Use of cytokeratin 18 and EAU score to predict tumor recurrence in patients with non-muscle-invasive bladder cancer following single postoperative immediate intravesical chemotherapy instillation.

2011 ◽  
Vol 29 (7_suppl) ◽  
pp. 269-269
Author(s):  
M. Horinaga ◽  
S. Murata ◽  
M. Matsushima ◽  
Y. Nakahira ◽  
H. Yanaihara ◽  
...  

269 Background: We examined the prognostic factors for recurrence after TURBT using molecular markers as well as the scoring system of the EAU. Methods: Eighty-eight patients with primary or recurrent bladder tumors who underwent TURBT followed by the single postoperative immediate instillation of pirarubicin and no further instillations were enrolled between 2003 and 2006; the median follow-up period was 46 months. The time to first recurrence was the primary end point of this study. Patients were divided into EAU recurrence risk groups as follows: low-risk group (total score, 0), intermediate-risk group (total score, 1-9) and high-risk group (total score, 9-17). The intermediate-risk group patients were subdivided into a total score of 1-4 and a total score of 5-9. Immunostaining using Ki-67, pHH3, CK18 and Survivin were performed on the TURBT specimens. Results: According to the risk stratification, 5, 82, and 1 were assigned to the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk recurrence groups, respectively. During the follow-up, recurrences were observed in 0% of the low-risk group, 45% (37 out of 82) in the intermediate-risk group and 100% in the high-risk group. We evaluated various predictors of a recurrence-free outcome among the 82 intermediate-risk patients. In univariate analyses, EAU score (1-4, 32.1% vs 5-9, 62.1%; p = 0.0011), high CK18 expression (negative, 31.4% vs positive 88.8%; p < 0.0001), high Ki-67 index (< 5%, 35.4% vs > 5%, 52.5%; p = 0.017) and high Survivin nuclear staining (< 5%, 35.9% vs > 5%, 62.5%; p = 0.004) were associated with recurrence. In a multivariate analysis, EAU score (HR 2.95, p = 0.003) and a high CK18 immunostaining (HR 6.70, p < 0.0001) were independent predictors of disease recurrence. Conclusions: A single immediate chemotherapy instillation is, by itself, insufficient for the treatment of patients in the intermediate- or high-risk recurrence groups defined by the EAU guidelines. Strong immunohistochemical expression of CK18 and the EAU scoring system appeared to be independent predictors of clinical outcome among patients with urothelial carcinoma of the bladder. No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 534-534
Author(s):  
Natasha Catherine Edwin ◽  
Jesse Keller ◽  
Suhong Luo ◽  
Kenneth R Carson ◽  
Brian F. Gage ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Patients with multiple myeloma (MM) have a 9-fold increased risk of developing venous thromboembolism (VTE). Current guidelines recommend pharmacologic thromboprophylaxis in patients with MM receiving an immunomodulatory agent in the presence of additional VTE risk factors (NCCN 2015, ASCO 2014, ACCP 2012). However, putative risk factors vary across guidelines and no validated VTE risk tool exists for MM. Khorana et al. developed a VTE risk score in patients with solid organ malignancies and lymphoma (Blood, 2008). We sought to apply the Khorana et al. score in a population with MM. Methods We identified patients diagnosed with MM within the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) between September 1, 1999 and December 31, 2009 using the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-03 code 9732/3. We followed the cohort through October 2014. To eliminate patients with monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance and smoldering myeloma, we excluded patients who did not receive MM-directed therapy within 6 months of diagnosis. We also excluded patients who did not have data for hemoglobin (HGB), platelet (PLT) count, white blood count (WBC), height and weight, as these are all variables included in the Khorana et al. risk model. Height and weight were assessed within one month of diagnosis and used to calculate body mass index (BMI). We measured HGB, PLT count, and WBC count prior to treatment initiation: within two months of MM diagnosis. A previously validated algorithm, using a combination of ICD-9 code for VTE plus pharmacologic treatment for VTE or IVC filter placement, identified patients with incident VTE after MM diagnosis (Thromb Res, 2015). The study was approved by the Saint Louis VHA Medical Center and Washington University School of Medicine institutional review boards. We calculated VTE risk using the Khorana et al. score: We assigned 1 point each for: PLT ≥ 350,000/μl, HGB < 10 g/dl, WBC > 11,000/μl, and BMI ≥ 35 kg/m2. Patients with 0 points were at low-risk, 1-2 points were considered intermediate-risk and ≥3 points were termed high-risk for VTE. We assessed the relationship between risk-group and development of VTE using logistic regression at 3- and 6-months. We tested model discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (concordance statistic, c) with a c-statistic range of 0.5 (no discriminative ability) to 1.0 (perfect discriminative ability). Results We identified 1,520 patients with MM: 16 were high-risk, 802 intermediate-risk, and 702 low-risk for VTE using the scoring system in the Khorana et al. score. At 3-months of follow-up, a total of 76 patients developed VTE: 27 in the low-risk group, 48 in the intermediate-risk group, and 1 in the high-risk group. At 6-months of follow-up there were 103 incident VTEs: 41 in the low-risk group, 61 in the intermediate-risk group, and 1 in the high-risk group. There was no significant difference between risk of VTE in the high- or intermediate-risk groups versus the low-risk group (Table 1). The c-statistic was 0.56 at 3-months and 0.53 at 6-months (Figure 1). Conclusion Previously, the Khorana score was developed and validated to predict VTE in patients with solid tumors. It was not a strong predictor of VTE risk in MM. There is a need for development of a risk prediction model in patients with MM. Figure 1. Figure 1. Disclosures Carson: American Cancer Society: Research Funding. Gage:National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute: Research Funding. Kuderer:Janssen Scientific Affairs, LLC: Consultancy, Honoraria. Sanfilippo:National Heart, Lung and Blood Institute: Research Funding.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 91-95
Author(s):  
Ioan-Mihai Japie ◽  
Dragoș Rădulescu ◽  
Adrian Bădilă ◽  
Alexandru Papuc ◽  
Traian Ciobanu ◽  
...  

