scholarly journals Mesoscale Modeling of the Atmosphere over Antarctic Sea Ice: A Late-Autumn Case Study

2008 ◽  
Vol 136 (4) ◽  
pp. 1457-1474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Teresa Valkonen ◽  
Timo Vihma ◽  
Martin Doble

Abstract Atmospheric flow over Antarctic sea ice was simulated applying a polar version of the fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University–National Center for Atmospheric Research Mesoscale Model (Polar MM5). The simulation period in late autumn lasted for 48 h, starting as northerly warm airflow over the Weddell Sea ice cover and turning to a southwesterly cold-air outbreak. The model results were validated against atmospheric pressure and wind and air temperature observations made by five buoys drifting with the sea ice. Four different satellite-derived sea ice concentration datasets were applied to provide lower boundary conditions for Polar MM5. During the period of the cold-air outbreak, the modeled air temperatures were highly sensitive to the sea ice concentration: the largest differences in the modeled 2-m air temperature reached 13°C. The experiments applying sea ice concentration data based on the bootstrap and Arctic Radiation and Turbulence Interaction Study (ARTIST) algorithms yielded the best agreement with observations. The cumulative fetch over open water correlated with the bias of the modeled air temperature. The sea ice concentration data affected the simulated air temperature in the lower atmospheric boundary layer, but above it the temperature and wind fields were more strongly controlled by the boundary layer scheme applied in Polar MM5. Analysis nudging applying four-dimensional data assimilation had a positive effect on the pressure and wind fields but negative or no effect on the air temperature fields. The results suggest that applying a sea ice model to update sea ice fields frequently throughout atmospheric model simulations will likely lead to important improvements in forecasts.

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhankai Wu ◽  
Xingdong Wang

This study was based on the daily sea ice concentration data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, USA) from 1998 to 2017. The Antarctic sea ice was analysed from the total sea ice area (SIA), first year ice area, first year ice melt duration, and multiyear ice area. On a temporal scale, the changes in sea ice parameters were studied over the whole 20 years and for two 10-year periods. The results showed that the total SIA increased by 0.0083×106 km2 yr-1 (+2.07% dec-1) between 1998 and 2017. However, the total SIA in the two 10-year periods showed opposite trends, in which the total SIA increased by 0.026×106 km2 yr-1 between 1998 and 2007 and decreased by 0.0707×106 km2 yr-1 from 2008 to 2017. The first year ice area increased by 0.0059×106 km2 yr-1 and the melt duration decreased by 0.0908 days yr-1 between 1998 and 2017. The multiyear ice area increased by 0.0154×106 km2 yr-1 from 1998 to 2017, and the increase in the last 10 years was about 12.1% more than that in the first 10 years. On a spatial scale, the Entire Antarctica was divided into two areas, namely West Antarctica (WA) and East Antarctica (EA), according to the spatial change rate of sea ice concentration. The results showed that WA had clear warming in recent years; the total sea ice and multiyear ice areas showed a decreasing trend; multiyear ice area sharply decreased and reached the lowest value in 2017, and accounted for only about 10.1% of the 20-year average. However, the total SIA and multiyear ice area all showed an increased trend in EA, in which the multiyear ice area increased by 0.0478×106 km2 yr-1. Therefore, Antarctic sea ice presented an increasing trend, but there were different trends in WA and EA. Different sea ice parameters in WA and EA showed an opposite trend from 1998 to 2007. However, the total SIA, first year ice area, and multiyear ice area all showed a decreasing trend from 2008-2017, especially the total sea ice and first year ice, which changed almost the same in 2014-2017. In summary, although the Antarctic sea ice has increased slightly over time, it has shown a decreasing trend in recent years.


2021 ◽  
pp. 002029402110130
Author(s):  
Yun Zhang ◽  
Dehao Ma ◽  
Wanting Meng ◽  
Xiangfang Xie ◽  
Shuhu Yang ◽  
...  

The feasibility of Antarctic sea ice detection based on shipborne global positioning system reflectometry (GPS-R) technology is shown in this paper. Because the permittivity of sea water is much higher than that of sea ice, the reflected left-handed circular polarized (LHCP) GPS signal (RL) reflection coefficient of sea water is markedly higher than that of sea ice. The polarization ratio of RL to the direct right-handed circular polarized (RHCP) GPS signal (DR) is used to distinguish between sea water and sea ice in this paper. The experiment was performed on the ship “XueLong” for approximately 9 days from December 2014 to January 2015 during the 31st Chinese National Antarctic Research Expedition (CHINARE 31). The sea ice concentration data with a 25 km × 25 km spatial resolution derived from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC) are used for validation and some pictures of sea ice taken from “XueLong” are shown for comparison. The polarization ratios (RL/DR) are calculated, and the correlation coefficient between the polarization ratios (RL/DR) and the sea ice concentrations is −0.66.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhankai Wu ◽  
Xingdong Wang

