The release of Grand Theft Auto V and registered juvenile crime in the Netherlands

Prior research suggests that playing videogames can have a voluntary incapacitating effect on criminal behaviour. The current study investigates whether this negative association between videogames in general and crime rates can also be found for the release of a single videogame – Grand Theft Auto V (GTAV) – and for registered juvenile crime in the Netherlands. A diminishing effect was modelled to estimate the active player base of GTAV (that is, the most players are active on and directly following release, with a decline in the weeks thereafter) and correlated with the number of registered offences in 2012–15 committed by males aged 12–18 and 18–25 years in a time series analysis. The effect of the release of GTAV was negatively associated with the number of registered offences in both age categories, while controlling for covariates (for example, day of the week). Implications are discussed.

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Spectrum Parameter Estimation in Time Series Analysis† †Part of this work was supported by the Netherlands Organization for the Advancement of Pure Research (Z.W.O.) under Grant B62-165.

Developments in Statistics ◽

10.1016/b978-0-12-426604-9.50007-0 ◽

1983 ◽

pp. 1-96 ◽

Cited By ~ 7

Author(s):

K.O. DZHAPARIDZE ◽

A.M. YAGLOM

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Parameter Estimation ◽

The Netherlands ◽

Time Series Analysis ◽

Spectrum Parameter ◽

Series Analysis ◽

Pure Research

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A Time-Series Analysis of Contextual-Level Effects on Hate Crime in The Netherlands

Social Forces ◽

10.1093/sf/soaa102 ◽

2020 ◽

Author(s):

Laura Jacobs ◽

Joost van Spanje

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

The Netherlands ◽

Time Series Analysis ◽

Hate Crime ◽

Hate Speech ◽

Contextual Factors ◽

Hate Crimes ◽

Party Leader ◽

Terrorist Attacks ◽

Series Analysis

Abstract Nowadays, registered hate crimes are on the rise in many Western societies. What explains temporal variation in the incidence of hate crimes? Combining insights from the grievance model and the opportunity model, we study the role of three types of contextual factors: security (terrorism), media (news about terrorism and immigration), and political factors (speech by anti-immigration actors, hate speech prosecution, and high-profile anti-immigration victories). We apply time-series analysis to our original dataset of registered hate crimes in the Netherlands, 2015–2017 (N = 7,219). Findings indicate that terrorist attacks, (both print and online) news on refugees, immigration, and terrorism boost nonviolent hate crime. Similarly, news of the hate speech prosecution of Freedom Party leader Geert Wilders increases nonviolent crime as well. Tentative evidence points to a contagion effect of speech by anti-immigration actors. With regard to violent hate crime, only terrorist attacks had an effect. This effect was modest and only found in one of our models. Hence, the grievance and the opportunities model each partially explain nonviolent hate crime, although the security and media context seem most influential. Our findings help to identify the contextual factors contributing to a climate for hate and suggest that perceived threats play a key role.

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Time-Series Analysis of Suicidal and Undetermined Deaths

Perceptual and Motor Skills ◽

10.2466/pms.1997.85.3f.1242 ◽

1997 ◽

Vol 85 (3_suppl) ◽

pp. 1242-1242 ◽

Cited By ~ 5

Author(s):

David Lester

Keyword(s):

Time Series ◽

Time Series Analysis ◽

Suicide Rate ◽

Death Rate ◽

Death Rates ◽

Negatively Associated ◽

Fair Proportion ◽

Series Analysis ◽

The Usa ◽

Over Time

The suicide rate and the death rate for undetermined causes were negatively associated over time from 1968 to 1990 in the USA, suggesting that these undetermined deaths may include a fair proportion of suicides. In contrast, there was no association between suicide and undetermined death rates over the states in 1980.

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