scholarly journals The Impact Of ASEAN Free Trade Area On Intra-Asean Manufacturing Trade

2017 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 633-643
Author(s):  
Colin Koh-King Wong ◽  
Venus Khim-Sen Liew ◽  
Mohammad Affendy Arip
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Set Covering ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Asean Member ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
Manufacturing Trade ◽  
The Impact

This study investigates the effects of ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) agreement on the bilateral manufacturing trade between the 10 member countries of ASEAN and 39 of their trading partners. The period ofstudy covers 1995 to 2014. Results obtained from panel data analysis of the gravity model with random effectsshow that the economic sizes, populations, relative endowments, common language and geographical factors like distance, island, landlocked and neighbour are significant determinants of the bilateral manufacturing trade for ASEAN member countries. Moreover, results obtained from the fixed effects model in this study suggests that AFTA has generatedpure trade creation effects in terms of exports. Ontop of that, AFTA has resulted in larger magnitude of trade creation effects in imports than import diversion effects. Overall, AFTA promotes trades among ASEAN member countries through the elimination of tariff and non-tariff barriers, for bringing aboutpure trade creation effects in terms of exports as well as imports and also trade diversion effects in terms of imports. In sum, this study with more recent data set covering more ASEAN trading partners shows empirical evidence to justify the success of AFTA arrangement.

scholarly journals Does AFTA Create or Divert Trade?

2007 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 1850122 ◽  
Author(s):  
Helen Cabalu ◽  
Cristina Alfonso
Keyword(s):  
Trade Liberalization ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Commodity Trade ◽  
Trade Patterns ◽  
Trade Data ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
The Impact

In this article the changes in trade patterns introduced by the ASEAN Free Trade Area (AFTA) are examined. Variation in growth trends and the shift-and-share methodology are used to identify the impact of trade liberalization under AFTA on intra- and extra-regional commodity trade. Data at the commodity level are used and the results indicate that AFTA had trade creation effects, with little evidence of trade diversion.

scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF ASEAN-CHINA FREE TRADE AREA (ACFTA) AGREEMENT ON INDONESIA’S MAJOR PLANTATION EXPORT COMMODITIES

2021 ◽  
Vol 22 (1) ◽  
pp. 91-97
Author(s):  
Erlambang Budi Darmanto ◽  
Rossanto Dwi Handoyo ◽  
Wisnu Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Palm Oil ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Area Measurement ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Negative Coefficient ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Export Destination ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to analyze the impact of ASEAN-China Free Trade Area (ACFTA) on the 4 major exports of plantation commodities (including the commodities of coffee, cocoa, rubber, and palm oil) in Indonesia. The trade impact is measured based on the occurrence of trade creation or trade diversion. The negative coefficient as the result of dummy FTA (Free Trade Area) measurement indicates the presence of trade diversion. Meanwhile, the positive coefficient indicates the presence of trade creation. This study examines the export of major plantation commodities of Indonesia to China and compared with the 10 major export destination countries worldwide. The findings show that trade creation exists within the commodities of coffee, rubber, and palm oil while the trade diversion exists in the commodity of cocoa.

scholarly journals The Effects of ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement on Bilateral Trades

2021 ◽  
Vol 56 (2) ◽  
pp. 249-256
Author(s):  
Colin Koh-King Wong ◽  
Venus Khim-Sen Liew ◽  
Mohammad Affendy Arip
Keyword(s):  
Gravity Model ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
Free Trade Agreement ◽  
Bilateral Trade ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Agreement ◽  
Positive Finding ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Asean Member ◽  
Trading Partners

