Ozone-aerosol and land use reversed temperature increase over some northern mid-latitude regions between the 20th century and the Little Ice Age based on the CESM-LME

The Holocene ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 095968362110417
Author(s):  
Jiapeng Miao ◽  
Tao Wang ◽  
Dabang Jiang
Keyword(s):  
Land Use ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
20Th Century ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
Aerosol Forcing ◽  
Cooling Effects

Global warming is a widely concerned topic, and the surface temperature has shown an accelerated warming trend during the past several decades. From the perspective of a longer time scale, the 20th century (1900–2000) could be the warmest period in the last millennium, and the global or hemispheric averaged temperature over this period is higher than that over other centuries, particularly compared with that over the Little Ice Age (LIA; 1450–1850). However, we recently found that, in the reconstruction, the 20th-century temperature over some northern mid-latitude regions could be significantly lower than that during the LIA, which contradicts our previous perceptions regarding global warming. Modeling results from the Last Millennium Ensemble Project also reproduce a similar phenomenon, that is, the 20th-century cooling over some northern mid-latitude regions (CNMR). The simulated CNMR can be found in all four seasons. Further analysis indicates that the cooling effects from ozone-aerosol and land use forcings, overcoming greenhouse gas and solar forcing induced warming, play dominant roles in causing the CNMR. The ozone-aerosol forcing reduces the surface net shortwave flux through both direct aerosol–radiation interaction and atmosphere–cloud feedback, while the land use forcing causes negative net shortwave flux anomalies through modulation of surface albedo. Overall, the ozone-aerosol and land use forcings shape the CNMR phenomenon by inducing anomalous surface net shortwave flux, with the ozone-aerosol forcing playing a dominant role. This study highlights the important influences of ozone-aerosol and land use cooling effects on local climate.

scholarly journals The ENSO teleconnections to the Indian summer monsoon climate through the Last Millennium as simulated by the PMIP3

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charan Teja Tejavath ◽  
Karumuri Ashok ◽  
Supriyo Chakraborty ◽  
Rengaswamy Ramesh
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Walker Circulation ◽  
Summer Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Enso Teleconnections ◽  
The Mean

Abstract. Using seven model simulations from the PMIP3, we study the mean summer (June–September) climate and its variability in India during the Last Millennium (LM; CE 850–1849) with emphasis on the Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and Little Ice Age (LIA), after validation of the simulated current day climate and trends. We find that the above (below) LM-mean summer global temperatures during the MWP (LIA) are associated with relatively higher (lower) number of concurrent El Niños as compared to La Niñas. The models simulate higher (lower) Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) during the MWP (LIA). This is notwithstanding a strong simulated negative correlation between the timeseries of NINO3.4 index and that of the area-averaged ISMR, Interestingly, the percentage of strong El Niños (La Niñas) causing negative (positive) ISMR anomalies is higher in the LIA (MWP), a non-linearity that apparently is important for causing higher ISMR in the MWP. Distribution of simulated boreal summer velocity potential at 850 hPa during MWP in models, in general, shows a zone of anomalous convergence in the central tropical Pacific flanked by two zones of divergence, suggesting a westward shift in the Walker circulation as compared to the simulations for LM as well as and a majority of historical simulations, and current day observed signal. The anomalous divergence centre in the west also extends into the equatorial eastern Indian Ocean, resulting in an anomalous convergence zone over India and therefore excess rainfall during the MWP as compared to the LM; the results are qualitative, given the inter-model spread.

scholarly journals South Atlantic Surface Boundary Current System during the Last Millennium in the CESM-LME: The Medieval Climate Anomaly and Little Ice Age

Geosciences ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 299
Author(s):  
Fernanda Marcello ◽  
Ilana Wainer ◽  
Peter R. Gent ◽  
Bette L. Otto-Bliesner ◽  
Esther C. Brady
Keyword(s):  
Little Ice Age ◽  
South Atlantic ◽  
Subtropical Gyre ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Surface Boundary ◽  
South American ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
Medieval Climate Anomaly ◽  
The South ◽  
Gyre Circulation

Interocean waters that are carried northward through South Atlantic surface boundary currents get meridionally split between two large-scale systems when meeting the South American coast at the western subtropical portion of the basin. This distribution of the zonal flow along the coast is investigated during the Last Millennium, when natural forcing was key to establish climate variability. Of particular interest are the changes between the contrasting periods of the Medieval Climate Anomaly (MCA) and the Little Ice Age (LIA). The investigation is conducted with the simulation results from the Community Earth System Model Last Millennium Ensemble (CESM-LME). It is found that the subtropical South Atlantic circulation pattern differs substantially between these natural climatic extremes, especially at the northern boundary of the subtropical gyre, where the westward-flowing southern branch of the South Equatorial Current (sSEC) bifurcates off the South American coast, originating the equatorward-flowing North Brazil Undercurrent (NBUC) and the poleward Brazil Current (BC). It is shown that during the MCA, a weaker anti-cyclonic subtropical gyre circulation took place (inferred from decreased southern sSEC and BC transports), while the equatorward transport of the Meridional Overturning Circulation return flow was increased (intensified northern sSEC and NBUC). The opposite scenario occurs during the LIA: a more vigorous subtropical gyre circulation with decreased northward transport.

