scholarly journals Multidecadal Evaluation of WRF Downscaling Capabilities over Western Australia in Simulating Rainfall and Temperature Extremes

2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (2) ◽  
pp. 370-394 ◽  
Author(s):  
Julia Andrys ◽  
Thomas J. Lyons ◽  
Jatin Kala
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Western Australia ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Climate Extremes ◽  
Convective Precipitation ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Climate Simulations

AbstractThe authors evaluate a 30-yr (1981–2010) Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) Model regional climate simulation over the southwest of Western Australia (SWWA), a region with a Mediterranean climate, using ERA-Interim boundary conditions. The analysis assesses the spatial and temporal characteristics of climate extremes, using a selection of climate indices, with an emphasis on metrics that are relevant for forestry and agricultural applications. Two nested domains at 10- and 5-km resolution are examined, with the higher-resolution simulation resolving convection explicitly. Simulation results are compared with a high-resolution, gridded observational dataset that provides daily rainfall, minimum temperatures, and maximum temperatures. Results show that, at both resolutions, the model is able to simulate the daily, seasonal, and annual variation of temperature and precipitation well, including extreme events. The higher-resolution domain displayed significant performance gains in simulating dry-season convective precipitation, rainfall around complex terrain, and the spatial distribution of frost conditions. The high-resolution domain was, however, influenced by grid-edge effects in the southwestern margin, which reduced the ability of the domain to represent frontal rainfall along the coastal region. On the basis of these results, the authors feel confident in using the WRF Model for regional climate simulations for the SWWA, including studies that focus on the spatial and temporal representation of climate extremes. This study provides a baseline climatological description at a high resolution that can be used for impact studies and will also provide a benchmark for climate simulations driven by general circulation models.

Modeling of Regional Climate over the Tibetan Plateau

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yanhong Gao ◽  
Deliang Chen
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Arid Regions ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Regional Climate Models ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Global Average

The modeling of climate over the Tibetan Plateau (TP) started with the introduction of Global Climate Models (GCMs) in the 1950s. Since then, GCMs have been developed to simulate atmospheric dynamics and eventually the climate system. As the highest and widest international plateau, the strong orographic forcing caused by the TP and its impact on general circulation rather than regional climate was initially the focus. Later, with growing awareness of the incapability of GCMs to depict regional or local-scale atmospheric processes over the heterogeneous ground, coupled with the importance of this information for local decision-making, regional climate models (RCMs) were established in the 1970s. Dynamic and thermodynamic influences of the TP on the East and South Asia summer monsoon have since been widely investigated by model. Besides the heterogeneity in topography, impacts of land cover heterogeneity and change on regional climate were widely modeled through sensitivity experiments.In recent decades, the TP has experienced a greater warming than the global average and those for similar latitudes. GCMs project a global pattern where the wet gets wetter and the dry gets drier. The climate regime over the TP covers the extreme arid regions from the northwest to the semi-humid region in the southeast. The increased warming over the TP compared to the global average raises a number of questions. What are the regional dryness/wetness changes over the TP? What is the mechanism of the responses of regional changes to global warming? To answer these questions, several dynamical downscaling models (DDMs) using RCMs focusing on the TP have recently been conducted and high-resolution data sets generated. All DDM studies demonstrated that this process-based approach, despite its limitations, can improve understandings of the processes that lead to precipitation on the TP. Observation and global land data assimilation systems both present more wetting in the northwestern arid/semi-arid regions than the southeastern humid/semi-humid regions. The DDM was found to better capture the observed elevation dependent warming over the TP. In addition, the long-term high-resolution climate simulation was found to better capture the spatial pattern of precipitation and P-E (precipitation minus evapotranspiration) changes than the best available global reanalysis. This facilitates new and substantial findings regarding the role of dynamical, thermodynamics, and transient eddies in P-E changes reflected in observed changes in major river basins fed by runoff from the TP. The DDM was found to add value regarding snowfall retrieval, precipitation frequency, and orographic precipitation.Although these advantages in the DDM over the TP are evidenced, there are unavoidable facts to be aware of. Firstly, there are still many discrepancies that exist in the up-to-date models. Any uncertainty in the model’s physics or in the land information from remote sensing and the forcing could result in uncertainties in simulation results. Secondly, the question remains of what is the appropriate resolution for resolving the TP’s heterogeneity. Thirdly, it is a challenge to include human activities in the climate models, although this is deemed necessary for future earth science. All-embracing further efforts are expected to improve regional climate models over the TP.

Transient high-resolution regional climate simulation for Greece over the period 1960-2100: evaluation and future projections

2015 ◽  
Vol 64 (2) ◽  
pp. 123-140 ◽  
Author(s):  
P Zanis ◽  
E Katragkou ◽  
C Ntogras ◽  
G Marougianni ◽  
A Tsikerdekis ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
Regional Climate Simulation ◽  
Future Projections

Selection and downscaling of general circulation model datasets and extreme climate indices analysis - Manual

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Saurav Pradhananga ◽  
Arthur Lutz ◽  
Archana Shrestha ◽  
Indira Kadel ◽  
Bikash Nepal ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
River Basin ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Climate Extremes ◽  
Climate Indices ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Sacred Landscape ◽  
Kailash Sacred Landscape ◽  
Selection Of

