Site-Condition Proxies, Ground Motion Variability, and Data-Driven GMPEs: Insights from the NGA-West2 and RESORCE Data Sets

2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 2027-2056 ◽  
Author(s):  
Boumédiène Derras ◽  
Pierre-Yves Bard ◽  
Fabrice Cotton

We compare the ability of various site-condition proxies (SCPs) to reduce the aleatory variability of ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs). Three SCPs (measured V S30, inferred V S30, local topographic slope) and two accelerometric databases (RESORCE and NGA-West2) are considered. An artificial neural network (ANN) approach including a random-effect procedure is used to derive GMPEs setting the relationship between peak ground acceleration ( PGA), peak ground velocity ( PGV), pseudo-spectral acceleration [ PSA( T)], and explanatory variables ( M w, R JB, and V S30 or Slope). The analysis is performed using both discrete site classes and continuous proxy values. All “non-measured” SCPs exhibit a rather poor performance in reducing aleatory variability, compared to the better performance of measured V S30. A new, fully data-driven GMPE based on the NGA-West2 is then derived, with an aleatory variability value depending on the quality of the SCP. It proves very consistent with previous GMPEs built on the same data set. Measuring V S30 allows for benefit from an aleatory variability reduction up to 15%.

2021 ◽  
pp. 875529302110560
Author(s):  
Yousef Bozorgnia ◽  
Norman A Abrahamson ◽  
Sean K Ahdi ◽  
Timothy D Ancheta ◽  
Linda Al Atik ◽  
...  

This article summarizes the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA) Subduction (NGA-Sub) project, a major research program to develop a database and ground motion models (GMMs) for subduction regions. A comprehensive database of subduction earthquakes recorded worldwide was developed. The database includes a total of 214,020 individual records from 1,880 subduction events, which is by far the largest database of all the NGA programs. As part of the NGA-Sub program, four GMMs were developed. Three of them are global subduction GMMs with adjustment factors for up to seven worldwide regions: Alaska, Cascadia, Central America and Mexico, Japan, New Zealand, South America, and Taiwan. The fourth GMM is a new Japan-specific model. The GMMs provide median predictions, and the associated aleatory variability, of RotD50 horizontal components of peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, and 5%-damped pseudo-spectral acceleration (PSA) at oscillator periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. Three GMMs also quantified “within-model” epistemic uncertainty of the median prediction, which is important in regions with sparse ground motion data, such as Cascadia. In addition, a damping scaling model was developed to scale the predicted 5%-damped PSA of horizontal components to other damping ratios ranging from 0.5% to 30%. The NGA-Sub flatfile, which was used for the development of the NGA-Sub GMMs, and the NGA-Sub GMMs coded on various software platforms, have been posted for public use.


2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 2549-2566 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicolas Bastías ◽  
Gonzalo A. Montalva

The Nazca-South American plate boundary produces large-magnitude events (Mw > 8) every 20 years on the coast of Chile. This work describes a public ground motion database that contains 3,572 records from 477 earthquakes and 181 seismic stations, which includes the recent 2015 Mw 8.3 Illapel earthquake. The data set is controlled by subduction interface and inslab events. The oldest event included is Valparaiso (1985), and the magnitude span is 4.6–8.8 Mw. The source-to-site distance metrics reported are the closest distance to the rupture plane ( R rup), epicentral ( R epi) and hypocentral ( R hyp) distances, with a range for R rup from 20 to 650 km. Site characterization is based on V S30, ranging from 110 to 1,951 m/s. Intensity measures included are peak ground acceleration, spectral acceleration values from 0.01 to 10 s, Arias intensity, and peak ground velocity. Each record was uniformly processed component by component. A flatfile with the related metadata and the spectral accelerations from processed ground motions is available at NEEShub ( http://doi.org/10.17603/DS2N30J ; Bastías and Montalva 2015 ).


