scholarly journals Three MCS Cases Occurring in Different Synoptic Environments in the Sub-Sahelian Wet Zone during the 2002 West African Monsoon

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (9) ◽  
pp. 2369-2382 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jon M. Schrage ◽  
Andreas H. Fink ◽  
Volker Ermert ◽  
Epiphane D. Ahlonsou
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Integrated Approach ◽  
West African ◽  
Easterly Waves ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Efficient Management ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Wet Zone

Abstract Three mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) occurring in the sub-Sahelian wet zone of West Africa are examined using observations from the 2002 Integrated Approach to the Efficient Management of Scarce Water Resources in West Africa (IMPETUS) field campaign, the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational analyses, and Meteosat infrared imagery. These datasets enable the analysis of the synoptic-scale environment in which the MCSs were embedded, along with a high-resolution monitoring of surface parameters during the systems’ passages. The available data imply that cases I and II were of a squall-type nature. Case I propagated into a moderately sheared and rather moist lower and middle troposphere over the Upper Ouémé Valley (UOV). In contrast, case II was associated with a well-sheared and dry lower troposphere and a large, moist instability. In either case, behind the convective cluster a westward-propagating cyclonic vorticity maximum that was likely captured by the ECMWF analysis as a result of the special upper-air station at Parakou (Benin). In case I, the fast-moving vorticity signal slowed down over the Guinean Highlands where convection dissipated. Farther downstream, it might have played a role in the consolidation of an African easterly waves (AEW) trough over the West African coast and the eastern Atlantic. Case III proved to be a more stationary pattern of convection associated with a vortex in the monsoon flow. It also exhibited a moist and low shear environment.

scholarly journals Tropical Atlantic Hurricanes, Easterly Waves, and West African Mesoscale Convective Systems

2010 ◽  
Vol 2010 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yves K. Kouadio ◽  
Luiz A. T. Machado ◽  
Jacques Servain
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
West African ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Tropical Atlantic ◽  
Atmospheric Conditions ◽  
Easterly Waves ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Sst Anomaly ◽  
Atlantic Hurricanes

The relationship between tropical Atlantic hurricanes (Hs), atmospheric easterly waves (AEWs), and West African mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) is investigated. It points out atmospheric conditions over West Africa before hurricane formation. The analysis was performed for two periods, June–November in 2004 and 2005, during which 12 hurricanes (seven in 2004, five in 2005) were selected. Using the AEW signature in the 700 hPa vorticity, a backward trajectory was performed to the African coast, starting from the date and position of each hurricane, when and where it was catalogued as a tropical depression. At this step, using the Meteosat-7 satellite dataset, we selected all the MCSs around this time and region, and tracked them from their initiation until their dissipation. This procedure allowed us to relate each of the selected Hs with AEWs and a succession of MCSs that occurred a few times over West Africa before initiation of the hurricane. Finally, a dipole in sea surface temperature (SST) was observed with a positive SST anomaly within the region of H generation and a negative SST anomaly within the Gulf of Guinea. This SST anomaly dipole could contribute to enhance the continental convergence associated with the monsoon that impacts on the West African MCSs formation.

scholarly journals Seasonality and Trends of Drivers of Mesoscale Convective Systems in Southern West Africa

2021 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 71-87
Author(s):  
Cornelia Klein ◽  
Francis Nkrumah ◽  
Christopher M. Taylor ◽  
Elijah A. Adefisan
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
Wind Shear ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
Extreme Rainfall ◽  
Temperature Gradients ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

AbstractMesoscale convective systems (MCSs) are the major source of extreme rainfall over land in the tropics and are expected to intensify with global warming. In the Sahel, changes in surface temperature gradients and associated changes in wind shear have been found to be important for MCS intensification in recent decades. Here we extend that analysis to southern West Africa (SWA) by combining 34 years of cloud-top temperatures with rainfall and reanalysis data. We identify clear trends in intense MCSs since 1983 and their associated atmospheric drivers. We also find a marked annual cycle in the drivers, linked to changes in the convective regime during the progression of the West African monsoon. Before the peak of the first rainy season, we identify a shear regime where increased temperature gradients play a crucial role for MCS intensity trends. From June onward, SWA moves into a less unstable, moist regime during which MCS trends are mainly linked to frequency increase and may be more influenced by total column water vapor. However, during both seasons we find that MCSs with the most intense convection occur in an environment with stronger wind shear, increased low-level humidity, and drier midlevels. Comparing the sensitivity of MCS intensity and peak rainfall to low-level moisture and wind shear conditions preceding events, we find a dominant role for wind shear. We conclude that MCS trends are directly linked to a strengthening of two distinct convective regimes that cause the seasonal change of SWA MCS characteristics. However, the convective environment that ultimately produces the most intense MCSs remains the same.

