Simulation of the Holocene climate over South America and impacts on the vegetation

The Holocene ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (2) ◽  
pp. 287-299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jelena Maksic ◽  
Marilia Harumi Shimizu ◽  
Gilvan Sampaio de Oliveira ◽  
Igor Martins Venancio ◽  
Manoel Cardoso ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Tropical Forest ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
South Atlantic Convergence Zone ◽  
Northeastern Brazil ◽  
Convergence Zone ◽  
Holocene Climate ◽  
The Holocene

We provide a comprehensive analysis of the Holocene climate and vegetation changes over South America through numerical simulations. Holocene climate for several periods (8 ka, 6 ka, 4 ka, 2 ka, and present) were simulated by an atmospheric general circulation model, forced with orbital parameters, CO2 concentrations, and sea surface temperature (SST), while the analysis of the biome distributions was made with a potential vegetation model (PVM). Compared with the present climate, our four simulated periods of the Holocene were characterized by reduced South Atlantic Convergence Zone intensity and weaker South American Monsoon System (SAMS). The model simulated conditions drier than present over most of South America and gradual strengthening of SAMS toward the present. The Northeast Brazil was wetter because of southward migration of the intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ). Moreover, SST conditions were the main forcing for the climate changes during the mid Holocene inducing larger austral summer southward ITCZ migration. PVM paleovegetation projections are shown to be consistent with paleodata proxies which suggest fluctuations between biomes, despite the fact that ages of dry/wet indicators are not synchronous over large areas of the Amazonian ecosystem. Holocene PVM simulations show distinct retreat in Amazonian forest biome in all four simulated periods. In 6 ka, present caatinga vegetation in Northeastern Brazil was replaced with savanna or dense shrubland. The simulations also suggest the existence of rainforest in western Amazonia and the expansion of savanna and seasonal forest in the eastern Amazon, with shifts in plant community compositions and fragmentation located mostly in ecotone regions. Moreover, our PVM results show that during the Holocene, the Amazonian tropical forest was smaller in area than today, although western Amazonia persisted as a tropical forest throughout the Holocene.

scholarly journals A mid-Holocene climate reconstruction for eastern South America

2013 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 2117-2133 ◽  
Author(s):  
L. F. Prado ◽  
I. Wainer ◽  
C. M. Chiessi ◽  
M.-P. Ledru ◽  
B. Turcq
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Late Holocene ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
South Atlantic Convergence Zone ◽  
Northeastern Brazil ◽  
South American ◽  
The South ◽  
Holocene Climate ◽  
Sea Temperature ◽  
Summer Insolation

Abstract. The mid-Holocene (6000 calibrated years before present) is a key period in palaeoclimatology because incoming summer insolation was lower than during the late Holocene in the Southern Hemisphere, whereas the opposite happened in the Northern Hemisphere. However, the effects of the decreased austral summer insolation over South American climate have been poorly discussed by palaeodata syntheses. In addition, only a few of the regional studies have characterised the mid-Holocene climate in South America through a multiproxy approach. Here, we present a multiproxy compilation of mid-Holocene palaeoclimate data for eastern South America. We compiled 120 palaeoclimatological datasets, which were published in 84 different papers. The palaeodata analysed here suggest a water deficit scenario in the majority of eastern South America during the mid-Holocene if compared to the late Holocene, with the exception of northeastern Brazil. Low mid-Holocene austral summer insolation caused a reduced land–sea temperature contrast and hence a weakened South American monsoon system circulation. This scenario is represented by a decrease in precipitation over the South Atlantic Convergence Zone area, saltier conditions along the South American continental margin, and lower lake levels.

scholarly journals The Influence of Orbital Forcing of Tropical Insolation on the Climate and Isotopic Composition of Precipitation in South America

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (12) ◽  
pp. 4841-4862 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaojuan Liu ◽  
David S. Battisti
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Isotopic Composition ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Northeastern Brazil ◽  
Convergence Zone ◽  
South American ◽  
The South ◽  
Northern Andes