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali K. Abdelfattah ◽  
Abdullah Al-amri ◽  
Kamal Abdelrahman ◽  
Muhamed Fnais ◽  
Saleh Qaysi

AbstractIn this study, attenuation relationships are proposed to more accurately predict ground motions in the southernmost part of the Arabian Shield in the Jazan Region of Saudi Arabia. A data set composed of 72 earthquakes, with normal to strike-slip focal mechanisms over a local magnitude range of 2.0–5.1 and a distance range of 5–200 km, was used to investigate the predictive attenuation relationship of the peak ground motion as a function of the hypocentral distance and local magnitude. To obtain the space parameters of the empirical relationships, non-linear regression was performed over a hypocentral distance range of 4–200 km. The means of 638 peak ground acceleration (PGA) and peak ground velocity (PGV) values calculated from the records of the horizontal components were used to derive the predictive relationships of the earthquake ground motions. The relationships accounted for the site-correlation coefficient but not for the earthquake source implications. The derived predictive attenuation relationships for PGV and PGA are$$ {\log}_{10}(PGV)=-1.05+0.65\cdotp {M}_L-0.66\cdotp {\log}_{10}(r)-0.04\cdotp r, $$ log 10 PGV = − 1.05 + 0.65 · M L − 0.66 · log 10 r − 0.04 · r , $$ {\log}_{10}(PGA)=-1.36+0.85\cdotp {M}_L-0.85\cdotp {\log}_{10}(r)-0.005\cdotp r, $$ log 10 PGA = − 1.36 + 0.85 · M L − 0.85 · log 10 r − 0.005 · r , respectively. These new relationships were compared to the grand-motion prediction equation published for western Saudi Arabia and indicate good agreement with the only data set of observed ground motions available for an ML 4.9 earthquake that occurred in 2014 in southwestern Saudi Arabia, implying that the developed relationship can be used to generate earthquake shaking maps within a few minutes of the event based on prior information on magnitudes and hypocentral distances taking into considerations the local site characteristics.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhenming Wang ◽  
David T. Butler ◽  
Edward W. Woolery ◽  
Lanmin Wang

A scenario seismic hazard analysis was performed for the city of Tianshui. The scenario hazard analysis utilized the best available geologic and seismological information as well as composite source model (i.e., ground motion simulation) to derive ground motion hazards in terms of acceleration time histories, peak values (e.g., peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity), and response spectra. This study confirms that Tianshui is facing significant seismic hazard, and certain mitigation measures, such as better seismic design for buildings and other structures, should be developed and implemented. This study shows that PGA of 0.3 g (equivalent to Chinese intensity VIII) should be considered for seismic design of general building and PGA of 0.4 g (equivalent to Chinese intensity IX) for seismic design of critical facility in Tianshui.


2015 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 667-677
Author(s):  
Yincheng Yang ◽  
◽  
Masato Motosaka ◽  

The use of the earthquake early warning system (EEWS), one of the most useful emergency response tools, requires that the accuracy of real-time ground motion prediction (GMP) be enhanced. This requires that waveform information at observation points along earthquake wave propagation paths (hereafter, front-site waveform information) be used effectively. To enhance the combined reliability of different systems, such as on-site and local/regional warning, we present a GMP method using front-site waveform information by applying a relevant vector machine (RVM). We present methodology and application examples for a case study estimating peak ground acceleration (PGA) and peak ground velocity (PGV) for earthquakes in the Miyagi-Ken Oki subduction zone. With no knowledge of source information, front site waveforms have been used to predict ground motion at target sites. Five input variables – earthquake PGA, PGD, pulse rise time, average period and theVpmax/Amaxratio – have been used for the first 4 to 6 seconds of P-waves in training a regression model. We found that RVM is a useful tool for the prediction of peak ground motion.


Author(s):  
Kun Ji ◽  
Yefei Ren ◽  
Ruizhi Wen

ABSTRACT This study used earthquake records from China to investigate comprehensively the correlation coefficients between various intensity measures (IMs), including peak ground acceleration, peak ground velocity, spectral acceleration, spectrum intensity, acceleration spectrum intensity, Arias intensity, cumulative absolute velocity, and significant duration. After collection of metadata information, 681 three-component ground-motion recordings with magnitudes of Mw 4.9–6.9 were carefully processed and extracted from the China National Strong-Motion Observation Network System dataset (2007–2015). The applicability of both the Next Generation Attenuation (NGA)-West2 ground-motion model (GMM) and of other GMMs was verified for different IMs, regarding the China dataset. Then, empirical correlation coefficients between different IMs were computed, considering the uncertainty due to the different sample sizes of the observational data using the bootstrap sampling method and Fisher z transformation. Finally, the median values of the correlation coefficients were fitted as a continuous function of the vibration period in the range of 0.01–10.0 s and compared with the results of similar studies developed for shallow crustal regions worldwide. The developed region-specific correlation coefficient prediction model yielded tendencies approximately like those reported in other studies. However, obvious differences were found in long-period ranges of amplitude-based IMs, cumulative effect IMs, and significant duration. These results suggest the necessity of using region-specific correlation coefficients for generalized IMs in China. The presented results and parametric models could be easily implemented in a generalized IM ground-motion selection method or a vector-based probability seismic hazard analysis procedure for China.