scholarly journals Observations of Coastally Transitioning West African Mesoscale Convective Systems during NAMMA

2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-25
Author(s):  
Bradley W. Klotz ◽  
Paul Kucera
Keyword(s):  
West African ◽  
Radar Reflectivity ◽  
Mesoscale Convective Systems ◽  
Environmental Stability ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Easterly Waves ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Maximum Reflectivity ◽  
Multidisciplinary Analysis ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

Observations from the NASA 10 cm polarimetric Doppler weather radar (NPOL) were used to examine structure, development, and oceanic transition of West African Mesoscale Convective Systems (MCSs) during the NASA African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (NAMMA) to determine possible indicators leading to downstream tropical cyclogenesis. Characteristics examined from the NPOL data include echo-top heights, maximum radar reflectivity, height of maximum radar reflectivity, and convective and stratiform coverage areas. Atmospheric radiosondes launched during NAMMA were used to investigate environmental stability characteristics that the MCSs encountered while over land and ocean, respectively. Strengths of African Easterly Waves (AEWs) were examined along with the MCSs in order to improve the analysis of MCS characteristics. Mean structural and environmental characteristics were calculated for systems that produced TCs and for those that did not in order to determine differences between the two types. Echo-top heights were similar between the two types, but maximum reflectivity and height and coverage of intense convection (>50 dBZ) are all larger than for the TC producing cases. Striking differences in environmental conditions related to future TC formation include stronger African Easterly Jet, increased moisture especially at middle and upper levels, and increased stability as the MCSs coastally transition.

Favorable monsoon environment over eastern Africa for subsequent tropical cyclogenesis of African easterly waves

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kelly M. Núñez Ocasio ◽  
Alan Brammer ◽  
Jenni L. Evans ◽  
George S. Young ◽  
Zachary L. Moon
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
Eastern Africa ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
African Easterly Waves ◽  
Easterly Waves ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Vertically Aligned ◽  
Somali Jet

AbstractEastern Africa is a common region of African easterly wave (AEW) onset and AEW early-life. How the large-scale environment over east Africa relates to the likelihood of an AEW subsequently undergoing tropical cyclogenesis in a climatology has not been documented. This study addresses the following hypothesis: AEWs that undergo tropical cyclogenesis (i.e., developing AEWs) initiate and propagate under a more favorable monsoon large-scale environment over eastern Africa when compared to non-developing AEWs. Using a 21-year August-to-September (1990-2010) climatology of AEWs, differences in the large-scale environment between developers and non-developers are identified and are propose to be used as key predictors of subsequent tropical cyclone formation and could informtropical cyclogenesis prediction. TC precursors when compared to non-developing AEWs experience: an anomalously active West African Monsoon, stronger northerly flow, more intense zonal Somali jet, anomalous convergence over the Marrah Mountains (region of AEW forcing), and a more intense and elongated African easterly jet (AEJ). These large-scale conditions are linked to near-trough attributes of developing AEWs which favor more moisture ingestion, vertically aligned circulation, a stronger initial 850-hPa vortex, deeper wave pouch, and arguably more AEW and Mesoscale convective systems interactions. AEWs that initiate over eastern Africa and cross the west coast of Africa are more likely to undergo tropical cyclogenesis than those initiating over central or west Africa. Developing AEWs are more likely to be southern-track AEWs than non-developing AEWs.

scholarly journals Failed Cyclogenetic Evolution of a West African Monsoon Perturbation Observed during AMMA SOP-3

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (6) ◽  
pp. 1863-1883 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joël Arnault ◽  
Frank Roux
Keyword(s):  
West African Monsoon ◽  
West African ◽  
African Monsoon ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Multidisciplinary Analysis ◽  
Synoptic Conditions ◽  
Mesoscale Convective ◽  
Monsoon Flow ◽  
Upper Level ◽  
High Pressure Zone

