). Furthermore, small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack with acute small deep infarct on diffusion-weighted imaging was a stronger predictor of recurrent stroke (HR: 4.87, 95% CI: 2.09–10.0). Conclusion Small vessel occlusion-transient ischemic attack, especially with acute small deep infarct, had a higher early stroke risk compared with other etiologies in Japanese transient ischemic attack patients who received early management.


Stroke ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramon Luengo-Fernandez ◽  
Linxin Li ◽  
Louise Silver ◽  
Sergei Gutnikov ◽  
Nicola C. Beddows ◽  
...  

Background and Purpose: Urgent assessment aimed at reducing stroke risk after transient ischemic attack or minor stroke is cost-effective over the short-term. However, it is unclear if the short-term impact is lost on long-term follow-up, with recurrent events being delayed rather than prevented. By 10-year follow-up of the EXPRESS study (Early Use of Existing Preventive Strategies for Stroke), previously showing urgent assessment reduced 90-day stroke risk by 80%, we determined whether that early benefit was still evident long-term for stroke risk, disability, and costs. Methods: EXPRESS was a prospective population-based before (phase 1: April 2002–September 2004; n=310) versus after (phase 2: October 2004–March 2007; n=281) study of the effect of early assessment and treatment of transient ischemic attack/minor stroke on early recurrent stroke risk, with an external control. This report assesses the effect on 10-year recurrent stroke risk, functional outcomes, quality-of-life, and costs. Results: A reduction in stroke risk in phase 2 was still evident at 10 years (55/23.3% versus 82/31.6%; hazard ratio=0.68 [95% CI, 0.48–0.95]; P =0.024), as was the impact on risk of disabling or fatal stroke (17/7.7% versus 32/13.1%; hazard ratio=0.54 [0.30–0.97]; P =0.036). These effects were due to maintenance of the early reduction in stroke risk, with neither additional benefit nor rebound catch-up after 90 days (post-90 days hazard ratio=0.88 [0.65–1.44], P =0.88; and hazard ratio=0.83 [0.42–1.65], P =0.59, respectively). Disability-free life expectancy was 0.59 (0.03–1.15; P =0.043) years higher in patients in phase 2, as was quality-adjusted life expectancy (0.49 [0.03–0.95]; P =0.036). Overall, 10-year costs were nonsignificantly higher in patients attending the phase 2 clinic ($1022 [-3865–5907]; P =0.66). The additional cost per quality-adjusted life year gained in phase 2 versus phase 1 was $2103, well below current cost-effectiveness thresholds. Conclusions: Urgent assessment and treatment of patients with transient ischemic attack or minor stroke resulted in a long-term reduction in recurrent strokes and improved outcomes, with little atrophy of the early benefit over time, representing good value for money even with a 10-year time horizon. Our results suggest that other effective acute treatments in transient ischemic attack/minor stroke in the short-term will also have the potential to have long-term benefit.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-9
Author(s):  
Anxin Wang ◽  
Shuang Cao ◽  
Xue Tian ◽  
Yingting Zuo ◽  
Xia Meng ◽  
...  

<b><i>Introduction:</i></b> Serum potassium abnormality is a risk factor of incident stroke, but whether it is associated with recurrent stroke in patients with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the association of serum potassium with the risk of recurrent stroke in patients with AIS or TIA. <b><i>Methods:</i></b> We included 12,425 patients from the China National Stroke Registry III. Patients were classified into 3 groups according to tertiles of potassium. The outcomes were recurrence of stroke and combined vascular events at 1 year. Cox proportional hazards regression was adopted to explore the associations by calculating hazard ratios (HRs) and their 95% confidence intervals (CIs). <b><i>Results:</i></b> Among 12,425 enrolled patients, the median (interquartile range) of potassium was 3.92 (3.68–4.19) mmol/L. Compared with the highest tertile, after adjusted for confounding factors, the lowest tertile potassium was associated with increased risk of recurrent stroke at 1 year. The adjusted HR with 95% CI was 1.21 (1.04–1.41). There was an independent, linear association between serum potassium and stroke recurrence. Per 1 mmol/L decrease of potassium was associated with 19% higher risk of recurrent stroke (HR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.04–1.37). Similar trends were found in ischemic stroke and combined vascular events. <b><i>Conclusions:</i></b> Lower serum potassium level was independently associated with elevated risk of recurrent stroke in patients with AIS or TIA. The finding suggested that monitoring serum potassium may help physicians to identify patients at high risk of recurrent stroke and to stratify risk for optimal management.