AbstractIntroduction: In order to diagnose and stage malignant bone tumors, the pathologic examination of harvested pieces with immunohistochemistry test is necessary; they also provide information regarding the prognosis on a medium to long term. Among tissular biomarkers with potential predictive value, a raised Ki-67 protein level is used to determine the risk of local recurrence or metastasis.Material and method: This study was performed on 50 patients with primary malignant bone tumors admitted in the Traumatology and Orthopedy Department of University Emergency Hospital, Bucharest. Patients repartition according to diagnosis was the following: 21 patients with osteosarcoma, 18 patients with chondrosarcoma, 6 patients with Ewing sarcoma, 3 patients with malignant fibrous histiocytoma, and 2 with fibrosarcoma. The follow-up period was between 12 and 72 months with a mean of 26 months.Results: Patients were aged between 18 and 77 years old, with a mean age of 41,36. There were 22 women and 28 men. No sex or age difference was notable for the tumor outcome. After calculating the Ki-67 LI, 36 patients were included in the high-risk group (Ki-67 LI > 25%), while 14 had a low risk for metastasis and local relapse (Ki-67 < 25%). The low-risk patients had chondrosarcoma (8 patients), osteosarcoma (5 patients), and fibrosarcoma (1 patient). During the follow-up, 8 patients, all belonging to the high risk group, developed metastasis, while 5 patients developed local recurrences; 4 patients who relapsed belonged to the high risk group and 1 to the low risk group. Metastases developed in 3 patients with osteosarcoma, 2 with Ewing sarcoma, 2 with chondrosarcoma and 1 patient with fibrosarcoma. Most metastases occurred within one year after surgery. The other fibrosarcoma patient developed local recurrence after 6 months, while the other local recurrences occurred in osteosarcoma patients (2 cases) and 1 in a Ewing sarcoma patient and chondrosarcoma patient.Conclusions: Our study concluded that while Ki-67 LI values are useful in determining the aggressivity of primary malignant bone tumors, it should always be used in conjunction with the clinical, imaging and anatomopathological diagnosis methods in order to accurately predict the patients’ outcome.


