scholarly journals Landfalling Tropical Cyclones along the Eastern Pacific Coast between the Sixteenth and Twentieth Centuries

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (12) ◽  
pp. 4219-4230 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marni Pazos ◽  
Blanca Mendoza

Abstract Numerous studies have been conducted to document long-term trends in tropical cyclone (TC) activity. However, the eastern Pacific has not received as much attention as other basins. Here the authors attempt the identification of TC formation in the Mexican eastern Pacific Ocean before 1950. Using bibliographical and historical file consultation, they constructed a catalog of events related to intense storms and possible TCs that made landfall on the Mexican Pacific coasts. Between 1536 and 1948 they found a total of 119 events related to TCs. Then, using the Saffir–Simpson scale and the climatology of the region as the criteria to evaluate each event, they found 85 TCs. Furthermore, they constructed a historical time series of TCs between 1701 and 2010. The spectral analysis showed periodicities of ~2.6, 4, 5, 12, 16, 39, and 105 years that coincide with some large-scale climatic phenomena and also with solar activity. In particular, the ~12-yr cycle is the most persistent periodicity in this study.

2021 ◽  
Vol 38 (10) ◽  
pp. 1791-1802
Author(s):  
Peiyan Chen ◽  
Hui Yu ◽  
Kevin K. W. Cheung ◽  
Jiajie Xin ◽  
Yi Lu

AbstractA dataset entitled “A potential risk index dataset for landfalling tropical cyclones over the Chinese mainland” (PRITC dataset V1.0) is described in this paper, as are some basic statistical analyses. Estimating the severity of the impacts of tropical cyclones (TCs) that make landfall on the Chinese mainland based on observations from 1401 meteorological stations was proposed in a previous study, including an index combining TC-induced precipitation and wind (IPWT) and further information, such as the corresponding category level (CAT_IPWT), an index of TC-induced wind (IWT), and an index of TC-induced precipitation (IPT). The current version of the dataset includes TCs that made landfall from 1949–2018; the dataset will be extended each year. Long-term trend analyses demonstrate that the severity of the TC impacts on the Chinese mainland have increased, as embodied by the annual mean IPWT values, and increases in TCinduced precipitation are the main contributor to this increase. TC Winnie (1997) and TC Bilis (2006) were the two TCs with the highest IPWT and IPT values, respectively. The PRITC V1.0 dataset was developed based on the China Meteorological Administration’s tropical cyclone database and can serve as a bridge between TC hazards and their social and economic impacts.


Atmósfera ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 209-220 ◽  
Author(s):  
G.B. Raga ◽  
B. Bracamontes-Ceballos ◽  
L.M. Farfán ◽  
R. Romero-Centeno

2012 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 2184-2194 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ian P. Vaughan ◽  
Steve J. Ormerod
Keyword(s):  

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (4) ◽  
pp. 1821-1825 ◽  
Author(s):  
Douglas Maraun

Abstract In his comment, G. Bürger criticizes the conclusion that inflation of trends by quantile mapping is an adverse effect. He assumes that the argument would be “based on the belief that long-term trends and along with them future climate signals are to be large scale.” His line of argument reverts to the so-called inflated regression. Here it is shown, by referring to previous critiques of inflation and standard literature in statistical modeling as well as weather forecasting, that inflation is built upon a wrong understanding of explained versus unexplained variability and prediction versus simulation. It is argued that a sound regression-based downscaling can in principle introduce systematic local variability in long-term trends, but inflation systematically deteriorates the representation of trends. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that inflation by construction deteriorates weather forecasts and is not able to correctly simulate small-scale spatiotemporal structure.


2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olaf Duteil ◽  
Andreas Oschlies ◽  
Claus W. Böning

Abstract. The impact of the positive and negative phases of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) on the extension of the poorly oxygenated regions of the eastern Pacific ocean has been assessed using a coupled ocean circulation-biogeochemical model. We show that during a typical PDO positive phase the volume of the suboxic regions expands by 7 % in 50 years due to a slow-down of the large scale circulation related with the decrease of the intensity of the trade winds. The oxygen levels are mostly constrained by advective processes between 10° N and 10° S while the diffusive processes are dominant poleward of 10°: in a typical PDO positive phase the sluggish equatorial current system provides less oxygen into the eastern equatorial part of the basin while the oxygen transport by diffusive processes significantly decreases south of 10° S. The region located north of 10° N displays less sensitivity to the phase of the PDO as the local upwelling-related processes play a dominant role compared to the large scale circulation in setting the oxygen concentration. Our study suggests that the prevailing PDO positive conditions since 1975 may explain a significant part of the current deoxygenation occurring in the eastern Pacific Ocean.


Zootaxa ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 4890 (2) ◽  
pp. 266-274
Author(s):  
ARTURO ANGULO ◽  
JOSÉ LUIS MOLINA ◽  
FEDERICO HAMPL ◽  
SEBASTIÁN HERNÁNDEZ

During a recreational fishing trip on May 2017 to Isla Montuosa, Pacific coast of Panama (7.467472, -82.266556; 30 m depth), a specimen belonging to the genus Caranx was captured. The specimen showed an unusual combination of external characters, intermediate among the species known to occur in the Tropical Eastern Pacific (TEP), which caught the attention of the fishermen. A detailed analysis involving traditional morphology and molecular techniques revealed that the specimen corresponds to a hybrid of the species C. melampygus and C. sexfasciatus. This represents, to the best of our knowledge, the first confirmed record of hybridization within the genus and family in the TEP and the second record for the entire Pacific Ocean. 


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