Bypassing the Patronage Trap: Evidence from Delhi Assembly Election 2020

2021 ◽  
pp. 232102302110430
Author(s):  
Ankita Barthwal ◽  
Asim Ali

Scholars have long theorized on the limits of patronage politics and the possibility of counter-mobilization it produces against clientelist strategies. Analysing the recent win of the Aam Aadmi Party in the 2020 Assembly election in Delhi, this article shows that programmatic policies of welfare can help parties to circumvent this trap and avoid targeted patronage networks. We find that this broad-based appeal increases the social base of the party to even include those segments of voters who remain aloof to patronage-based exchanges. Additionally, we test the salience of majoritarian issues in the presence of universal welfare. We find that by locating themselves on issue positions of relative advantage, and reducing the ideological distance with their chief competitor, a policy-focussed party may capture not just ideology-agnostic, but also peripheral voters who might be opposed to the other challenger. Using a logistic regression model, we find that policy concerns catapulted AAP to victory, while its ideological distance from the BJP added to this. Our analysis has significance for understanding the underlying changes to patronage-based linkages, especially in the presence of heightened ethnic appeals that increasingly characterizes electoral contexts in the country.

2016 ◽  
Vol 2016 ◽  
pp. 1-3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alberto Raposo ◽  
Francisco Piqueras ◽  
Francisco García-Purriños ◽  
María Ll. Martínez-Martinez ◽  
Jerónimo Lajara

Purpose.The objective of the present study is to determine whether the success rate in transcanalicular diode laser-assisted dacryocystorhinostomy (TCL DCR) is influenced by the variant septal deviation (SD).Methods.Patients were divided into two groups: one including operated lacrimal pathways (LP) with no anatomical nasosinusal variants and the other group of LP with SD. This study began on January 1, 2008, and ended on December 31, 2010, at Morales Meseguer Hospital. Variables were compared by means of ANOVA and a logistic regression model (LOGIT).Results.Out of the 159 LP operated on, 102 had no nasosinusal anatomic variant, but 39 LP were associated with SD. The first group evidenced a success rate of 67.64%, while the second group evidenced a success rate of 66.7%.Conclusion.We found no significant statistical differences between the success rates in the two groups (with SD and no anatomical variants). So we could avoid previous or concomitant septoplasty in some cases (mild and moderate SD).


2020 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Elie Salem-Sokhn ◽  
Ali Salami ◽  
Mirna Fawaz ◽  
Ali H Eid ◽  
Said El Shamieh

Background and objective: Hypertension is a multifactorial disease where numerous constitutive, genetic and environmental factors interplay. Among the constitutive factors, age is a major determent continuously reported to be associated with a significant increase in the prevalence of hypertension. In addition to age, Helicobacter pylori (H. pylori) infection was also shown to be associated. On the other hand, Vitamin D (Vit D) plays an important role against the development of hypertension. In the current study, we investigated whether H. pylori interacts with Vit D levels to influence hypertension. Methods: This cross-sectional study was conducted on seven hundred eighty-two “a priori” healthy individuals equally divided according to hypertension status. To study the association between Vit D, H. pylori and hypertension, a multivariate logistic regression model was used while correcting for different confounding factors. Power analysis was also performed. Results: Approximately half of the participants were hypertensive and had Vit D insufficiency, they were also matched for age. Using a multiple logistic regression model, our results showed an inversely proportionate association between H. pylori infection and the risk of hypertension (OR=0.37, P<0.001). On the other hand, a proportionate association between Vit D deficiency and hypertension was observed (OR=2.76, P=0.004). Furthermore, Vit D and H. pylori status interacted to affect the risk of hypertension (OR=0.973, P=0.004). Stratification according to Vit D status showed that 59.1% of Vit D deficient participants were infected with H. pylori organisms (P<0.001). When taking hypertension, Vit D, and H. pylori statuses into account, we found that the prevalence of hypertension was doubled when the participants were negative for H. pylori infection but had Vit D deficiency (P<0.001). Conclusion: H. pylori infection and Vit D deficiency could predict hypertension. The odds of hypertension development were double when the participants were negative for H. pylori infection and had vitamin D deficiency.