This study was based on the daily sea ice concentration data from the National Snow and Ice Data Center (Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, USA) from 1998 to 2017. The Antarctic sea ice was analysed from the total sea ice area (SIA), first year ice area, first year ice melt duration, and multiyear ice area. On a temporal scale, the changes in sea ice parameters were studied over the whole 20 years and for two 10-year periods. The results showed that the total SIA increased by 0.0083×106 km2 yr-1 (+2.07% dec-1) between 1998 and 2017. However, the total SIA in the two 10-year periods showed opposite trends, in which the total SIA increased by 0.026×106 km2 yr-1 between 1998 and 2007 and decreased by 0.0707×106 km2 yr-1 from 2008 to 2017. The first year ice area increased by 0.0059×106 km2 yr-1 and the melt duration decreased by 0.0908 days yr-1 between 1998 and 2017. The multiyear ice area increased by 0.0154×106 km2 yr-1 from 1998 to 2017, and the increase in the last 10 years was about 12.1% more than that in the first 10 years. On a spatial scale, the Entire Antarctica was divided into two areas, namely West Antarctica (WA) and East Antarctica (EA), according to the spatial change rate of sea ice concentration. The results showed that WA had clear warming in recent years; the total sea ice and multiyear ice areas showed a decreasing trend; multiyear ice area sharply decreased and reached the lowest value in 2017, and accounted for only about 10.1% of the 20-year average. However, the total SIA and multiyear ice area all showed an increased trend in EA, in which the multiyear ice area increased by 0.0478×106 km2 yr-1. Therefore, Antarctic sea ice presented an increasing trend, but there were different trends in WA and EA. Different sea ice parameters in WA and EA showed an opposite trend from 1998 to 2007. However, the total SIA, first year ice area, and multiyear ice area all showed a decreasing trend from 2008-2017, especially the total sea ice and first year ice, which changed almost the same in 2014-2017. In summary, although the Antarctic sea ice has increased slightly over time, it has shown a decreasing trend in recent years.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-6
Author(s):  
Hao Luo ◽  
Qinghua Yang ◽  
Longjiang Mu ◽  
Xiangshan Tian-Kunze ◽  
Lars Nerger ◽  
...  

Abstract To improve Antarctic sea-ice simulations and estimations, an ensemble-based Data Assimilation System for the Southern Ocean (DASSO) was developed based on a regional sea ice–ocean coupled model, which assimilates sea-ice thickness (SIT) together with sea-ice concentration (SIC) derived from satellites. To validate the performance of DASSO, experiments were conducted from 15 April to 14 October 2016. Generally, assimilating SIC and SIT can suppress the overestimation of sea ice in the model-free run. Besides considering uncertainties in the operational atmospheric forcing data, a covariance inflation procedure in data assimilation further improves the simulation of Antarctic sea ice, especially SIT. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of assimilating sea-ice observations in reconstructing the state of Antarctic sea ice, but also highlight the necessity of more reasonable error estimation for the background as well as the observation.


2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 761-774 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qinghua Yang ◽  
Martin Losch ◽  
Svetlana N. Losa ◽  
Thomas Jung ◽  
Lars Nerger ◽  
...  

Abstract. Data assimilation experiments that aim at improving summer ice concentration and thickness forecasts in the Arctic are carried out. The data assimilation system used is based on the MIT general circulation model (MITgcm) and a local singular evolutive interpolated Kalman (LSEIK) filter. The effect of using sea ice concentration satellite data products with appropriate uncertainty estimates is assessed by three different experiments using sea ice concentration data of the European Space Agency Sea Ice Climate Change Initiative (ESA SICCI) which are provided with a per-grid-cell physically based sea ice concentration uncertainty estimate. The first experiment uses the constant uncertainty, the second one imposes the provided SICCI uncertainty estimate, while the third experiment employs an elevated minimum uncertainty to account for a representation error. Using the observation uncertainties that are provided with the data improves the ensemble mean forecast of ice concentration compared to using constant data errors, but the thickness forecast, based on the sparsely available data, appears to be degraded. Further investigating this lack of positive impact on the sea ice thicknesses leads us to a fundamental mismatch between the satellite-based radiometric concentration and the modeled physical ice concentration in summer: the passive microwave sensors used for deriving the vast majority of the sea ice concentration satellite-based observations cannot distinguish ocean water (in leads) from melt water (in ponds). New data assimilation methodologies that fully account or mitigate this mismatch must be designed for successful assimilation of sea ice concentration satellite data in summer melt conditions. In our study, thickness forecasts can be slightly improved by adopting the pragmatic solution of raising the minimum observation uncertainty to inflate the data error and ensemble spread.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 317 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoping Pang ◽  
Jian Pu ◽  
Xi Zhao ◽  
Qing Ji ◽  
Meng Qu ◽  
...  

Atmosphere ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 654
Author(s):  
Marta Wenta ◽  
Agnieszka Herman

Sea ice fragmentation results in the transformation of the surface from relatively homogeneous to highly heterogeneous. Atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) rapidly responds to those changes through a range of processes which are poorly understood and not parametrized in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models. The aim of this work is to increase our understanding and develop parametrization of the ABL response to different floe size distributions (FSD). The analysis is based on the results of simulations with the Weather Research and Forecasting model. Results show that FSD determines the distribution and intensity of convection within the ABL through its influence on the atmospheric circulation. Substantial differences between various FSDs are found in the analysis of spatial arrangement and strength of ABL convection. To incorporate those sub-grid effects in the NWP models, a correction factor for the calculation of surface moisture heat flux is developed. It is expressed as a function of floe size, sea ice concentration and wind speed, and enables a correction of the flux computed from area-averaged quantities, as is typically done in NWP models. In general, the presented study sheds some more light on the sea ice–atmosphere interactions and provides the first attempt to parametrize the influence of FSD on the ABL.


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