scholarly journals Modeling risks of cardiovascular and cancer mortality following a diagnosis of loco-regional breast cancer

2021 ◽  
Vol 23 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicole M. Leoce ◽  
Zhezhen Jin ◽  
Rebecca D. Kehm ◽  
Janise M. Roh ◽  
Cecile A. Laurent ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Many women with breast cancer also have a high likelihood of cardiovascular mortality, and while there are several cardiovascular risk prediction models, none have been validated in a cohort of breast cancer patients. We first compared the performance of commonly-used cardiovascular models, and then derived a new model where breast cancer and cardiovascular mortality were modeled simultaneously, to account for the competing risk endpoints and commonality of risk factors between the two events. Methods We included 20,462 women diagnosed with stage I–III breast cancer between 2000 and 2010 in Kaiser Permanente Northern California (KPNC) with follow-up through April 30, 2015, and examined the performance of the Framingham, CORE and SCOREOP cardiovascular risk models by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), and observed-to -expected (O/E) ratio. We developed a multi-state model based on cause-specific hazards (CSH) to jointly model the causes of mortality. Results The extended models including breast cancer characteristics (grade, tumor size, nodal involvement) with CVD risk factors had better discrimination at 5-years with AUCs of 0.85 (95% CI 0.83, 0.86) for cardiovascular death and 0.80 (95% CI 0.78, 0.87) for breast cancer death compared with the existing cardiovascular models evaluated at 5 years AUCs ranging 0.71–0.78. Five-year calibration for breast and cardiovascular mortality from our multi-state model was also excellent (O/E = 1.01, 95% CI 0.91–1.11). Conclusion A model incorporating cardiovascular risk factors, breast cancer characteristics, and competing events, outperformed traditional models of cardiovascular disease by simultaneously estimating cancer and cardiovascular mortality risks.

2019 ◽  
Vol 112 (3) ◽  
pp. 256-265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan Chen ◽  
Eric J Chow ◽  
Kevin C Oeffinger ◽  
William L Border ◽  
Wendy M Leisenring ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Childhood cancer survivors have an increased risk of heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. They may benefit from prediction models that account for cardiotoxic cancer treatment exposures combined with information on traditional cardiovascular risk factors such as hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes. Methods Childhood Cancer Survivor Study participants (n = 22 643) were followed through age 50 years for incident heart failure, ischemic heart disease, and stroke. Siblings (n = 5056) served as a comparator. Participants were assessed longitudinally for hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes based on self-reported prescription medication use. Half the cohort was used for discovery; the remainder for replication. Models for each outcome were created for survivors ages 20, 25, 30, and 35 years at the time of prediction (n = 12 models). Results For discovery, risk scores based on demographic, cancer treatment, hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes information achieved areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve and concordance statistics 0.70 or greater in 9 and 10 of the 12 models, respectively. For replication, achieved areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve and concordance statistics 0.70 or greater were observed in 7 and 9 of the models, respectively. Across outcomes, the most influential exposures were anthracycline chemotherapy, radiotherapy, diabetes, and hypertension. Survivors were then assigned to statistically distinct risk groups corresponding to cumulative incidences at age 50 years of each target outcome of less than 3% (moderate-risk) or approximately 10% or greater (high-risk). Cumulative incidence of all outcomes was 1% or less among siblings. Conclusions Traditional cardiovascular risk factors remain important for predicting risk of cardiovascular disease among adult-age survivors of childhood cancer. These prediction models provide a framework on which to base future surveillance strategies and interventions.


2016 ◽  
Vol 119 ◽  
pp. S24-S25
Author(s):  
S.A.M. Gernaat ◽  
H.J.G. Van den Bongard ◽  
B.D. De Vos ◽  
I. Isgum ◽  
N. Rijnberg ◽  
...  

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (6) ◽  
pp. 397-408
Author(s):  
Agneta Månsson Broberg ◽  
Jürgen Geisler ◽  
Suvi Tuohinen ◽  
Tanja Skytta ◽  
Þórdís Jóna Hrafnkelsdóttir ◽  
...  

Abstract Purpose of Review Long-term survival has increased significantly in breast cancer patients, and cardiovascular side effects are surpassing cancer-related mortality. We summarize risk factors, prevention strategies, detection, and management of cardiotoxicity, with focus on left ventricular dysfunction and heart failure, during breast cancer treatment. Recent Findings Baseline treatment of cardiovascular risk factors is recommended. Anthracycline and trastuzumab treatment constitute a substantial risk of developing cardiotoxicity. There is growing evidence that this can be treated with beta blockers and angiotensin antagonists. Early detection of cardiotoxicity with cardiac imaging and circulating cardiovascular biomarkers is currently evaluated in clinical trials. Chest wall irradiation accelerates atherosclerotic processes and induces fibrosis. Immune checkpoint inhibitors require consideration for surveillance due to a small risk of severe myocarditis. Cyclin-dependent kinases4/6 inhibitors, cyclophosphamide, taxanes, tyrosine kinase inhibitors, and endocrine therapy have a lower-risk profile for cardiotoxicity. Summary Preventive and management strategies to counteract cancer treatment–related left ventricular dysfunction or heart failure in breast cancer patients should include a comprehensive cardiovascular risk assessment and individual clinical evaluation. This should include both patient and treatment-related factors. Further clinical trials especially on early detection, cardioprevention, and management are urgently needed.