Blood ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 104 (11) ◽  
pp. 4522-4522
Author(s):  
Richard T. Doocey ◽  
Stephen H. Nantel ◽  
Michael J. Barnett ◽  
Donna L. Forrest ◽  
Donna E. Hogge ◽  
...  

Abstract Acute promyelocytic leukemia (APL) has become one of the more readily treatable subtypes of acute myeloid leukemia on the basis of its particular sensitivity to anthracyclines and the introduction of the differentiating agent all-trans retinoic acid (ATRA). Unfortunately some patients will ultimately relapse after achievement of complete remission. A PETHEMA and GIMEMA (PETH/GIM) cooperative group joint study sought to identify risk factors associated with relapse and developed a predictive model based on white cell count (WCC) and platelet count (Plt) at diagnosis. This model for relapse free survival was capable of segregating patients into low risk (WCC &lt; 10 x 109/L / Plt &gt; 40 x 109/L), intermediate risk (WCC &lt; 10 x 109/L / Plt &lt; 40 x 109/L), and high risk (WCC &gt; 10 x 109/L). A subsequent follow up study demonstrated improved outcomes for intermediate and high risk group patients treated with an anthracycline and ATRA based risk adapted strategy. We reviewed 60 cases of adult de novo APL treated at Vancouver General Hospital from August 1995 to December 2003. Thirty five females (58%) and 25 males (42%) were treated with a standard induction and consolidation protocol consisting of 3 cycles of Daunorubicin (60 mg/m2 OD for 3 days), Cytosine arabinoside (100 mg/m2 BID for 7 days), and ATRA (45 mg/m2/day until complete remission or a maximum of 60 days). In 2000 maintenance therapy was introduced and ATRA and/or varying doses of Methotrexate and 6-Mercaptopurine were then instituted for up to 2 years duration. At the completion of induction chemotherapy complete morphological and cytogenetic remission was achieved in 55/60 patients (92%) with 4 induction failures and only 1 death during induction treatment. Subsequently during and after consolidation and maintenance therapy at a median follow up of 34 months there were a total of 10 episodes of relapse (18%) in these 55 patients. When the 55 patients in complete remission were stratified at diagnosis by the PETH/GIM risk group there were 18 low risk patients (33%), 26 intermediate risk patients (47%), and 11 high risk patients (20%). The number of relapses was 6 in the low risk group (33%), 4 in the intermediate risk group (15%) and no relapses were identified in the high risk group. In our experience the predictive model for relapse free survival developed by the PETH/GIM cooperative group does not identify those at most likelihood for subsequent relapse after achieving an initial complete remission. The greatest number of relapse was seen in the low risk group with no relapses in the high risk group. These variations may be explained in part by the different chemotherapy treatment protocols with variable maintenance therapy. Future investigation will focus on the prognostic role of immunophenotype, additional cytogenetic abnormalities and molecular isoforms in determining outcome in APL.


2021 ◽  
pp. ijgc-2021-002903
Author(s):  
Asma Sarwar ◽  
Jennifer Van Griethuysen ◽  
Jasmine Waterhouse ◽  
Hakim-Moulay Dehbi ◽  
Gemma Eminowicz ◽  
...  

ObjectiveHospital based follow-up has been the standard of care for endometrial cancer. Patient initiated follow-up is a useful adjunct for lower risk cancers. The purpose of this study was to evaluate outcomes of endometrial cancer patients after stratification into risk groupings, with particular attention to salvageable relapses.MethodsAll patients treated surgically for International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage I–IVA endometrial cancer of all histological subtypes, from January 2009 until March 2019, were analyzed. Patient and tumor characteristics, treatment details, relapse, death, and last follow-up dates were collected. Site of relapse, presence of symptoms, and whether relapses were salvageable were also identified. The European Society of Medical Oncology–European Society of Gynecological Oncology 2020 risk stratification was assigned, and relapse free and overall survival were estimated.Results900 patients met the eligibility criteria. Median age was 66 years (range 28–96) and follow-up duration was 35 months (interquartile range 19–57). In total, 16% (n=144) of patients relapsed, 1.3% (n=12) from the low risk group, 3.9% (n=35) from the intermediate risk group, 2.2% (n=20) from the high–intermediate risk group, and 8.7% (n=77) from the high risk group. Salvageable relapses were less frequent at 2% (n=18), of which 33% (n=6) were from the low risk group, 22% (n=4) from the intermediate risk group, 11% (n=2) from the high–intermediate risk group, and 33% (n=6) from the high risk group. There were only three asymptomatic relapses in the low risk patients, accounting for 0.33% of the entire cohort.ConclusionsRelapses were infrequent and most presented with symptoms; prognosis after relapse remains favorable. Overall salvageable relapses were infrequent and cannot justify intensive hospital based follow-up. Use of patient initiated follow-up is therefore appropriate, as per the British Gynaecological Cancer Society's guidelines, for all risk groupings.