Abstract The so-called “perturbation D” was a nondeveloping West African disturbance observed near Dakar (Senegal) during special observing period (SOP) 3 of the African Monsoon Multidisciplinary Analysis (AMMA) in September 2006. Its mesoscale environment is described with the dropsonde data obtained during flights on three successive days with the Service des Avions Français Instrumentés pour la Recherche en Environnement Falcon-20 aircraft. Processes involved in this evolution are studied qualitatively with ECMWF reanalyses and Meteosat-9 images. The evolution of perturbation D was the result of an interaction between processes at different scales such as the African easterly jet (AEJ), a midtropospheric African easterly wave (AEW), a series of mesoscale convective systems, the monsoon flow, dry low- to midlevel anticyclonic Saharan air, and a midlatitude upper-level trough. The interaction between these processes is further investigated through a numerical simulation conducted with the French nonhydrostatic Méso-NH model with parameterized convection. The growth of the simulated disturbance is quantified with an energy budget including barotropic and baroclinic conversions of eddy kinetic energy, proposed previously by the authors for a limited domain. The development of the simulated system is found to result from barotropic–baroclinic growth over West Africa and baroclinic growth over the tropical eastern Atlantic. It is suggested that these energy conversions were the result of an adjustment of the wind in response to the pressure decrease, presumably caused by convective activity, and other synoptic processes. A comparison with the developing case of Helene (2006) reveals that both perturbations had similar evolutions over the continent but were associated with different synoptic conditions over the ocean. For perturbation D, the anticyclonic curvature of the AEJ, caused by the intensification of the eastern ridge by a strong flow of dry Saharan air, prohibited the formation of a closed and convergent circulation. Moreover, a midlatitude upper-level trough approaching from the northwest contributed to increase the northward stretching and then weakened the perturbation. It is therefore suggested that at least as important as the intensity of the AEW trough and associated convection leaving the West African continent are synoptic conditions associated with the Saharan heat low, the subtropical high pressure zone, and even the midlatitude circulation, all of which are instrumental in the (non)cyclogenetic evolution of AEWs in the Cape Verde Islands region.

scholarly journals Hybrid insolation forcing of Pliocene monsoon dynamics in West Africa

2018 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
pp. 73-84 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rony R. Kuechler ◽  
Lydie M. Dupont ◽  
Enno Schefuß
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
West African ◽  
Latitudinal Gradients ◽  
Glacial Cycle ◽  
Time Intervals ◽  
Continental Hydrology ◽  
Insolation Forcing ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. The Pliocene is regarded as a potential analogue for future climate with conditions generally warmer-than-today and higher-than-preindustrial atmospheric CO2 levels. Here we present the first orbitally resolved records of continental hydrology and vegetation changes from West Africa for two Pliocene time intervals (5.0–4.6 Ma, 3.6–3.0 Ma), which we compare with records from the last glacial cycle (Kuechler et al., 2013). Our results indicate that changes in local insolation alone are insufficient to explain the full degree of hydrologic variations. Generally two modes of interacting insolation forcings are observed: during eccentricity maxima, when precession was strong, the West African monsoon was driven by summer insolation; during eccentricity minima, when precession-driven variations in local insolation were minimal, obliquity-driven changes in the summer latitudinal insolation gradient became dominant. This hybrid monsoonal forcing concept explains orbitally controlled tropical climate changes, incorporating the forcing mechanism of latitudinal gradients for the Pliocene, which probably increased in importance during subsequent Northern Hemisphere glaciations.

scholarly journals On What Scale Can We Predict the Agronomic Onset of the West African Monsoon?

2016 ◽  
Vol 144 (4) ◽  
pp. 1571-1589 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rory G. J. Fitzpatrick ◽  
Caroline L. Bain ◽  
Peter Knippertz ◽  
John H. Marsham ◽  
Douglas J. Parker
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
Noise Analysis ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
West African ◽  
New Method ◽  
The West ◽  
African Monsoon ◽  
Spatial Consistency ◽  
Local Stakeholders ◽  
Local Rainfall