2017 ◽  
Vol 35 (15_suppl) ◽  
pp. e12043-e12043
Author(s):  
Rossella Martinello ◽  
Paolo Becco ◽  
Patrizia Vici ◽  
Mario Airoldi ◽  
Lucia Del Mastro ◽  
...  

e12043 Background: Significant and symptomatic cardiac comorbidity (CC) is a contraindication to adjuvant trastuzumab (T) in breast cancer patients (pts). However, some pts with asymptomatic, non-limiting CC and normal baseline left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) receive T in the clinical practice. We sought to describe the tolerability of T in these pts. Methods: Retrospective analysis of pts with baseline asymptomatic non-limiting CC receiving adjuvant T with chemotherapy (CT) at 6 Institutions between Jul 2006 and Jan 2016. Results: Thirty-seven patients HER2-positive, operable BC at high risk of relapse BC were studied. Median age was 64y (range 36-82, 80% post-menopausal), median baseline LVEF was 61% (range 50-85%) and median BMI 26 (18-42, obesity 22%). Thirteen patients (35%) received T with adjuvant anthracycline and taxane-based, 19 (51%) taxane-based and 3 (8%) other adjuvant CT regimens (13 pts sequential, 22 pts concomitant with CT) and 2 (5%) with endocrine therapy. Prior non-limiting CC was ischemic heart disease (35%), valvular disease (30%), atrial fibrillation (19%), conduction disorders (13%), aortic aneurism (3%), and other (19%). Nine (29%) pts experienced TRC: congestive heart failure (1 pt, 3%), LVEF reduction (6 pts, 16%) and rhythm disturbances (1 pt, 3%). TRC occurred in pts with ongoing multiple cardiovascular risk factors (i.e. obesity and hypertension). Seven pts discontinued T because of TRC (19%), 5 permanently (14%) and 2 temporarily (5%). These latter pts, were able to resume and complete T after TRC resolution. At the end of adjuvant treatment, all pts showed LVEF within normal limits, except one of those who experienced a TRC (last FU value 46 %). Conclusions: This is the first analysis of TRC in pts receiving adjuvant T in the presence prior non-limiting CC. Despite the small size, our analysis shows that T is feasible in these pts and most of the TRC events were reversible at T withdrawal. Caution is needed in pts with significant ongoing cardiovascular risk factors, but when adjuvant T is deemed beneficial on breast cancer outcomes, non-limiting CC should not preclude treatment.


Breast Care ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 264-271
Author(s):  
Eva Lorenz ◽  
Maria Blettner ◽  
Björn Lange ◽  
Marcus Schmidt ◽  
Astrid Schneider ◽  
...  

Background: Advances in oncological therapy have significantly improved breast cancer survival; therefore comorbid conditions are becoming more relevant. We investigated the prevalence of prior cardiovascular diseases and risk factors in patients with breast cancer compared to those in the general female population in Germany. Methods: The PASSOS heart study is a retrospective multicenter cohort study on cardiac late effects in breast cancer patients treated between 1998 and 2008. We analyzed the frequencies of cardiac diseases and cardiovascular risk factors in patients from this cohort as documented in anesthesia protocols compared to self-reported frequencies in the general female population in Germany. Results: 3,496 patients aged between 40 and 79 years who underwent breast surgery were considered for analysis. The age-standardized prevalence of cardiac diseases or cardiovascular risk factors was 6.75 versus 7.52% and 69 versus 80.92%, respectively. Coronary heart disease (3.96 vs. 5.18%) and angina pectoris (0.37 vs. 1.03%) prevalence was lower in breast cancer patients, while non-fatal myocardial infarction (2.06 vs. 1.81%) and stroke (2.64 vs. 2.34%) were more frequent (not statistically significant). Conclusion: Pre-existing cardiac diseases and cardiovascular risk factors are common in both study populations, being slightly less frequent in the PASSOS cohort. When making therapy decisions, the cardiac risk profile should be carefully monitored and taken into account.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 23-28
Author(s):  
Evi Fatimah ◽  
Erwan Martanto ◽  
Mohammad Iqbal ◽  
Januar W. Martha ◽  
M. Rizki Akbar

Background: Sympathetic hyperactivity is one of the several factors that influence left ventricular dyssynchrony post anthracycline. Cardiovascular risk factors affect the acceleration of left ventricular dyssynchrony. The purpose of this study is to assess the difference in correlation coefficient between HRV and mechanical dispersion in breast cancer patients with and without cardiovascular risk factors after anthracycline administration.Method: This was a cross sectional study with linear regression analysis conducted at Hasan Sadikin General Hospital Bandung between July-October 2018. Subjects were breast cancer patients who had received 6 cycles of FAS and were divided into 2 groups. Group I was patients with breast cancer who have cardiovascular risk factors and group II was without cardiovascular risk factors. Sympathetic hyperactivity was assessed using HRV baseline frequency with minimum duration of recording and left ventricular dyssynchrony was assessed using MD method by echocardiography.Result: This study involved 66 patients. Group I (n=34, age 50.3±6.3 years) and group II (n=32, age 48.5±9 years). The median of LF/HF ratio was 2.7 ms2 (group I) and 1.9 ms2 (group II). MD value in group I and group II was 52.2±13.6 ms and 45.7±8.8 ms, respectively. The result of linear regression analysis showed positive correlation between the LF/HF ratio and MD in group I (r=0.546, p=0.001) and group II (r=0.423, p=0.016) after adjusting three confounding factors (systolic blood pressure, cumulative dose of Doxorubicin, and age).Conclusion: Correlation coefficient of HRV with mechanical dispersion in post anthracycline breast cancer patients in those with cardiovascular risk factorswas worse compared to those without cardiovascular risk factors but was not statistically significant.


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