Author(s):  
Johannes Korth ◽  
Benjamin Wilde ◽  
Sebastian Dolff ◽  
Jasmin Frisch ◽  
Michael Jahn ◽  
...  

SARS-CoV-2 is a worldwide challenge for the medical sector. Healthcare workers (HCW) are a cohort vulnerable to SARS-CoV-2 infection due to frequent and close contact with COVID-19 patients. However, they are also well trained and equipped with protective gear. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG antibody status was assessed at three different time points in 450 HCW of the University Hospital Essen in Germany. HCW were stratified according to contact frequencies with COVID-19 patients in (I) a high-risk group with daily contacts with known COVID-19 patients (n = 338), (II) an intermediate-risk group with daily contacts with non-COVID-19 patients (n = 78), and (III) a low-risk group without patient contacts (n = 34). The overall seroprevalence increased from 2.2% in March–May to 4.0% in June–July to 5.1% in October–December. The SARS-CoV-2 IgG detection rate was not significantly different between the high-risk group (1.8%; 3.8%; 5.5%), the intermediate-risk group (5.1%; 6.3%; 6.1%), and the low-risk group (0%, 0%, 0%). The overall SARS-CoV-2 seroprevalence remained low in HCW in western Germany one year after the outbreak of COVID-19 in Germany, and hygiene standards seemed to be effective in preventing patient-to-staff virus transmission.


Circulation ◽  
2015 ◽  
Vol 132 (suppl_3) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yoshitaka Ito ◽  
Kazuhiro Naito ◽  
Katsuhisa Waseda ◽  
Hiroaki Takashima ◽  
Akiyoshi Kurita ◽  
...  

Background: While anticoagulant therapy is standard management for atrial fibrillation (Af), dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) is needed after stent implantation for coronary artery disease. HAS-BLED score estimates risk of major bleeding for patients on anticoagulation to assess risk-benefit in Af care. However, it is little known about usefulness of HAS-BLED score in Af patient treated with coronary stents requiring DAPT or DAPT plus warfarin (triple therapy: TT). The aim of this study was to evaluate the role of HAS-BLED score on major bleeding in Af patients undergoing DAPT or TT. Methods: A total of 837 consecutive patients were received PCI in our hospital from Jan. 2007 to Dec. 2010, and 66 patients had Af or paroxysmal Af at the time of PCI. Clinical events including major bleeding (cerebral or gastrointestinal bleeding) were investigated up to 3 years. Patients were divided into 2 groups based on HAS-BLED score (High-risk group: HAS-BLED score≥4, n=19 and Low-risk group: HAS-BLED score<4, n=47). DAPT therapy was required for a minimum 12 months after stent implantation and warfarin was prescribed based on physicians’ discretion. Management/change of antiplatelet and anticoagulant therapy during follow-up periods were also up to physicians’ discretion. Results: Baseline characteristics were not different between High-risk and Low-risk group except for age. Overall incidence of major bleeding was observed in 8 cases (12.1%) at 3 years follow-up. Major bleeding event was significantly higher in High-risk group compared with Low-risk group (31.6% vs. 4.3%, p=0.002). However, management of DAPT and TT was not different between the 2 groups. Among component of HAS-BLED score, renal dysfunction and bleeding contributed with increased number of the score. Conclusion: High-risk group was more frequently observed major bleeding events compared with Low-risk group in patients with Af following DES implantation regardless of antiplatelet/anticoagulant therapy.