Stroke ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 36 (6) ◽  
pp. 1285-1287 ◽  
Author(s):  
Devin L. Brown ◽  
Lynda D. Lisabeth ◽  
Canopy Roychoudhury ◽  
Yining Ye ◽  
Lewis B. Morgenstern

2022 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lu Zhao ◽  
Shuang Cao ◽  
Lulu Pei ◽  
Hui Fang ◽  
Hao Liu ◽  
...  

AbstractIt is essential to identify high risk transient ischemic attack (TIA) patients. The previous study reported that the CSR (comprehensive stroke recurrence) model, a neuroimaging model, had a high predictive ability of recurrent stroke. The aims of this study were to validate the predictive value of CSR model in TIA patients and compare the predictive ability with ABCD3-I score. Data were analyzed from the prospective hospital-based database of patients with TIA which defined by the World Health Organization time-based criteria. The predictive outcome was stroke occurrence at 90 days. The receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves were plotted and the C statistics were calculated as a measure of predictive ability. Among 1186 eligible patients, the mean age was 57.28 ± 12.17 years, and 474 (40.0%) patients had positive diffusion-weighted imaging (DWI). There were 118 (9.9%) patients who had stroke within 90 days. In 1186 TIA patients, The C statistic of CSR model (0.754; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.729–0.778) was similar with that of ABCD3-I score (0.717; 95% CI 0.691–0.743; Z = 1.400; P = 0.1616). In 474 TIA patients with positive DWI, C statistic of CSR model (0.725; 95% CI 0.683–0.765) was statistically higher than that of ABCD3-I score (0.626; 95% CI 0.581–0.670; Z = 2.294; P = 0.0245). The CSR model had good predictive value for assessing stroke risk after TIA, and it had a higher predictive value than ABCD3-I score for assessing stroke risk for TIA patients with positive DWI.


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiao-Guang Zhang ◽  
Jing-Yu Gu ◽  
Qiang-Qiang Fu ◽  
Shi-Wu Chen ◽  
Jie Xue ◽  
...  

Background: Platelet endothelial aggregation receptor-1 (PEAR1) rs12041331 has been reported to affect agonist-stimulated platelet aggregation, but it remains unclear whether this variant plays a role in recurrent stroke. Here we assess the clinical relevance of PEAR1 rs12041331 in acute minor ischemic stroke (AMIS) and transient ischemic attack (TIA) Chinese patients treated with dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT).Methods: We recruited 273 consecutive minor stroke and TIA patients, and Cox proportional hazard regression was used to model the relationship between PEAR1 rs12041331 and thrombotic and bleeding events.Results: Genotyping for PEAR1 rs12041331 showed 49 (18.0%) AA homozygotes, 129 (47.3%) GA heterozygotes, and 95 (34.7%) GG homozygotes. No association was observed between PEAR1 rs12041331 genotype and stroke or composite clinical vascular event rates (ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, TIA, myocardial infarction, or vascular death) or bleeding events regardless if individuals carried one or two copies of the A allele. Our results suggested that rs12041331 genetic polymorphism was not an important contributor to clinical events in AMIS and TIA patients in the setting of secondary prevention.Conclusions: Our data do provide robust evidence that genetic variation in PEAR1 rs12041331 do not contribute to atherothrombotic or bleeding risk in minor stroke and TIA patients treated with DAPT.


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