Abstract The δ18O of calcite (δ18Oc) in speleothems from South America is fairly well correlated with austral summer [December–February (DJF)] insolation, indicating the role of orbitally paced changes in insolation in changing the climate of South America. Using an isotope-enabled atmospheric general circulation model (ECHAM4.6) coupled to a slab ocean model, the authors study how orbitally paced variations in insolation change climate and the isotopic composition of precipitation (δ18Op) of South America. Compared with times of high summertime insolation, times of low insolation feature (i) a decrease in precipitation inland of tropical South America as a result of an anomalous cooling of the South American continent and hence a weakening of the South American summer monsoon and (ii) an increase in precipitation in eastern Brazil that is associated with the intensification and southward movement of the Atlantic intertropical convergence zone, which is caused by the strengthening of African winter monsoon that is induced by the anomalous cooling of northern Africa. Finally, reduced DJF insolation over southern Africa causes cooling and the generation of a tropically trapped Rossby wave that intensifies and shifts the South Atlantic convergence zone northward. In times of low insolation, δ18Op increases in the northern Andes and decreases in northeastern Brazil, consistent with the pattern of δ18Oc changes seen in speleothems. Further analysis shows that the decrease in δ18Op in northeastern Brazil is due to change in the intensity of precipitation, while the increase in the northern Andes reflects a change in the seasonality of precipitation and in the isotopic composition of vapor that forms the condensates.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Southern Ocean cloud in the HadGEM3 general circulation model and MERRA-2 reanalysis using ship-based observations

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 6607-6630 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Kuma ◽  
Adrian J. McDonald ◽  
Olaf Morgenstern ◽  
Simon P. Alexander ◽  
John J. Cassano ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Layer ◽  
Southern Ocean ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Cloud Cover ◽  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Radiation Budget ◽  
Cloud Albedo ◽  
Low Cloud

Abstract. Southern Ocean (SO) shortwave (SW) radiation biases are a common problem in contemporary general circulation models (GCMs), with most models exhibiting a tendency to absorb too much incoming SW radiation. These biases have been attributed to deficiencies in the representation of clouds during the austral summer months, either due to cloud cover or cloud albedo being too low. The problem has been the focus of many studies, most of which utilised satellite datasets for model evaluation. We use multi-year ship-based observations and the CERES spaceborne radiation budget measurements to contrast cloud representation and SW radiation in the atmospheric component Global Atmosphere (GA) version 7.1 of the HadGEM3 GCM and the MERRA-2 reanalysis. We find that the prevailing bias is negative in GA7.1 and positive in MERRA-2. GA7.1 performs better than MERRA-2 in terms of absolute SW bias. Significant errors of up to 21 W m−2 (GA7.1) and 39 W m−2 (MERRA-2) are present in both models in the austral summer. Using ship-based ceilometer observations, we find low cloud below 2 km to be predominant in the Ross Sea and the Indian Ocean sectors of the SO. Utilising a novel surface lidar simulator developed for this study, derived from an existing Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project (CFMIP) Observation Simulator Package (COSP) – active remote sensing simulator (ACTSIM) spaceborne lidar simulator, we find that GA7.1 and MERRA-2 both underestimate low cloud and fog occurrence relative to the ship observations on average by 4 %–9 % (GA7.1) and 18 % (MERRA-2). Based on radiosonde observations, we also find the low cloud to be strongly linked to boundary layer atmospheric stability and the sea surface temperature. GA7.1 and MERRA-2 do not represent the observed relationship between boundary layer stability and clouds well. We find that MERRA-2 has a much greater proportion of cloud liquid water in the SO in austral summer than GA7.1, a likely key contributor to the difference in the SW radiation bias. Our results suggest that subgrid-scale processes (cloud and boundary layer parameterisations) are responsible for the bias and that in GA7.1 a major part of the SW radiation bias can be explained by cloud cover underestimation, relative to underestimation of cloud albedo.