Author(s):  
Amin Esmaeilzadeh ◽  
Dariush Motazedian ◽  
Jim Hunter

Abstract We used a finite‐difference modeling method, developed by Olsen–Day–Cui, to simulate nonlinear‐viscoelastic basin effects in a spectral frequency range of 0.1–1 Hz in the Kinburn bedrock topographic basin, Ottawa, Canada, for large earthquakes. The geotechnical and geological features of the study area are unique: loose, postglacial sediments with very low shear‐wave velocities (<200  m/s) overlying very firm bedrock with high shear‐wave velocities (>2000  m/s). Comparing records and simulated velocity time series showed regular viscoelastic simulations could model the ground motions at the rock and soil sites in the Kinburn basin for the Ladysmith earthquake, a local earthquake occurred on 17 May 2013 with Mw 4.7 (MN 5.2). The Ladysmith earthquake was scaled to provide a strong level of shaking for investigating the nonlinear behavior of soil; therefore, a new nonlinear‐viscoelastic subroutine was introduced to the program. A modeled stress–strain relationship associated with ground‐motion modeling in the Kinburn basin using a scaled Ladysmith earthquake event of Mw 7.5 followed Masing’s rules. Using nonlinear‐viscoelastic ground‐motion simulations significantly reduced the amplitude of the horizontal component of the Fourier spectrum at low frequencies and the predicted peak ground acceleration and peak ground velocity values compared with regular linear viscoelastic simulations; hence, the lower soil amplification of seismic waves and the frequency and amplitude spectral content were altered by the nonlinear soil behavior. In addition, using a finite‐fault model to simulate an earthquake with Mw 7.5 was necessary to predict the higher levels of stresses and strains, which were generated in the basin. Using a finite‐fault source for the nonlinear‐viscoelastic simulation caused decreases in the horizontal components because of the shear modulus reduction and increase of damping.


Author(s):  
David M. Boore ◽  
Jonathan P. Stewart ◽  
Andreas A. Skarlatoudis ◽  
Emel Seyhan ◽  
Basil Margaris ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Using a recently completed database of uniformly processed strong-motion data recorded in Greece, we derive a ground-motion prediction model (GMPM) for horizontal-component peak ground velocity, peak ground acceleration, and 5% damped pseudoacceleration response spectra, at 105 periods ranging from 0.01 to 10 s. The equations were developed by modifying a global GMPM, to account for more rapid attenuation and weaker magnitude scaling in the Greek ground motions than in the global GMPM. Our GMPM is calibrated using the Greek data for distances up to 300 km, magnitudes from 4.0 to 7.0, and time-averaged 30 m shear-wave velocities from 150 to 1200  m/s. The GMPM has important attributes for hazard applications including magnitude scaling that extends the range of applicability to M 8.0 and nonlinear site response. These features are possible because they are well constrained by data in the global GMPM from which our model is derived. An interesting feature of the Greek data, also observed previously in studies of mid-magnitude events (6.1–6.5) in Italy, is that they are substantially overpredicted by the global GMPM, which may be a repeatable regional feature, but may also be influenced by soil–structure interaction. This bias is an important source of epistemic uncertainty that should be considered in hazard analysis.


2012 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 17-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brendon A. Bradley

Empirical correlation equations between peak ground velocity ( PGV) and several spectrum-based ground motion intensity measures are developed. The intensity measures examined in particular were: peak ground acceleration ( PGA), 5% damped pseudo-spectral acceleration ( SA), acceleration spectrum intensity ( ASI), and spectrum intensity ( SI). The computed correlations were obtained using ground motions from active shallow crustal earthquakes and four ground motion prediction equations. Results indicate that PGV is strongly correlated (i.e., a correlation coefficient of [Formula: see text]) with SI, moderately correlated with medium to long-period SA (i.e., [Formula: see text] for vibration periods 0.5-3.0 seconds), and also moderately correlated with short period SA, PGA and ASI ([Formula: see text]). A simple example is used to illustrate one possible application of the developed correlation equations for ground motion selection.


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