An ex-post analysis of trade effects of the ASEAN–Korea Free Trade Area (AKFTA) from Korea’s Perspective

2021 ◽  
pp. 223386592110248
Author(s):  
Ga Eun Lee ◽  
Innwon Park
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Fixed Effects ◽  
Manufacturing Industry ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Ordinary Least Squares ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Trade In Services ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Services Industry

This paper empirically analyzes the effectiveness of the ASEAN–Korea Free Trade Area (AKFTA) focusing on the ex-post trade creation and diversion effects with controlling related intra-bloc and extra-bloc regional trade agreements (RTAs) and economic characteristics of interconnected economies. The quantitative analysis applies a gravity model regression analysis by specifying standard pooled ordinary least squares and fixed effects regression models. We observe that the AKFTA turned out to be more favorable for Korea in terms of trade balance with ASEAN. We find that the AKFTA is a desirable trade creating RTA strongly driven by intra-bloc export activities between members and does not divert but generates more export to and import from non-members. Thus, we strongly support that the AKFTA facilitates trade between intra-bloc members and their trade with extra-bloc non-members as well. Besides which, we find that the trade creation effects of the AKFTA are industry-specific and sector-specific. For the manufacturing industry, the trade creation effects of the AKFTA are generated by both intra-bloc and extra-bloc import activity but not from extra-bloc export activity. However, for the services industry, all the intra-bloc and extra-bloc export and import activities contribute to the trade creation effects. Interestingly, we find that the trade creation effects of the manufacturing industry are smaller than those of the services industry. Considering restrictive service schedules of specific commitments in the AKFTA agreement on trade-in services compared to trade-in goods provisions, rearranging the trade-in services provisions is necessary to generate more trade gains in the future.

scholarly journals Dampak ACFTA (ASEAN-China Free Trade Area) Terhadap Trade Creation Dan Trade Diversion Indonesia Di Kawasan ACFTA+3

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 84-100
Author(s):  
Siti khamila Dewi ◽  
Sahara ◽  
Sri Mulatsih
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Trade Area

Indonesia terlibat aktif dalam jejaring kerjasama Free Trade Area (FTA), salah satunya dengan menjadi anggota pada ASEAN-China FTA atau dikenal juga dengan ACFTA. Studi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor yang memengaruhi nilai impor Indonesia dan mengetahui dampak ACFTA terhadap trade creation dan trade diversion Indonesia. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan model panel data dengan data sekunder selama periode tahun 2000 hingga 2018 yang dikumpulkan dari WITS, WORLD BANK, UNCTAD, dan CEPII. Hasil empiris menunjukkan bahwa setelah ACFTA diberlakukan, nilai impor Indonesia dari negara-negara anggota ACFTA mengalami kenaikan. Nilai impor Indonesia secara signifikan dipengaruhi secara positif oleh GDP per kapita Indonesia, GDP per kapita mitra dagang (negara ACFTA+3), dan jarak ekonomi antar negara. Sementara nilai tukar riil antar negara berpengaruh negatif terhadap nilai impor Indonesia. Secara keseluruhan Indonesia diduga mengalami kerugian dari adanya ACFTA akibat terjadinya trade diversion dari negara non-anggota ke negara-negara anggota di wilayah ACFTA +3.

scholarly journals Does AFTA Create or Divert Trade?

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 1850122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helen Cabalu ◽  
Cristina Alfonso
Keyword(s):  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Commodity Trade ◽  
Trade Patterns ◽  
Trade Data ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
The Impact

In this article the changes in trade patterns introduced by the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) are examined. Variation in growth trends and the shift-and-share methodology are used to identify the impact of trade liberalization under AFTA on intra- and extra-regional commodity trade. Data at the commodity level are used and the results indicate that AFTA had trade creation effects, with little evidence of trade diversion.

scholarly journals Dampak ACFTA (ASEAN-China Free Trade Area) Terhadap Trade Creation Dan Trade Diversion Indonesia Di Kawasan ACFTA+3

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 84-100
Author(s):  
Siti khamila Dewi ◽  
Sahara ◽  
Sri Mulatsih
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Trade Area

Indonesia terlibat aktif dalam jejaring kerjasama Free Trade Area (FTA), salah satunya dengan menjadi anggota pada ASEAN-China FTA atau dikenal juga dengan ACFTA. Studi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor yang memengaruhi nilai impor Indonesia dan mengetahui dampak ACFTA terhadap trade creation dan trade diversion Indonesia. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan model panel data dengan data sekunder selama periode tahun 2000 hingga 2018 yang dikumpulkan dari WITS, WORLD BANK, UNCTAD, dan CEPII. Hasil empiris menunjukkan bahwa setelah ACFTA diberlakukan, nilai impor Indonesia dari negara-negara anggota ACFTA mengalami kenaikan. Nilai impor Indonesia secara signifikan dipengaruhi secara positif oleh GDP per kapita Indonesia, GDP per kapita mitra dagang (negara ACFTA+3), dan jarak ekonomi antar negara. Sementara nilai tukar riil antar negara berpengaruh negatif terhadap nilai impor Indonesia. Secara keseluruhan Indonesia diduga mengalami kerugian dari adanya ACFTA akibat terjadinya trade diversion dari negara non-anggota ke negara-negara anggota di wilayah ACFTA +3.