This article adopts the augmented versions of the Gravity Model to examine the effects of the signing of the ASEAN-China Free Trade Agreement (ACFTA) on the bilateral aggregate trades. Specifically, ACFTA dummy variables are incorporated in the basic model is to estimate the direction and magnitude of the ACFTA effects. A total of 79 trading partners of ASEAN member countries plus China were examined in this article. The study finds that the Gross Domestic Product, population, natural endowment, distance, and common language are the main determining factors of the bilateral trade for ASEAN member countries and their trading partners. Estimated results from this Augmented Gravity Model showed that ACFTA had increased the bilateral aggregate trades not only between intra-bloc member countries but also intra-bloc and extra-bloc countries. With this positive finding, ASEAN and China could consider expanding their free trade area to a broader regional perspective, enhancing economic growth and reducing regional inequality.

scholarly journals South Asian Free Trade Area and Indo-Pakistan Trade

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (4II) ◽  
pp. 943-958
Author(s):  
Indra Nath Mukherji
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
South Asian ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Liberalisation ◽  
Trade Restrictions ◽  
Regional Trade ◽  
Common External Tariff ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Preferential Trading ◽  
The Impact

Preferential trading is one of the mildest forms of an integrative arrangement. Under the arrangement, the Contracting States (CS) offer a preferential margin with respect to trade barriers in relation to their MFN rates. CS having disparate levels of development as well as trade regimes, find this an acceptable instrument for initiating regional trade liberalisation. Such an arrangement nevertheless provides the building blocks towards accelerated regional trade liberalisation culminating in a free trade area within a defined time frame. Under a free trade area the CS eliminate all trade restrictions on their mutual trade, while maintaining restrictions in their trade with non-CS at a level they deem appropriate. When all CS decide on a common external tariff, then the arrangement translates itself in a more cohesive customs union. The arrangement translates to a common market when all CS agree not only to allow free movement of goods and services, but all the factors of production including capital and labour. Finally, the most comprehensive form of an integrative arrangement results from an economic union, which integrates national economic policies of CS and leads to the adoption of a common currency. The Agreement on South Asian Preferential Trading Arrangement (SAPTA), which became operational since December 7th, 1995 thus, symbolises the beginnings of the very first stage of an integrative arrangement among the member countries of SAARC. The decision made at the Twelfth SAARC Summit at Islamabad in January 2004 to launch South Asian Free Trade Agreement (SAFTA) from January 2006 would mark the second stage of the process of integration in the region. The main focus of this paper is to assess the impact of SAPTA on Indo-Pak trade.

Academic Research and Canadian Manufacturing Productivity since the Formation of NAFTA

2007 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 145-158
Author(s):  
James Brox
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Academic Research ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Variable Cost ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
The North ◽  
Canadian Manufacturing ◽  
Manufacturing Productivity ◽  
The Impact

Does academic research have a positive impact on productivity? To examine this question, the paper focuses on national Canadian manufacturing data, using a variable-cost CES-translog cost system. Changes in the elasticities calculated from the estimation results allow the study of the impact of the free-trade agreements on Canadian production and the effects of academic R&D expenditures. The principal finding is that academic research expenditures have had a positive effect on Canadian manufacturing productivity and that this effect of R&D expenditures has become stronger since the formation of the North American Free Trade Area (NAFTA).

scholarly journals IS ACFTA A PROPER STRATEGY OF SUSTAINABLE POVERTY ALLEVIATION?: PROOF FROM THE DEPLETION OF SAVING RATE

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
pp. 75-102
Author(s):  
Bagus Arya Wirapati ◽  
Niken Astria Sakina Kusumawardhani
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Poverty Alleviation ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Purchasing Power ◽  
Saving Rate ◽  
Trade Area ◽  
Dynamic Relationship ◽  
Per Capita ◽  
Potential Impact ◽  
The Impact