2019 ◽  
Vol 40 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
T Grinberg ◽  
T Bental ◽  
Y Hammer ◽  
A R Assali ◽  
H Vaknin-Assa ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Following Myocardial Infarction (MI), patients are at increased risk for recurrent cardiovascular events, particularly during the immediate period. Yet some patients are at higher risk than others, owing to their clinical characteristics and comorbidities, these high-risk patients are less often treated with guideline-recommended therapies. Aim To examine temporal trends in treatment and outcomes of patients with MI according to the TIMI risk score for secondary prevention (TRS2°P), a recently validated risk stratification tool. Methods A retrospective cohort study of patients with an acute MI, who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention and were discharged alive between 2004–2016. Temporal trends were examined in the early (2004–2010) and late (2011–2016) time-periods. Patients were stratified by the TRS2°P to a low (≤1), intermediate (2) or high-risk group (≥3). Clinical outcomes included 30-day MACE (death, MI, target vessel revascularization, coronary artery bypass grafting, unstable angina or stroke) and 1-year mortality. Results Among 4921 patients, 31% were low-risk, 27% intermediate-risk and 42% high-risk. Compared to low and intermediate-risk patients, high-risk patients were older, more commonly female, and had more comorbidities such as hypertension, diabetes, peripheral vascular disease, and chronic kidney disease. They presented more often with non ST elevation MI and 3-vessel disease. High-risk patients were less likely to receive drug eluting stents and potent anti-platelet drugs, among other guideline-recommended therapies. Evidently, they experienced higher 30-day MACE (8.1% vs. 3.9% and 2.1% in intermediate and low-risk, respectively, P<0.001) and 1-year mortality (10.4% vs. 3.9% and 1.1% in intermediate and low-risk, respectively, P<0.001). During time, comparing the early to the late-period, the use of potent antiplatelets and statins increased among the entire cohort (P<0.001). However, only the high-risk group demonstrated a significantly lower 30-day MACE (P=0.001). During time, there were no differences in 1-year mortality rate among all risk categories. Temporal trends in 30-day MACE by TRS2°P Conclusion Despite a better application of guideline-recommended therapies, high-risk patients after MI are still relatively undertreated. Nevertheless, they demonstrated the most notable improvement in outcomes over time.


Blood ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 112 (11) ◽  
pp. 2686-2686 ◽  
Author(s):  
David P. Steensma ◽  
Curtis A Hanson ◽  
Ayalew Tefferi