Abstract Accurate prediction of the commencement of local rainfall over West Africa can provide vital information for local stakeholders and regional planners. However, in comparison with analysis of the regional onset of the West African monsoon, the spatial variability of the local monsoon onset has not been extensively explored. One of the main reasons behind the lack of local onset forecast analysis is the spatial noisiness of local rainfall. A new method that evaluates the spatial scale at which local onsets are coherent across West Africa is presented. This new method can be thought of as analogous to a regional signal against local noise analysis of onset. This method highlights regions where local onsets exhibit a quantifiable degree of spatial consistency (denoted local onset regions or LORs). It is found that local onsets exhibit a useful amount of spatial agreement, with LORs apparent across the entire studied domain; this is in contrast to previously found results. Identifying local onset regions and understanding their variability can provide important insight into the spatial limit of monsoon predictability. While local onset regions can be found over West Africa, their size is much smaller than the scale found for seasonal rainfall homogeneity. A potential use of local onset regions is presented that shows the link between the annual intertropical front progression and local agronomic onset.

scholarly journals Dynamics of the West African Monsoon Jump

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (21) ◽  
pp. 5264-5284 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samson M. Hagos ◽  
Kerry H. Cook
Keyword(s):  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
West African Monsoon ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
West African ◽  
Moisture Convergence ◽  
The West ◽  
African Monsoon ◽  
Sahel Region ◽  
Continental Interior

Abstract The observed abrupt latitudinal shift of maximum precipitation from the Guinean coast into the Sahel region in June, known as the West African monsoon jump, is studied using a regional climate model. Moisture, momentum, and energy budget analyses are used to better understand the physical processes that lead to the jump. Because of the distribution of albedo and surface moisture, a sensible heating maximum is in place over the Sahel region throughout the spring. In early May, this sensible heating drives a shallow meridional circulation and moisture convergence at the latitude of the sensible heating maximum, and this moisture is transported upward into the lower free troposphere where it diverges. During the second half of May, the supply of moisture from the boundary layer exceeds the divergence, resulting in a net supply of moisture and condensational heating into the lower troposphere. The resulting pressure gradient introduces an inertial instability, which abruptly shifts the midtropospheric meridional wind convergence maximum from the coast into the continental interior at the end of May. This in turn introduces a net total moisture convergence, net upward moisture flux and condensation in the upper troposphere, and an enhancement of precipitation in the continental interior through June. Because of the shift of the meridional convergence into the continent, condensation and precipitation along the coast gradually decline. The West African monsoon jump is an example of multiscale interaction in the climate system, in which an intraseasonal-scale event is triggered by the smooth seasonal evolution of SSTs and the solar forcing in the presence of land–sea contrast.

A Wave-Relative Framework Analysis of AEW–MCS Interactions Leading to Tropical Cyclogenesis

2020 ◽  
Vol 148 (11) ◽  
pp. 4657-4671
Author(s):  
Kelly M. Núñez Ocasio ◽  
Jenni L. Evans ◽  
George S. Young
Keyword(s):  
West Africa ◽  
Thermodynamic Characteristics ◽  
Convective Cloud ◽  
Type Systems ◽  
Squall Line ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Framework Analysis ◽  
Convective Systems ◽  
Cloud Clusters ◽  
Mesoscale Convective

AbstractAn African easterly wave (AEW) and associated mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) dataset has been created and used to evaluate the propagation of MCSs, AEWs, and, especially, the propagation of MCSs relative to the AEW with which they are associated (i.e., wave-relative framework). The thermodynamic characteristics of AEW–MCS systems are also analyzed. The analysis is done for both AEW–MCS systems that develop into tropical cyclones and those that do not to quantify significant differences. It is shown that developing AEWs over West Africa are associated with a larger number of convective cloud clusters (CCCs; squall-line-type systems) than nondeveloping AEWs. The MCSs of developing AEWs propagate at the same speed of the AEW trough in addition to being in phase with the trough, whereas convection associated with nondeveloping AEWs over West Africa moves faster than the trough and is positioned south of it. These differences become important for the intensification of the AEW vortex as this slower-moving convection (i.e., moving at the same speed of the AEW trough) spends more time supplying moisture and latent heat to the AEW vortex, supporting its further intensification. An analysis of the rainfall rate (MCS intensity), MCS area, and latent heating rate contribution reveals that there are statistically significant differences between developing AEWs and nondeveloping AEWs, especially over West Africa where the fraction of extremely large MCS areas associated with developing AEWs is larger than for nondeveloping AEWs.

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