The outcome of Regional Free Trade Area (R-FTA) still remains a conundrum. Regional free trade area (R-FTA) is one of the manifestations of the economy integration phenomenon. R-FTA brings many pros and cons to the economists. It allows better allocation of resources especially by eliminating tariffs, thus making people have higher purchasing power for goods. While the increase of purchasing power is good for growth engine and poverty alleviation progress, this paper proves that there is potency for the agreement to be detrimental in the long run.The main focus in this paper is the potential impact of ACFTA to the saving rate as the shock buffer for the poor in time of recessions and crises, where purchasing power decreases significantly. We view the ACFTA impact through the series of net import, defined as the difference between imports from export. We use Dynamic Panel Data (DPD) to estimate the impact of net import to the saving rate, assuming that there is a dynamic relationship between saving rate and its lagged value. The estimation result proves that there is a negative relationship between import and the saving per capita, which indicates the consumptive behavior of ASEAN people under high import. Moreover, the dynamic relationship shows that saving per capita is not persistent, meaning that the saving rate will be decreased gradually.Therefore, we can expect that in the long rung, the savings will be depleted into nothing if we keep letting the import flooded domestic market without imposing any pre-emptive and reactive policies. This paper provides a set of historical estimation of the potential impact of ACFTA on saving rate and its policy implication to endure the impact.JEL Classification Code: E38, F15Keywords: Free Trade, Poverty Alleviation, Saving Behavior

scholarly journals Dampak ACFTA (ASEAN-China Free Trade Area) Terhadap Trade Creation Dan Trade Diversion Indonesia Di Kawasan ACFTA+3

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 84-100
Author(s):  
Siti khamila Dewi ◽  
Sahara ◽  
Sri Mulatsih
Keyword(s):  
Panel Data ◽  
Free Trade ◽  
World Bank ◽  
Free Trade Area ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Trade Area

Indonesia terlibat aktif dalam jejaring kerjasama Free Trade Area (FTA), salah satunya dengan menjadi anggota pada ASEAN-China FTA atau dikenal juga dengan ACFTA. Studi ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor yang memengaruhi nilai impor Indonesia dan mengetahui dampak ACFTA terhadap trade creation dan trade diversion Indonesia. Penelitian menggunakan pendekatan model panel data dengan data sekunder selama periode tahun 2000 hingga 2018 yang dikumpulkan dari WITS, WORLD BANK, UNCTAD, dan CEPII. Hasil empiris menunjukkan bahwa setelah ACFTA diberlakukan, nilai impor Indonesia dari negara-negara anggota ACFTA mengalami kenaikan. Nilai impor Indonesia secara signifikan dipengaruhi secara positif oleh GDP per kapita Indonesia, GDP per kapita mitra dagang (negara ACFTA+3), dan jarak ekonomi antar negara. Sementara nilai tukar riil antar negara berpengaruh negatif terhadap nilai impor Indonesia. Secara keseluruhan Indonesia diduga mengalami kerugian dari adanya ACFTA akibat terjadinya trade diversion dari negara non-anggota ke negara-negara anggota di wilayah ACFTA +3.

scholarly journals TRADE CREATION DAN TRADE DIVERSION ANTARA INDONESIA DAN NEGARA-NEGARA ASEAN-KOREA

2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 64-81
Author(s):  
Tresna Ritaningsih ◽  
Dedi Budiman Hakim ◽  
Sahara Sahara
Keyword(s):  
Free Trade ◽  
Regional Integration ◽  
Free Trade Agreements ◽  
Trade Agreement ◽  
Trade Diversion ◽  
Trade Agreements ◽  
Trade Creation ◽  
Implementation Phase ◽  
Trading Partners ◽  
The Impact

Indonesia has several free trade agreements with trading partners that aimed to eliminate tariff and non tariff trade barriers. One of the free trade agreements is ASEAN-Korea FTA. Trade agreement in goods in ASEAN-Korea FTA was agreed since 2007 and now it is entering the implementation phase. The objective of this research is to determine whether the ASEAN-Korea FTA would increase the trade flows between Indonesia and ASEAN-Korea’ countries by analyzing the impact of regional integration on trade creation and trade diversion. This research is utilized balance panel data including 13 countries from 1998-2012. The empirical result shows that all Indonesia's trading sectors experienced decline because of trade diversion and trade creation does not occur. Indonesia's import trading with the non-member countries of ASEAN-Korea is 68% lower than the existing trading. Key word: trade creation, trade diversion, free trade agreement, trade in goods

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