Abstract Background: The 2001 WHO classification of myeloid neoplasms distinguished 2 forms of MDS associated with &gt;=15% ring sideroblasts and &lt;5% marrow blasts: refractory cytopenia with multilineage dysplasia and with ring sideroblasts (RCMD-RS) vs. refractory anemia with ring siderblasts (RARS, erythroid-restricted dysplasia). However, the real prognostic value of separating RCMD-RS from RCMD with &lt;15% ring sideroblasts and from RARS is uncertain, and the WHO has proposed merging RCMD-RS and RCMD in the 2008 classification revision. Furthermore, the WHO-based Prognostic Scoring System (WPSS), proposed by Malcovati and colleagues in 2005 as a dynamic system that overcomes some of the limitations of the 1997 International Prognostic Scoring System (IPSS), has undergone limited independent external validation to date and its applicability to sideroblastic MDS in particular is unclear. We assessed the validity of the 2008 WHO reclassification and the WPSS for MDS cases associated with &gt;=15% ring sideroblasts and a normal blast proportion. Methods: We reviewed WPSS and IPSS component parameters at diagnosis and the clinical outcomes of 465 patients (68% males, median age 72) evaluated at our institution over a 13-year period: 140 with RARS, 114 with RCMD-RS, and 211 with RCMD. Patients were assigned a WPSS score and risk category (very low-risk group=0 points; low=1; intermediate=2, high=3 or 4) by summing 3 subscores: 2001 WHO classification (0 for RARS, 1 point for RCMD or RCMD-RS), IPSS cytogenetic risk group (0=good, 1=indeterminate, 2=poor), and red cell transfusion dependence (0=no, 1=yes). Survival was assessed by Kaplan-Meier estimates, and prognostic factors examined by proportional hazards analysis. Results: The median time until death or last followup was 26 months, and 70% of patients were known to have died. The median survival by WHO MDS subtype was 75 months for RARS, 25 months for RCMD-RS, and 26 months for RCMD (Log-Rank p&lt;0.0001 for RARS vs. either RCMD-RS or RCMD; p=0.60 for RCMD vs. RCMD-RS ). Both the WPSS and IPSS predicted overall survival in patients with ring sideroblasts. Median survival for the patients grouped by WPSS risk category was 89 months for very low risk (n=95), 41 for low risk (n=198), 31 for intermediate risk (n=82), and 11 for high risk (n=91) (p&lt;0.0001, except for low risk vs. intermediate risk, p=0.31). (Very high risk WPSS scores cannot be achieved without excess marrow blasts, and such patients were excluded from this analysis.) Median survival by IPSS was 73 months for low-risk, 33 months for intermediate-1, and 8 months for intermediate 2 (p&lt;0.0001). The IPSS’ predictive power was unchanged if patients with secondary MDS were included or excluded (the IPSS was based on a review of 816 patients with apparently de novo MDS). Conclusions: These data support the WHO’s proposal to merge RCMD and RCMD-RS, and suggest that the adverse prognostic significance of multilineage dysplasia renders the presence of ring sideroblasts unimportant. The WPSS is a valid prognostic tool in patients with MDS associated with ring sideroblasts, but in this subgroup both the WPSS and IPSS stratify patients into 3 risk groups, and the WPSS does not offer additional value over the IPSS. Figure Figure


2007 ◽  
Vol 25 (18_suppl) ◽  
pp. 11067-11067 ◽  
Author(s):  
H. Patel ◽  
K. Hook ◽  
C. Kaplan ◽  
R. Davidson ◽  
A. DeMichele ◽  
...  

11067 Background: The 21 gene RT-PCR assay Oncotype DX (Genomic Health, CA) stratifies patients into low, intermediate and high risk for systemic recurrence. The objective of this study was to examine the patterns of use of Oncotype DX in a single institution. Methods: All patients who had ODX testing requested by the University of Pennsylvania were identified and recurrence scores (RS) obtained. Patient and tumor characteristics, as well as treatment administered, were obtained by chart review for analysis. Results: 100 ODX tests were ordered between 1/1/05–11/30/06. RS results classified 51% of breast cancers as low risk, 38% intermediate risk, and 11% high risk. Characteristics of the tumors of the overall population and by RS group are shown in Table . 99% of patients received hormonal therapy. Of the low risk patients, only one patient was treated with chemotherapy (2%) while 34% of the intermediate risk group and 80% of the high risk group received chemotherapy. Notably, only 4/100 patients with ODX were under age 35 and 17/100 had tumors over 2cm. Conclusions: In this series, ODX use is accelerating. The results of the ODX tests appear to be used clinically as demonstrated by the very low use of chemotherapy in the low risk group. Comparison to the overall population of ER positive, node negative patients seen at this institution is underway. [Table: see text] No significant financial relationships to disclose.


Blood ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 132 (Supplement 1) ◽  
pp. 186-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Inhye E. Ahn ◽  
Xin Tian ◽  
Maher Albitar ◽  
Sarah E. M. Herman ◽  
Erika M. Cook ◽  
...  

