Gene expression as a predictive marker of outcome for high-risk transitional-cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder in patients (pts) randomized to adjuvant chemotherapy with cisplatin-gemcitabine (PG) or observation (OBS) after radical cystectomy
15502 Background: A randomized phase III trial comparing PG vs OBS in muscle-invasive TTC of the bladder is currently ongoing. ERCC1 and RRM1 genes are involved in the nucleotide excision repair pathways, and their up-regulation by tumor has been clearly related to resistance of cisplatin and gemcitabine, respectively. Preliminary correlations in patients with bladder cancer randomized to PG were already presented (Proc ASCO 2005, Abstract No: 4589). In the present study, we have examined the predictive value of ERCC1 and RRM1 as markers of tumor progression, as well as their potential correlation with other known prognostic factors also in patients randomized to OBS. Methods: Thirty-nine paraffin-embedded TTC samples of a subset of patients entered the trial were collected. The characteristics were: pT2 23%, pT3 54%, pT4a 23%, pN1–2 46%; G3–4 98%; M/F 10%/90%, median age: 65 years (range 53–74); PG/OBS: 49%/51%. Analysis consisted of real time RT-PCR quantification of mRNA levels of ERCC1 and RRM1. Results: After a median follow-up of 25 months (range 12–51), 17 patients relapsed and 10 deceased. A good correlation was found between mRNA expression levels of both genes. Three-year disease-free survival (DFS) was 74% vs 33% for patients with low and high ERCC1 expression (p=0.03), and 64% vs 22% for those with low and high RRM1 expression (p=0.26), respectively. Comparable result in favour of patients showing lower ERCC1 mRNA levels was found in both groups of patients randomized to PG or obs. Multivariate analysis demonstrated that only the presence of N1–2 and low expression level of ERCC1 were significant prognostic factor for better DFS (HR 4.358, 2.775 and p value = 0.006 and 0.046, respectively). Conclusions: Determination of ERCC1 mRNA expression level in muscle-invasive bladder cancer can make a contribution as an independent predictor of DFS after radical cystectomy. It’s still unclear if quantification of ERCC1 gene expression level could interact with adjuvant chemotherapy. Longer follow-up will help to address this issue (Supported by CNR-MIUR grants 02.00447, 03.00387-ST97). No significant financial relationships to disclose.