scholarly journals The Impact Of ASEAN Free Trade Area On Intra-Asean Manufacturing Trade

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 633-643
Author(s):  
Colin Koh-King Wong ◽  
Venus Khim-Sen Liew ◽  
Mohammad Affendy Arip
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Set Covering ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Asean Member ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
Manufacturing Trade ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the effects of ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) agreement on the bilateral manufacturing trade between the 10 member countries of ASEAN and 39 of their trading partners. The period ofstudy covers 1995 to 2014. Results obtained from panel data analysis of the gravity model with random effectsshow that the economic sizes, populations, relative endowments, common language and geographical factors like distance, island, landlocked and neighbour are significant determinants of the bilateral manufacturing trade for ASEAN member countries. Moreover, results obtained from the fixed effects model in this study suggests that AFTA has generatedpure trade creation effects in terms of exports. Ontop of that, AFTA has resulted in larger magnitude of trade creation effects in imports than import diversion effects. Overall, AFTA promotes trades among ASEAN member countries through the elimination of tariff and non-tariff barriers, for bringing aboutpure trade creation effects in terms of exports as well as imports and also trade diversion effects in terms of imports. In sum, this study with more recent data set covering more ASEAN trading partners shows empirical evidence to justify the success of AFTA arrangement.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF ASEAN-CHINA FREE TRADE AREA (ACFTA) AGREEMENT ON INDONESIA’S MAJOR PLANTATION EXPORT COMMODITIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-97
Author(s):  
Erlambang Budi Darmanto ◽  
Rossanto Dwi Handoyo ◽  
Wisnu Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Palm Oil ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Area Measurement ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Negative Coefficient ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Export Destination ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to analyze the impact of ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) on the 4 major exports of plantation commodities (including the commodities of coffee, cocoa, rubber, and palm oil) in Indonesia. The trade impact is measured based on the occurrence of trade creation or trade diversion. The negative coefficient as the result of dummy FTA (Free Trade Area) measurement indicates the presence of trade diversion. Meanwhile, the positive coefficient indicates the presence of trade creation. This study examines the export of major plantation commodities of Indonesia to China and compared with the 10 major export destination countries worldwide. The findings show that trade creation exists within the commodities of coffee, rubber, and palm oil while the trade diversion exists in the commodity of cocoa.

scholarly journals Trade in Services in the African Continental Free Trade Area: Prospects, Challenges and WTO Compatibility

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
pp. 65-95
Author(s):  
Regis Y Simo
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Economic Integration ◽  
Paradigm Shift ◽  
World Trade ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Single Market ◽  
Trade In Services ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
The World

ABSTRACT This article engages with the recently adopted agreement for the African Continental Free Trade Area (AfCFTA) in the area of services. While services trade had heretofore stood at the queue of African trade pacts, the AfCFTA breaks new grounds by negotiating goods and services concurrently, signalling a paradigm shift and a commitment to a deeper integration of the continent. Upon Members’ implementation of the Protocol on Trade in Services, whose aim is to establish a single market in services, the region will be the largest economic integration agreement ever concluded since the birth of the World Trade Organization (WTO). This paper sets out to analyse the provisions of the Protocol and how they contribute to achieving the objective of attaining a single market where services (alongside goods, people and capital) move unrestricted.

scholarly journals Trade Creation dan Trade Diversion Indonesia dengan AANZFTA pada Komoditas Garam

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 94-110
Author(s):  
Dwi Tjahya Nugraha ◽  
Tony Irawan ◽  
Dedi Budiman Hakim
Keyword(s):  
New Zealand ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Import Demand ◽  
Demand Elasticity ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
The World Bank

ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand Free Trade Area (AANZFTA) is a free trade area formed in 2009. One of its implementations is the reduction of import duties on salt commodities in 2011. Its implementations has an impact on trade creation (TC) members and trade diversion (TD) on salt commodities product. The objective of this study is to analyze the occurrence TC and TD on salt commodity. Import demand elasticity and substitution elasticity approach for TC and TD estimation models was developed by the World Bank. The result is no all AANZFTA’s members get profit in the form of TC but just TD with dominated by Australia (99%) and other member (1%). --------------------------------------------- ASEAN-Australia-New Zealand Free Trade Area (AANZFTA) adalah kawasan perdagangan bebas terbentuk pada tahun 2009. Awal pembentukannya adalah adanya penurunan tarif bea masuk komoditas garam. Kebijakan tersebut berdampak terhadap trade creation (TC) dan trade diversion (TD). Oleh karena itu, penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis terjadinya TC dan TD pada komoditas garam. Pendekatan yang digunakan adalah elastisitas permintaan impor dan elastisitas substitusi untuk estimasi model TC dan TD yang dikembangkan oleh Bank Dunia. Hasil penelitian yang didapat adalah adanya keuntungan berupa TC dan TD yang didominasi oleh Australia (99%) dan anggota lainnya (1%).

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