A supplement to the Climate Change Scenarios for Nepal report published by the Ministry of Forests and Environment for the National Adaptation Plan (NAP) Process, this manual provides detailed information about the processes through which the assessment highlighted in the report can be carried out. They include – selection of the general circulation/climate models (GCMs), downscaling of the GCM dataset, assessment of changes in precipitation and temperature, and assessment of change in climate extremes. The manual downscales climate datasets for the Koshi River basin, the Kabul River basin, and the Kailash Sacred Landscape to analyse future scenarios in these basins and the landscape.

scholarly journals Model evaluation of high-resolution urban climate simulations: using the WRF/Noah LSM/SLUCM model (Version 3.7.1) as a case study

2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (11) ◽  
pp. 4571-4584 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiqiang Li ◽  
Yulun Zhou ◽  
Bingcheng Wan ◽  
Hopun Chung ◽  
Bo Huang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Model Evaluation ◽  
Urban Climate ◽  
Simulation Models ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
Model Uncertainties ◽  
Temporal Dimension ◽  
Climate Simulations ◽  
Hong Kong Sar

Abstract. The veracity of urban climate simulation models should be systematically evaluated to demonstrate the trustworthiness of these models against possible model uncertainties. However, existing studies paid insufficient attention to model evaluation; most studies only provided some simple comparison lines between modelled variables and their corresponding observed ones on the temporal dimension. Challenges remain since such simple comparisons cannot concretely prove that the simulation of urban climate behaviours is reliable. Studies without systematic model evaluations, being ambiguous or arbitrary to some extent, may lead to some seemingly new but scientifically misleading findings. To tackle these challenges, this article proposes a methodological framework for the model evaluation of high-resolution urban climate simulations and demonstrates its effectiveness with a case study in the area of Shenzhen and Hong Kong SAR, China. It is intended to (again) remind urban climate modellers of the necessity of conducting systematic model evaluations with urban-scale climatology modelling and reduce these ambiguous or arbitrary modelling practices.

scholarly journals High-Resolution Solar Climate Atlas for Greece under Climate Change Using the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Theodoros Katopodis ◽  
Iason Markantonis ◽  
Nadia Politi ◽  
Diamando Vlachogiannis ◽  
Athanasios Sfetsos
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
High Resolution ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
General Circulation Models ◽  
Weather Research And Forecasting ◽  
Clear Sky ◽  
The Future ◽  
Weather Research

In the context of climate change and growing energy demand, solar technologies are considered promising solutions to mitigate Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions and support sustainable adaptation. In Greece, solar power is the second major renewable energy, constituting an increasingly important component of the future low-carbon energy portfolio. In this work, we propose the use of a high-resolution regional climate model (Weather Research and Forecasting model, WRF) to generate a solar climate atlas for the near-term climatological future under the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCPs) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. The model is set up with a 5 × 5 km2 spatial resolution, forced by the ERA-INTERIM for the historic (1980–2004) period and by the EC-EARTH General Circulation Models (GCM) for the future (2020–2044). Results reaffirm the high quality of solar energy potential in Greece and highlight the ability of the WRF model to produce a highly reliable future climate solar atlas. Projected changes between the annual historic and future RCPs scenarios indicate changes of the annual Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) in the range of ±5.0%. Seasonal analysis of the GHI values indicates percentage changes in the range of ±12% for both scenarios, with winter exhibiting the highest seasonal increases in the order of 10%, and autumn the largest decreases. Clear-sky fraction fclear projects increases in the range of ±4.0% in eastern and north continental Greece in the future, while most of the Greek marine areas might expect above 220 clear-sky days per year.

scholarly journals Evaluation of a high-resolution regional climate simulation over Greenland

2005 ◽  
Vol 25 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-116 ◽  
Author(s):  
Filip Lefebre ◽  
Xavier Fettweis ◽  
Hubert Gallée ◽  
Jean-Pascal Van Ypersele ◽  
Philippe Marbaix ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
High Resolution ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
Regional Climate Simulation

scholarly journals A Regional Climate Simulation Study Using WRF-ARW Model over Europe and Evaluation for Extreme Temperature Weather Events

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-22 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hari Prasad Dasari ◽  
Rui Salgado ◽  
Joao Perdigao ◽  
Venkata Srinivas Challa
Keyword(s):  
Land Surface ◽  
Heat Waves ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Extreme Temperature ◽  
Wrf Model ◽  
Initial Boundary ◽  
Analysis Data ◽  
Climate Simulation ◽  
Cold Wave ◽  
Local Climate

In this study regional climate simulations of Europe over the 60-year period (1950–2010) made using a 25 km resolution WRF model with NCEP 2.5 degree analysis for initial/boundary conditions are presented for air temperature and extreme events of heat and cold waves. The E-OBS 25 km analysis data sets are used for model validation. Results suggest that WRF could simulate the temperature trends (mean, maximum, minimum, seasonal maximum, and minimum) over most parts of Europe except over Iberian Peninsula, Mediterranean, and coastal regions. Model could simulate the slight fall of temperatures from 1950 to 1970 as well as steady rise in temperatures from 1970 to 2010 over Europe. Simulations show occurrence of about 80% of the total heat waves in the period 1970–2010 with maximum number of heat/cold wave episodes over Eastern and Central Europe in good agreement with observations. Relatively poor correlations and high bias are found for heat/cold wave episodes over the complex topographic areas of Iberia and Mediterranean regions where land surface processes play important role in local climate. The poor simulation of temperatures over the above regions could be due to deficiencies in representation of topography and surface physics which need further sensitivity studies.

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