An IMM-based POMDP decision algorithm using collision-risk function in mandatory lane change

Author(s):  
Yunfeng Huang ◽  
Wanzhong Zhao ◽  
Can Xu ◽  
Songchun Zou ◽  
Han Zhang

In order to make safe and reasonable decisions in some high-risk environments such as the mandatory lane change, we propose an IMM-based partially observable Markov decision process (POMDP) decision algorithm using the collision-risk function which combines the time-to-collision (TTC), the intervehicular time (IT), and the collision function for mandatory lane change. The newly proposed collision-risk function contains two parts: the vehicle impact factor and the collision function, which is used to assess the risk and determines whether the autonomous vehicle collides with surrounding vehicles. The IMM-base POMDP is used for decision-making and we apply the Monte Carlo Tree Search (MCTS) to solve the problem. In the decision-making process, the belief state is obtained by the Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) algorithm. With the collision-risk function and the probability distribution of the states of surrounding vehicles in the future, the proposed POMDP decision algorithm can determine whether the autonomous vehicle accelerates lane changing or decelerates lane changing, and obtain the acceleration corresponding to each path point. Finally, in order to verify the effectiveness of the algorithm, we perform a driver-in-the-loop simulation through Prescan. We use aggressive driver and conservative driver to control the rear vehicle of the target lane, respectively. Simulation results show that the proposed algorithm can accurately predict the accelerations of surrounding vehicles and make safe and reasonable decisions under two scenarios, which is superior to the general POMDP.

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 1523
Author(s):  
Nikita Smirnov ◽  
Yuzhou Liu ◽  
Aso Validi ◽  
Walter Morales-Alvarez ◽  
Cristina Olaverri-Monreal

Autonomous vehicles are expected to display human-like behavior, at least to the extent that their decisions can be intuitively understood by other road users. If this is not the case, the coexistence of manual and autonomous vehicles in a mixed environment might affect road user interactions negatively and might jeopardize road safety. To this end, it is highly important to design algorithms that are capable of analyzing human decision-making processes and of reproducing them. In this context, lane-change maneuvers have been studied extensively. However, not all potential scenarios have been considered, since most works have focused on highway rather than urban scenarios. We contribute to the field of research by investigating a particular urban traffic scenario in which an autonomous vehicle needs to determine the level of cooperation of the vehicles in the adjacent lane in order to proceed with a lane change. To this end, we present a game theory-based decision-making model for lane changing in congested urban intersections. The model takes as input driving-related parameters related to vehicles in the intersection before they come to a complete stop. We validated the model by relying on the Co-AutoSim simulator. We compared the prediction model outcomes with actual participant decisions, i.e., whether they allowed the autonomous vehicle to drive in front of them. The results are promising, with the prediction accuracy being 100% in all of the cases in which the participants allowed the lane change and 83.3% in the other cases. The false predictions were due to delays in resuming driving after the traffic light turned green.


Author(s):  
Qing Tang ◽  
Xianbiao Hu ◽  
Ruwen Qin

The rapid advancement of connected and autonomous vehicle (CAV) technologies, although possibly years away from wide application to the general public travel, are receiving attention from many state Departments of Transportation (DOT) in the niche area of using autonomous maintenance technology (AMT) to reduce fatalities of DOT workers in work zone locations. Although promising results are shown in testing and deployments in several states, current autonomous truck mounted attenuator (ATMA) system operators are not provided with much practical driving guidance on how to drive these new vehicle systems in a way that is safe to both the public and themselves. To this end, this manuscript aims to model and develop a set of rules and instructions for ATMA system operators, particularly when it comes to critical locations where essential decision making is needed. Specifically, three technical requirements are investigated: car-following distance, critical lane-changing gap distance, and intersection clearance time. Newell’s simplified car-following model, and the classic lane-changing behavior model are modified, with roll-ahead distance taken into account, to model the driving behaviors of the ATMA vehicles at those critical decision-making locations. Data are collected from real-world field testing to calibrate and validate the developed models. The modeling outputs suggest important thresholds for ATMA system operators to follow. For example, on a freeway with a speed limit of 70 mph and ATMA operating speed of 10 mph, car-following distance should be no less than 75 ft for the lead truck and 100 ft for the follower truck, the critical lane-changing gap distance is 912 ft, and a minimum intersection clearance is 15 s, which are all much higher than the requirements for a general vehicle.


Author(s):  
Can Xu ◽  
Wanzhong Zhao ◽  
Jingqiang Liu ◽  
Feng Chen

To improve the agility and efficiency of the highway decision-making system and overcome the local optimal dilemma of the existing safety field, this paper builds an improved safety field to reflect the advantage of the reachable states and the learning process is further employed to make the decision long-term optimal. Firstly, the improved safety field is prepared by the kinematic model-based prediction of surrounding vehicles and the boundary is determined elaborately to ensure real-time performance. Then, the field is constructed by three individual fields. One is the kinematic field, which is built based the safe-distance model to measure the colliding risk of both moving or no-moving objects accurately. Another is the road field that reflects the lane-marker constraint. The last is the efficiency field, which is introduced creatively to improve efficiency. Furthermore, the learning algorithm is adopted to learn the long-term optimal state-action sequence in the safety field. Finally, the simulations are conducted in Prescan platform to validate the feasibility of the improved safety field in complex scenarios. The results show that the proposed decision algorithm can always drive autonomous vehicle to the state with a long-term optimal payoff and can improve the overall performance compared to the existing pure safety field and the interaction-aware method.