Holocene Glacial and Tree-Line Variations in the White River Valley and Skolai Pass, Alaska and Yukon Territory

1977 ◽  
Vol 7 (1) ◽  
pp. 63-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
George H. Denton ◽  
Wibjörn Karlén
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Yukon Territory ◽  
Summer Temperature ◽  
River Valley ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Tree Line ◽  
White River ◽  
Glacier Recession

Complex glacier and tree-line fluctuations in the White River valley on the northern flank of the St. Elias and Wrangell Mountains in southern Alaska and Yukon Territory are recognized by detailed moraine maps and drift stratigraphy, and are dated by dendrochronology, lichenometry,14C ages, and stratigraphic relations of drift to the eastern (123014C yr BP) and northern (198014C yr BP) lobes of the White River Ash. The results show two major intervals of expansion, one concurrent with the well-known and widespread Little Ice Age and the other dated between 2900 and 210014C yr BP, with a culmination about 2600 and 280014C yr BP. Here, the ages of Little Ice Age moraines suggest fluctuating glacier expansion between ad 1500 and the early 20th century. Much of the 20th century has experienced glacier recession, but probably it would be premature to declare the Little Ice Age over. The complex moraine systems of the older expansion interval lie immediately downvalley from Little Ice Age moraines, suggesting that the two expansion intervals represent similar events in the Holocene, and hence that the Little Ice Age is not unique. Another very short-lived advance occurred about 1230 to 105014C yr BP. Spruce immigrated into the valley to a minimum altitude of 3500 ft (1067 m), about 600 ft (183 m) below the current spruce tree line of 4100 ft (1250 m), at least by 802014C yr BP. Subsequent intervals of high tree line were in accord with glacier recession; in fact, several spruce-wood deposits above current tree line occur bedded between Holocene tills. High deposits of fossil wood range up to 76 m above present tree line and are dated at about 5250, 3600 to 3000, and 2100 to 123014C yr BP. St. Elias glacial and tree-line fluctuations, which probably are controlled predominantly by summer temperature and by length of the growing and ablation seasons, correlate closely with a detailed Holocene tree-ring curve from California, suggesting a degree of synchronism of Holocene summer-temperature changes between the two areas. This synchronism is strengthened by comparison with the glacier record from British Columbia and Mt. Rainier. Likewise, broad synchronism of Holocene events exists across the Arctic between the St. Elias Mountains and Swedish Lappland. Finally, two sequences from the Southern Hemisphere show similar records, in so far as dating allows. Hence, we believe that a preliminary case can be made for broad synchronism of Holocene climatic fluctuations in several regions, although further data are needed and several areas, particularly Colorado and Baffin Island, show major differences in the regional pattern.

The Little Ice Age: The Prelude to Global Warming, 1300-1850

2001 ◽  
Vol 80 (5) ◽  
pp. 160
Author(s):  
Richard N. Cooper ◽  
Brian Fagan
Keyword(s):  
Global Warming ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Ice Age

scholarly journals Intermittent thinning of Jakobshavn Isbræ, West Greenland, since the Little Ice Age

2008 ◽  
Vol 54 (184) ◽  
pp. 131-144 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bea Csatho ◽  
Toni Schenk ◽  
C.J. Van Der Veen ◽  
William B. Krabill
Keyword(s):  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Dynamical Response ◽  
The South ◽  
Glacier Surface ◽  
Local Climate ◽  
West Greenland ◽  
The North ◽  
Climate Forcings

AbstractRapid thinning and velocity increase on major Greenland outlet glaciers during the last two decades may indicate that these glaciers became unstable as a consequence of the Jakobshavn effect (Hughes, 1986), with terminus retreat leading to increased discharge from the interior and consequent further thinning and retreat. To assess whether recent trends deviate from longer-term behavior, we measured glacier surface elevations and terminus positions for Jakobshavn Isbræ, West Greenland, using historical photographs acquired in 1944, 1953, 1959, 1964 and 1985. These results were combined with data from historical records, aerial photographs, ground surveys, airborne laser altimetry and field mapping of lateral moraines and trimlines, to reconstruct the history of changes since the Little Ice Age (LIA). We identified three periods of rapid thinning since the LIA: 1902–13, 1930–59 and 1999–present. During the first half of the 20th century, the calving front appears to have been grounded and it started to float during the late 1940s. The south and north tributaries exhibit different behavior. For example, the north tributary was thinning between 1959 and 1985 during a period when the calving front was stationary and the south tributary was in balance. The record of intermittent thinning, combined with changes in ice-marginal extent and position of the calving front, together with changes in velocity, imply that the behavior of the lower parts of this glacier represents a complex ice-dynamical response to local climate forcings and interactions with drainage from the interior.