Modeling a 200-Yr Interruption of the Holocene Sapropel S1

2000 ◽  
Vol 53 (1) ◽  
pp. 98-104 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul G. Myers ◽  
Eelco J. Rohling
Keyword(s):  
General Circulation Model ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
Intermediate Water ◽  
Gulf Of Lions ◽  
The Holocene ◽  
Circulation Mode ◽  
Oceanic General Circulation Model ◽  
Water Formation

AbstractAn oceanic general circulation model, previously used to simulate the conditions associated with the Holocene Sapropel S1, is used to simulate the effects of a climate deterioration (represented as a cooling event) on the sapropelic circulation mode. The enhanced cooling (2°–3°C) induces deep convection in the Adriatic and the Gulf of Lions and intermediate water formation in the Aegean, where in all cases there had previously been only stagnant unventilated waters. The depths of ventilation (to ∼1250 m) are in agreement with core data from this period. The short decadal timescales involved in modifying the sapropelic circulation suggest that such a climatic deterioration may be associated with the interruption of S1 between 7100 and 6900 14C yr B.P., which divided the sapropel into two subunits.

scholarly journals Impact of Atmospheric Blocking on South America in Austral Summer

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (5) ◽  
pp. 1821-1837 ◽  
Author(s):  
Regina R. Rodrigues ◽  
Tim Woollings
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Austral Summer ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
South Atlantic Convergence Zone ◽  
Atmospheric Blocking ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Temperature And Precipitation ◽  
The Indian Ocean

Abstract This study investigates atmospheric blocking over eastern South America in austral summer for the period of 1979–2014. The results show that blocking over this area is a consequence of propagating Rossby waves that grow to large amplitudes and eventually break anticyclonically over subtropical South America (SSA). The SSA blocking can prevent the establishment of the South Atlantic convergence zone (SACZ). As such, years with more blocking days coincide with years with fewer SACZ days and reduced precipitation. Convection mainly over the Indian Ocean associated with Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) phases 1 and 2 can trigger the wave train that leads to SSA blocking whereas convection over the western/central Pacific associated with phases 6 and 7 is more likely to lead to SACZ events. It is found that the MJO is a key source of long-term variability in SSA blocking frequency. The wave packets associated with SSA blocking and SACZ episodes differ not only in their origin but also in their phase and refraction pattern. The tropopause-based methodology used here is proven to reliably identify events that lead to extremes of surface temperature and precipitation over SSA. Up to 80% of warm surface air temperature extremes occur simultaneously with SSA blocking events. The frequency of SSA blocking days is highly anticorrelated with the rainfall over southeast Brazil. The worst droughts in this area, during the summers of 1984, 2001, and 2014, are linked to record high numbers of SSA blocking days. The persistence of these events is also important in generating the extreme impacts.

scholarly journals Atmospheric convergence zones stemming from large-scale mixing

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 475-488
Author(s):  
Gabriel M. P. Perez ◽  
Pier Luigi Vidale ◽  
Nicholas P. Klingaman ◽  
Thomas C. M. Martin
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
South Atlantic Convergence Zone ◽  
South Atlantic ◽  
Convergence Zone ◽  
The South ◽  
Atmospheric Flow ◽  
Convergence Zones

Abstract. Organised cloud bands are important features of tropical and subtropical rainfall. These structures are often regarded as convergence zones, alluding to an association with coherent atmospheric flow. However, the flow kinematics is not usually taken into account in classification methods for this type of event, as large-scale lines are rarely evident in instantaneous diagnostics such as Eulerian convergence. Instead, existing convergence zone definitions rely on heuristic rules of shape, duration and size of cloudiness fields. Here we investigate the role of large-scale turbulence in shaping atmospheric moisture in South America. We employ the finite-time Lyapunov exponent (FTLE), a metric of deformation among neighbouring trajectories, to define convergence zones as attracting Lagrangian coherent structures (LCSs). Attracting LCSs frequent tropical and subtropical South America, with climatologies consistent with the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ), the South American Low-Level Jet (SALLJ) and the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). In regions under the direct influence of the ITCZ and the SACZ, rainfall is significantly positively correlated with large-scale mixing measured by the FTLE. Attracting LCSs in south and southeast Brazil are associated with significant positive rainfall and moisture flux anomalies. Geopotential height composites suggest that the occurrence of attracting LCSs in these regions is related with teleconnection mechanisms such as the Pacific–South Atlantic. We believe that this kinematical approach can be used as an alternative to region-specific convergence zone classification algorithms; it may help advance the understanding of underlying mechanisms of tropical and subtropical rain bands and their role in the hydrological cycle.