Author(s):  
Armin Norouzi ◽  
Milad Masoumi ◽  
Ali Barari ◽  
Saina Farrokhpour Sani

In this paper, a novel Lyapunov-based robust controller by using meta-heuristic optimization algorithm has been proposed for lateral control of an autonomous vehicle. In the first step, double lane change path has been designed using a fifth-degree polynomial (quantic) function and dynamic constraints. A lane changing path planning method has been used to design the double lane change manoeuvre. In the next step, position and orientation errors have been extracted based on the two-degree-of-freedom vehicle bicycle model. A combination of sliding mode and backstepping controllers has been used to control the steering in this paper. Overall stability of the combined controller has been analytically proved by defining a Lyapunov function and based on Lyapunov stability theorem. The proposed controller includes some constant parameters which have effects on controller performance; therefore, particle swarm optimization algorithm has been used for finding optimum values of these parameters. The comparing result of the proposed controller with backstepping controller illustrated the better performance of the proposed controller, especially in the low road frictions. Simulation of designed controllers has been conducted by linking CarSim software with Matlab/Simulink which provides a nonlinear full vehicle model. The simulation was performed for manoeuvres with different durations and road frictions. The proposed controller has outperformed the backstepping controller, especially in low frictions.


Sensors ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 2332 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vincent Judalet ◽  
Sébastien Glaser ◽  
Dominique Gruyer ◽  
Saïd Mammar

The place of driving assistance systems is currently increasing drastically for road vehicles. Paving the road to the fully autonomous vehicle, the drive-by-wire technology could improve the potential of the vehicle control. The implementation of these new embedded systems is still limited, mainly for reliability reasons, thus requiring the development of diagnostic mechanisms. In this paper, we investigate the detection and the identification of sensor and actuator faults for a drive-by-wire road vehicle. An Interacting Multiple Model approach is proposed, based on a non-linear vehicle dynamics observer. The adequacy of different probabilistic observers is discussed. The results, based on experimental vehicle signals, show a fast and robust identification of sensor faults while the actuator faults are more challenging.


2013 ◽  
Vol 361-363 ◽  
pp. 1875-1879 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jin Shuan Peng ◽  
Ying Shi Guo ◽  
Yi Ming Shao

To clearly understand the mechanism of drivers lane-changing decision, based on drivers perception of external information, integrated cognitive judgment and game theory, the decision-making model was established, then the structure and operating mechanism of the model were detailedly analyzed. By introducing game theory-related knowledge, the non-cooperative mixed strategy game between the object vehicle and the following vehicle in the target lane was further discussed. Then, the benefits and Nash equilibrium solution of the participants in the game were deeply researched. Analysis shows that lane-changing decision is composed of information perception and three judgment-decision processes, the factors which would affect decision-making level include information source characteristics, the ability of drivers perception and comprehensive cognitive judgment, driving behavior characteristics and so on. The Nash equilibrium solution of the lane change game is determined by driving safety level, journey time and importance degree of the revenues.


2008 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 903-911
Author(s):  
Masafumi Hashimoto ◽  
◽  
Yuuki Nakamura ◽  
Kazuhiko Takahashi ◽  

This paper presents a method of fault diagnosis and fault-tolerant control for a nonholonomic powered wheelchair. Hard faults of sensors and actuators in two drive/steering units of the wheelchair are handled. The fault diagnosis is based on the interacting multiple-model (IMM) estimator. In order to improve fault decisions, we implement mode probability averaging and heuristic decision-making rule in the IMM-based algorithm. A fault-tolerant controller designed based on Ackerman geometry enables safe motion of the wheelchair even if sensors and actuators have partially failed. Experimental results verify the proposed method.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olivér Törő ◽  
Tamás Bécsi ◽  
Szilárd Aradi ◽  
Péter Gáspár

Robust object tracking and maneuver estimation methods play significant role in the design of advanced driver assistant systems and self-driving cars. As an input to situation understanding and awareness, the performance of such algorithms influences the overall effectiveness of motion planning and plays high role in safety. The paper examines the suitability of different probabilistic state estimation methods, namely, the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) and the more general Particle Filter (PF) with the addition of the Interacting Multiple Model (IMM) approach. These algorithms are not capable of predicting motion for long term in road traffic conditions, though their robustness and model classification capability are essential for the overall system. The performance is evaluated in road traffic scenarios where the tracked object imitates the motion characteristics of a road vehicle and is observed from a stationary sensor. The measurements are generated according to standard automotive radar models. The analysis conducted along two aspects emphasizes the different performance and scaling properties of the examined state estimation algorithms. The presented evaluation framework serves as a customizable method to test and develop advanced autonomous functions.


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