Abstract Introduction: We previously reported a prognostic scoring system in CLL using pre-treatment factors in patients treated with ibrutinib [Ahn et al, 2016 ASH Annual Meeting]. Here we present long-term follow-up results and validation of the prognostic models in a large independent cohort of patients. We also determine the incidence of resistance-conferring mutations in BTK and PLCG2 genes in different clinical risk groups. Methods and Patients: The discovery cohort comprised 84 CLL patients on a phase II study with either TP53 aberration (deletion 17p or TP53 mutation) or age ≥65 years (NCT01500733). The validation cohort comprised 607 patients pooled from four phase II and III studies for ibrutinib in treatment-naïve or relapsed/refractory CLL (NCT01105247; NCT01578707; NCT01722487; NCT01744691). All patients received single-agent ibrutinib 420mg once daily. We used Cox regression models to identify independent predictors of PFS, Kaplan-Meier method to estimate probabilities of PFS, log-rank test to compare PFS, and Cochran-Armitage trend test to compare the incidence of mutation among subgroups. We used R version 3.5.0 or SAS® version 9.3 for statistical analyses. For biomarker correlation, we tested cellular DNA or cell-free DNA collected from patients in the discovery cohort with the targeted sequencing of BTK and PLCG2 genes. Result: At a median follow-up of 5.2 years, 28 (33.3%) of 84 patients in the discovery cohort progressed or died. 52 (61.9%) patients had treatment-naïve CLL. Independent factors of PFS on univariate analysis were; TP53 aberration, prior treatment, and β-2 microglobulin (B2M) >4mg/L (P<0.05 for all tests). Unmutated IGHV and advanced Rai stage (III/IV) showed a trend toward inferior outcome without reaching statistical significance. Because higher levels of B2M were associated with relapsed/refractory CLL, we performed two multivariate Cox regression models to assess B2M and prior treatment status separately. Risk groups were determined by the presence of TP53 aberration, advanced Rai stage, and B2M >4mg/L for Model 1, and TP53 aberration, advanced Rai stage, and relapsed/refractory CLL for Model 2 (Table 1). The high-risk group had all three adverse risk factors; the intermediate-risk group had two risk factors; and the low-risk group, none or one. The median PFS of the high-risk group was 38.9 months for Model 1 and 38.4 months for Model 2, and was significantly shorter than those of intermediate and low-risk groups. In the validation cohort, 254 (41.8%) of 607 patients progressed or died at a median follow-up of 4.2 years. 167 (27.5%) patients had treatment-naïve CLL. Both models showed statistically significant differences in PFS by risk groups (Table 1). For the high-risk group, 4-year PFS was 30.2% in Model 1 and 30.5% in Model 2, which were inferior to those of intermediate (53.4 and 52.4%) and low-risk groups (68.7 and 73.7%). Model 1 classified 20% of patients and Model 2 classified 28% of patients to the high-risk group. BTK and PLCG2 mutations are common genetic drivers of ibrutinib resistance in CLL. To determine whether the incidence of these mutations correlates with prognostic risk groups, we performed targeted sequencing of BTK and PLCG2 of samples collected from patients in the discovery cohort. We used cell-free DNA for patients who received long-term ibrutinib (≥3 years) and had low circulating tumor burden, and cellular DNA, for samples collected within 3 years on ibrutinib or at progression. Of 84 patients, 69 (82.1%) were tested at least once, and 37 (44.0%) were tested at least twice. The frequency of testing was similar across the risk groups by two models (P>0.05). The cumulative incidences of mutations at 5 years in the low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups were: 21.4%, 44.8% and 50%, respectively, by Model 1 (P=0.02); and 22.6%, 41.4% and 66.7%, respectively, by Model 2 (P=0.01). Conclusion: We developed and validated prognostic models to predict the risk of disease progression or death in CLL patients treated with ibrutinib. Risk groups classified by three commonly available pre-treatment factors showed statistically significant differences in PFS. The clinically-defined high-risk disease was linked to higher propensity to develop clonal evolution with BTK and/or PLCG2 mutations, which heralded ibrutinib resistance. Disclosures Albitar: Neogenomics Laboratories: Employment. Ma:Neogenomics Laboratories: Employment. Ipe:Pharmacyclics, an AbbVie Company: Employment, Other: Travel; AbbVie: Equity Ownership. Tsao:Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Employment. Cheng:Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Employment. Dean:CTI BioPharma Corp.: Employment, Equity Ownership; Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Employment, Equity Ownership. Wiestner:Pharmacyclics LLC, an AbbVie Company: Research Funding.


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