scholarly journals Atmospheric convergence zones stemming from large-scale mixing

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriel M. P. Perez ◽  
Pier Luigi Vidale ◽  
Nicholas P. Klingaman ◽  
Thomas C. M. Martin
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Hydrological Cycle ◽  
Moisture Flux ◽  
South Atlantic Convergence Zone ◽  
South Atlantic ◽  
Convergence Zone ◽  
The South ◽  
Atmospheric Flow ◽  
Convergence Zones

Abstract. Organised cloud bands are important features of tropical and subtropical rainfall. These structures are often regarded as convergence zones, alluding to an association with coherent atmospheric flow. However, the flow kinematics is not usually taken into account in classification methods for this type of event, as large-scale lines are rarely evident in instantaneous diagnostics such as Eulerian convergence. Instead, existing convergence zone definitions rely on heuristic rules of shape, duration and size of cloudiness fields. Here we investigate the role of large-scale turbulence in shaping atmospheric moisture in South America. We employ the Finite-Time Lyapunov Exponent (FTLE), a metric of deformation among neighboring trajectories, to define convergence zones as attracting Lagrangian Coherent Structures (LCSs). Attracting LCSs frequent tropical and subtropical South America, with climatologies consistent with the South Atlantic Convergence Zone (SACZ), the South American Low-level Jet (SALLJ) and the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ). In regions under the direct influence of the ITCZ and the SACZ, rainfall is significantly positively correlated with large-scale mixing measured by the FTLE. Attracting LCSs in South and Southeast Brazil are associated with significant positive rainfall and moisture flux anomalies. Geopotential height composites suggest that the occurrence of attracting LCSs in these regions is related with teleconnection mechanisms such as the Pacific-South Atlantic. We believe that this kinematical approach can be used as an alternative to region-specific convergence zone classification algorithms; it may help advance the understanding of underlying mechanisms of tropical and subtropical rain bands and their role in the hydrological cycle.

scholarly journals Southern Hemisphere Sensitivity to ENSO Patterns and Intensities: Impacts over Subtropical South America

Atmosphere ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 77 ◽  
Author(s):  
Verónica Martín-Gómez ◽  
Marcelo Barreiro ◽  
Elsa Mohino
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Rossby Wave ◽  
El Niño ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Circulation Model ◽  
South Pacific ◽  
El Niño Modoki ◽  
Wave Trains

El Niño flavors influence Subtropical South American (SSA) rainfall through the generation of one or two quasi-stationary Rossby waves. However, it is not yet clear whether the induced wave trains depend on the El Niño pattern and/or its intensity. To investigate this, we performed different sensitivity experiments using an Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM) which was forced considering separately the Canonical and the El Niño Modoki patterns with sea surface temperature (SST) maximum anomalies of 1 and 3 °C. Experiments with 3 °C show that the Canonical El Niño induces two Rossby wave trains, a large one emanating from the western subtropical Pacific and a shorter one initiated over the central-eastern subtropical South Pacific. Only the shorter wave plays a role in generating negative outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies over SSA. On the other hand, 3 °C El Niño Modoki experiments show the generation of a large Rossby wave train that emanates from the subtropical western south Pacific and reaches South America (SA), promoting the development of negative OLR anomalies over SSA. Experiments with 1 °C show no impacts on OLR anomalies over SSA associated with El Niño Modoki. However, for the Canonical El Niño case there is a statistically significant reduction of the OLR anomalies over SSA related to the intensification of the upper level jet stream over the region. Finally, our model results suggest that SSA is more sensitive to the Canonical El Niño, although this result may be model dependent.

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