scholarly journals Morphogenesis of New Straits and Islands Originated in the European Arctic Since the 1980s

Geosciences ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 476
Author(s):  
Wieslaw Ziaja ◽  
Krzysztof Ostafin
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Satellite Images ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Climate Conditions ◽  
Main Research ◽  
Franz Josef Land ◽  
European Arctic ◽  
In The Beginning ◽  
Origin Analysis

Several new islands and many islets have appeared in the European Arctic since the end of the 20th century due to glacial recession under climate warming. The specificity of the formation of each individual strait and island is shown in the paper (apart from its location and timing of its origin). Analysis of available maps and satellite images of all three European Arctic archipelagos, from different times since 1909–1910, was the main research method. There are three pathways of the morphogenesis of the new islands: (1) simultaneous recession of glaciers from both sides of a depression in bedrock being a potential strait (typical in Franz Josef Land), (2) uncovering a rocky hill (which protrudes from a depression in bedrock) from under a receding glacier, (3) recession of one glacier which had reached a rocky fragment of a coastline (e.g., headland or peninsula), being a potential new island, during a maximum extent of this glacier during the Little Ice Age (in the beginning of the 20th century). Additional straits and islands are currently at the stage of formation and will continue to form in the European Arctic in the case of further warming or stabilization of the current climate conditions.

Channels of the glacial river Jökulsá á Breiðamerkursandi

JOKULL ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 70 ◽  
pp. 119-128
Author(s):  
Snaevarr Gudmundsson ◽  
Helgi Björnsson
Keyword(s):  
20Th Century ◽  
Coastal Erosion ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Outlet Glacier ◽  
Main Road ◽  
Old Maps ◽  
Terminal Lakes ◽  
Glacial River ◽  
Peak Runoff

The glacial river Jökulsá á Breiðamerkursandi drains the Jökulsárlón tidal lagoon (27 km2), in Southeast Iceland. Despite being the shortest glacial outlet (0.6 km), it is among the most voluminous rivers in Iceland, with an estimated average drainage of 250–300 m3/s and has doubled its volume at peak runoff. Until a bridge was established, this was one of Iceland’s most infamous river and for travellers, cruising on horseback, the greatest obstacle to cross on the main road. The river began shaping its present channel in the late 19th century but was not permanently settled until the mid-20th century. Before that it used to wander around the fan, occasionally in several branches, or as a single heavy moving water. In this paper we present a map of its known runoffs and channels that were formed in the 19th and 20th centuries. Few channels were digitized from old maps, but several of those were identified and recorded by the late Flosi Björnsson (1906–1993), a farmer from the Kvísker, who guided travellers across the river before the bridge was built. The Breiðamerkurjökull outlet glacier of Vatnajökull, Southeast Iceland, advanced 10–15 km during the Little Ice Age. During the LIA advance the wide fan shaped shore in front of Breiðamerkurjökull gradually extended outward by >1 km, mainly due to sediment deposition by the Jökulsá river and few other temporal glacial river branches. At the turn of the 20th century the outlet glacier started to retreat slowly and in the 1930s terminal lakes were formed. With the formation of the Jökulsárlón tidal lagoon river dumping at the shore terminated and was replaced by a progressive coastal erosion. Currently ca. 0.9 km has eroded off the coast since the 1930s. A 0.65 km wide strip now remains between the coast and Jökulsárlón tidal lagoon, where the Jökulsá river and the remains of its former runway channels are located.

Bivalves indicate that the North Atlantic was under stress before the onset of the Little Ice Age

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Beatriz Arellano Nava ◽  
Paul R. Halloran ◽  
Chris A. Boulton ◽  
Timothy M. Lenton
Keyword(s):  
Marine Environment ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Little Ice Age ◽  
Stable State ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Ice Age ◽  
Last Millennium ◽  
The North ◽  
Growth Increments ◽  
Negative Feedbacks

<p>The last millennium was characterised by a cooling from the Medieval Warm Period into the Little Ice Age. While strong volcanic eruptions could have triggered the onset of the Little Ice Age by reducing solar irradiance, modelling experiments suggest that it was amplified and maintained by sea ice-ocean feedbacks, including a potential abrupt weakening of the subpolar gyre. The weakening of negative feedbacks that maintain a system in a stable state, prior to an abrupt transition, can be detected as an increase in temporal autocorrelation and variability. Here we use an annually-resolved and absolutely dated shell-derived record from the North Icelandic Shelf that spans the last millennium, to detect such a loss of resilience in the marine environment leading up to the Little Ice Age transition. We find a significant increase in autocorrelation and variance in bivalve growth increments and oxygen isotopes before the transition, providing evidence consistent with loss of stability in the marine environment. This supports the idea that internal feedbacks played an important role in the Little Ice Age onset.</p>

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