2020 ◽  
Vol 45 (2) ◽  
pp. 222-232
Author(s):  
Priyanka Talukdar

In cricket, irrespective of the format of the game, batting always happens in pairs. The two batsmen who bat together are called as batting partners. The pair of batsmen who come to bat at the beginning of any innings are called opening batsmen or opening partners. In Twenty20 cricket, the opening partners must start their innings with a definite strategy. In one hand, they have the advantage of only two fielders outside the 30-yard circle for the first six overs (technically called as the powerplay overs), and so both openers are expected to play high scoring shots and attempt to score runs quickly. On the other hand, the odds against them are the ball is new, so is the pitch and the bowlers are fresh and energetic. When any one of the opening batsmen loses his wicket, the partnership comes to an end. This study tries to figure out the influence of the opening partnership of the second innings on the outcome of Twenty20 matches. Pressure Index (developed by earlier researchers), effects of venue or ground and target score are used as explanatory variables in the logistic regression model to check if the performance of opening partnership influences the outcome of Twenty20 matches along with other variables. The data used for the exercise is from Twenty20 international cricket matches played within the period January 2012 to June 2018. The study finds that opening partnership while chasing is a significant factor in deciding the match outcome during the run chase for the said dataset. Also, the best opening batting partners have been identified.


2016 ◽  
Vol 41 (4) ◽  
pp. 525-556 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joseph Michalski

The current paper presents the results of a national survey of 190 full-time members of Canadian sociology departments to examine the state of the discipline in 2014-15. The paper focuses on the extent of epistemological diversity in an effort to answer two key questions. First, what intellectual perspectives prevail among Canadian sociologists and, along these lines, does any particular perspective hold greater prominence? Second, what might explain the variation in the epistemological stances most commonly endorsed? The evidence reveals a preponderance of critical and feminist scholars, which can be explained in large measure by considering the social locations of sociological practitioners. The results of a logistic regression model confirm that gender, generation, geography, and disciplinary genre are significant predictors of critical and critical-feminist orientations. A discussion of qualitative responses fleshes out the dominant themes that Canadian scholars expressed in their survey responses.


Author(s):  
S. Scott Nadler ◽  
John F. Kros

The purpose of this chapter is to identify those constructs that lead to driver turnover and to develop a logistic regression model to assist in predicting driver turnover. Interviews with drivers were conducted with 154 drivers at large truck stops. The theory of reasoned action (TRA), originating in the social psychology literature, is the theoretical approach in this study. This chapter makes contributions in two areas. From a managerial perspective, the study results indicate that companies can use a technique such as logistic regression as part of their driver-retention efforts in order to create competitive advantage by increasing efficiency and cutting costs. The resulting logistic regression model provides a concrete tool for analyzing driver turnover. Based on four factors, the model accounts for 84% of the variance and accurately predicts which drivers or driver classes are most at risk of turning over.


2020 ◽  
Vol 4 (2) ◽  
pp. 78-99
Author(s):  
Rossella Varvara

Abstract The paper investigates the different productivity domains (Rainer 2005) of two Italian event denoting suffixes, -mento and -zione. These suffixes share the same eventive semantics, they are both productive and thus can be seen as rivals in the formation of event nominalizations. The aim is to obtain a better understanding of the constraints that play a role in the selection of one affix over the other. By means of a logistic regression model the contribution of different features of the base verb is investigated. The analysis is conducted on a dataset of 678 nominalizations extracted from a section of Midia, a diachronic balanced corpus explicitly built for morphological research (Gaeta 2017). Results show that the frequency, the inflectional class and the number of characters of the base verb as well as the presence of the prefix a- significantly contribute to the definition of the different domains, only partially confirming previous findings.


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